DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 16.2 - - 18.6 - - 17.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 63 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1292 - - 792 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1273 - - 1273 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2729 - - 2229 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1174 - - 1729 - - 2611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 177 - - 94 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 16 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 016 - - 075 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -109 - - -1111 - - -1006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2838 - - 3340 - - 2297 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7579 - - -7159 - - -2137 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10308 - - 9388 - - 3428 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 84 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 16.2 - - 18.6 - - 17.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.7 - - 8.8 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 15.6 - - 18.5 - - 18.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.8 - - 8.0 - - 11.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 63 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1292 - - 792 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 37 - - 36 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96153 70 209 70 235 70 231 96153 88828 65 224 64 235 69 229 88828 83167 58 239 64 240 68 240 83167 78473 62 248 61 238 71 246 78473 74434 62 253 62 248 71 246 74434 70847 67 261 61 251 67 251 70847 67587 74 261 65 260 69 262 67587 64605 75 259 74 263 73 261 64605 61850 74 257 78 256 76 255 61850 59174 76 255 77 253 78 253 59174 56373 80 256 78 258 80 259 56373 53461 86 256 86 260 82 262 53461 50664 89 256 91 258 85 259 50664 48128 91 257 91 256 90 255 48128 45841 93 258 89 258 87 250 45841 43756 95 257 90 258 84 250 43756 41847 97 254 92 256 85 251 41847 40095 94 252 91 255 88 251 40095 38480 88 252 89 255 87 249 38480 36979 86 252 90 253 86 249 36979 35579 83 252 90 249 87 249 35579 34243 80 255 83 252 85 247 34243 32907 80 256 82 255 79 249 32907 31545 80 256 83 255 78 250 31545 30158 78 255 85 255 79 248 30158 28725 69 258 81 256 76 246 28725 27228 65 260 75 255 72 247 27228 25662 64 258 68 255 67 249 25662 24024 64 258 65 254 64 252 24024 22318 62 261 62 253 61 253 22318 20549 60 260 58 257 56 250 20549 18711 59 258 56 259 50 248 18711 16798 61 256 56 257 48 249 16798 14851 62 256 57 255 48 251 14851 12977 55 257 53 255 44 254 12977 11277 42 261 43 257 36 258 11277 9771 32 264 30 261 30 260 9771 8438 26 268 23 265 25 259 8438 7258 21 275 19 270 19 263 7258 6214 17 274 16 274 14 276 6214 5296 13 269 13 285 13 286 5296 4493 8 266 11 297 9 307 4493 3786 3 249 9 302 5 345 3786 3154 1*110 4 307 4 035 3154 2595 2*059 1*047 6 054 2595 2129 2 025 1*079 6 050 2129 1771 2 009 1 074 6 046 1771 1525 2 000 1 075 6 041 1525 1375 2 355 1 070 5*035 1375 1290 2 352 0 066 3*027 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography