DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 33.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 145 - - 24 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4744 - - 5910 - - 3808 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4205 - - 5148 - - 1274 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6181 - - 7347 - - 5245 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 886 - - 484 - - 2614 - - 5662 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 386 - - 184 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 23 - - 22 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 299 - - 294 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 15 - - 15 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 315 - - 1351 - - -482 - - -3922 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5867 - - 5996 - - 5728 - - 5214 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3023 - - 995 - - -815 - - -4150 ODpotential blCL - - - 9204 - - 6352 - - 6060 - - 5442 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.8 - - 33.8 - - 33.7 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.6 - - 12.1 - - 13.3 - - 13.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 33.2 - - 33.6 - - 32.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.0 - - 11.6 - - 13.0 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 145 - - 24 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4744 - - 5910 - - 3808 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 99 - - 87 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95823 8 303 7 292 12 296 12 252 95823 88774 3 326 5 220 16 292 12 295 88774 83335 5 203 5 234 10 245 11 292 83335 78802 6 280 8 252 14 264 17 260 78802 74855 11 241 13 225 18 227 18 269 74855 71342 9 265 15 273 13 255 17 257 71342 68122 16 239 24 230 16 212 13 252 68122 65135 22 259 33 253 33 272 39 271 65135 62370 41 250 45 255 45 259 42 256 62370 59692 40 229 41 243 41 254 38 252 59692 56881 30 224 35 241 41 248 41 254 56881 53947 33 252 35 243 41 249 50 258 53947 51146 46 256 42 260 52 258 59 258 51146 48632 58 262 63 267 62 262 62 261 48632 46391 73 264 77 269 72 264 72 265 46391 44370 84 265 85 271 82 264 77 267 44370 42529 92 267 96 267 87 264 82 268 42529 40837 100 264 100 261 91 264 86 265 40837 39270 104 258 97 260 94 264 92 263 39270 37816 103 257 95 264 96 264 96 261 37816 36461 103 263 96 267 97 264 94 263 36461 35159 108 269 97 270 97 265 92 271 35159 33841 114 269 100 272 97 266 101 277 33841 32476 116 268 103 270 97 267 109 275 32476 31064 113 268 105 267 94 267 109 275 31064 29591 111 272 105 268 89 267 106 275 29591 28042 113 274 103 272 85 270 104 275 28042 26417 116 274 102 276 83 273 103 280 26417 24716 114 275 104 278 80 274 93 279 24716 22942 100 276 103 279 78 275 83 274 22942 21098 78 276 101 284 75 277 78 273 21098 19178 58 278 95 288 74 279 72 274 19178 17178 45 279 73 285 73 283 67 278 17178 15142 37 283 50 278 66 286 62 284 15142 13195 35 288 36 274 55 288 55 289 13195 11444 34 295 33 279 47 292 47 295 11444 9902 32 303 33 289 39 295 43 301 9902 8545 33 311 29*298 30 298 39 305 8545 7354 33 310 24*299 27 297 34 304 7354 6310 29*302 24 299 26 297 29 302 6310 5388 29*300 24 299 26*296 28 302 5388 4573 28 299 24 299 25*295 26 302 4573 3851 28 298 23 299 25 294 24 301 3851 3205 26 297 23 299 24 294 21 300 3205 2632 25 296 22 299 23 293 20 299 2632 2153 24 295 22 299 22 293 17 298 2153 1785 22 294 21 299 21 293 16 297 1785 1532 21 293 20 299 19 292 13 296 1532 1378 18 294 18 299 16 292 11*296 1378 1291 14 293 13 300 12 292 8*295 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography