DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.3 - - 86.1 - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 34 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3489 - - 4034 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3343 - - 2971 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4926 - - 5471 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3855 - - 3681 - - 5711 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 319 - - 253 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 29 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 145 - - 181 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -237 - - 541 - - -1177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5164 - - 4930 - - 2473 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1394 - - -787 - - -2708 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6320 - - 6258 - - 4004 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 80 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1190 - - 1820 - - 2910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.3 - - 86.1 - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 68.6 - - 73.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.7 - - 85.7 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.6 - - 67.3 - - 72.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 34 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3489 - - 4034 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 29 - - 19 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98965 37 084 33 079 33 082 98965 91519 33 082 31 076 36 083 91519 85791 29 078 28 086 31 086 85791 81047 23 086 21 083 24 070 81047 76965 21 092 17 084 17 056 76965 73349 17 093 15 086 13 058 73349 70064 17 086 14 083 12 085 70064 67046 16 090 13 094 12 069 67046 64256 12 063 13 100 9 081 64256 61566 6 065 8 069 11 052 61566 58784 8 046 8 059 6 120 58784 55923 12 341 15 353 13 030 55923 53218 8 289 13 294 12 349 53218 50806 8 337 4 298 11 312 50806 48645 17 318 9 292 11 277 48645 46675 15 304 13 272 15 253 46675 44863 13 289 14 278 17 264 44863 43182 9 296 11 284 17 287 43182 41614 11 341 10 348 15 295 41614 40138 17 347 16 350 9 332 40138 38741 18 332 14 341 8 341 38741 37384 13 313 10 341 9 317 37384 36001 10 308 11 318 11 334 36001 34561 11 308 15 307 14 333 34561 33069 9 286 12 302 8 310 33069 31511 9 293 9 285 7 275 31511 29874 5 264 11 283 11 281 29874 28157 12 234 17 276 16 296 28157 26370 11 253 14 289 16 303 26370 24519 9 266 10 289 9 318 24519 22600 8 266 9 273 7 308 22600 20603 9 280 11 288 10 301 20603 18522 11 296 10 308 9 316 18522 16399 10 296 7 323 6 321 16399 14355 10 282 7 318 5 302 14355 12498 11 272 9 306 6 300 12498 10847 11 272 10 289 7 304 10847 9383 9 272 10 281 10 299 9383 8081 6 274 10 281 10 296 8081 6921 4 272 8 272 8 295 6921 5888 2 252 5*243 6 295 5888 4975 1*208 4*230 3 282 4975 4165 1*176 4 190 2 214 4165 3439 2 148 4 180 2 198 3439 2797 2 147 5 173 2 217 2797 2262 2 142 5 171 2 194 2262 1850 2 139 5 168 3 186 1850 1566 2 137 5 167 3 183 1566 1394 2 139 5 167 3*184 1394 1295 2 139 4 167 2*183 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography