DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 58.5 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -21 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1819 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3256 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1114 - - 2834 - - 221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 202 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 023 - - 358 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3712 - - -3462 - - -1803 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6969 - - 4757 - - 3096 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14900 - - -12904 - - -13203 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18156 - - 14198 - - 14496 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 38 - - 44 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 58.5 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.0 - - 42.6 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 59.9 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.8 - - 41.5 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -21 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1819 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97665 18 258 16 287 6 306 97665 90349 13 223 20 255 15 290 90349 84743 8 233 11 231 17 277 84743 80103 9 246 11 271 10 275 80103 76096 7 190 15 265 8 280 76096 72536 5 142 10 234 14 271 72536 69319 1 143 7 207 13 258 69319 66375 5 300 5 286 6 251 66375 63649 12 270 12 278 17 302 63649 61018 13 241 11 246 19 291 61018 58284 13 294 7 275 12 270 58284 55447 16 299 13 284 13 273 55447 52734 12 284 13 272 19 272 52734 50284 10 260 14 264 18 274 50284 48079 11 271 14 258 14 266 48079 46073 14 281 11 263 12 257 46073 44231 15 291 13 276 15 266 44231 42530 21 295 16 292 13 269 42530 40952 12 292 20 296 13 285 40952 39481 2 338 13 285 18 275 39481 38096 6 019 9 294 15 266 38096 36756 12 006 9 311 10 277 36756 35395 16 004 10 337 8 296 35395 33982 15 004 11 341 8 303 33982 32517 14 002 9 332 10 296 32517 30987 13 346 11 320 14 299 30987 29383 15 331 14 322 13 323 29383 27705 16 339 15 333 11 332 27705 25950 15 341 13 343 10 329 25950 24121 13 344 14 343 15 341 24121 22225 13 351 16 344 17 352 22225 20250 14 355 17 348 16 343 20250 18182 10 006 14 352 13 332 18182 16067 9 005 11 349 14 327 16067 14029 12 002 15 353 13 348 14029 12182 14 014 18 359 19 010 12182 10545 16 025 19 012 22 016 10545 9095 19 030 21 026 21 026 9095 7809 21 030 24 035 21 034 7809 6671 22 030 25 036 22 038 6671 5668 22 030 25 034 23 040 5668 4788 20 030 23 029 22 037 4788 4014 17 029 20 019 20 028 4014 3324 13*028 16 007 18 010 3324 2714 10*026 14 006 17 004 2714 2206 10 024 13 005 16 360 2206 1816 9 023 12 004 14 354 1816 1548 8 021 10 003 10 347 1548 1385 8 020 8*001 6*337 1385 1292 6 019 5*358 3*346 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography