DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 96.3 - - 98.0 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 129 - - 24 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6587 - - 13088 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5729 - - 9187 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 8024 - - 14525 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6839 - - 907 - - 1135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 414 - - 352 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 215 - - 228 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -234 - - 4130 - - -1454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8258 - - 10395 - - 2750 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1821 - - 1175 - - -5109 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9845 - - 13350 - - 6405 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 60 - - 83 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1890 - - 710 - - 4010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 96.3 - - 98.0 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.4 - - 56.9 - - 75.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 95.3 - - 98.3 - - 85.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.0 - - 55.5 - - 74.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 129 - - 24 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6587 - - 13088 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 32 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 7 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99253 37 091 38 081 32 085 99253 91698 37 087 30 085 30 081 91698 85890 33 082 29 095 24 080 85890 81099 24 082 27 097 21 076 81099 76983 20 092 19 092 20 073 76983 73338 18 095 15 089 12 074 73338 70044 14 093 14 083 8 091 70044 67026 8 083 11 059 9 086 67026 64237 4 074 6 008 9 042 64237 61556 3 042 4 305 8 348 61556 58780 4 310 6 287 7 286 58780 55913 12 266 11 286 8 257 55913 53201 10 239 11 275 9 253 53201 50796 3 233 10 250 9 263 50796 48651 7 302 8 276 14 274 48651 46697 14 309 13 314 16 289 46697 44900 17 314 16 336 12 313 44900 43229 14 334 21 344 14 340 43229 41662 17 003 24 344 16 335 41662 40183 22 010 21 347 17 328 40183 38780 24 012 18 352 17 328 38780 37416 23 009 18 348 17 334 37416 36026 18 360 18 345 16 337 36026 34583 12 339 20 342 15 331 34583 33089 14 330 22 331 16 329 33089 31532 13 339 18 318 17 333 31532 29898 9 329 12 305 17 321 29898 28190 8 277 10 291 14 288 28190 26410 10 243 11 255 15 260 26410 24561 10 234 14 237 15 252 24561 22644 11 249 12 257 12 250 22644 20652 14 249 16 267 13 245 20652 18578 15 241 19 254 15 244 18578 16467 14 238 14*236 12 229 16467 14439 17 233 11*223 11 208 14439 12594 17 234 10 225 13 186 12594 10950 15 236 10 226 13 198 10950 9479 12 234 9 227 14 208 9479 8163 10*229 9 227 14 216 8163 6989 10*227 9 228 14 224 6989 5944 8 222 9 229 13 235 5944 5019 7 216 9 229 11 249 5019 4200 5 211 9 230 10 263 4200 3465 4 207 9 230 9 270 3465 2815 4 205 9 231 8 262 2815 2272 3 202 9 231 6 258 2272 1855 2 196 9 231 3 239 1855 1569 2 197 8 230 2 190 1569 1394 2 196 8 231 2*139 1394 1295 2 197 7 231 3*110 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography