DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 22.3 - - 11.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 49 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1780 - - 1344 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1273 - - 1274 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3217 - - 2781 - - 1290 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 920 - - 1142 - - 1467 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 185 - - 63 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 318 - - 323 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -237 - - -852 - - -1859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3454 - - 3633 - - 3149 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6202 - - -7501 - - -10589 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9419 - - 10282 - - 11879 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 65 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 22.3 - - 11.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 12.4 - - 11.1 - - 3.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 22.6 - - 22.7 - - 17.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 11.4 - - 10.0 - - 6.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 49 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1780 - - 1344 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96341 50 214 55 227 58 237 96341 89016 53 217 55 219 57 233 89016 83370 56 227 54 223 50 228 83370 78664 63 229 63 243 52 243 78664 74602 57 227 57 237 49 243 74602 71004 44 222 47 232 45 242 71004 67737 37 231 46 244 40 242 67737 64723 42 249 40 247 43 243 64723 61914 48 249 46 255 46 244 61914 59187 51 250 51 255 45 253 59187 56345 54 252 55 254 47 263 56345 53397 56 251 58 252 51 265 53397 50574 52 250 56 250 53 261 50574 48020 46 251 52 251 52 258 48020 45716 42 254 49 254 49 258 45716 43619 39 260 43 257 47 262 43619 41702 40 262 39 265 47 264 41702 39940 38 260 39 268 44 269 39940 38313 32 260 38 272 41 273 38313 36805 29 263 38 276 37 273 36805 35401 29 268 37 282 29 283 35401 34060 28 271 34 286 29 296 34060 32714 24 280 30 293 32 300 32714 31338 21 290 26 307 34 303 31338 29937 18 292 27 323 30 316 29937 28493 18 283 36 330 36 331 28493 26999 18 278 43 329 43 335 26999 25454 20 275 43 331 46 335 25454 23852 18 281 42 336 45 336 23852 22188 22 310 42 339 42 336 22188 20461 28 325 40 339 38 335 20461 18661 28 342 38 340 33 332 18661 16784 29 347 35 341 28 330 16784 14866 29 346 31 341 25 328 14866 13014 28 344 29 342 24 326 13014 11325 26 341 29 343 25 327 11325 9822 25 336 29 341 27 331 9822 8488 25 334 31 340 28 335 8488 7303 25 334 32 339 30 340 7303 6252 26 333 33 340 31 343 6252 5324 29 331 33 339 33 346 5324 4509 29 326 32 334 35 345 4509 3791 26*319 29 324 36 336 3791 3153 21*314 24*319 35 323 3153 2592 17 317 20*321 29 313 2592 2127 17 318 19 322 18 309 2127 1770 15 319 17 323 12 307 1770 1524 14 320 15 324 8 302 1524 1375 12 321 13 325 4*297 1375 1289 9 321 9 326 0*169 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography