DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 61.7 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 122 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1975 - - 3018 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2486 - - 2995 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3412 - - 4455 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1499 - - 4852 - - 8303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 310 - - 302 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 044 - - 019 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 143 - - -838 - - -3482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3269 - - 5293 - - 4775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1135 - - -1925 - - -5074 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4547 - - 6380 - - 6367 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 75 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 70 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 61.7 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.8 - - 43.1 - - 41.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.2 - - 60.8 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.6 - - 41.8 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 122 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1975 - - 3018 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 1 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98040 7 228 9 280 12 321 98040 90678 1 287 6 300 12 324 90678 85012 4 225 10 250 12 303 85012 80276 2 175 9 202 10 276 80276 76176 5 230 7 225 13 258 76176 72541 13 237 10 279 14 266 72541 69233 15 260 15 267 16 267 69233 66195 16 253 14 255 17 254 66195 63383 15 264 16 275 14 266 63383 60650 28 256 30 264 28 271 60650 57805 27 239 32 250 39 265 57805 54869 37 269 43 266 44 268 54869 52069 55 263 49 263 50 266 52069 49541 58 261 52 262 56 274 49541 47267 62 258 63 269 73 272 47267 45209 66 257 86 263 80 264 45209 43331 77 256 87 255 75 255 43331 41598 84 251 81 249 67 264 41598 39990 84 250 67 249 79 269 39990 38496 87 252 71 261 89 269 38496 37096 91 253 89 265 94 269 37096 35752 94 251 96 262 92 267 35752 34394 104 247 94 260 86 266 34394 32998 110 246 92 258 84 268 32998 31566 105 246 89 257 85 268 31566 30084 90 247 82 258 84 268 30084 28533 71 242 76 260 82 271 28533 26911 64 233 71 260 82 271 26911 25213 58 227 67 260 82 272 25213 23440 53 224 63 260 78 274 23440 21597 52 226 60 259 68 276 21597 19679 58 236 56 258 57 273 19679 17678 63 251 51 255 55 271 17678 15637 55 262 48 255 51 277 15637 13674 45 261 44 264 40 283 13674 11900 40 253 35 276 28 284 11900 10337 36 254 28 296 14 297 10337 8955 28 268 22 318 12 319 8955 7721 23 288 21 323 13 330 7721 6621 22 308 18 327 15 340 6621 5643 19 321 14 333 15 346 5643 4778 15 332 10*341 16 352 4778 4012 11*346 7*351 16 356 4012 3325 6*011 4 010 16 001 3325 2717 4 045 3 027 15 005 2717 2209 3 052 2 036 13 011 2209 1818 3 058 2 042 11 016 1818 1549 3 063 2 048 9 023 1549 1386 2 063 2 051 6*029 1386 1292 2 065 2 052 3*036 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography