DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.7 - - 66.8 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - -7 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 799 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2236 - - 1294 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1520 - - 3641 - - 5751 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 90 - - 17 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 012 - - 348 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 639 - - -951 - - -1772 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1597 - - 2245 - - 3067 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -129 - - -2182 - - -3462 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2365 - - 3476 - - 4757 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.7 - - 66.8 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 61.2 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.8 - - 67.4 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.3 - - 60.3 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - -7 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 799 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99289 33 076 32 082 27 061 99289 91758 30 080 28 075 26 077 91758 85942 25 077 25 079 24 078 85942 81125 19 078 20 081 20 066 81125 76982 16 082 16 082 18 078 76982 73322 16 100 11 087 14 081 73322 70017 16 102 7 104 9 083 70017 66994 9 099 4 123 7 086 66994 64183 8 164 6 203 3 076 64183 61458 8 155 11 213 10 254 61458 58642 7 180 11 229 14 235 58642 55732 22 226 24 248 14 240 55732 52957 27 214 33 234 24 251 52957 50467 31 244 40 226 37 230 50467 48245 43 247 45 236 50 237 48245 46236 52 236 66 233 66 234 46236 44398 59 225 73 224 73 223 44398 42694 60 219 69 220 73 218 42694 41101 56 221 64 222 69 220 41101 39606 56 215 66 223 66 223 39606 38196 62 212 68 225 68 223 38196 36835 61 215 66 227 73 220 36835 35453 56 218 59 219 61 222 35453 34020 54 214 55 214 49 230 34020 32542 58 208 47 220 46 235 32542 31006 52 211 43 224 45 237 31006 29396 41 216 42 221 43 237 29396 27712 39 216 42 221 39 239 27712 25954 37 214 40 224 39 241 25954 24127 36 219 38 233 37 250 24127 22235 38 222 36 241 35 260 22235 20265 35 234 30 247 30 264 20265 18207 25 247 22 259 26 278 18207 16108 20 244 21 267 23 296 16108 14087 16 255 21 275 20 315 14087 12250 16 268 21 277 18 322 12250 10618 13 273 17 277 15 323 10618 9172 10 283 12 269 15 330 9172 7893 9 301 12 289 20 344 7893 6762 10 315 16 318 23 344 6762 5760 11 327 21 342 23 342 5760 4873 13 339 22 343 23 339 4873 4087 16 348 21 342 23 338 4087 3382 18 000 19 343 22 336 3382 2758 18*007 16 345 21 335 2758 2236 18*010 12 349 20 333 2236 1834 16 012 9 352 17 331 1834 1557 14 012 6 351 13 327 1557 1390 12 012 5*351 11*324 1390 1294 9 012 3*348 6*321 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography