DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.6 - - 85.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 31 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3809 - - 2331 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3645 - - 1278 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5246 - - 3768 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3280 - - 5163 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 342 - - 205 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 1616 - - 17 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 0 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 052 - - 093 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -12 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -38 - - -928 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5284 - - 4696 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1696 - - -2269 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6942 - - 6037 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 94 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1240 - - 1920 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.6 - - 85.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.6 - - 69.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.6 - - 85.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.1 - - 68.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 31 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3809 - - 2331 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 36 - - 77 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99299 36 080 32 091 99299 91751 32 083 29 088 91751 85960 29 086 26 089 85960 81166 26 085 26 083 81166 77038 22 092 23 073 77038 73401 19 085 16 071 73401 70119 14 080 10 082 70119 67099 11 064 9 115 67099 64299 7 050 9 085 64299 61603 5 061 6 048 61603 58817 5 354 6 028 58817 55938 4 261 7 325 55938 53205 6 285 10 260 53205 50770 13 269 11 248 50770 48604 15 246 15 256 48604 46645 20 235 22 257 46645 44851 21 246 25 261 44851 43180 23 259 32 266 43180 41611 23 264 35 264 41611 40130 24 264 35 255 40130 38728 24 254 35 247 38728 37368 24 251 30 243 37368 35981 24 253 30 244 35981 34538 23 247 28 243 34538 33045 23 239 27 238 33045 31488 24 236 26 240 31488 29854 24 238 24 242 29854 28142 20 233 23 240 28142 26354 18 231 21 243 26354 24494 18 232 19 251 24494 22568 18 238 20 251 22568 20569 15 249 19 252 20569 18490 14 268 14 252 18490 16375 15 266 10 243 16375 14341 13 257 10 247 14341 12493 11 264 10 244 12493 10851 11 270 9 239 10851 9388 12 269 11 231 9388 8087 11 263 10 230 8087 6927 9 258 7 230 6927 5894 5*245 3 208 5894 4981 3*223 2 153 4981 4173 1 198 3*104 4173 3447 0 139 3*101 3447 2803 1 051 3 095 2803 2266 1 028 2 093 2266 1852 1 021 2 088 1852 1567 2 017 2 084 1567 1394 2 016 2 084 1394 1295 2 014 1 077 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography