DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 18.2 - - 12.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 241 - - 78 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4229 - - 4781 - - 335 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4176 - - 3818 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5666 - - 6218 - - 1772 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 897 - - 1051 - - 3156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 409 - - 293 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 31 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 304 - - 313 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 18 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 18 - - 22 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 510 - - 1122 - - -2872 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5156 - - 5096 - - 4644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -274 - - 623 - - -5207 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5940 - - 5595 - - 6979 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 96 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 22.9 - - 18.2 - - 12.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 4.8 - - 0.6 - - -3.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 21.9 - - 18.0 - - 12.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 3.7 - - 0.1 - - -3.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 241 - - 78 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4229 - - 4781 - - 335 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 57 - - 84 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95247 108 240 121 243 123 242 95247 88244 78 232 88 239 96 253 88244 82960 74 251 76 253 69 256 82960 78581 68 262 58 261 44 258 78581 74746 48 257 37 255 34 275 74746 71297 34 233 30 249 34 284 71297 68118 31 241 39 264 36 282 68118 65147 42 268 48 266 43 278 65147 62365 52 275 52 268 53 272 62365 59678 54 272 48 256 56 263 59678 56887 48 256 38 246 51 269 56887 53981 39 229 33 267 52 282 53981 51194 31 219 48 283 55 287 51194 48675 48 274 65 279 60 284 48675 46404 80 270 76 270 64 278 46404 44335 92 260 78 263 66 274 44335 42437 92 255 74 262 66 274 42437 40686 92 256 68 264 66 278 40686 39060 95 256 68 269 69 282 39060 37543 99 255 76 273 73 283 37543 36117 104 253 84 272 74 284 36117 34741 106 250 89 269 74 285 34741 33346 108 247 89 265 76 286 33346 31905 110 244 88 263 77 285 31905 30424 111 241 88 263 76 286 30424 28889 111 239 86 262 76 290 28889 27294 108 237 83 262 76 292 27294 25646 102 235 77 261 72 290 25646 23947 93 236 70 262 67 290 23947 22197 82 239 64 265 63 295 22197 20392 75 241 63 268 64 304 20392 18525 71 243 61 270 67 310 18525 16591 64 246 57 273 69 313 16591 14633 56 253 53 279 66 315 14633 12761 50 261 50 286 62 318 12761 11072 47 267 49 294 57 322 11072 9589 45 275 49 303 52 328 9589 8287 43 284 46 309 47 336 8287 7140 37 293 37*311 45 342 7140 6126 28*300 34*312 45 340 6126 5229 23*303 34 313 46 332 5229 4441 24 303 33 313 44 324 4441 3746 24 304 33 313 40 320 3746 3125 24 305 32 313 35 317 3125 2575 23 305 31 313 32 315 2575 2116 23 305 30 313 27*314 2116 1764 22 305 28 313 23*313 1764 1521 21 305 25 313 20 312 1521 1374 19 305 22 313 17 312 1374 1289 15 306 16 313 12 312 1289 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography