DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.4 - - 79.7 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - -40 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4385 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3283 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5822 - - 1295 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2074 - - 7184 - - 4149 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 264 - - 29 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 192 - - 195 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -947 - - -4967 - - -2087 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6769 - - 6262 - - 3382 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6599 - - -6526 - - -4540 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12421 - - 7821 - - 5835 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 66 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.4 - - 79.7 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.2 - - 56.8 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.2 - - 81.3 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.0 - - 55.5 - - 63.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - -40 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4385 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 0 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99212 21 093 24 075 27 063 99212 91702 25 078 23 086 20 080 91702 85923 24 080 19 092 17 077 85923 81157 21 086 15 088 13 076 81157 77056 19 085 13 073 12 079 77056 73418 18 086 11 072 12 068 73418 70112 16 084 7 122 7 037 70112 67071 8 110 5 137 4 340 67071 64254 2 134 4 142 5 218 64254 61527 7 231 5 273 3 161 61527 58688 10 226 12 249 10 266 58688 55766 10 247 13 252 14 258 55766 52998 16 254 22 265 15 261 52998 50513 21 260 26 265 22 275 50513 48296 25 272 30 268 33 272 48296 46296 32 283 31 272 42 264 46296 44464 39 277 34 270 44 258 44464 42771 42 270 40 269 42 248 42771 41201 43 264 44 260 39 247 41201 39739 43 261 48 247 45 256 39739 38364 43 257 47 247 55 259 38364 37030 44 259 45 250 58 259 37030 35668 43 263 44 250 55 259 35668 34249 38 264 40 249 47 252 34249 32779 34 264 33 246 39 238 32779 31243 30 261 29 252 36 234 31243 29629 25 252 29 256 32 244 29629 27937 24 250 31 250 32 249 27937 26170 24 246 32 241 32 247 26170 24328 25 241 30 242 29 249 24328 22413 25 244 27 246 24 249 22413 20425 23 243 23 246 22 251 20425 18361 21 234 22 233 20 253 18361 16260 19 226 21 225 18 258 16260 14236 17 228 19 233 19 268 14236 12395 14 231 16 242 20 269 12395 10760 13 232 15 245 18 255 10760 9308 14 232 15 233 16 245 9308 8017 16 225 16 210 15 230 8017 6866 17*212 16 198 17 215 6866 5844 16*204 15 197 18 206 5844 4940 16 198 15 197 17 203 4940 4141 15 192 14 195 17 200 4141 3422 14 189 14 195 16 199 3422 2786 14 187 13 195 15 197 2786 2254 13 186 13 194 14 194 2254 1845 12 185 12 194 12 191 1845 1563 12 184 11 194 10 185 1563 1392 11 183 10*194 7*178 1392 1294 9 184 7*195 4*171 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography