DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.7 - - 47.7 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 100 - - 28 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1904 - - 1460 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2060 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3341 - - 2897 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 737 - - 1136 - - 824 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 242 - - 151 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 031 - - 141 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -6 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 807 - - 125 - - -41 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2535 - - 2772 - - 1333 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 373 - - -5417 - - -3348 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2968 - - 8314 - - 4640 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 88 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 45.7 - - 47.7 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.3 - - 40.3 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 45.0 - - 47.5 - - 42.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 38.1 - - 39.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 100 - - 28 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1904 - - 1460 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 88 - - 53 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 27 077 30 078 32 064 96596 89503 23 087 20 079 19 072 89503 83995 17 111 13 085 10 061 83995 79360 10 122 6 090 9 080 79360 75330 9 169 8 251 9 307 75330 71761 4 208 7 228 13 243 71761 68527 9 289 10 228 19 265 68527 65557 20 293 14 270 22 258 65557 62797 25 281 22 278 21 260 62797 60109 32 272 34 273 33 281 60109 57317 40 275 42 275 41 281 57317 54433 50 278 54 280 47 285 54433 51670 60 274 66 273 58 279 51670 49167 68 272 66 272 66 276 49167 46915 72 274 71 278 72 279 46915 44874 76 277 80 281 75 280 44874 43007 75 279 78 281 69 281 43007 41288 79 283 85 289 73 293 41288 39702 83 282 92 285 83 296 39702 38234 76 282 78 280 92 297 38234 36870 70 285 71 296 99 301 36870 35569 73 297 86 303 105 304 35569 34255 82 302 94 303 104 302 34255 32892 84 301 92 301 101 301 32892 31480 80 296 90 299 97 302 31480 30007 79 295 85 297 91 303 30007 28462 76 296 81 295 84 303 28462 26844 71 295 72 295 76 300 26844 25152 70 293 66 295 69 297 25152 23388 67 294 65 296 68 298 23388 21555 62 297 65 300 66 303 21555 19649 56 302 58 303 57 305 19649 17660 48 306 46 300 47 301 17660 15629 40 310 39 297 40 295 15629 13671 35 313 37 298 40 294 13671 11892 32 312 35 301 40 291 11892 10312 30 315 30 302 38 286 10312 8907 28 321 23 304 34 279 8907 7656 23 328 18 307 28 278 7656 6545 19 334 15 307 22 282 6545 5564 16 336 14 302 19 287 5564 4706 12 337 13 293 16 282 4706 3950 7*350 10 289 13 265 3950 3274 4*028 2*258 10 234 3274 2678 4 032 2*147 8 183 2678 2182 4 032 2 139 12 149 2182 1802 4 032 2 139 14 137 1802 1540 3 031 2 142 13 132 1540 1382 3 030 2 142 10*128 1382 1291 3 028 2 143 5*126 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography