DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.7 - - 61.3 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 17 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3383 - - 3384 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3337 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4820 - - 4821 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 624 - - 806 - - 3159 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 329 - - 189 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 048 - - 040 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 17 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 675 - - 730 - - -995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4145 - - 4091 - - 2288 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6296 - - -6591 - - -1863 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11116 - - 11412 - - 3156 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 83 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.7 - - 61.3 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.3 - - 48.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.8 - - 61.2 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.0 - - 46.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 17 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3383 - - 3384 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 28 - - 33 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98671 13 106 6 179 5 068 98671 91272 6 117 3 078 8 031 91272 85551 7 177 8 105 4 022 85551 80784 11 148 7 148 3 169 80784 76669 11 110 5 110 4 126 76669 73050 7 077 8 039 9 088 73050 69788 5 083 6 009 7 052 69788 66806 6 073 2 020 10 353 66806 64065 8 045 6 117 8 321 64065 61421 8 346 7 071 2 343 61421 58647 7 313 11 334 8 000 58647 55753 2 300 15 294 14 306 55753 53002 3 037 10 289 12 295 53002 50532 9 316 9 303 9 312 50532 48309 13 292 10 297 10 330 48309 46276 13 269 10 292 11 327 46276 44400 9 248 11 277 12 312 44400 42658 8 249 10 256 8 286 42658 41035 8 255 6 213 6 252 41035 39521 8 223 8 156 10 211 39521 38100 16 183 11 173 13 191 38100 36731 26 170 15 185 20 167 36731 35349 28 171 17 183 22 168 35349 33925 27 176 13 184 18 169 33925 32460 18 177 6 193 7 127 32460 30939 10 161 3 156 7 053 30939 29346 9 136 6 122 11 035 29346 27674 6 126 7 106 12 038 27674 25922 6 096 8 060 14 043 25922 24091 7 074 10 043 15 042 24091 22184 6 047 11 025 14 047 22184 20198 7 031 12 024 13 047 20198 18130 8 044 11 038 14 042 18130 16023 10 067 11 052 14 028 16023 13990 9 063 12 038 14 018 13990 12141 7 024 15 023 14 018 12141 10505 9 017 15 024 12 025 10505 9058 11 050 15 047 10 050 9058 7774 20 067 21 064 17 062 7774 6638 25 065 21 054 22 060 6638 5639 21*058 16*038 20 047 5639 4767 14*049 14*039 17 036 4767 4001 14 049 14 039 16 032 4001 3317 13 048 13 040 16 030 3317 2710 13 048 13 040 16 028 2710 2204 13 047 13 041 15 025 2204 1816 12 046 12 040 14 022 1816 1548 11 045 11 040 12 019 1548 1385 10 045 10 039 9*017 1385 1292 8 043 8 038 5*014 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography