DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 76.9 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - -22 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8031 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 6861 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 9468 - - 1295 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3143 - - 11638 - - 4466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 448 - - 21 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 235 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - 2 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 792 - - -7157 - - -3002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8677 - - 8453 - - 4296 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -373 - - -8022 - - -5022 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9841 - - 9317 - - 6316 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 130 - - 140 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 76.9 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.3 - - 44.3 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.2 - - 77.8 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.1 - - 43.1 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 145 - - -22 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 8031 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 42 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98070 13 122 10 172 14 281 98070 90655 6 178 5 246 4 263 90655 84939 5 217 8 217 2 246 84939 80194 11 230 11 233 7 246 80194 76100 12 224 12 236 11 254 76100 72482 9 193 13 242 14 258 72482 69202 11 205 12 216 17 243 69202 66175 15 249 14 244 21 243 66175 63370 22 243 25 249 24 243 63370 60665 25 243 24 248 30 252 60665 57856 33 253 33 251 34 251 57856 54949 42 258 40 251 34 256 54949 52174 46 254 43 252 44 257 52174 49680 47 255 48 252 50 254 49680 47455 55 257 53 257 49 256 47455 45436 63 257 65 256 55 264 45436 43590 78 247 76 246 79 249 43590 41911 81 242 81 247 87 243 41911 40368 88 247 89 248 82 244 40368 38922 89 243 92 247 83 253 38922 37558 79 242 93 249 86 255 37558 36239 77 252 91 252 87 254 36239 34901 80 259 90 255 84 254 34901 33518 84 262 87 255 79 248 33518 32084 86 260 82 250 80 251 32084 30585 85 254 78 248 75 259 30585 29013 77 247 80 249 65 259 29013 27366 71 246 74 249 59 258 27366 25641 69 248 59 253 57 257 25641 23841 65 251 52 260 54 255 23841 21968 59 254 54 262 53 255 21968 20020 57 257 53 262 51 258 20020 17997 51 255 48 266 43 266 17997 15944 37 252 40 268 28 259 15944 13969 29 248 30 262 24 250 13969 12175 22 255 24 254 23 238 12175 10580 17*263 22 253 23 235 10580 9157 16*262 21 252 21 232 9157 7889 15 261 20 251 19 235 7889 6759 14 260 19 248 18 247 6759 5755 13 256 18 246 17 261 5755 4867 12 252 17 244 17 278 4867 4082 12 249 17 241 18 291 4082 3377 11 246 16 240 18 298 3377 2754 11 244 15 238 18 301 2754 2233 10 242 15 238 18 308 2233 1833 10 240 14 237 17 314 1833 1557 9 240 13 236 14 319 1557 1390 9 239 11*236 11*322 1390 1293 7 238 8*235 6*326 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography