DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 58.0 - - 60.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 294 - - 96 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3270 - - 4226 - - 3616 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3341 - - 4269 - - 3214 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4707 - - 5663 - - 5053 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 969 - - 892 - - 1431 - - 1814 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 440 - - 290 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 284 - - 294 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 11 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4224 - - -5458 - - -4747 - - -7343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8932 - - 11121 - - 9800 - - 8636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14978 - - -13515 - - -10452 - - -14578 ODpotential blCL - - - 19685 - - 19178 - - 15505 - - 15871 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 88 - - 83 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 58.0 - - 60.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.9 - - 13.6 - - 21.7 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 56.4 - - 59.3 - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.9 - - 12.5 - - 20.6 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 294 - - 96 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3270 - - 4226 - - 3616 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 53 - - 32 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96343 27 228 17 232 30 253 32 266 96343 89138 16 224 16 230 20 256 19 287 89138 83582 12 213 16 222 21 228 20 268 83582 78964 20 239 20 243 18 232 22 254 78964 74975 14 224 21 227 19 238 20 263 74975 71442 18 257 18 266 16 260 19 258 71442 68243 27 255 26 252 21 270 19 289 68243 65308 23 236 24 246 24 256 23 284 65308 62588 27 257 30 267 27 263 28 266 62588 59953 37 250 39 268 32 271 27 256 59953 57177 38 257 44 261 38 267 35 264 57177 54269 57 265 55 258 53 257 49 264 54269 51495 75 266 69 259 67 259 60 264 51495 49025 85 267 77 260 74 259 65 259 49025 46837 90 268 82 267 75 264 62 260 46837 44864 89 267 88 267 78 264 66 268 44864 43066 91 270 93 266 88 264 78 267 43066 41424 102 273 104 266 98 263 87 260 41424 39915 111 271 112 266 105 264 93 258 39915 38502 110 270 110 266 105 263 93 257 38502 37164 104 269 105 268 103 265 92 255 37164 35865 100 269 100 267 101 265 92 255 35865 34537 97 268 98 264 96 263 92 257 34537 33154 97 263 95 262 90 263 90 259 33154 31721 99 260 91 262 84 263 88 258 31721 30226 96 261 86 262 80 264 83 257 30226 28658 91 260 82 263 76 263 78 257 28658 27018 86 260 79 261 72 263 71 259 27018 25305 81 259 78 259 70 263 64 260 25305 23521 77 261 77 260 69 263 56 264 23521 21672 74 264 74 261 68 260 53 266 21672 19750 71 267 70 263 64 260 56 265 19750 17750 71 271 66 268 60 264 58 264 17750 15712 74 277 66 277 58 269 56 264 15712 13746 75 284 67 282 59 273 51 265 13746 11957 71 289 62 278 58 274 45 266 11957 10365 62 288 53 271 50 272 39 259 10365 8952 57 282 46 272 43 271 34 251 8952 7699 54 281 42 280 37 274 25 248 7699 6592 47 286 36*284 28 279 15 228 6592 5615 35*287 23*283 17*282 12 198 5615 4754 22*285 18 282 11*288 9 192 4754 3992 17 284 17 283 10 290 7 179 3992 3309 15 285 17 283 10 293 6 154 3309 2705 14 286 16 284 9 295 5 120 2705 2201 14 287 16 285 9 298 6 093 2201 1813 13 287 15 285 9 299 8 079 1813 1547 12 287 14 285 8 300 8 073 1547 1385 11 288 13 286 8 300 7*074 1385 1292 9 288 11 286 7 301 5*078 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography