DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 56.8 - - 63.2 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 25 - - 100 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1461 - - 1325 - - 1707 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1841 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2898 - - 2762 - - 3144 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 971 - - 1236 - - 1075 - - 2860 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 210 - - 135 - - 230 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 191 - - 182 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 10 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1 - - 411 - - 55 - - -1903 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2899 - - 2351 - - 3089 - - 3197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7229 - - 19 - - -2821 - - -4059 ODpotential blCL - - - 10127 - - 2743 - - 5965 - - 5353 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.0 - - 56.8 - - 63.2 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 51.0 - - 54.1 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 56.7 - - 62.5 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 50.7 - - 53.5 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 25 - - 100 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1461 - - 1325 - - 1707 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 91 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97609 26 260 28 258 33 267 34 273 97609 90190 21 257 18 252 27 263 24 274 90190 84513 12 258 12 264 18 268 13 285 84513 79821 8 272 12 241 15 280 8 316 79821 75791 5 322 1 213 9 252 9 313 75791 72247 6 318 11 006 3 107 5 300 72247 69042 10 298 13 328 7 016 5 312 69042 66096 12 314 16 313 15 334 11 326 66096 63368 13 340 19 311 19 313 17 317 63368 60731 25 319 19 304 20 306 16 314 60731 57976 25 297 18 301 22 312 17 324 57976 55084 23 294 38 294 39 288 31 296 55084 52311 38 287 41 266 48 252 52 264 52311 49824 35 285 26 256 36 245 50 242 49824 47574 31 308 29 287 25 266 27 256 47574 45508 55 302 44 284 38 283 48 271 45508 43628 66 290 56 276 73 275 76 267 43628 41927 64 275 66 264 83 261 85 251 41927 40359 50 259 85 256 85 252 81 252 40359 38897 48 229 74 248 87 247 92 263 38897 37535 41 227 64 243 83 249 105 269 37535 36229 45 245 61 245 83 253 114 272 36229 34904 49 250 63 249 82 256 120 273 34904 33527 45 249 66 249 78 258 122 273 33527 32097 41 248 65 247 71 253 121 274 32097 30602 38 248 64 246 68 250 120 276 30602 29029 38 248 61 247 69 254 113 278 29029 27386 38 248 55 248 63 261 73 277 27386 25671 35 258 51 254 49 267 53 274 25671 23881 34 283 42 263 40 267 49 276 23881 22016 33 288 37 263 39 268 46 277 22016 20071 38 284 38 271 39 273 46 284 20071 18044 44 279 37 279 34 278 32 294 18044 15973 47 285 28 278 27 273 22 292 15973 13977 42 289 24 271 22 256 29 286 13977 12163 30 280 27 272 22 262 34 293 12163 10555 27 274 28 270 28 279 28 294 10555 9130 27 260 29 264 33 283 26 296 9130 7863 38 248 32 265 36 283 21 301 7863 6736 45 244 34 267 36 283 19 299 6736 5733 42 234 30 258 32 280 17 292 5733 4848 37 217 23 234 24 271 13 278 4848 4065 35 206 21 218 16 248 9 246 4065 3364 30*201 17*209 11*215 10 211 3364 2744 24*195 14*200 10*188 12 195 2744 2227 21 191 12 192 10 183 13 188 2227 1828 19 190 11 187 9 181 12 182 1828 1555 17 189 10 185 9 178 11 177 1555 1388 15 188 9 183 8 177 8*173 1388 1293 11 187 7 182 7 177 5*171 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography