DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 34.2 - - 36.2 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 35 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3243 - - 3160 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3433 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4680 - - 4597 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1043 - - 1179 - - 3403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 373 - - 195 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 305 - - 253 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2941 - - -4238 - - -5963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7621 - - 8836 - - 7255 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12778 - - -13761 - - -15768 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17458 - - 18358 - - 17060 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 59 - - 82 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 34.2 - - 36.2 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 5.1 - - 1.9 - - 5.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 32.9 - - 36.0 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 4.7 - - 1.7 - - 5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 238 - - 35 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3243 - - 3160 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 27 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94832 85 234 87 231 91 235 94832 87643 77 231 81 227 72 233 87643 82024 83 242 81 244 72 252 82024 77378 91 252 88 256 85 262 77378 73470 73 256 77 262 83 267 73470 70089 58 256 60 258 69 264 70089 67036 50 262 48 262 52 265 67036 64203 48 267 48 281 46 280 64203 61553 55 277 59 291 55 292 61553 58973 65 281 70 291 67 293 58973 56269 73 281 75 287 71 287 56269 53441 77 278 78 282 71 283 53441 50717 77 276 78 277 74 283 50717 48249 74 276 74 276 77 282 48249 46033 70 280 71 278 76 281 46033 44022 73 284 72 283 78 287 44022 42179 82 282 83 286 85 293 42179 40479 87 278 93 285 94 295 40479 38910 88 280 96 283 104 294 38910 37456 97 288 96 283 112 293 37456 36102 111 289 100 287 111 292 36102 34805 118 283 107 286 114 293 34805 33500 117 280 110 281 116 288 33500 32151 116 284 107 281 111 283 32151 30756 118 287 108 285 102 283 30756 29301 118 287 113 284 98 289 29301 27772 115 286 114 283 102 293 27772 26171 114 287 112 283 105 293 26171 24497 112 290 107 283 101 289 24497 22757 101 290 97 284 94 285 22757 20957 88 285 85 284 84 283 20957 19094 78 284 77 284 75 280 19094 17152 73 288 73 284 71 279 17152 15166 71 290 68 283 66 280 15166 13251 68 290 64 286 60 283 13251 11514 66 290 61 290 57 285 11514 9973 63 292 58 295 55 287 9973 8608 58 295 53 297 49 288 8608 7400 48 296 43 296 41 289 7400 6334 34 295 28 290 34 289 6334 5397 19*292 14*269 25 286 5397 4576 10*293 9*249 15 272 4576 3853 9 297 9 249 11 251 3853 3206 8 303 7 251 10 245 3206 2634 8 307 6 255 11 252 2634 2155 7 312 6 258 10 257 2155 1787 7 315 5 260 9 260 1787 1533 7 317 5 260 8 262 1533 1379 7 319 5 262 6*262 1379 1291 6 317 4 264 3*258 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography