DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.0 - - 61.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - -11 - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1976 - - 212 - - 1843 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3413 - - 1649 - - 3280 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1953 - - 3236 - - 1141 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 192 - - 54 - - 195 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 29 - - 20 - - 31 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 196 - - 177 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 22 - - 9 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -7 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1042 - - -254 - - 1043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2372 - - 1903 - - 2237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -352 - - -1159 - - 99 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3765 - - 2808 - - 3181 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 360 - - 150 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.0 - - 61.5 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.3 - - 56.9 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 65.0 - - 61.8 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 56.2 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - -11 - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1976 - - 212 - - 1843 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 86 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96593 27 266 30 255 36 274 96593 89405 19 258 21 266 18 279 89405 83857 10 251 19 261 14 290 83857 79242 10 294 11 244 10 259 79242 75257 11 298 5 204 9 267 75257 71708 8 297 3 224 5 242 71708 68474 4 268 3 197 6 203 68474 65487 3 187 5 138 6 209 65487 62707 9 152 6 165 5 205 62707 60008 9 154 9 179 7 242 60008 57188 17 225 13 240 8 205 57188 54249 28 219 43 222 34 226 54249 51431 57 212 59 214 59 218 51431 48897 58 208 71 208 70 207 48897 46633 67 214 70 206 61 200 46633 44575 83 210 70 212 59 212 44575 42696 92 206 91 209 96 215 42696 40987 100 202 108 209 107 213 40987 39426 107 204 116 205 124 202 39426 37994 113 207 105 190 145 190 37994 36658 109 203 102 188 143 187 36658 35362 105 197 98 185 141 186 35362 34039 100 195 94 185 141 186 34039 32662 96 196 95 185 140 187 32662 31238 93 196 94 185 132 189 31238 29754 84 195 94 186 117 189 29754 28196 77 192 92 188 119 196 28196 26564 77 192 89 190 126 204 26564 24861 71 193 87 193 130 204 24861 23091 66 194 87 197 129 203 23091 21261 64 198 85 199 121 202 21261 19358 62 202 80 200 113 198 19358 17371 61 201 76 200 106 193 17371 15351 60 198 74 201 101 188 15351 13408 59 198 69 200 98 191 13408 11640 59 198 65 200 88 189 11640 10066 60 198 62 201 75 184 10066 8672 63 198 61 200 60 180 8672 7440 64 197 60 199 39 185 7440 6361 62 197 58 198 21 231 6361 5418 55 198 55 196 32 268 5418 4594 48 199 51 194 41 273 4594 3867 42*200 47 192 41*274 3867 3218 37*199 42 189 38*274 3218 2643 33 198 37 186 36 273 2643 2161 29 196 32 182 33 272 2161 1791 26 194 28*180 29 271 1791 1535 23 193 24*178 25 271 1535 1380 20 192 21 177 22 271 1380 1291 15 192 15 177 16 272 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography