DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 67.1 - - 66.2 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1107 - - 440 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2544 - - 1877 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1237 - - 1880 - - 2159 - - 2221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 46 - - 13 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 045 - - 018 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 614 - - 155 - - -363 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1930 - - 1722 - - 1657 - - 1293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 203 - - -646 - - -931 - - -1037 ODpotential blCL - - - 2341 - - 2523 - - 2225 - - 2331 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 330 - - 280 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 67.1 - - 66.2 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.2 - - 63.7 - - 63.1 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 67.3 - - 66.5 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 63.4 - - 62.9 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1107 - - 440 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98557 7 125 12 136 7 233 4 329 98557 91170 2 089 5 120 6 219 1 028 91170 85475 1 113 3 328 7 093 2 096 85475 80746 2 099 6 337 13 062 5 034 80746 76673 8 078 3 018 11 036 10 012 76673 73081 13 069 4 096 4 014 13 016 73081 69823 11 046 5 063 1 012 8 017 69823 66838 9 032 8 064 3 299 4 033 66838 64089 8 026 12 072 1 310 2 020 64089 61438 4 008 9 076 0 004 2 127 61438 58668 2 295 3 043 3 256 1 142 58668 55789 4 229 4 291 5 250 4 269 55789 53044 6 193 8 260 6 261 5 241 53044 50576 5 181 9 225 10 257 4 238 50576 48363 6 212 9 204 12 246 7 270 48363 46344 8 238 5 215 9 230 11 265 46344 44479 8 238 4 260 5 217 8 243 44479 42747 5 232 3 244 5 197 9 210 42747 41136 7 170 8 182 8 197 11 190 41136 39633 11 148 12 182 11 187 9 192 39633 38225 12 148 15 182 15 175 8 163 38225 36874 14 134 17 173 17 172 11 151 36874 35511 13 130 17 164 19 174 15 166 35511 34099 13 134 17 167 18 176 18 167 34099 32636 12 130 18 168 14 170 14 168 32636 31104 12 125 15 162 13 168 5 131 31104 29494 13 114 12 162 12 171 3 077 29494 27808 15 108 12 153 12 176 5 111 27808 26046 16 107 13 134 13 184 11 133 26046 24212 16 109 13 120 11 187 9 162 24212 22312 14 118 13 119 8 167 8 191 22312 20336 11 132 9 134 6 151 7 218 20336 18282 7 149 4 147 3 150 5 277 18282 16190 6 178 3 193 1 185 5 304 16190 14172 6 176 4 207 2 268 3 299 14172 12334 6 146 3 173 0 305 1 103 12334 10697 8 122 5 103 4 075 7 112 10697 9239 9 108 5 043 7 049 10 114 9239 7943 11 096 7 051 7 059 6 096 7943 6792 10 093 8 076 11 070 3 055 6792 5775 8 096 13 082 16 070 6 058 5775 4880 6 088 20 076 17 063 10 063 4880 4089 8 063 22 065 16 057 13 058 4089 3381 12 048 22 058 15 052 14 055 3381 2756 13*039 19 055 13 042 14 051 2756 2234 12*032 16*051 11 029 12 049 2234 1833 11 028 13*048 9 024 9 046 1833 1557 10 026 10 045 8 022 6 039 1557 1390 9 025 9 044 7*020 5*039 1390 1293 7 022 6 042 5*018 2*046 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography