DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 78.4 - - 78.2 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 53 - - -9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2998 - - 1601 - - 1486 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2658 - - 1278 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4435 - - 3038 - - 2923 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2823 - - 3683 - - 3698 - - 4637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 205 - - 122 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 275 - - 249 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 547 - - -11 - - -30 - - -1048 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3888 - - 3049 - - 2953 - - 2343 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1375 - - -1657 - - -1669 - - -2678 ODpotential blCL - - - 5810 - - 4695 - - 4592 - - 3973 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 100 - - 98 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1060 - - 800 - - 950 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 78.4 - - 78.2 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.6 - - 69.1 - - 69.2 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 78.0 - - 78.7 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 67.7 - - 67.9 - - 69.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 53 - - -9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2998 - - 1601 - - 1486 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 102 - - 94 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99376 36 092 29 080 33 066 29 072 99376 91867 32 085 25 086 23 076 21 065 91867 86083 24 086 19 089 17 085 16 062 86083 81280 20 084 19 088 14 093 14 064 81280 77125 16 072 21 078 16 083 15 090 77125 73460 12 067 17 075 16 078 15 094 73460 70166 10 083 14 101 9 088 10 072 70166 67155 11 084 10 098 10 098 8 065 67155 64375 11 053 8 073 8 074 7 068 64375 61691 10 002 9 055 9 085 2 084 61691 58913 9 319 6 357 6 014 1 284 58913 56053 13 282 9 279 14 322 14 313 56053 53337 16 268 27 285 30 291 30 298 53337 50921 19 246 31 264 38 273 35 262 50921 48754 18 229 30 236 41 258 30 245 48754 46756 15 251 27 248 38 257 44 275 46756 44928 29 294 30 267 43 287 68 301 44928 43245 41 292 36 274 54 282 67 301 43245 41660 47 278 42 275 43 276 56 301 41660 40164 42 265 45 264 38 253 48 303 40164 38749 40 261 42 245 46 255 46 300 38749 37382 37 255 44 242 52 248 46 298 37382 35995 34 241 44 239 56 243 45 301 35995 34554 35 236 42 237 55 247 37 307 34554 33060 34 239 40 239 53 249 33 302 33060 31495 32 241 39 244 47 250 31 282 31495 29852 32 241 37 250 41 251 37 275 29852 28136 31 240 35 249 37 251 42 264 28136 26345 30 235 36 244 37 250 40 267 26345 24477 34 239 39 240 35 255 36 273 24477 22538 36 248 40 248 33 265 28 278 22538 20528 33 252 38 258 33 279 22 282 20528 18439 28 260 35 252 28 284 18 295 18439 16315 27 271 31 246 25 278 18 297 16315 14270 29 276 31 251 24 279 17 283 14270 12413 26 272 33 257 22 273 17 275 12413 10767 21 262 31 258 24 268 16 274 10767 9309 17 253 26 255 24 269 15 269 9309 8012 14 257 21 250 22 270 15 263 8012 6860 13 271 14 246 20 270 14 259 6860 5838 12 278 10 251 17 267 13 253 5838 4935 11*272 9 265 15 261 13 249 4935 4137 10*261 9 278 13 256 13 246 4137 3419 9 253 9*280 13*253 13 243 3419 2784 8 247 8*275 12*251 13 240 2784 2253 8 246 8 275 12 250 13 237 2253 1844 7 243 7 275 11 249 12 235 1844 1563 7 243 6 275 10 248 10 233 1563 1392 6 243 6 274 9 248 8*232 1392 1294 5 243 5 273 7 248 5*232 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography