DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 63.9 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -14 - - 13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 458 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1294 - - 1895 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 6400 - - 2380 - - 2828 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 23 - - 81 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 223 - - 271 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2721 - - 138 - - -332 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4015 - - 1757 - - 1627 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4288 - - -651 - - -1482 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5582 - - 2546 - - 2776 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 520 - - 540 - - 550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 63.9 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.0 - - 60.3 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.1 - - 63.9 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.6 - - 59.9 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -14 - - 13 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 458 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 87 - - 101 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97521 33 255 34 267 28 282 97521 90145 27 247 30 262 31 270 90145 84422 24 242 28 250 26 257 84422 79656 19 233 21 249 22 248 79656 75570 12 245 11 244 17 247 75570 71973 7 296 1 264 8 256 71973 68729 1 316 3 221 9 291 68729 65752 8 305 7 266 9 290 65752 62983 9 320 7 272 9 296 62983 60302 16 319 17 307 17 294 60302 57517 23 294 21 296 19 300 57517 54627 24 296 28 298 24 282 54627 51858 30 288 32 294 23 270 51858 49355 31 276 35 275 26 273 49355 47109 32 267 34 271 30 276 47109 45083 39 262 44 260 43 268 45083 43254 36 234 54 238 48 242 43254 41581 28 236 44 223 43 230 41581 40035 39 265 33 218 52 239 40035 38600 59 269 63 254 64 241 38600 37254 59 262 64 247 63 239 37254 35954 60 258 53 236 64 232 35954 34631 56 256 51 235 61 224 34631 33260 48 251 50 238 50 232 33260 31843 44 250 52 242 42 239 31843 30362 40 246 52 239 42 245 30362 28805 37 234 50 236 41 249 28805 27171 38 221 40 233 39 249 27171 25460 36 225 28 232 36 250 25460 23675 34 238 27 241 33 250 23675 21819 32 248 23 246 30 248 21819 19888 27 250 21 242 25 243 19888 17879 25 256 21 242 19 242 17879 15834 23 248 20 243 19 243 15834 13866 21 240 20 242 21 258 13866 12074 22 247 20 237 22 270 12074 10481 24 247 21 235 21 274 10481 9067 23 244 21 238 19 264 9067 7809 21 240 21 247 19 257 7809 6691 19 237 22 256 17 262 6691 5699 17 234 22 262 15 266 5699 4823 16 235 22 267 14 263 4823 4048 16 235 21 273 13 254 4048 3352 16 235 19 274 13 243 3352 2736 15 233 17 273 12 235 2736 2221 14 232 14*273 11 217 2221 1826 13 230 12*271 9 200 1826 1553 11 228 10 271 8 185 1553 1388 9*226 9 270 6*177 1388 1293 6*220 6 270 4*171 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography