DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 93.6 - - 96.4 - - 93.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 109 - - 35 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4423 - - 5343 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4040 - - 3878 - - 1279 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5860 - - 6780 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2268 - - 3107 - - 8003 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 349 - - 276 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 33 - - 19 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 307 - - 272 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -11 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1455 - - -1983 - - -5503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7316 - - 8763 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4747 - - -5026 - - -8466 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10607 - - 11806 - - 9762 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 48 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1410 - - 1070 - - 2340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 93.6 - - 96.4 - - 93.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.0 - - 62.6 - - 67.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 92.8 - - 96.6 - - 95.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.6 - - 61.2 - - 66.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 109 - - 35 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4423 - - 5343 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99325 39 093 28 066 31 071 99325 91793 28 078 29 078 27 074 91793 86036 22 082 25 086 23 079 86036 81267 23 091 20 090 17 076 81267 77135 22 092 15 089 14 075 77135 73477 16 097 11 076 15 066 73477 70182 13 095 12 078 13 068 70182 67172 10 093 11 072 12 069 67172 64395 8 100 7 077 8 052 64395 61718 5 124 5 123 2 117 61718 58946 4 124 3 168 2 207 58946 56095 4 110 5 177 4 273 56095 53406 7 145 7 157 4 213 53406 51021 9 161 5 149 4 195 51021 48891 15 170 8 163 8 184 48891 46946 22 170 16 176 15 189 46946 45150 22 174 20 178 24 191 45150 43475 17 186 18 183 26 192 43475 41899 20 203 15 204 22 197 41899 40412 22 211 19 217 23 201 40412 39005 21 220 22 226 25 205 39005 37641 18 206 23 232 25 210 37641 36252 15 193 23 231 23 215 36252 34808 11 182 20 218 22 219 34808 33312 7 176 15 200 20 214 33312 31751 4 185 8 210 15 212 31751 30113 4 155 6 205 7 222 30113 28395 2 118 4 189 5 220 28395 26597 2 080 4 157 7 217 26597 24733 4 116 5 161 8 227 24733 22806 6 143 6 217 10 266 22806 20805 7 233 11 283 15 321 20805 18719 11 277 18 321 18 336 18719 16601 12 317 17 339 10 004 16601 14560 16 354 16 355 11 015 14560 12696 13 354 14 359 14 008 12696 11030 12 345 13 357 15 357 11030 9544 12 332 11 338 13 345 9544 8219 10 322 6 293 8 324 8219 7036 5 309 5*268 6 287 7036 5984 3*297 5*263 5 284 5984 5053 2*295 4 263 5 284 5053 4228 2 297 3 266 4 289 4228 3488 2 302 3 270 3 291 3488 2832 2 311 2 279 3 299 2832 2284 2 316 2 293 2 311 2284 1863 2 317 1 298 2 319 1863 1573 2 319 1 301 2 327 1573 1396 2 325 1 305 2*331 1396 1295 2 322 1 310 1*333 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography