DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 43 - - -15 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1895 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3332 - - 1295 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1073 - - 3340 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 204 - - 21 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 330 - - 333 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 388 - - -1546 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2944 - - 2841 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3801 - - -4595 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7133 - - 5890 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 81 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.4 - - 63.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.8 - - 72.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 61.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 43 - - -15 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1895 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 34 - - 22 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97281 30 256 34 255 97281 90119 22 267 26 251 90119 84549 21 282 21 270 84549 79910 15 266 20 280 79910 75942 13 286 18 279 75942 72454 12 292 12 285 72454 69298 13 302 18 319 69298 66408 21 303 18 311 66408 63731 20 295 21 328 63731 61153 27 307 34 319 61153 58501 32 288 28 303 58501 55731 26 272 25 314 55731 53055 33 311 46 310 53055 50644 49 308 53 302 50644 48478 52 301 49 298 48478 46497 49 292 42 297 46497 44663 43 285 40 303 44663 42949 38 285 42 307 42949 41339 34 291 43 307 41339 39825 35 304 45 305 39825 38403 46 310 48 300 38403 37035 55 309 47 293 37035 35649 52 305 46 288 35649 34214 48 304 44 285 34214 32738 44 306 39 282 32738 31203 37 313 36 288 31203 29588 33 319 36 286 29588 27895 38 313 36 279 27895 26124 44 308 35 280 26124 24278 43 307 34 288 24278 22361 41 311 31 294 22361 20367 36 320 30 302 20367 18293 30 329 26 310 18293 16183 27 332 22 312 16183 14155 24 337 20 316 14155 12317 23 340 19 332 12317 10687 22 339 20 340 10687 9239 23 335 21 341 9239 7948 23 333 20 338 7948 6801 21 333 19 327 6801 5784 19 334 18 320 5784 4888 18 332 16 315 4888 4097 16 324 13 308 4097 3390 13*322 10 311 3390 2763 11*327 9 321 2763 2239 10 330 8 326 2239 1836 9 331 8 330 1836 1559 9 332 7 332 1559 1390 8 332 6*332 1390 1294 7 331 5*333 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography