DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 43.4 - - 43.8 - - 35.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 66 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 134 - - 1877 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1571 - - 3314 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 520 - - 1222 - - 3226 - - 321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 209 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 147 - - 214 - - 184 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 9 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -486 - - -84 - - -1585 - - -484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2057 - - 3399 - - 2878 - - 1776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5179 - - -3917 - - -3033 - - -4672 ODpotential blCL - - - 6750 - - 7231 - - 4326 - - 5964 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 82 - - 74 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 43.4 - - 43.8 - - 35.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 33.2 - - 35.9 - - 32.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.4 - - 42.9 - - 44.8 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.8 - - 32.0 - - 34.8 - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 66 - - -11 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 134 - - 1877 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96155 10 234 13 273 13 283 4 279 96155 88938 8 244 11 248 15 251 11 253 88938 83330 15 239 16 233 24 246 24 276 83330 78714 18 253 14 233 21 251 29 271 78714 74777 27 268 21 252 26 247 29 252 74777 71283 26 253 25 257 29 255 31 262 71283 68100 27 259 30 258 32 255 35 260 68100 65173 39 260 37 258 38 260 33 249 65173 62451 45 262 41 260 42 265 31 256 62451 59798 53 260 43 264 42 260 41 261 59798 57028 55 255 50 251 51 249 55 247 57028 54147 61 253 68 251 72 253 64 258 54147 51399 77 251 90 247 90 253 89 256 51399 48936 94 250 97 251 99 253 96 252 48936 46726 107 251 106 256 109 254 108 254 46726 44719 113 253 117 258 120 257 116 254 44719 42877 125 254 123 258 131 255 121 252 42877 41173 130 248 128 255 137 249 129 249 41173 39593 123 245 133 248 137 243 133 244 39593 38121 120 251 131 243 131 241 133 240 38121 36738 128 255 125 244 127 244 130 241 36738 35406 129 252 128 250 133 248 130 244 35406 34057 129 250 132 250 137 247 134 245 34057 32659 129 248 132 246 140 246 137 245 32659 31215 130 246 130 245 140 245 135 245 31215 29715 129 247 125 245 136 245 127 246 29715 28149 118 251 119 246 123 246 115 246 28149 26517 108 250 110 244 109 246 105 246 26517 24817 106 245 103 244 102 247 99 247 24817 23048 106 245 105 248 101 249 92 252 23048 21215 98 250 92 254 99 254 82 259 21215 19325 78 256 69 252 75 259 59 259 19325 17371 61 258 59 254 55 254 45 254 17371 15378 50 258 52 261 47 257 43 255 15378 13457 43 255 45 260 46 270 39 266 13457 11712 37 258 41 260 40 268 37 278 11712 10161 34 267 35 263 33 265 32 280 10161 8783 33 270 31 270 29 277 26 276 8783 7560 30 267 30 274 27 289 21 280 7560 6476 27 261 29 271 24 293 18 297 6476 5517 23 252 26 265 20 293 17 310 5517 4674 19 238 22 257 16 288 15 316 4674 3928 15 226 16*243 12 272 13 320 3928 3260 13 215 11*226 10 245 11 322 3260 2669 12 202 9 216 8 226 10 306 2669 2176 11 185 8 211 8 211 12 272 2176 1798 10*166 7 209 7 201 14 252 1798 1538 8*149 7 208 6 194 9 245 1538 1381 7 146 6 207 5*188 3*221 1381 1291 5 145 5 207 4*184 2*171 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography