DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.7 - - 52.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 0 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1674 - - 595 - - 515 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1275 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3111 - - 2032 - - 1952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 896 - - 1248 - - 966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 211 - - 48 - - 54 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 341 - - 041 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 546 - - -482 - - 128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2565 - - 2514 - - 1824 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 17 - - -6117 - - -2983 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3094 - - 8149 - - 4935 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.7 - - 52.0 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.1 - - 45.6 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.1 - - 52.1 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.0 - - 44.9 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 0 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1674 - - 595 - - 515 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 82 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95894 53 259 61 270 57 265 95894 88921 40 277 46 281 36 270 88921 83535 42 293 41 286 38 291 83535 79045 31 286 35 285 42 293 79045 75162 21 276 30 284 34 284 75162 71704 18 294 21 291 24 281 71704 68539 27 301 23 298 24 298 68539 65616 34 289 29 300 31 302 65616 62918 32 274 32 293 35 292 62918 60309 31 278 31 283 35 282 60309 57574 35 286 34 279 38 282 57574 54716 41 284 40 276 47 286 54716 51994 46 288 50 279 63 283 51994 49565 58 285 58 285 68 283 49565 47396 61 286 71 291 69 285 47396 45424 67 291 83 286 68 284 45424 43613 72 295 86 283 66 289 43613 41936 81 293 84 287 74 294 41936 40370 88 294 92 290 90 293 40370 38905 95 297 100 292 100 291 38905 37534 103 297 105 293 110 289 37534 36214 104 294 108 292 105 288 36214 34880 97 295 94 293 92 290 34880 33504 88 297 76 294 79 298 33504 32085 78 299 65 296 74 305 32085 30599 74 300 62 296 73 306 30599 29031 71 301 64 293 70 299 29031 27381 67 303 64 293 68 301 27381 25649 62 302 60 298 57 299 25649 23841 53 302 55 303 50 293 23841 21959 44 299 50 304 43 291 21959 19996 41 293 44 301 36 292 19996 17949 37 288 38 297 29 293 17949 15860 31 291 35 293 25 293 15860 13850 26 294 30 293 24 292 13850 12024 21 290 25 297 21 293 12024 10406 18 287 20 295 18 294 10406 8974 17 293 17 294 17 295 8974 7708 18 302 15 299 17 293 7708 6587 20 303 15 298 18 284 6587 5600 19 304 15 289 16 272 5600 4733 15 306 14 271 12 269 4733 3968 11 309 12 259 7 293 3968 3287 8*316 8 259 4 351 3287 2687 5*334 1 314 6 066 2687 2188 5 339 4*047 9*084 2188 1806 5 343 4*044 9*089 1806 1543 4 346 4 040 9 090 1543 1383 4 345 4 040 8 091 1383 1292 4 346 3 037 5 091 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography