DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.3 - - 79.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 32 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4527 - - 5589 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3925 - - 4021 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5964 - - 7026 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3045 - - 3307 - - 6783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 321 - - 278 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 310 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 833 - - 794 - - -2486 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5131 - - 6232 - - 3781 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -740 - - -658 - - -4280 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6704 - - 7684 - - 5575 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 81 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1300 - - 770 - - 1550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.3 - - 79.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.6 - - 61.4 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.5 - - 84.2 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.2 - - 60.0 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 75 - - 32 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4527 - - 5589 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 47 - - 25 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98603 23 088 20 074 21 077 98603 91136 19 088 19 072 20 075 91136 85424 19 086 19 061 19 068 85424 80694 20 072 14 066 16 059 80694 76615 17 074 11 069 16 048 76615 73009 16 066 9 088 9 042 73009 69755 8 047 8 080 8 039 69755 66773 5 048 5 041 9 009 66773 64008 10 022 11 035 17 010 64008 61342 14 006 14 343 16 335 61342 58565 6 046 9 279 17 331 58565 55668 23 318 26 315 30 327 55668 52906 36 318 34 324 36 322 52906 50435 41 303 41 315 45 325 50435 48239 38 294 48 299 53 315 48239 46262 39 296 48 300 53 311 46262 44461 51 299 53 305 57 308 44461 42798 64 296 61 301 65 304 42798 41248 68 294 65 297 68 300 41248 39785 69 297 66 297 66 300 39785 38401 73 299 67 297 67 304 38401 37057 75 298 69 296 70 305 37057 35686 71 295 67 298 70 305 35686 34261 66 293 57 303 60 310 34261 32790 58 298 45 310 50 314 32790 31259 49 299 41 314 44 319 31259 29652 45 299 41 310 43 321 29652 27968 44 300 42 306 42 319 27968 26208 43 302 41 308 40 319 26208 24372 42 301 39 310 37 322 24372 22462 42 300 37 309 32 321 22462 20473 41 299 35 310 30 318 20473 18402 39 295 30 315 26 322 18402 16294 35 292 26 314 20 325 16294 14267 31 293 24 306 18 322 14267 12429 27 291 22 302 15 309 12429 10797 26 288 20 297 16 295 10797 9345 24 292 17 298 14 293 9345 8050 21 294 15*303 11 294 8050 6896 18*295 14*306 11 300 6896 5869 16*298 13 308 11 311 5869 4960 15 299 13 309 12 322 4960 4156 14 301 13 310 12 332 4156 3434 13 302 13 311 13 339 3434 2795 12 304 12 312 13 345 2795 2260 11 304 12 312 14 348 2260 1848 10 304 11 313 13 350 1848 1565 10 304 11 313 12 352 1565 1393 9 304 10 313 9*352 1393 1294 8 304 8 313 5*353 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography