DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.5 - - 78.3 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 30 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4355 - - 4696 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4036 - - 3349 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5792 - - 6133 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1420 - - 2078 - - 7063 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 356 - - 260 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 21 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 320 - - 319 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -557 - - -1153 - - -2760 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6349 - - 7286 - - 4056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6293 - - -6916 - - -4774 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12085 - - 13049 - - 6069 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 63 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 75.5 - - 78.3 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.2 - - 50.9 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 78.0 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.9 - - 49.6 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 30 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4355 - - 4696 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 63 - - 0 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98995 38 093 29 087 21 072 98995 91491 33 082 29 081 24 078 91491 85711 26 074 28 076 25 073 85711 80938 20 077 23 074 23 072 80938 76830 14 085 14 070 21 066 76830 73184 9 092 9 085 11 056 73184 69885 6 109 7 083 7 085 69885 66862 5 150 2 159 6 108 66862 64054 5 276 3 255 3 103 64054 61324 12 260 10 274 10 283 61324 58492 12 251 12 261 16 261 58492 55575 21 261 20 263 22 265 55575 52806 29 255 28 266 30 276 52806 50327 40 260 47 261 46 265 50327 48109 49 253 48 256 47 250 48109 46101 48 255 50 260 52 267 46101 44275 53 261 57 271 54 264 44275 42602 57 262 61 270 44 271 42602 41047 58 261 52 265 49 280 41047 39589 59 259 46 262 54 285 39589 38214 58 259 46 264 53 285 38214 36880 54 259 47 263 47 289 36880 35523 46 257 48 263 44 285 35523 34111 47 256 46 262 44 274 34111 32647 52 253 44 267 44 270 32647 31117 51 257 44 270 41 274 31117 29511 48 262 42 267 39 273 29511 27829 43 264 39 265 34 266 27829 26069 38 259 34 265 32 253 26069 24235 31 252 30 260 31 253 24235 22326 27 260 28 252 31 253 22326 20337 25 256 26 246 30 250 20337 18268 26 257 27 243 24 241 18268 16165 23 263 26 247 21 246 16165 14140 20 271 21 257 19 258 14140 12300 18 286 16 276 17 270 12300 10668 16 299 13 293 12 264 10668 9227 15 306 9 293 10 225 9227 7950 14 306 7 269 9 226 7950 6810 10*305 6*268 7 227 6810 5797 8*309 5*271 4 228 5797 4902 8 312 3 288 0 270 4902 4109 7 317 2 306 3 033 4109 3398 6 321 2 330 5 032 3398 2769 6 327 2 349 7 031 2769 2243 5 330 2 359 8 029 2243 1838 5 332 2 007 9 027 1838 1560 4 333 3 007 8 027 1560 1391 4 333 2 008 7*030 1391 1294 4 334 2 010 4*032 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography