DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.7 - - 36.4 - - 35.6 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 52 - - 53 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 60 - - 532 - - 1771 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1274 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1497 - - 1969 - - 3208 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1783 - - 3294 - - 3397 - - 5022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 48 - - 125 - - 193 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 13 - - 24 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 342 - - 318 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 8 - - 20 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 206 - - 678 - - 1281 - - -844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1291 - - 1291 - - 1927 - - 2136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 141 - - 290 - - 319 - - -1433 ODpotential blCL - - - 1356 - - 1679 - - 2889 - - 2725 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 90 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.7 - - 36.4 - - 35.6 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.4 - - 35.4 - - 31.7 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 36.1 - - 35.3 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 34.9 - - 30.8 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 52 - - 53 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 60 - - 532 - - 1771 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 78 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96784 25 100 14 081 18 068 19 079 96784 89636 21 100 18 091 16 090 12 073 89636 84071 17 100 13 105 10 102 6 061 84071 79397 17 102 12 100 11 105 6 151 79397 75348 9 087 6 138 2 320 0 032 75348 71750 3 047 7 148 6 260 10 333 71750 68470 3 076 2 241 8 257 14 290 68470 65450 13 290 7 322 8 253 21 262 65450 62667 23 264 18 275 14 265 23 250 62667 59975 25 262 26 262 15 271 20 268 59975 57133 33 270 31 259 21 273 28 274 57133 54153 39 255 40 248 36 257 33 254 54153 51288 39 253 44 245 42 239 29 259 51288 48701 51 256 48 248 42 251 42 266 48701 46380 61 248 57 249 53 254 49 256 46380 44266 65 247 62 243 54 247 48 251 44266 42324 69 247 60 239 57 247 49 252 42324 40529 71 244 57 238 60 245 53 252 40529 38863 72 239 58 238 62 240 54 250 38863 37308 73 235 64 238 62 236 54 244 37308 35853 75 234 67 235 61 234 51 238 35853 34457 77 232 67 231 61 231 48 233 34457 33050 79 231 68 228 58 227 45 233 33050 31608 82 230 71 224 55 223 39 236 31608 30137 84 229 75 221 52 221 33 240 30137 28627 79 225 76 218 50 220 29 240 28627 27069 72 219 75 215 49 216 24 237 27069 25464 68 217 73 212 46 210 15 230 25464 23823 64 219 67 210 40 203 8 117 23823 22150 60 219 60 208 33 191 24 095 22150 20429 54 215 53 205 27 177 20 109 20429 18636 50 208 46 201 26 170 16 130 18636 16764 47 206 40 196 25 169 11 140 16764 14854 46 202 34 196 23 166 7 090 14854 13013 45 205 24 190 17 161 8 039 13013 11337 34 213 14 169 4 045 11 321 11337 9846 16 219 6 110 17 350 16 333 9846 8524 6 177 11 023 17 328 25 339 8524 7351 3 119 17 001 22 330 36 329 7351 6311 7 012 18 355 26 324 41 325 6311 5389 11 002 19 352 29 321 40 324 5389 4574 12 352 19 351 31 319 39 323 4574 3852 11 353 19 350 31 319 36 322 3852 3206 10 358 19 348 30*319 32 320 3206 2633 7 008 18 348 29*318 27 317 2633 2154 5 023 17*346 27 318 23 316 2154 1787 4 039 15*344 24 317 20 315 1787 1533 3*043 13 342 22 317 16 315 1533 1379 3*043 12 342 19 317 14*315 1379 1291 2 043 9 341 14 317 9*316 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography