DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.0 - - 78.5 - - 72.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - -3 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4521 - - 3755 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3921 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5958 - - 5192 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1876 - - 3501 - - 6142 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 321 - - 176 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 29 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 255 - - 062 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -12 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -820 - - -1718 - - -2502 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6779 - - 6911 - - 3797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8352 - - -8503 - - -4290 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14310 - - 13695 - - 5585 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.0 - - 78.5 - - 72.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.8 - - 52.8 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.4 - - 78.8 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.5 - - 51.5 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 77 - - -3 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4521 - - 3755 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 8 - - 35 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99235 32 096 23 093 25 087 99235 91783 21 089 19 085 23 078 91783 86031 22 088 18 074 19 075 86031 81242 20 080 14 062 14 065 81242 77115 14 085 14 088 11 081 77115 73468 13 093 9 088 9 065 73468 70164 10 091 6 120 8 033 70164 67122 7 094 3 113 8 048 67122 64298 6 092 4 187 3 348 64298 61566 2 030 2 192 5 267 61566 58724 8 319 5 012 7 302 58724 55787 16 298 16 310 18 294 55787 53006 20 290 22 300 21 290 53006 50519 24 289 28 298 22 300 50519 48289 30 293 32 289 30 292 48289 46269 34 284 33 282 33 295 46269 44431 38 292 37 296 40 305 44431 42742 41 294 49 304 44 300 42742 41179 39 294 50 306 46 298 41179 39720 40 289 52 309 47 298 39720 38344 41 289 52 307 48 301 38344 37010 41 295 51 298 50 294 37010 35649 38 300 51 294 43 301 35649 34231 33 297 48 299 40 308 34231 32760 29 290 42 300 39 299 32760 31222 26 279 38 298 42 298 31222 29606 25 277 35 295 38 302 29606 27915 26 280 32 289 32 302 27915 26152 28 283 29 284 30 298 26152 24316 29 286 25 288 26 291 24316 22408 26 289 23 290 22 287 22408 20419 20 290 20 285 18 281 20419 18348 17 298 14 272 14 276 18348 16238 17 300 11 280 11 279 16238 14199 18 300 12 293 11 301 14199 12342 19 298 16 298 15 312 12342 10695 20 294 20 297 21 304 10695 9243 18 287 17 286 17 284 9243 7958 13 287 11 280 7 284 7958 6817 7*282 9 282 3 347 6817 5803 5*277 4*290 2 039 5803 4907 3 270 1*360 3 067 4907 4113 2 258 2 057 4 098 4113 3401 2 244 2 063 5 107 3401 2771 1 231 3 064 6 112 2771 2244 1 215 3 067 7 114 2244 1839 1 209 3 068 7 113 1839 1560 1 201 3 067 7 114 1560 1391 1 201 3 069 6*113 1391 1294 1 202 2 067 4*111 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography