DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 51.2 - - 55.4 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 35 - - 4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 1393 - - 1418 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1624 - - 2830 - - 2855 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 676 - - 709 - - 1152 - - 691 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 158 - - 97 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 219 - - 217 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 8 - - 11 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -115 - - 299 - - -65 - - -88 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1739 - - 2531 - - 2920 - - 1381 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7795 - - -4639 - - -3688 - - -5720 ODpotential blCL - - - 9419 - - 7469 - - 6543 - - 7013 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 51.2 - - 55.4 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.5 - - 45.0 - - 47.4 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 51.0 - - 55.5 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 44.1 - - 46.6 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 35 - - 4 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 187 - - 1393 - - 1418 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 100 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96336 20 207 23 220 28 234 23 243 96336 89196 13 213 21 203 28 212 25 237 89196 83692 20 228 23 218 19 226 21 237 83692 79085 19 223 27 202 24 241 24 255 79085 75097 19 260 19 237 23 243 26 256 75097 71569 17 245 23 255 22 256 28 273 71569 68389 21 286 21 264 23 272 30 263 68389 65471 36 283 35 285 23 261 28 262 65471 62750 38 273 43 277 39 285 35 275 62750 60112 41 281 49 277 50 274 43 277 60112 57373 53 279 53 270 49 271 54 281 57373 54540 50 273 50 270 58 282 63 283 54540 51831 47 281 54 279 73 282 70 272 51831 49380 55 286 67 277 75 272 69 268 49380 47173 68 277 70 269 70 273 67 268 47173 45165 72 269 71 272 68 274 65 269 45165 43324 70 271 73 274 69 269 68 275 43324 41641 72 279 73 271 71 265 78 278 41641 40114 76 284 73 277 75 270 87 275 40114 38706 83 284 79 281 80 274 87 274 38706 37374 83 282 79 278 78 270 81 271 37374 36081 75 283 76 275 74 265 76 267 36081 34762 67 285 69 275 73 262 73 266 34762 33390 65 283 70 276 73 263 68 265 33390 31969 63 277 75 277 73 270 64 264 31969 30483 61 274 70 275 68 276 60 267 30483 28921 56 277 67 272 66 277 54 269 28921 27282 49 274 68 273 67 270 50 268 27282 25566 41 275 63 274 67 266 46 266 25566 23773 39 264 58 278 65 272 43 265 23773 21906 40 262 52 283 62 282 41 268 21906 19961 34 261 38 279 55 287 45 272 19961 17934 33 259 30 272 49 283 50 275 17934 15867 34 255 30 263 34 265 54 277 15867 13872 30 239 34 252 37 258 53 280 13872 12058 28 251 36 242 34 251 45 282 12058 10450 30 264 29 243 27 232 38 266 10450 9028 29 262 24 255 26 221 38 247 9028 7764 26 253 24 255 26 223 33 230 7764 6640 25 246 25 248 27 227 32 223 6640 5644 25 232 28 237 31 228 29 223 5644 4767 27 223 31 228 32 230 27 225 4767 3992 29 220 29 223 28 230 26 224 3992 3302 25 216 23*221 21*227 27 219 3302 2696 19 210 16*219 15*220 24 214 2696 2193 14 197 14 219 14 217 19 206 2193 1808 11*175 13 219 13 216 14 191 1808 1544 8*161 12 220 12 215 10 167 1544 1384 8 160 11 221 10 214 8*149 1384 1292 6 160 8 221 8 214 5*135 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography