DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.1 - - 54.1 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 58 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3523 - - 4183 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3519 - - 3094 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4960 - - 5620 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1746 - - 1654 - - 1627 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 351 - - 257 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 252 - - 265 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1623 - - -1716 - - -3714 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6583 - - 7337 - - 5007 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6508 - - -6189 - - -10699 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11468 - - 11809 - - 11992 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 64 - - 67 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.1 - - 54.1 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.8 - - 26.5 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.0 - - 53.7 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.9 - - 25.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 176 - - 58 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3523 - - 4183 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 24 043 28 052 25 059 96292 89273 13 064 13 044 15 027 89273 83781 11 053 5 085 8 360 83781 79167 6 355 5 324 12 333 79167 75164 4 277 6 290 9 326 75164 71600 6 290 12 285 14 325 71600 68358 7 310 12 277 13 292 68358 65375 19 334 14 314 11 322 65375 62597 35 298 36 297 30 306 62597 59911 40 285 43 289 43 288 59911 57114 41 287 46 292 45 288 57114 54204 49 292 50 292 48 293 54204 51422 57 292 55 292 57 294 51422 48920 63 288 61 289 66 289 48920 46679 66 282 67 285 69 284 46679 44650 64 282 72 283 72 281 44650 42794 63 287 77 281 70 276 42794 41096 70 289 77 280 70 287 41096 39542 76 292 74 289 96 297 39542 38116 97 305 94 299 119 295 38116 36786 121 305 118 295 119 288 36786 35501 136 300 128 290 112 281 35501 34189 127 299 120 292 109 279 34189 32822 118 300 105 293 110 281 32822 31404 114 298 98 294 112 292 31404 29926 111 297 98 292 93 296 29926 28377 107 299 97 289 81 295 28377 26755 104 306 95 289 78 292 26755 25058 87 309 88 298 72 289 25058 23284 61 301 79 307 65 293 23284 21439 54 292 64 302 55 294 21439 19523 47 294 52 289 48 282 19523 17531 43 287 48 284 48 277 17531 15506 39 277 46 284 48 284 15506 13556 30 273 41 284 42 290 13556 11786 25 279 32 284 34 293 11786 10219 23 282 24 284 22 288 10219 8834 22 284 20 285 17 277 8834 7607 23 283 19 285 16 280 7607 6520 21 279 16*281 19 279 6520 5556 17*273 13*272 20 274 5556 4706 14*264 13 268 20 270 4706 3954 13 258 13 266 19 266 3954 3280 12 252 13 264 17 265 3280 2685 12 249 13 263 14 265 2685 2187 12 246 12 262 11 264 2187 1805 11 243 12 261 10 263 1805 1542 10 243 12 261 8 259 1542 1383 10 242 11 261 6*250 1383 1292 8 241 9 260 3*220 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography