DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.8 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 23.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 189 - - 0 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 540 - - 2474 - - 2454 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 2772 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1977 - - 3911 - - 3891 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 533 - - 1004 - - 1194 - - 203 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 154 - - 315 - - 60 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 202 - - 233 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3549 - - -4260 - - -5510 - - -5295 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5527 - - 8171 - - 9402 - - 6586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20548 - - -18325 - - -19894 - - -21405 ODpotential blCL - - - 22525 - - 22236 - - 23785 - - 22696 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 77 - - 79 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.8 - - 32.1 - - 34.0 - - 23.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -0.3 - - 1.0 - - -2.5 - - -0.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 31.0 - - 34.1 - - 25.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.7 - - 0.0 - - -3.3 - - -1.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 101 - - 189 - - 0 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 540 - - 2474 - - 2454 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 8 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95224 92 243 89 254 81 257 64 269 95224 88489 58 271 53 274 57 277 56 281 88489 83212 48 294 39 287 40 281 52 283 83212 78786 28 302 29 301 38 283 48 279 78786 74949 16 301 30 310 37 290 42 283 74949 71522 17 324 32 302 31 295 33 279 71522 68362 26 326 30 298 26 304 31 278 68362 65412 33 319 34 297 33 302 35 276 65412 62657 41 304 40 286 41 291 43 279 62657 59984 43 294 41 276 47 284 53 281 59984 57201 41 296 40 282 53 278 56 284 57201 54307 42 298 44 283 54 275 58 288 54307 51531 47 296 52 284 57 278 65 285 51531 49017 53 288 58 280 60 276 64 280 49017 46750 54 282 58 279 56 280 62 285 46750 44698 52 286 57 287 57 289 61 288 44698 42836 62 291 63 290 63 292 64 287 42836 41136 64 288 72 289 74 296 73 288 41136 39571 61 286 81 288 83 291 80 286 39571 38116 59 291 84 286 82 286 78 285 38116 36753 69 301 82 288 78 289 75 288 36753 35443 82 304 83 291 81 294 78 297 35443 34122 86 302 85 291 85 297 89 302 34122 32758 84 299 86 290 89 300 99 302 32758 31346 81 298 87 290 90 302 102 300 31346 29868 81 294 86 289 91 301 96 298 29868 28314 81 290 86 288 91 298 88 295 28314 26685 79 287 86 284 90 296 85 292 26685 24980 73 285 86 284 90 295 83 293 24980 23199 67 282 84 290 91 294 80 296 23199 21343 66 284 76 296 92 297 82 297 21343 19405 69 285 67 296 80 296 81 298 19405 17390 71 284 63 294 66 292 74 295 17390 15351 63 281 59 296 64 294 66 290 15351 13396 48 287 51 295 60 292 59 291 13396 11618 41 293 45 284 52 284 58 292 11618 10044 36 292 39 279 46 280 55 286 10044 8656 29 288 34 278 42 280 50 279 8656 7435 21 284 30 272 39 280 44 276 7435 6359 15 280 24 262 33 276 39 272 6359 5414 10 275 17 246 26 267 34 266 5414 4584 5 290 13*230 18*249 29 255 4584 3854 3 329 11*207 14*235 24 241 3854 3204 6 325 10 204 14 234 22 231 3204 2629 7 313 9 201 13 233 20 220 2629 2150 4*291 9 200 13 232 19 209 2150 1782 2*258 8 199 12 231 17 199 1782 1530 2 256 7 198 11 231 13 185 1530 1377 2 254 7 198 9 230 10*171 1377 1290 2 255 6 199 7 230 6*157 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography