DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.2 - - 42.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 85 - - -1 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3247 - - 3221 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2987 - - 1275 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4684 - - 4658 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 998 - - 850 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 284 - - 141 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 21 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 282 - - 297 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 14 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 19 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 377 - - 720 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4308 - - 3938 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5147 - - -4556 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9831 - - 9214 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 74 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.2 - - 42.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 30.8 - - 29.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 44.7 - - 42.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 29.6 - - 28.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 85 - - -1 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3247 - - 3221 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96082 21 279 25 299 96082 89130 15 005 10 283 89130 83678 15 012 11 296 83678 79097 7 354 7 259 79097 75110 10 328 11 288 75110 71564 9 332 13 255 71564 68333 4 071 5 024 68333 65342 27 304 36 287 65342 62603 28 255 32 255 62603 59966 17 248 19 252 59966 57171 33 295 28 290 57171 54233 54 280 49 286 54233 51417 61 276 65 281 51417 48873 66 274 73 272 48873 46588 69 272 71 274 46588 44509 70 273 74 281 44509 42612 79 268 86 269 42612 40886 85 263 86 261 40886 39301 88 266 87 265 39301 37822 97 271 94 273 37822 36439 112 273 112 278 36439 35118 118 272 125 278 35118 33789 112 266 129 276 33789 32422 107 259 120 269 32422 31018 105 257 111 266 31018 29556 106 261 110 270 29556 28022 103 267 108 274 28022 26416 98 271 105 275 26416 24734 92 271 100 274 24734 22977 87 269 96 272 22977 21148 87 267 95 273 21148 19243 89 270 93 275 19243 17264 82 272 86 278 17264 15258 74 272 76 279 15258 13339 69 275 66 280 13339 11604 65 281 58 284 11604 10070 60 291 54 291 10070 8707 56 297 54 297 8707 7494 52 300 53 301 7494 6417 43 299 47 302 6417 5469 30*294 36*300 5469 4637 20*283 26*297 4637 3903 19 282 23 297 3903 3244 18 281 22 297 3244 2660 18 281 22 297 2660 2173 18 281 21 298 2173 1797 17 281 20 298 1797 1538 16 281 18 298 1538 1382 15 281 16 298 1382 1292 11 281 12 299 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography