DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 42.1 - - 41.0 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 188 - - 77 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1339 - - 3023 - - 3191 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 3165 - - 2664 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2776 - - 4460 - - 4628 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 838 - - 968 - - 1160 - - 3551 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 336 - - 254 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 268 - - 280 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - 13 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5926 - - -4460 - - -3932 - - -5432 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8703 - - 8920 - - 8561 - - 6724 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15757 - - -12663 - - -12668 - - -16991 ODpotential blCL - - - 18533 - - 17123 - - 17296 - - 18283 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 85 - - 83 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.4 - - 42.1 - - 41.0 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.1 - - 7.5 - - 8.0 - - 7.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 41.0 - - 40.6 - - 32.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.0 - - 7.1 - - 7.7 - - 7.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 84 - - 188 - - 77 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1339 - - 3023 - - 3191 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 40 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95474 99 230 97 244 94 240 95 242 95474 88381 79 241 80 243 87 244 86 248 88381 82906 62 249 65 236 75 245 78 250 82906 78408 54 252 55 240 62 239 68 244 78408 74532 46 248 54 249 59 246 60 248 74532 71088 43 253 54 247 59 253 55 255 71088 67949 52 256 53 254 57 259 57 261 67949 65039 63 253 58 257 62 262 61 262 65039 62320 69 255 67 252 67 261 67 263 62320 59673 80 255 75 253 74 261 73 265 59673 56909 87 254 85 258 83 260 80 265 56909 54044 97 256 99 258 94 261 90 264 54044 51306 110 255 110 257 107 260 104 264 51306 48831 117 254 119 256 116 257 115 262 48831 46602 121 253 124 254 122 258 121 260 46602 44573 122 252 125 253 128 259 125 260 44573 42709 121 254 126 254 132 258 126 262 42709 40983 124 257 125 254 131 257 132 260 40983 39391 124 257 126 256 137 257 138 257 39391 37926 120 257 131 258 146 256 137 256 37926 36567 122 257 132 259 147 256 137 262 36567 35268 121 256 136 260 145 258 143 266 35268 33954 116 253 136 258 140 258 144 265 33954 32586 109 253 131 259 138 259 141 262 32586 31169 105 252 125 259 138 259 138 259 31169 29688 104 252 118 258 134 259 137 257 29688 28133 101 252 112 255 124 259 132 256 28133 26507 99 252 106 254 112 258 118 259 26507 24811 98 252 101 255 102 256 104 260 24811 23045 93 251 95 255 97 256 97 259 23045 21212 86 251 89 255 94 255 90 260 21212 19305 80 251 83 254 86 253 87 260 19305 17317 73 251 77 256 77 251 81 254 17317 15289 66 253 70 256 70 252 72 250 15289 13337 59 253 62 252 63 255 64 252 13337 11569 56 245 55 245 58 256 58 254 11569 10008 55 239 52 244 55 256 54 255 10008 8632 52 241 49 248 52 259 52 260 8632 7416 48 249 46 257 48 264 49 268 7416 6343 43 256 42 266 43 271 45 278 6343 5400 40 260 36 271 35*275 37 285 5400 4577 35 266 25*270 25*276 27 292 4577 3853 30 272 18*268 20 278 18 300 3853 3206 24*276 17 268 20 279 16 306 3206 2634 16*275 16 268 19 280 15 309 2634 2154 12 274 16 268 19 281 15 313 2154 1787 10 275 15 268 18 282 15 318 1787 1533 9 274 14 268 17 282 13 322 1533 1379 9 274 13 268 15 283 11*324 1379 1291 7 275 10 268 11 283 6*325 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography