DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.3 - - 64.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - -17 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5581 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5276 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7018 - - 1294 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4546 - - 4992 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 469 - - 20 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 238 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 130 - - -1788 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6888 - - 3083 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1148 - - -3061 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8166 - - 4355 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 160 - - 380 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.3 - - 64.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.4 - - 55.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.0 - - 65.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.3 - - 54.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 260 - - -17 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5581 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98024 5 136 4 212 98024 90619 1 072 5 153 90619 84891 2 200 3 343 84891 80127 5 167 3 200 80127 76023 7 140 1 208 76023 72392 6 284 2 188 72392 69095 9 255 7 264 69095 66073 9 258 9 265 66073 63274 9 273 10 256 63274 60550 15 279 17 267 60550 57709 31 269 26 270 57709 54769 32 253 28 252 54769 51954 32 274 28 259 51954 49406 52 267 35 268 49406 47119 57 254 54 264 47119 45061 55 246 61 253 45061 43193 51 244 56 248 43193 41479 52 250 58 247 41479 39896 65 253 63 246 39896 38426 79 245 68 247 38426 37058 83 238 73 248 37058 35751 79 236 79 249 35751 34434 74 237 82 248 34434 33074 69 238 80 247 33074 31667 65 239 74 245 31667 30197 60 240 70 240 30197 28652 57 240 68 237 28652 27031 55 239 67 237 27031 25333 53 241 65 238 25333 23559 52 247 62 238 23559 21713 54 248 60 241 21713 19794 55 242 54 244 19794 17801 56 235 42 245 17801 15774 54 235 39 244 15774 13818 48 243 36 245 13818 12037 34 247 33 247 12037 10455 24 250 34 250 10455 9048 20 248 32 257 9048 7797 19*244 28 256 7797 6683 19*237 25 246 6683 5694 19 232 23 239 5694 4820 19 227 21 235 4820 4045 18 224 19 234 4045 3350 18 222 19 235 3350 2735 18 220 18 237 2735 2221 18 219 17 236 2221 1826 17 218 16 237 1826 1553 16 217 14 237 1553 1388 15 217 11*239 1388 1293 12 216 7*238 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography