DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 55.9 - - 55.0 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 108 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1335 - - 2856 - - 2503 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 2807 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2772 - - 4293 - - 3940 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1295 - - 1289 - - 1262 - - 127 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 285 - - 101 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 107 - - 089 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -608 - - -673 - - -994 - - -1064 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3380 - - 4967 - - 4934 - - 2358 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10300 - - -9095 - - -9362 - - -10363 ODpotential blCL - - - 13072 - - 13388 - - 13302 - - 11656 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 70 - - 63 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.8 - - 55.9 - - 55.0 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 39.1 - - 38.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 55.0 - - 55.4 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 37.9 - - 37.2 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 108 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1335 - - 2856 - - 2503 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97439 17 227 26 259 19 288 16 281 97439 90154 4 220 7 247 12 274 8 315 90154 84571 8 022 7 093 6 262 3 356 84571 79942 6 031 12 077 2 073 1 092 79942 75944 4 006 13 045 2 026 4 002 75944 72413 5 017 11 034 4 060 6 011 72413 69226 7 071 6 030 5 045 11 004 69226 66296 8 057 7 003 5 044 7 351 66296 63567 7 015 11 340 8 008 7 002 63567 60923 13 345 14 332 9 336 12 337 60923 58169 15 318 18 302 15 319 20 326 58169 55306 22 324 22 325 18 319 21 319 55306 52571 37 310 37 317 35 316 33 322 52571 50113 33 301 36 301 42 303 37 316 50113 47908 34 322 30 321 35 309 36 327 47908 45900 43 330 37 337 40 335 43 341 45900 44048 50 328 49 342 51 337 49 344 44048 42327 51 328 56 339 56 339 51 343 42327 40720 53 331 57 335 59 343 55 349 40720 39217 57 335 53 336 63 343 65 349 39217 37813 58 339 51 343 68 339 73 345 37813 36462 58 341 54 348 64 338 75 341 36462 35091 55 341 53 347 60 344 72 344 35091 33669 49 339 49 347 58 345 73 349 33669 32203 44 335 46 345 54 345 71 351 32203 30682 38 333 42 342 50 347 58 352 30682 29091 31 332 39 338 46 347 44 355 29091 27430 25 333 34 337 40 344 38 358 27430 25692 19 329 24 334 31 342 36 357 25692 23880 16 317 15 309 21 334 31 355 23880 22001 15 311 15 307 16 323 20 351 22001 20049 11 312 13 308 12 318 12 349 20049 18016 10 317 10 304 9 321 9 357 18016 15936 9 321 9 317 9 329 8 354 15936 13924 9 345 8 340 9 341 8 359 13924 12091 9 005 9 357 10 357 8 013 12091 10458 8 018 8 004 10 010 8 019 10458 9011 8 035 5 038 5 039 6 015 9011 7733 7 044 5 067 5 068 4 012 7733 6609 5 048 5 077 5 065 4 358 6609 5622 4 052 4 097 5 050 3 346 5622 4756 4 099 5*107 5 071 3 102 4756 3992 8 123 6*107 6*082 7 113 3992 3309 9*111 6 107 6*085 9 112 3309 2704 7*097 6 107 6 088 9 107 2704 2200 4 085 6 107 6 090 9 103 2200 1812 4 083 6 107 6 091 9 101 1812 1546 3 081 6 107 6 091 8 101 1546 1384 3 080 5 107 5 091 6*104 1384 1292 3 078 5 108 4 090 5*108 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography