DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.9 - - 77.2 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 226 - - 1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6449 - - 890 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5891 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7886 - - 2327 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2571 - - 2230 - - 2904 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 474 - - 93 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 220 - - 223 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 424 - - -37 - - -595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7462 - - 2364 - - 1890 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -280 - - -1851 - - -2113 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8166 - - 4178 - - 3408 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 450 - - 1680 - - 1550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.9 - - 77.2 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 70.7 - - 71.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.6 - - 77.3 - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.5 - - 69.9 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 226 - - 1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6449 - - 890 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 68 - - 102 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99328 27 097 25 081 22 071 99328 91811 32 095 26 089 25 084 91811 85995 30 094 29 097 25 097 85995 81152 23 100 27 095 22 097 81152 76983 19 097 17 092 20 079 76983 73322 13 107 11 099 16 059 73322 70022 10 123 7 106 9 056 70022 66991 10 147 5 153 4 113 66991 64192 9 144 11 164 5 196 64192 61506 4 131 11 175 10 195 61506 58722 8 300 3 215 8 182 58722 55838 19 254 18 268 13 256 55838 53109 27 225 29 248 31 251 53109 50679 32 225 40 242 43 245 50679 48514 47 250 49 245 48 243 48514 46561 57 248 53 249 46 233 46561 44773 49 251 54 246 42 224 44773 43107 44 266 50 231 38 225 43107 41542 46 270 48 221 42 221 41542 40061 44 260 48 228 39 223 40061 38653 39 246 39 269 34 237 38653 37286 41 255 45 276 37 250 37286 35897 50 267 52 266 38 253 35897 34459 57 271 53 263 40 257 34459 32971 51 268 52 263 44 256 32971 31419 40 264 49 262 47 254 31419 29788 41 270 41 256 48 255 29788 28077 46 269 37 251 46 256 28077 26287 43 265 37 249 43 255 26287 24426 41 261 40 246 40 248 24426 22498 39 251 39 245 38 247 22498 20496 38 243 37 243 36 249 20496 18413 38 238 38 242 33 249 18413 16295 32 235 39 241 34 247 16295 14259 25 238 40 238 32 248 14259 12413 26 244 39 239 29 252 12413 10774 29 244 35 242 25 253 10774 9315 27 239 31 244 25 251 9315 8017 23*232 27 244 24 248 8017 6863 20*224 24 242 23 245 6863 5841 20 222 21 239 21 241 5841 4938 19 221 19 237 19 237 4938 4137 18 220 18 236 17 231 4137 3418 18 219 17 234 16 229 3418 2783 17 218 17*231 17 232 2783 2253 17 218 15*228 15 228 2253 1844 16 217 14 225 14 227 1844 1563 15 217 12 222 12 225 1563 1392 14 217 10 219 9*224 1392 1294 11 217 7 213 6*223 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography