DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.3 - - 75.7 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -2 - - -30 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1610 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1278 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3047 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3216 - - 3661 - - 230 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 141 - - 22 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 226 - - 225 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1225 - - -1864 - - -998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4273 - - 3159 - - 2293 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4939 - - -6168 - - -8183 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7986 - - 7463 - - 9478 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 71 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 230 - - 630 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.3 - - 75.7 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.8 - - 66.0 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.5 - - 77.6 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 64.6 - - 61.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -2 - - -30 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1610 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97380 40 246 46 248 36 248 97380 90180 24 249 28 260 20 245 90180 84627 20 247 18 254 14 262 84627 80020 17 241 18 249 22 276 80020 76065 8 307 11 224 15 274 76065 72581 8 335 4 254 9 298 72581 69437 6 356 2 355 8 330 69437 66560 9 357 3 081 5 314 66560 63913 10 013 5 016 4 055 63913 61350 13 347 13 340 10 342 61350 58694 19 303 16 288 19 282 58694 55952 19 308 15 251 20 259 55952 53307 30 299 25 282 27 271 53307 50913 36 296 36 294 30 297 50913 48764 37 306 44 304 37 311 48764 46798 48 313 50 314 47 315 46798 44980 57 313 59 325 53 321 44980 43282 62 318 69 331 56 324 43282 41685 71 328 77 330 62 323 41685 40177 77 334 81 328 68 322 40177 38748 79 335 80 327 72 321 38748 37361 74 331 77 327 73 321 37361 35949 65 324 74 327 72 322 35949 34484 56 321 70 329 71 326 34484 32970 50 323 58 324 64 330 32970 31390 43 319 49 314 50 324 31390 29733 37 310 38 305 45 311 29733 28007 31 302 28 296 42 306 28007 26221 23 278 21 281 38 310 26221 24376 25 265 18 271 34 309 24376 22471 24 271 26 292 31 305 22471 20494 25 285 30 297 24 305 20494 18434 22 298 27 301 20 303 18434 16333 24 312 23 313 22 309 16333 14308 29 317 24 321 24 312 14308 12460 29 316 25 321 22 311 12460 10811 25 310 24 314 18 311 10811 9340 19 293 21 304 17 314 9340 8029 17 270 19 294 20 312 8029 6865 17 253 22 285 22 307 6865 5835 15 248 25 277 24 294 5835 4929 16 249 24 268 27 279 4929 4129 16 246 23 257 28 268 4129 3412 15*241 21 244 26 257 3412 2778 13*231 19 239 24 249 2778 2247 12 226 17 236 22 245 2247 1840 11 224 15 233 17 237 1840 1560 10 224 12 231 11 223 1560 1391 9 224 9*228 7*200 1391 1294 7 222 5*225 5*159 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography