DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 46.2 - - 44.6 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 227 - - 37 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3117 - - 3480 - - 2592 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 3589 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4554 - - 4917 - - 4029 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 697 - - 837 - - 1183 - - 2447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 376 - - 188 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 18 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 267 - - 269 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1147 - - -2023 - - -3624 - - -4517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5702 - - 6940 - - 7653 - - 5809 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9562 - - -8119 - - -10048 - - -13377 ODpotential blCL - - - 14116 - - 13036 - - 14077 - - 14669 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 73 - - 90 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.9 - - 46.2 - - 44.6 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 20.3 - - 15.7 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 45.1 - - 44.4 - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.7 - - 19.8 - - 15.3 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 227 - - 37 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3117 - - 3480 - - 2592 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95486 54 236 48 239 60 237 76 241 95486 88384 52 244 49 246 63 249 63 255 88384 82939 52 251 52 240 67 248 64 259 82939 78466 46 255 51 237 60 239 62 252 78466 74615 33 257 43 237 52 244 50 248 74615 71166 40 273 38 245 45 248 44 253 71166 67991 54 268 47 255 44 253 45 254 67991 65031 58 256 54 250 53 252 48 248 65031 62256 59 248 56 246 59 256 55 261 62256 59567 60 251 72 258 72 257 74 257 59567 56779 81 255 88 252 83 250 86 248 56779 53888 99 247 94 245 88 248 88 249 53888 51122 98 242 99 249 96 249 96 252 51122 48632 99 246 111 252 107 251 107 252 48632 46406 111 250 122 252 120 251 117 251 46406 44389 123 250 131 250 128 250 122 250 44389 42542 130 247 133 247 130 248 124 250 42542 40839 126 245 128 245 127 245 124 249 40839 39265 119 246 119 245 121 244 122 248 39265 37804 115 246 114 247 120 244 118 249 37804 36446 109 246 112 249 124 243 116 250 36446 35149 103 245 112 251 124 244 115 251 35149 33842 99 245 113 252 125 244 116 252 33842 32488 97 246 112 251 123 243 118 251 32488 31088 96 248 112 249 123 245 119 250 31088 29626 95 245 113 248 119 245 118 249 29626 28088 94 241 111 246 113 245 115 250 28088 26477 91 242 106 244 105 245 112 251 26477 24795 90 244 98 242 98 244 105 252 24795 23047 88 244 91 242 92 242 95 251 23047 21232 85 240 88 242 86 240 87 246 21232 19342 82 239 85 240 83 244 81 245 19342 17372 79 240 80 242 78 247 76 246 17372 15364 75 243 73 247 67 249 69 246 15364 13435 73 251 65 255 56 253 58 248 13435 11685 71 259 57 259 50 259 49 253 11685 10131 63 262 52 265 46 268 40 258 10131 8753 55 262 48 267 44 272 36 273 8753 7529 50 262 45 267 43 272 35 285 7529 6443 49 266 41 267 41 270 35 288 6443 5482 45 270 31*269 36 269 34 285 5482 4640 36*271 21*266 28*269 33 280 4640 3899 27*268 20 267 21*268 29 273 3899 3239 25 268 19 266 20 269 24 265 3239 2656 23 267 19 267 19 269 20 260 2656 2169 21 267 18 267 19 269 18 258 2169 1795 18 266 18 267 18 270 15 256 1795 1537 16 266 17 267 16 270 11 254 1537 1381 14 265 15 268 14 270 7*249 1381 1291 10 265 12 267 11 270 3*210 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography