DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 61.8 - - 66.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 47 - - 19 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 308 - - 654 - - 1041 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1745 - - 2091 - - 2478 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1030 - - 835 - - 1261 - - 1437 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 58 - - 133 - - 121 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 257 - - 269 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 306 - - 360 - - 261 - - -96 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1439 - - 1731 - - 2217 - - 1390 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -72 - - -3060 - - -1246 - - -2554 ODpotential blCL - - - 1817 - - 5151 - - 3724 - - 3848 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 61.8 - - 66.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 58.6 - - 61.0 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 61.4 - - 66.3 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 58.0 - - 60.3 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 47 - - 19 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 308 - - 654 - - 1041 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 95 - - 80 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98170 11 254 13 221 11 250 14 229 98170 90808 16 213 14 215 15 256 11 236 90808 85122 13 188 14 225 15 243 9 253 85122 80383 10 187 14 202 16 229 13 254 80383 76293 5 231 9 199 12 225 14 251 76293 72694 11 265 5 223 13 210 13 235 72694 69449 11 269 5 272 11 235 13 240 69449 66477 10 249 12 253 17 253 16 267 66477 63738 9 248 16 253 16 256 20 267 63738 61100 23 275 23 272 24 256 28 264 61100 58365 34 255 32 264 32 258 34 261 58365 55536 37 248 45 255 43 259 39 261 55536 52839 46 255 54 252 53 254 52 259 52839 50417 51 254 59 255 60 254 60 252 50417 48243 57 259 65 255 69 256 70 257 48243 46263 65 261 70 256 75 257 86 259 46263 44444 76 262 78 260 83 257 97 259 44444 42760 87 260 88 260 92 256 108 258 42760 41192 93 257 94 256 99 257 118 256 41192 39717 94 254 96 252 96 256 119 253 39717 38317 92 254 91 250 91 255 119 254 38317 36960 81 255 84 247 86 254 104 255 36960 35585 72 250 81 242 81 253 89 250 35585 34162 64 243 72 237 73 250 77 244 34162 32691 63 242 69 242 66 247 70 240 32691 31152 65 244 63 238 63 247 73 248 31152 29535 66 247 61 244 57 250 65 260 29535 27852 58 244 54 247 42 252 48 265 27852 26099 43 243 43 251 38 260 42 266 26099 24271 41 250 34 250 37 263 38 264 24271 22367 42 248 33 254 35 262 34 260 22367 20383 37 243 34 262 33 263 33 269 20383 18310 32 241 32 264 31 263 33 275 18310 16191 33 234 31 262 25 265 28 260 16191 14153 35 222 28 266 22 275 22 248 14153 12308 33 220 23 265 20 289 15 271 12308 10672 26 223 20 245 16 295 14 295 10672 9217 23 241 18 225 14 288 14 303 9217 7921 24 260 16 231 13 269 14 306 7921 6771 23 273 13 247 13 259 14 307 6771 5754 17 280 10 265 12 272 15 307 5754 4862 7 275 7 265 10 287 14 310 4862 4075 2 172 6 252 9 296 11 315 4075 3370 3 121 5 242 6 289 6 306 3370 2747 5 093 3 237 4*278 4 266 2747 2228 3 067 3*256 2*269 2 234 2228 1829 1*005 2*257 2 269 1 166 1829 1555 1*337 2 258 2 268 2 103 1555 1388 1 332 2 257 2 268 2*088 1388 1293 1 326 2 257 2 268 2*090 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography