DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.7 - - 60.5 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 27 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 948 - - 545 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2385 - - 1982 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1170 - - 1543 - - 800 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 122 - - 36 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 17 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 196 - - 195 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 76 - - -603 - - -4 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2309 - - 2585 - - 1297 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -866 - - -3402 - - -3816 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3251 - - 5384 - - 5109 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 92 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.7 - - 60.5 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 53.7 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 60.7 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.0 - - 53.5 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 27 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 948 - - 545 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 68 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96574 45 261 58 273 45 270 96574 89311 31 259 35 266 38 263 89311 83775 29 253 22 267 27 247 83775 79207 19 250 10 265 20 252 79207 75266 12 225 13 248 18 258 75266 71785 11 220 16 216 17 247 71785 68647 8 225 13 213 21 244 68647 65784 14 248 17 235 18 229 65784 63116 19 262 18 242 27 247 63116 60503 21 254 33 259 43 257 60503 57775 34 246 41 250 48 255 57775 54934 39 250 42 246 48 253 54934 52190 46 253 53 256 47 250 52190 49687 58 254 68 255 56 264 49687 47446 74 258 68 252 79 267 47446 45459 88 252 76 253 92 264 45459 43686 88 254 98 257 107 263 43686 42064 90 259 112 259 113 260 42064 40545 92 261 113 259 109 257 40545 39112 92 261 110 259 108 256 39112 37754 94 260 106 259 106 256 37754 36436 96 260 104 260 103 256 36436 35095 96 260 103 260 99 256 35095 33700 97 259 101 259 96 252 33700 32254 99 258 88 258 93 247 32254 30741 90 258 75 255 82 242 30741 29150 64 260 67 252 73 239 29150 27484 58 258 57 245 79 246 27484 25743 59 257 54 241 89 255 25743 23933 60 252 51 240 76 254 23933 22056 63 243 49 243 54 253 22056 20105 62 239 47 251 47 256 20105 18074 53 235 50 255 48 259 18074 16000 48 230 48 239 43 258 16000 13998 47 227 47 233 38 254 13998 12175 45 229 46 234 37 252 12175 10556 43 234 44 236 35 250 10556 9120 43 240 43 244 32 250 9120 7843 44 243 45 252 29 252 7843 6709 44 240 45 251 28 255 6709 5705 42 231 39 245 27 259 5705 4821 41 220 33 234 28 262 4821 4040 40 211 32 223 28 261 4040 3341 37 207 31 212 28 255 3341 2725 32*204 28 205 27 242 2725 2212 25*198 25*201 22 233 2212 1820 22 196 21*197 16 230 1820 1550 20 195 18 195 11 223 1550 1386 17 194 16 194 7*209 1386 1292 13 193 11 192 3*163 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography