DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.1 - - 77.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - 40 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6478 - - 5902 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5988 - - 4101 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7915 - - 7339 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1598 - - 3699 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 497 - - 274 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 194 - - 214 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 436 - - -720 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7479 - - 8060 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -546 - - -1927 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8461 - - 9266 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.1 - - 77.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.6 - - 46.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.6 - - 77.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.4 - - 45.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - 40 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6478 - - 5902 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 45 - - 100 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98638 27 095 21 097 98638 91150 26 100 19 101 91150 85421 20 085 20 095 85421 80674 13 079 14 081 80674 76571 12 101 10 077 76571 72931 13 093 8 096 72931 69632 5 073 7 092 69632 66598 3 096 5 169 66598 63788 8 261 4 256 63788 61075 10 242 18 249 61075 58253 18 252 23 250 58253 55332 36 257 37 261 55332 52556 62 248 63 250 52556 50060 67 238 65 237 50060 47814 67 249 67 247 47814 45778 84 252 85 253 45778 43924 96 249 102 252 43924 42221 108 250 111 251 42221 40644 123 249 117 250 40644 39174 126 246 122 249 39174 37792 120 245 121 248 37792 36454 112 245 112 248 36454 35096 109 243 104 249 35096 33687 106 243 99 251 33687 32230 95 249 92 251 32230 30710 86 251 84 250 30710 29112 79 250 77 249 29112 27440 74 250 76 250 27440 25694 67 249 72 250 25694 23879 62 248 67 246 23879 21999 60 249 63 244 21999 20047 59 250 61 246 20047 18014 57 251 57 248 18014 15945 56 249 51 249 15945 13955 51 247 44 245 13955 12158 42 245 35 236 12158 10568 32 240 26 229 10568 9153 21*232 20 221 9153 7890 14*213 16*213 7890 6764 14 208 15*212 6764 5763 12 197 14 212 5763 4877 11 192 13 212 4877 4092 11 188 13 214 4092 3386 10 186 12 214 3386 2761 10 182 12 215 2761 2238 9 179 11 216 2238 1836 9 178 10 217 1836 1559 8 178 10 218 1559 1390 8 177 9 218 1390 1294 7 177 7 218 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography