DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 43.8 - - 46.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 13 - - -14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 573 - - 414 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2010 - - 1851 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1070 - - 803 - - 1819 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 77 - - 15 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 147 - - 123 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5301 - - -1253 - - -2801 - - -4369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7311 - - 3104 - - 4094 - - 5662 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17737 - - -11395 - - -12726 - - -15256 ODpotential blCL - - - 19747 - - 13246 - - 14019 - - 16549 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 43.8 - - 46.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.5 - - 35.0 - - 33.6 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 43.7 - - 47.5 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.9 - - 34.0 - - 32.3 - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 13 - - -14 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 573 - - 414 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 101 - - 74 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96147 67 250 65 257 69 258 64 260 96147 89101 46 255 48 262 51 263 50 266 89101 83646 39 273 37 263 40 270 40 268 83646 79097 39 277 36 267 38 279 36 275 79097 75173 35 274 36 269 39 278 32 279 75173 71703 32 267 32 274 35 276 28 278 71703 68536 29 271 28 275 33 283 26 280 68536 65601 29 274 32 273 35 277 34 287 65601 62876 34 272 34 267 34 264 41 286 62876 60240 39 275 35 278 33 264 44 275 60240 57487 46 275 42 275 37 265 44 271 57487 54610 49 265 48 269 44 267 46 267 54610 51849 50 276 55 272 46 267 44 266 51849 49374 66 275 63 269 52 275 43 274 49374 47168 68 264 66 268 66 278 57 281 47168 45158 59 263 67 267 71 278 65 278 45158 43319 57 273 66 271 75 276 81 271 43319 41644 61 278 67 275 77 270 84 268 41644 40102 65 280 78 274 74 272 84 270 40102 38665 72 284 79 271 80 278 86 273 38665 37318 73 284 73 271 94 278 89 276 37318 36022 73 281 73 272 97 277 89 276 36022 34705 73 279 76 272 91 274 85 274 34705 33336 70 278 77 269 78 267 82 271 33336 31917 68 279 73 263 69 258 73 268 31917 30432 66 280 67 266 70 261 65 264 30432 28869 64 281 66 271 72 266 58 264 28869 27228 63 283 62 277 76 270 54 265 27228 25508 63 279 59 283 71 271 53 264 25508 23711 61 275 56 288 62 269 53 261 23711 21844 55 272 54 284 50 267 47 265 21844 19899 47 268 52 279 42 267 44 276 19899 17869 39 267 48 275 40 274 47 277 17869 15799 41 272 46 284 42 283 48 264 15799 13810 46 263 47 284 45 284 51 253 13810 12004 42 255 50 280 45 278 48 248 12004 10398 32 261 52 279 44 274 44 245 10398 8971 28 272 54 271 45 270 43 248 8971 7703 27 274 50 256 47 262 40 247 7703 6578 28 268 38 240 42 256 34 242 6578 5588 27 265 25 235 30 242 28 232 5588 4722 22 263 16 240 21 225 23 217 4722 3962 16 256 13 237 15 206 23 202 3962 3283 12 239 12 217 13 186 24 188 3283 2685 9 216 10 199 12 166 22 176 2685 2187 6*203 8*179 12 149 18 165 2187 1804 3*193 6*152 11 137 14 145 1804 1542 2 192 5 147 10 130 11 118 1542 1383 2 197 4 143 8*127 9*107 1383 1292 2 200 4 142 5*123 5*095 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography