DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 42.6 - - 42.9 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 27 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3486 - - 7356 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3462 - - 4913 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4923 - - 8793 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1389 - - 1178 - - 6433 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 343 - - 282 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 25 - - 32 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 320 - - 305 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 21 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 26 - - 22 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 566 - - 3105 - - -2162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4357 - - 5688 - - 3454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2293 - - 897 - - -3135 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7216 - - 7896 - - 4427 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 91 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 42.6 - - 42.9 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.1 - - 22.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 41.9 - - 42.9 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.9 - - 21.4 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 27 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3486 - - 7356 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 36 - - 63 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96205 10 307 12 281 14 291 96205 89102 10 255 9 291 7 336 89102 83612 10 218 7 248 11 275 83612 79053 5 237 7 230 15 259 79053 75103 18 227 16 279 16 251 75103 71584 25 206 23 244 19 229 71584 68373 21 218 30 223 28 230 68373 65405 24 238 37 214 38 229 65405 62658 28 233 39 218 43 228 62658 60013 40 234 36 221 43 217 60013 57233 44 231 41 233 43 232 57233 54311 48 230 57 237 60 239 54311 51508 69 237 65 238 68 240 51508 48981 87 235 78 241 75 235 48981 46714 93 228 89 238 74 229 46714 44646 89 227 93 234 68 233 44646 42735 89 234 97 233 74 241 42735 40956 103 235 102 233 85 243 40956 39294 113 229 107 230 94 243 39294 37746 111 221 111 225 106 244 37746 36307 107 218 115 218 114 240 36307 34944 104 218 118 211 116 232 34944 33582 104 219 118 205 104 223 33582 32181 111 215 112 207 85 233 32181 30746 113 209 117 217 90 246 30746 29273 112 205 119 221 91 242 29273 27745 111 204 104 220 80 236 27745 26151 99 203 89 223 65 253 26151 24490 90 208 86 228 83 273 24490 22764 92 216 90 226 97 271 22764 20963 79 215 86 223 96 277 20963 19084 75 210 80 227 87 284 19084 17131 71 225 73 234 77 282 17131 15148 73 229 63 245 74 281 15148 13237 67 226 57 262 72 288 13237 11500 51 239 53 277 69 295 11500 9967 34 273 43*291 61 300 9967 8622 31 310 37*301 50 303 8622 7436 37 326 36 302 41 305 7436 6383 38 326 34 304 36 306 6383 5449 31*322 33 305 33 307 5449 4623 27*319 33 306 29 308 4623 3891 27 319 32 307 26 309 3891 3234 26 320 31 308 23 310 3234 2653 26 320 30 308 21 311 2653 2168 25 320 28 309 18 313 2168 1794 24 321 27 309 15 314 1794 1537 22 321 24 309 12 315 1537 1381 20 321 21 309 9*313 1381 1291 15 321 16 310 5*313 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography