DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.3 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 182 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4802 - - 5734 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4512 - - 3173 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6239 - - 7171 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4696 - - 4257 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 238 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 234 - - 236 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 11 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4407 - - -3642 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10647 - - 10813 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7183 - - -6317 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13422 - - 13488 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 65 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.3 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.6 - - 39.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.1 - - 82.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.4 - - 38.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 182 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4802 - - 5734 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96770 27 252 22 276 96770 89549 16 234 16 254 89549 84016 6 280 14 212 84016 79412 6 270 12 226 79412 75433 1 247 10 227 75433 71926 9 267 7 282 71926 68763 12 221 18 238 68763 65858 5 185 12 228 65858 63166 13 269 17 255 63166 60558 18 264 21 248 60558 57821 27 260 30 261 57821 54969 28 276 31 264 54969 52237 31 298 29 276 52237 49760 43 306 35 280 49760 47517 50 297 43 279 47517 45465 52 291 49 275 45465 43579 54 296 52 277 43579 41839 61 300 63 283 41839 40238 67 294 69 286 40238 38770 62 283 64 287 38770 37410 54 282 64 286 37410 36105 53 288 65 284 36105 34779 57 293 62 285 34779 33400 60 295 61 287 33400 31971 58 291 56 286 31971 30479 53 287 54 284 30479 28912 48 287 53 285 28912 27276 47 291 49 288 27276 25569 47 294 45 289 25569 23794 43 295 43 285 23794 21949 34 298 39 280 21949 20028 30 305 29 282 20028 18026 29 301 26 287 18026 15986 28 300 27 292 15986 14020 25 298 25 292 14020 12228 18 286 25 289 12228 10633 14 272 24 281 10633 9210 12 261 21 263 9210 7940 12 241 20*251 7940 6807 14*230 19*248 6807 5799 15*233 19 243 5799 4907 17 235 18 238 4907 4116 17 235 18 235 4116 3405 17 235 17 232 3405 2774 17 234 17 230 2774 2247 16 234 16 228 2247 1841 16 233 16 227 1841 1561 15 233 15 226 1561 1392 14 232 13 225 1392 1294 11 232 10 225 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography