DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 56.2 - - 54.4 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 143 - - -29 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1923 - - 3444 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1275 - - 3356 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3360 - - 4881 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 887 - - 1630 - - 4803 - - 1212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 326 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 29 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 268 - - 269 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 42 - - 33 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3176 - - -2547 - - -5321 - - -2660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6536 - - 7429 - - 6614 - - 3952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12354 - - -9260 - - -8983 - - -8356 ODpotential blCL - - - 15714 - - 14141 - - 10276 - - 9648 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 57 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.9 - - 56.2 - - 54.4 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 28.0 - - 29.9 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 55.6 - - 55.2 - - 47.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 27.0 - - 29.3 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 143 - - -29 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1923 - - 3444 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96214 51 247 67 247 77 251 70 256 96214 89162 46 250 44 246 52 241 59 246 89162 83685 50 262 38 253 46 254 49 254 83685 79087 56 261 56 259 57 255 43 262 79087 75072 49 241 58 246 60 245 48 260 75072 71490 40 246 48 245 53 254 55 259 71490 68259 47 267 51 261 46 264 52 262 68259 65334 43 270 42 264 36 270 40 261 65334 62642 35 275 27 260 28 268 27 270 62642 59998 36 267 24 259 28 264 28 287 59998 57190 44 250 38 270 42 269 43 289 57190 54275 49 257 64 270 66 274 66 281 54275 51522 63 278 77 270 78 273 77 276 51522 49058 78 276 83 273 81 273 79 275 49058 46860 82 270 85 272 84 271 83 273 46860 44879 86 268 91 270 90 270 83 272 44879 43076 88 266 99 267 98 268 82 275 43076 41419 90 269 101 261 99 266 87 279 41419 39881 97 271 95 261 96 268 91 278 39881 38440 107 270 97 267 96 274 94 275 38440 37083 114 267 102 267 100 281 96 273 37083 35769 112 262 104 264 106 284 97 273 35769 34432 105 262 104 261 108 282 98 273 34432 33042 101 268 103 261 108 280 99 274 33042 31603 101 273 103 264 107 278 100 276 31603 30102 101 275 102 267 106 276 100 277 30102 28529 100 275 99 269 104 275 99 277 28529 26884 98 275 96 271 103 275 98 277 26884 25164 97 275 94 273 102 276 99 279 25164 23371 97 275 93 274 101 278 100 281 23371 21507 96 275 93 275 101 280 99 283 21507 19569 88 275 91 276 100 282 95 284 19569 17555 78 273 86 276 90 283 90 285 17555 15512 69 274 78 276 78 281 82 285 15512 13560 63 277 72 278 70 280 71 287 13560 11800 60 278 67 281 63 282 62 290 11800 10241 59 279 65 282 60 283 56 293 10241 8856 60 280 66 281 59 284 53 294 8856 7622 62 279 64 280 57 284 51 294 7622 6526 61 278 57 278 52 282 52 293 6526 5557 58 277 45*275 46 278 52 291 5557 4705 51 276 36*271 38 273 49 288 4705 3954 43*274 32 269 34 270 44 285 3954 3282 33*269 31 268 33 270 38 283 3282 2687 27 265 29 267 31 270 33 279 2687 2189 26 264 28 267 29 270 26 274 2189 1806 23 262 26 266 26 269 21 269 1806 1543 20 261 24 266 22 269 16 262 1543 1383 18 260 21 266 19*269 12*256 1383 1291 13 259 16 266 13*269 5*233 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography