DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 12.1 - - 13.3 - - 14.7 - - 7.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 75 - - 8 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2011 - - 2497 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 2158 - - 1273 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3448 - - 3934 - - 1290 - - 1290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1091 - - 1112 - - 4104 - - 2849 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 236 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 32 - - 32 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 315 - - 308 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 23 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 41 - - 32 - - 8 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -217 - - 367 - - -2400 - - -1615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3665 - - 3567 - - 3690 - - 2905 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13798 - - -16720 - - -2726 - - -18151 ODpotential blCL - - - 17246 - - 20654 - - 4016 - - 19441 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 80 - - 83 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 12.1 - - 13.3 - - 14.7 - - 7.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.7 - - 2.4 - - 3.3 - - 0.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 12.1 - - 12.9 - - 14.8 - - 12.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.2 - - 1.4 - - 2.3 - - 1.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 75 - - 8 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2011 - - 2497 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 19 - - 33 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 25 214 21 242 23 252 21 242 96488 89277 13 219 20 249 16 252 19 248 89277 83704 10 230 17 229 13 229 14 252 83704 79045 8 259 2 346 15 266 18 297 79045 75035 12 285 11 280 21 249 20 254 75035 71475 14 303 11 312 15 282 20 293 71475 68236 23 300 19 290 21 302 26 302 68236 65265 27 279 21 245 23 310 24 288 65265 62501 17 267 9 241 15 252 25 253 62501 59806 2 254 12 218 7 276 6 332 59806 56959 11 146 37 286 29 287 29 289 56959 53981 58 294 79 295 73 298 72 298 53981 51164 96 292 89 295 90 299 88 300 51164 48652 99 290 92 293 98 297 99 299 48652 46397 100 293 94 292 102 294 105 295 46397 44346 102 294 96 292 103 293 104 293 44346 42463 101 294 98 292 101 294 103 293 42463 40724 98 295 100 292 100 296 103 295 40724 39110 97 298 102 295 103 298 104 296 39110 37607 101 300 106 299 109 299 106 299 37607 36207 109 302 115 303 117 300 113 300 36207 34873 117 304 126 304 127 301 122 300 34873 33535 125 305 137 304 137 301 130 300 33535 32156 126 306 144 302 142 301 134 300 32156 30734 127 310 147 302 142 301 134 300 30734 29250 133 314 147 302 141 302 132 301 29250 27692 141 314 145 303 140 303 131 303 27692 26061 145 314 144 305 141 305 130 305 26061 24358 142 313 141 308 142 309 129 307 24358 22586 132 313 133 310 137 310 126 308 22586 20755 115 314 129 313 126 310 119 307 20755 18858 102 314 124 315 119 312 110 311 18858 16883 95 315 115 316 115 315 103 316 16883 14874 88 316 103 317 108 317 96 318 14874 12951 81 316 92 319 96 320 88 319 12951 11218 76 317 82 320 85 322 79 322 11218 9696 71 319 74 321 75 325 69 325 9696 8361 65 320 68 322 69 327 63 328 8361 7186 61 321 63 324 62 326 59 330 7186 6151 58 321 57 324 53 320 57 329 6151 5242 55 320 49 320 45 313 54 324 5242 4449 50 318 41*315 39 311 49 317 4449 3753 44*317 37*315 36 311 43 314 3753 3131 39*317 36 315 35 311 36 314 3131 2580 37 317 34 315 32 310 29 313 2580 2119 33 318 32 315 28 310 22 310 2119 1766 29 318 30 315 25 309 16 304 1766 1522 25 318 26 315 22 309 11 293 1522 1374 22 318 23 315 19*309 8*280 1374 1289 16 318 17 315 14*308 5*259 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography