DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.0 - - 75.2 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 137 - - -13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1688 - - 6605 - - 5477 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1912 - - 5715 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3125 - - 8042 - - 6914 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4708 - - 1656 - - 2758 - - 6205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 409 - - 135 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 041 - - 062 - - 064 - - 082 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2432 - - 437 - - 104 - - -3684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5558 - - 7606 - - 6810 - - 4979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4256 - - -814 - - -1426 - - -5647 ODpotential blCL - - - 7381 - - 8856 - - 8340 - - 6941 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 88 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 30 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.0 - - 75.2 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 48.3 - - 50.0 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.7 - - 76.0 - - 76.0 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 47.0 - - 48.9 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 137 - - -13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1688 - - 6605 - - 5477 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 50 - - 81 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98286 12 067 19 097 22 135 5 157 98286 90923 7 084 9 093 10 110 4 083 90923 85247 11 113 5 067 9 077 7 079 85247 80546 15 105 9 120 8 061 6 052 80546 76491 12 086 13 127 6 078 7 049 76491 72903 9 097 11 118 5 094 8 072 72903 69660 8 131 8 113 2 092 7 089 69660 66686 6 129 7 120 1 130 6 098 66686 63935 4 114 8 123 6 165 1 334 63935 61271 3 081 9 128 10 146 3 250 61271 58496 1 223 6 137 6 162 6 206 58496 55622 8 166 10 154 10 183 10 187 55622 52880 8 163 12 157 12 172 13 168 52880 50406 15 176 14 173 12 171 14 160 50406 48181 18 158 17 169 13 161 14 146 48181 46162 15 156 18 155 17 148 13 149 46162 44315 14 156 18 143 17 145 14 155 44315 42616 15 137 18 145 15 145 16 157 42616 41042 17 106 18 140 15 133 18 144 41042 39576 20 075 19 110 17 119 21 125 39576 38201 22 074 23 092 20 089 22 120 38201 36872 22 072 26 097 15 076 22 120 36872 35519 20 078 21 106 8 093 19 114 35519 34110 21 094 16 125 11 098 17 106 34110 32649 22 099 20 137 14 113 17 107 32649 31124 20 102 18 137 18 122 17 104 31124 29519 16 091 12 101 22 128 15 099 29519 27833 21 073 16 075 27 129 14 098 27833 26066 24 066 18 072 30 127 14 090 26066 24222 24 058 22 069 31 116 15 077 24222 22308 23 056 27 064 28 087 20 072 22308 20318 21 061 25 061 30 059 24 072 20318 18247 18 057 24 054 30 052 25 072 18247 16134 20 055 24 052 28 059 23 083 16134 14095 22 060 23 058 27 070 24 095 14095 12248 21 061 22 055 15 073 19 087 12248 10623 21 056 20 051 13 040 14 040 10623 9190 14 052 14*044 12 035 15 019 9190 7916 11 079 11*054 12*038 14 032 7916 6781 12 082 10 057 11*050 13 047 6781 5773 13 076 10 060 11 055 13 057 5773 4883 12 069 10 062 11 061 13 064 4883 4094 11 058 10 064 11 065 13 069 4094 3387 10*051 10 066 11 069 13 073 3387 2761 9*048 9 067 11 071 13 075 2761 2237 8 043 9 068 10 072 12 077 2237 1835 7 040 9 068 10 074 10 079 1835 1558 6 036 8 068 9 074 8 081 1558 1390 6 035 8 067 8 075 6*084 1390 1293 5 033 6 067 6 076 3*082 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography