DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.4 - - 86.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 100 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5792 - - 6037 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5374 - - 5088 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7229 - - 7474 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1797 - - 2201 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 455 - - 363 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 254 - - 273 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -723 - - 93 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7952 - - 7381 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3167 - - -1110 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10396 - - 8584 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 110 - - 420 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.4 - - 86.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.9 - - 58.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.9 - - 85.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.5 - - 57.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 100 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5792 - - 6037 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 4 - - 63 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98431 8 134 10 045 98431 91021 14 100 4 086 91021 85355 19 096 4 120 85355 80647 12 080 4 081 80647 76570 7 101 7 076 76570 72954 7 066 8 081 72954 69676 7 034 7 055 69676 66671 12 021 6 025 66671 63899 12 351 8 355 63899 61221 8 356 8 345 61221 58434 16 338 12 336 58434 55545 17 316 12 335 55545 52800 22 322 25 318 52800 50349 32 304 33 305 50349 48167 42 286 42 289 48167 46199 44 279 42 275 46199 44402 44 281 44 268 44402 42741 43 278 47 270 42741 41188 43 275 50 270 41188 39725 38 276 45 272 39725 38342 37 276 41 280 38342 37002 37 279 46 286 37002 35633 42 281 45 280 35633 34205 50 279 45 277 34205 32726 52 275 40 281 32726 31182 50 265 38 278 31182 29562 44 265 39 274 29562 27870 42 262 36 271 27870 26107 43 264 34 272 26107 24274 42 268 35 278 24274 22372 38 269 37 275 22372 20397 36 270 37 273 20397 18341 30 267 35 272 18341 16250 28 268 29 266 16250 14239 25 275 21 261 14239 12407 24 277 18 262 12407 10775 22 272 19 267 10775 9322 19 266 17 271 9322 8029 14*259 15*274 8029 6878 13*256 15*274 6878 5855 13 256 15 274 5855 4950 13 255 15 274 4950 4149 13 255 16 273 4149 3429 12 254 16 273 3429 2791 12 253 15 273 2791 2258 12 253 15 273 2258 1847 11 252 15 273 1847 1565 11 252 14 273 1565 1393 10 252 13 273 1393 1294 8 252 10 273 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography