DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 13.1 - - 22.8 - - 25.2 - - 13.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 79 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2204 - - 1496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1273 - - 1981 - - 1273 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1290 - - 3641 - - 2933 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2075 - - 1356 - - 1803 - - 288 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 231 - - 93 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 316 - - 332 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2159 - - -1060 - - -1365 - - -1186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3450 - - 4701 - - 4298 - - 2477 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15611 - - -12643 - - -11483 - - -13417 ODpotential blCL - - - 16901 - - 16284 - - 14416 - - 14708 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 84 - - 82 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 13.1 - - 22.8 - - 25.2 - - 13.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.0 - - 7.0 - - 11.3 - - 7.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.0 - - 22.2 - - 25.2 - - 17.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.2 - - 5.9 - - 10.2 - - 9.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 79 - - 5 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2204 - - 1496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 35 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96538 21 228 22 237 22 255 25 266 96538 89308 14 240 14 259 12 265 10 268 89308 83739 13 249 13 260 11 262 15 263 83739 79104 5 232 5 249 6 234 14 236 79104 75073 8 254 17 255 16 280 17 278 75073 71518 10 323 12 214 14 218 10 308 71518 68317 34 315 22 309 8 001 13 346 68317 65357 37 290 38 296 39 301 37 318 65357 62613 32 275 33 286 43 292 42 299 62613 59950 24 290 31 285 45 288 46 291 59950 57157 40 301 38 290 49 288 53 287 57157 54239 58 295 52 292 57 290 57 285 54239 51431 66 291 62 285 62 288 61 288 51431 48892 70 290 64 283 72 286 70 292 48892 46617 75 290 70 286 79 281 81 290 46617 44554 80 289 79 287 79 282 86 285 44554 42660 83 290 83 287 82 285 86 281 42660 40902 86 293 86 288 87 287 84 285 40902 39268 91 294 89 289 90 289 86 291 39268 37754 97 294 96 292 91 293 89 293 37754 36344 101 295 99 295 94 295 93 296 36344 35000 106 296 103 297 99 296 102 296 35000 33655 111 295 110 297 107 295 107 294 33655 32274 113 294 113 296 109 293 105 295 32274 30856 114 293 115 296 106 295 101 298 30856 29384 116 292 115 297 106 297 94 302 29384 27846 116 291 113 299 107 296 90 307 27846 26241 108 292 109 300 106 296 90 306 26241 24561 101 291 100 301 102 297 89 305 24561 22808 98 293 94 298 97 298 87 307 22808 20986 93 296 88 298 88 300 84 307 20986 19093 84 297 81 299 80 302 79 306 19093 17127 77 298 76 300 69 306 72 307 17127 15131 75 303 70 301 61 308 61 310 15131 13212 71 307 65 303 58 306 53 311 13212 11471 63 308 61 304 55 305 47 312 11471 9925 58 309 57 306 51 309 44 312 9925 8554 54 313 53 309 48 312 42 314 8554 7339 48 319 47 312 45 314 40 317 7339 6267 40 323 38 316 38 315 35 323 6267 5329 32 324 27 314 28 311 27 325 5329 4514 23 320 17 307 19 303 20 320 4514 3801 15 311 12*305 15 307 16 316 3801 3165 9 290 9*307 14*316 15 322 3165 2603 7 271 7 314 13*325 15 332 2603 2133 6 258 6 318 12 331 14 340 2133 1773 5 251 6 319 11 333 14 353 1773 1525 4 249 5 321 11 335 12 004 1525 1375 2*259 5 323 10 335 9*010 1375 1290 2*255 5 323 7 337 5*020 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography