DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 75.4 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 254 - - 86 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2625 - - 4333 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3016 - - 3674 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4062 - - 5770 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3047 - - 2540 - - 1036 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 360 - - 302 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 25 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 244 - - 229 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 31 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2051 - - -372 - - -4030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6113 - - 6142 - - 5325 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3527 - - -1492 - - -9681 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7589 - - 7262 - - 10976 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 82 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 100 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 75.4 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.2 - - 52.9 - - 50.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 74.9 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.5 - - 52.3 - - 50.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 254 - - 86 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2625 - - 4333 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 72 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96533 33 248 34 255 33 272 96533 89257 29 248 31 246 34 275 89257 83744 19 233 32 250 27 267 83744 79172 14 290 22 261 22 256 79172 75202 21 309 22 258 23 274 75202 71724 16 272 15 258 20 249 71724 68570 21 298 19 277 19 265 68570 65653 38 310 36 293 39 288 65653 62971 43 301 43 282 48 280 62971 60385 41 299 43 281 45 283 60385 57706 45 304 49 284 47 285 57706 54927 49 302 48 292 41 277 54927 52236 50 301 51 299 46 294 52236 49787 56 305 57 300 60 299 49787 47582 65 308 64 301 66 297 47582 45573 73 308 70 299 65 295 45573 43737 78 308 71 300 64 294 43737 42052 80 307 71 303 61 292 42052 40501 81 305 70 301 58 288 40501 39063 80 305 68 297 56 289 39063 37710 78 304 65 296 56 291 37710 36397 76 303 61 296 59 296 36397 35060 73 302 59 296 61 298 35060 33670 69 302 57 293 62 299 33670 32230 63 301 56 290 61 297 32230 30729 60 299 55 289 60 294 30729 29154 56 295 53 290 57 293 29154 27504 49 292 50 291 54 293 27504 25777 45 291 47 296 53 295 25777 23977 48 287 47 303 53 298 23977 22111 46 284 46 307 49 304 22111 20171 37 276 49 309 40 305 20171 18146 30 267 49 312 33 303 18146 16080 29 259 39 306 36 306 16080 14086 29 260 32 292 37 307 14086 12267 30 262 28 289 29 300 12267 10645 27 259 34 287 28 290 10645 9201 24 252 39 269 32 283 9201 7918 23 248 38 250 35 270 7918 6779 22 253 33*242 37 253 6779 5771 23 259 28*234 37 242 5771 4882 24 259 27 231 37 237 4882 4094 23*255 26 229 36 233 4094 3387 21*251 25 228 35 229 3387 2761 19 244 25 227 33 226 2761 2237 18 243 24 227 30 223 2237 1835 18 242 23 226 24 219 1835 1558 17 241 22 226 18 214 1558 1389 15 241 19 226 13*210 1389 1294 12 240 15 225 6*202 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography