DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 67.4 - - 66.4 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 51 - - -71 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2363 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1293 - - 3800 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1625 - - 1436 - - 3973 - - 324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 214 - - 18 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 26 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 232 - - 237 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 22 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5627 - - -3612 - - -6326 - - -3870 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6920 - - 7412 - - 7620 - - 5164 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14494 - - -10057 - - -12421 - - -13137 ODpotential blCL - - - 15787 - - 13857 - - 13715 - - 14431 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 84 - - 54 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 67.4 - - 66.4 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 39.6 - - 37.8 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 67.2 - - 68.8 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 38.5 - - 36.6 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 51 - - -71 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2363 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96403 5 261 11 262 19 260 17 263 96403 89282 15 280 17 257 17 256 13 286 89282 83747 15 259 15 255 15 248 21 276 83747 79178 16 274 27 264 20 275 13 286 79178 75220 15 277 21 254 20 255 16 282 75220 71685 16 307 8 248 25 251 30 257 71685 68499 29 284 21 270 28 254 28 259 68499 65574 37 261 31 255 27 265 24 294 65574 62846 35 261 26 252 32 270 34 285 62846 60196 33 269 29 267 42 266 41 264 60196 57442 38 266 44 261 53 263 56 269 57442 54608 40 265 56 257 67 258 76 266 54608 51926 53 272 65 262 72 257 81 258 51926 49519 65 270 71 267 76 262 80 258 49519 47355 71 267 73 269 79 264 83 262 47355 45383 74 267 75 269 81 266 88 266 45383 43572 78 266 80 267 85 267 93 266 43572 41902 80 266 85 265 92 267 95 263 41902 40351 84 269 92 264 99 266 92 262 40351 38904 90 270 96 263 102 264 89 262 38904 37543 96 270 95 264 100 263 87 262 37543 36230 98 270 94 264 94 262 85 260 36230 34896 95 270 93 263 87 262 84 260 34896 33512 83 271 88 265 82 262 83 261 33512 32079 77 272 81 265 81 263 82 263 32079 30581 74 273 76 263 81 264 80 264 30581 29007 69 272 74 264 79 266 77 263 29007 27358 66 270 73 265 76 267 74 261 27358 25633 65 269 71 263 74 267 73 260 25633 23832 63 269 72 261 73 267 72 261 23832 21958 61 268 70 261 72 266 70 264 21958 20006 60 266 65 262 70 264 67 267 20006 17973 57 264 61 261 69 262 66 270 17973 15902 54 260 59 259 67 261 66 269 15902 13909 51 252 60 258 63 260 63 267 13909 12098 48 249 61 255 59 260 57 266 12098 10491 46 250 62 253 57 261 52 268 10491 9061 44 250 64 253 59 262 49 271 9061 7791 41 249 65 255 62 262 50 276 7791 6666 38 248 61 255 61 259 56 279 6666 5673 37 250 54 252 54 255 59 277 5673 4800 38 254 45 247 47 249 58 272 4800 4028 37 255 35*239 42 244 52 268 4028 3337 34 251 31*235 39 243 46 265 3337 2726 28 242 28 233 36 241 39 261 2726 2214 22 230 27 231 32 240 33 257 2214 1821 17 226 25 230 27 239 27 253 1821 1550 14 224 22 230 21 239 19 248 1550 1386 11*223 19 229 17*238 14*244 1386 1293 8*219 14 228 10*237 5*206 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography