DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.2 - - 85.3 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 43 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4170 - - 2565 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3467 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5607 - - 4002 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2634 - - 4788 - - 4855 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 288 - - 170 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 216 - - 226 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 969 - - -271 - - -479 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4638 - - 4273 - - 1775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -424 - - -1689 - - -1774 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6031 - - 5691 - - 3070 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 95 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1750 - - 2470 - - 3240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.2 - - 85.3 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 70.7 - - 74.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.0 - - 85.5 - - 79.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.8 - - 69.4 - - 73.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 43 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4170 - - 2565 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 43 - - 80 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99514 44 090 31 079 26 063 99514 91976 30 080 36 089 31 069 91976 86154 28 076 31 087 32 079 86154 81345 28 073 22 072 31 083 81345 77242 28 081 16 063 27 081 77242 73635 25 092 14 074 19 072 73635 70363 22 094 16 093 12 056 70363 67336 14 084 18 103 9 065 67336 64522 8 104 16 101 11 096 64522 61815 8 114 9 081 12 098 61815 59017 12 147 5 164 8 108 59017 56136 16 139 10 187 8 193 56136 53402 8 165 15 179 13 206 53402 50947 15 162 17 162 14 189 50947 48751 13 138 13 142 12 162 48751 46754 10 159 13 119 13 129 46754 44918 19 144 19 118 14 131 44918 43223 26 129 23 127 14 162 43223 41654 30 130 24 142 18 171 41654 40185 34 134 23 147 12 160 40185 38799 30 136 19 148 6 148 38799 37454 25 138 15 147 5 184 37454 36081 22 139 15 151 5 205 36081 34651 20 144 15 161 6 226 34651 33166 21 153 16 170 8 221 33166 31616 23 161 17 177 13 210 31616 29987 23 166 17 180 17 204 29987 28282 22 183 15 176 17 201 28282 26497 21 193 19 171 19 188 26497 24636 22 201 24 186 22 192 24636 22702 22 209 26 199 24 201 22702 20690 23 210 28 204 25 202 20690 18592 26 206 25 218 21 205 18592 16453 27 204 23 228 14 220 16453 14393 25 210 21 241 8 251 14393 12523 23 214 18 244 10 260 12523 10863 20 220 15 242 14 248 10863 9389 18 227 12 242 15 234 9389 8077 14 232 10 244 13 234 8077 6912 11 229 10 240 10 242 6912 5880 9*222 10 233 8 245 5880 4968 9*219 10 225 8 241 4968 4161 8 218 10*224 8 236 4161 3437 8 216 10*223 8 232 3437 2796 8 215 10 224 7 226 2796 2261 7 214 9 225 7 223 2261 1849 7 213 9 227 6 221 1849 1566 7 212 9 227 5 220 1566 1393 6 213 8 228 3*220 1393 1295 5 213 7 229 2*219 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography