DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.5 - - 44.0 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 17 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2970 - - 3292 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3064 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4407 - - 4729 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1147 - - 1029 - - 799 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 159 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 315 - - 326 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2534 - - -1968 - - -3386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6941 - - 6698 - - 4678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12300 - - -12082 - - -15540 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16707 - - 16811 - - 16832 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 56 - - 63 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.5 - - 44.0 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.7 - - 19.3 - - 18.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 42.5 - - 43.9 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.9 - - 18.8 - - 17.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 163 - - 17 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2970 - - 3292 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96229 54 243 51 246 61 244 96229 88902 35 263 32 247 40 254 88902 83383 15 246 25 265 25 261 83383 78819 12 288 13 268 14 274 78819 74865 23 279 17 274 21 282 74865 71377 19 277 18 256 23 262 71377 68216 13 286 12 233 16 259 68216 65290 25 292 22 287 27 288 65290 62572 41 283 36 288 34 290 62572 59933 44 272 44 283 37 286 59933 57159 43 274 46 277 43 281 57159 54269 44 279 49 276 51 279 54269 51501 47 282 50 277 54 278 51501 48998 51 283 53 284 56 282 48998 46743 53 287 58 287 59 288 46743 44688 57 289 63 284 68 288 44688 42810 62 290 63 285 65 284 42810 41093 67 289 62 293 59 289 41093 39525 69 290 74 297 82 297 39525 38093 73 294 83 296 96 295 38093 36768 74 296 87 300 100 297 36768 35490 80 299 89 306 101 298 35490 34188 73 298 90 308 91 298 34188 32835 70 305 88 306 78 295 32835 31432 77 308 82 303 77 289 31432 29965 80 305 77 301 78 291 29965 28422 77 303 72 302 76 292 28422 26802 74 300 70 301 74 290 26802 25105 73 298 71 301 67 291 25105 23332 72 300 71 302 56 295 23332 21488 65 302 65 303 50 298 21488 19568 60 302 57 303 47 296 19568 17566 58 302 48 302 44 293 17566 15521 57 301 45 297 42 292 15521 13547 56 300 45 296 39 295 13547 11752 54 302 44 298 36 299 11752 10162 49 304 42 300 33 300 10162 8757 41 305 37 301 29 301 8757 7516 34 305 28 304 22 301 7516 6425 27 305 20 305 16 299 6425 5469 19 304 13*301 10 290 5469 4631 11*301 9*310 7 268 4631 3893 10*307 9 318 6 275 3893 3233 9 311 9 325 7 301 3233 2650 9 314 9 330 9 329 2650 2164 9 318 9 333 12 351 2164 1791 8 320 9 335 14 005 1791 1535 8 322 8 336 13 013 1535 1380 7 323 8 336 10*017 1380 1291 6 323 6 338 4*027 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography