DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 34.7 - - 37.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 163 - - 35 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1076 - - 1978 - - 1843 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 2351 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2513 - - 3415 - - 3280 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 542 - - 785 - - 1355 - - 660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 278 - - 165 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 207 - - 189 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3408 - - -6048 - - -5571 - - -6128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5921 - - 9464 - - 8852 - - 7421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13360 - - -16072 - - -14765 - - -16946 ODpotential blCL - - - 15873 - - 19487 - - 18045 - - 18238 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 95 - - 89 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 34.7 - - 37.4 - - 30.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.8 - - -2.2 - - 3.1 - - 2.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 33.8 - - 37.1 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.4 - - -2.8 - - 2.9 - - 2.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 163 - - 35 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1076 - - 1978 - - 1843 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 82 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95726 32 283 34 291 31 279 24 282 95726 88951 12 259 14 283 21 305 16 292 88951 83638 2 329 9 236 19 304 15 295 83638 79152 9 021 10 235 13 272 19 294 79152 75233 11 324 11 264 17 251 21 286 75233 71742 16 269 17 268 12 243 17 277 71742 68541 12 233 13 250 14 249 20 265 68541 65555 18 216 16 239 21 242 20 262 65555 62759 28 234 23 233 22 235 25 254 62759 60036 34 250 25 235 25 236 28 240 60036 57192 42 238 34 237 30 236 35 230 57192 54235 44 238 44 247 51 241 45 233 54235 51412 54 246 68 245 63 235 62 236 51412 48885 65 245 74 237 69 236 77 240 48885 46630 68 244 74 240 80 238 87 241 46630 44579 80 253 91 248 89 239 94 240 44579 42691 94 251 102 246 97 242 104 238 42691 40939 101 250 109 248 104 246 108 239 40939 39308 102 249 118 250 114 249 115 242 39308 37791 95 246 122 248 127 248 118 242 37791 36381 77 244 117 246 128 245 118 244 36381 35035 70 258 106 248 120 246 122 244 35035 33688 86 263 104 250 117 248 126 243 33688 32307 83 256 103 247 111 245 120 243 32307 30892 71 258 89 255 92 245 105 243 30892 29426 70 266 92 261 95 258 94 247 29426 27898 71 264 94 257 99 254 90 248 27898 26306 65 261 83 255 94 251 90 244 26306 24644 66 259 74 256 83 249 86 243 24644 22911 66 256 70 255 77 251 82 242 22911 21109 60 260 62 251 75 253 78 241 21109 19236 53 260 58 253 69 252 66 246 19236 17285 47 257 54 253 60 251 54 247 17285 15295 47 253 52 246 52 251 47 241 15295 13372 44 250 50 247 49 250 44 239 13372 11621 42 252 46 253 48 245 41 241 11621 10065 38 251 43 254 47 243 41 246 10065 8686 32 250 40 250 45 245 42 249 8686 7467 27 248 39 246 44 246 44 247 7467 6389 24 248 37 243 41 243 42 239 6389 5440 22 248 35 242 33 236 36 227 5440 4606 23 247 30 237 25 224 36 217 4606 3872 23 246 24*226 20*210 37 206 3872 3218 22 242 18*212 17*195 37 198 3218 2640 18*235 15 207 16 190 33 194 2640 2158 12*222 14 206 16 189 27 191 2158 1788 11 218 13 205 15 188 21 186 1788 1533 10 217 12 204 14 187 14 177 1533 1379 9 216 11 204 12 186 11*169 1379 1291 7 215 9 204 10 185 5*154 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography