DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 79.2 - - 79.6 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 224 - - 65 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 5627 - - 6105 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 5223 - - 4669 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2192 - - 7064 - - 7542 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 673 - - 3212 - - 3106 - - 481 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 444 - - 309 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 14 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 221 - - 222 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 9 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4407 - - -2105 - - -1447 - - -5438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6599 - - 9169 - - 8990 - - 6734 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7794 - - -3759 - - -2727 - - -7709 ODpotential blCL - - - 9986 - - 10823 - - 10269 - - 9004 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 71 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.1 - - 79.2 - - 79.6 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 43.4 - - 44.6 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 77.9 - - 79.1 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 42.5 - - 43.9 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 224 - - 65 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 5627 - - 6105 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 34 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 20 246 11 266 23 276 19 287 96419 89287 4 257 11 247 15 282 16 304 89287 83810 8 243 10 262 18 301 11 330 83810 79258 8 227 5 245 13 246 15 299 79258 75329 8 271 15 288 8 262 11 284 75329 71863 17 264 26 265 17 281 21 284 71863 68745 29 273 25 252 27 274 26 272 68745 65892 29 255 22 245 25 253 24 252 65892 63223 26 245 25 253 23 236 24 242 63223 60612 24 244 26 261 25 260 28 259 60612 57894 37 274 48 271 48 272 52 273 57894 55080 61 257 61 265 63 262 58 263 55080 52359 68 255 66 269 66 263 68 269 52359 49872 62 262 76 269 73 267 83 268 49872 47634 67 274 82 267 80 270 85 268 47634 45621 83 278 83 266 79 274 76 272 45621 43805 79 274 80 271 75 280 65 272 43805 42145 58 273 75 270 67 282 50 271 42145 40601 48 279 59 273 58 281 50 287 40601 39151 46 289 51 280 52 288 56 292 39151 37784 41 289 46 286 51 292 60 292 37784 36462 37 285 47 289 53 293 62 291 36462 35116 36 282 47 284 59 292 62 291 35116 33720 36 282 49 282 63 290 62 292 33720 32277 23 293 49 284 63 285 66 291 32277 30769 12 311 42 282 56 283 68 293 30769 29183 8 313 37 282 47 289 63 291 29183 27524 10 324 31 289 36 278 52 287 27524 25794 9 342 25 292 35 268 42 282 25794 23991 9 012 19 298 34 261 38 276 23991 22117 8 032 12 311 25 258 38 281 22117 20165 4 332 13 316 22 259 36 289 20165 18133 10 290 20 296 25 271 30 281 18133 16060 18 284 27 287 22 274 25 271 16060 14067 22 277 24 292 19 279 22 263 14067 12256 22 268 24 283 22 283 20 260 12256 10646 16 246 22 266 21 277 18 252 10646 9213 12 217 19 246 17 260 17 241 9213 7938 12 206 16*233 15*240 16 236 7938 6801 14 202 15*226 15*232 16 230 6801 5791 14 208 14 223 15 228 16 224 5791 4897 14 234 14 222 15 224 16 220 4897 4106 15 259 14 221 15 222 15 216 4106 3395 14 270 14 220 15 220 15 213 3395 2767 10 266 14 219 15 219 15 210 2767 2241 5*240 14 219 15 218 13 207 2241 1837 3*184 14 218 14 217 12 203 1837 1559 3 182 13 218 14 217 10 196 1559 1390 3 179 12 218 13 216 7*189 1390 1294 3 179 10 218 10 216 4*182 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography