DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 71.9 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - 57 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 22 - - 1426 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1459 - - 2863 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1596 - - 1832 - - 1780 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 14 - - 189 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 20 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 039 - - 026 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 166 - - 740 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1293 - - 2123 - - 1294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -269 - - -60 - - -757 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1728 - - 2923 - - 2052 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 380 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 71.9 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.7 - - 66.8 - - 65.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.9 - - 71.4 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.6 - - 65.8 - - 65.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - 57 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 22 - - 1426 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 83 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98609 20 096 15 074 15 032 98609 91095 19 082 16 089 7 098 91095 85309 12 080 14 094 12 098 85309 80517 9 125 8 069 16 073 80517 76405 7 126 6 088 11 058 76405 72798 7 094 7 108 8 050 72798 69551 7 079 4 133 6 025 69551 66578 6 016 4 128 4 344 66578 63825 3 332 2 234 7 310 63825 61156 2 358 3 267 9 293 61156 58376 6 290 10 307 11 275 58376 55498 20 258 22 275 17 282 55498 52774 29 259 34 260 31 262 52774 50355 42 256 44 254 42 260 50355 48230 52 249 57 253 67 254 48230 46328 55 254 61 250 72 254 46328 44570 59 260 65 251 62 249 44570 42926 65 256 63 250 56 251 42926 41380 64 254 61 252 53 249 41380 39919 64 252 60 250 56 249 39919 38535 64 247 58 247 57 247 38535 37189 61 244 56 249 54 248 37189 35817 62 247 54 251 52 248 35817 34387 59 248 52 247 49 243 34387 32903 53 244 50 243 49 240 32903 31352 48 239 46 245 48 238 31352 29723 40 240 46 246 46 238 29723 28017 37 234 44 240 43 239 28017 26233 36 235 40 241 43 240 26233 24374 30 233 38 238 43 241 24374 22444 25 229 32 235 42 240 22444 20441 25 235 29 233 37 242 20441 18361 24 244 30 247 30 251 18361 16246 22 248 27 252 24 247 16246 14209 15 243 23 259 21 256 14209 12356 9 249 17 260 17 262 12356 10709 7 267 13 253 12 256 10709 9248 6 292 8 255 10 251 9248 7951 6 311 7 277 7 254 7951 6800 6 324 7 298 5 263 6800 5780 6 329 7 312 3 283 5780 4882 6 332 6 320 2 359 4882 4088 6 336 5 328 4 026 4088 3380 5 344 4*341 5 036 3380 2754 5 354 2*005 5 048 2754 2232 5 012 2 027 5 047 2232 1832 4 027 2 030 4 039 1832 1556 3*036 1 036 3 016 1556 1389 3*039 1 039 2*006 1389 1294 2 038 1 033 2*353 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography