DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 67.8 - - 68.5 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 46 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 727 - - 1753 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2164 - - 3190 - - 1295 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 637 - - 1809 - - 4755 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 193 - - 13 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 236 - - 188 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -267 - - -1000 - - -2928 - - -1658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2431 - - 4190 - - 4224 - - 2952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4411 - - -4404 - - -5038 - - -6891 ODpotential blCL - - - 6575 - - 7594 - - 6333 - - 8185 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 70 - - 67 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 67.8 - - 68.5 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 54.0 - - 54.6 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 67.4 - - 69.9 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 52.7 - - 53.3 - - 49.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 46 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 727 - - 1753 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97096 53 245 65 253 64 260 62 258 97096 89833 46 247 48 247 49 259 45 267 89833 84237 38 250 29 247 39 257 36 265 84237 79605 22 238 16 243 28 248 31 256 79605 75621 20 255 12 268 18 247 25 257 75621 72106 22 262 15 278 15 253 20 259 72106 68936 17 268 16 269 15 257 17 269 68936 66029 21 283 19 266 22 261 22 275 66029 63339 29 277 20 251 27 250 25 268 63339 60727 28 268 27 267 29 263 28 272 60727 57998 32 264 42 270 38 260 41 268 57998 55176 41 268 47 269 39 259 50 255 55176 52480 51 270 55 276 48 269 49 256 52480 50035 56 273 65 269 66 276 68 286 50035 47830 55 273 66 268 76 274 88 274 47830 45821 52 272 60 262 68 268 76 264 45821 43975 52 271 52 256 58 264 61 267 43975 42280 53 261 47 256 54 254 60 272 42280 40713 49 258 48 260 53 253 60 273 40713 39256 49 264 48 260 52 259 55 275 39256 37888 46 263 44 263 52 264 47 276 37888 36566 41 265 42 268 47 266 44 276 36566 35220 39 268 39 268 36 269 39 274 35220 33822 37 270 36 268 33 270 36 277 33822 32373 36 267 34 268 34 270 36 274 32373 30859 36 263 33 271 32 270 34 271 30859 29270 33 255 34 273 32 272 33 271 29270 27605 29 248 31 272 31 270 32 270 27605 25861 24 242 28 263 28 264 30 267 25861 24044 22 245 26 253 26 261 27 263 24044 22162 23 254 26 253 25 264 24 263 22162 20208 24 256 25 255 27 265 23 266 20208 18166 24 252 25 257 25 264 20 275 18166 16076 24 245 26 252 26 266 17 272 16076 14057 21 238 26 246 28 263 18 277 14057 12226 18 249 24 243 26 259 19 293 12226 10607 16 261 19 247 21 263 20 317 10607 9171 15 271 15 260 18 280 24 331 9171 7892 13 279 14 271 17 303 24 328 7892 6753 10 287 12 278 16 311 19 323 6753 5744 8 298 11 281 12 301 13 310 5744 4856 8 310 10 282 9 284 9 287 4856 4072 8 307 9 273 8 272 7 273 4072 3370 10 282 8*251 6 249 7 268 3370 2747 12 252 7*241 5 229 6 254 2747 2228 10*243 7 238 4 213 7 233 2228 1828 7*230 6 235 4 204 8 220 1828 1554 6 229 6 234 4 200 8 206 1554 1388 5 228 5 232 3*194 5*191 1388 1293 4 228 4 232 2*188 3*165 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography