DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 43.7 - - 45.0 - - 39.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -13 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1292 - - 1292 - - 1293 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1242 - - 1680 - - 2040 - - 3514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 8 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 187 - - 201 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -190 - - -533 - - -6 - - -446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1482 - - 1825 - - 1299 - - 1739 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7189 - - -4172 - - -1328 - - -1498 ODpotential blCL - - - 8481 - - 5464 - - 2621 - - 2791 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 43.7 - - 45.0 - - 39.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 40.4 - - 43.8 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 44.6 - - 46.3 - - 43.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 40.0 - - 43.8 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -2 - - -13 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95869 26 351 36 015 29 023 24 358 95869 88842 18 331 23 016 15 010 21 358 88842 83317 23 301 13 306 19 308 20 315 83317 78739 22 262 22 253 19 297 19 303 78739 74780 16 245 16 239 20 287 23 295 74780 71252 17 273 20 257 32 263 31 261 71252 68065 21 267 26 262 30 252 31 247 68065 65139 26 267 23 265 26 246 31 248 65139 62403 29 275 22 265 30 245 30 230 62403 59712 31 258 28 261 37 252 35 250 59712 56913 35 250 48 249 46 256 69 258 56913 54037 51 251 63 243 74 254 82 245 54037 51283 63 253 73 243 85 250 81 242 51283 48795 75 255 78 244 85 250 84 250 48795 46576 77 250 77 249 84 251 86 255 46576 44580 79 255 81 254 85 251 90 258 44580 42768 86 255 85 254 86 251 97 255 42768 41116 83 253 86 254 88 251 99 252 41116 39596 78 254 93 257 96 251 103 253 39596 38178 78 252 99 256 101 250 106 252 38178 36844 81 248 94 254 98 251 103 249 36844 35560 84 246 88 252 94 249 98 244 35560 34254 83 245 83 248 94 244 96 241 34254 32893 81 245 82 242 93 241 96 236 32893 31477 80 243 85 237 91 241 95 233 31477 29994 78 241 86 230 86 238 96 235 29994 28434 76 238 88 229 83 235 95 236 28434 26802 75 237 86 232 82 235 93 238 26802 25103 75 238 85 233 81 233 82 239 25103 23338 75 238 84 235 81 230 72 241 23338 21502 75 238 84 240 81 231 68 242 21502 19587 75 237 81 242 78 236 64 241 19587 17591 75 236 76 239 72 242 61 241 17591 15555 74 232 71 237 66 245 57 242 15555 13592 70 229 66 237 62 244 55 241 13592 11807 62 230 63 236 62 241 54 239 11807 10222 54 228 63 234 63 238 55 239 10222 8817 51 230 61 235 64 237 55 243 8817 7573 52 236 57 237 61 239 53 248 7573 6474 52 238 54 239 54 243 50 252 6474 5508 52 233 52 238 47 245 47 255 5508 4663 51 224 48 231 42 246 43 261 4663 3921 47 218 44 223 38 246 38 268 3921 3258 40 215 37 218 34 245 33 270 3258 2670 30 212 28 212 30 242 28 270 2670 2178 21 208 21 205 24 237 23 270 2178 1800 15 201 16 200 18 232 18 271 1800 1540 11 197 12 195 13 226 12 273 1540 1382 8*193 9*191 9*220 8*273 1382 1292 5*188 5*187 4*201 1*252 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography