DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.4 - - 23.4 - - 19.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 337 - - 84 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4216 - - 4212 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4308 - - 3488 - - 1273 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5653 - - 5649 - - 1291 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 902 - - 947 - - 3735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 457 - - 288 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 22 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 280 - - 291 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -733 - - 153 - - -3335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6387 - - 5497 - - 4626 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5641 - - -72 - - -9290 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11294 - - 5721 - - 10581 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 94 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.4 - - 23.4 - - 19.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 2.4 - - 3.6 - - 3.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.9 - - 23.0 - - 20.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 2.3 - - 3.6 - - 3.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 337 - - 84 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4216 - - 4212 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 78 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95671 36 281 36 260 37 263 95671 88820 21 292 21 296 23 308 88820 83454 15 282 19 279 19 311 83454 78951 16 284 17 280 18 292 78951 75052 12 279 14 290 17 289 75052 71573 13 270 16 271 20 283 71573 68375 15 274 25 283 24 277 68375 65398 18 290 26 287 20 267 65398 62597 16 264 20 271 19 270 62597 59847 19 244 21 262 27 272 59847 56956 35 260 32 260 32 276 56956 53939 41 250 39 249 38 266 53939 51054 43 239 42 239 40 254 51054 48454 47 232 41 236 37 250 48454 46119 48 231 39 241 38 254 46119 43998 47 233 41 249 41 255 43998 42060 50 236 46 246 42 252 42060 40276 55 232 50 238 42 248 40276 38623 59 226 54 230 42 247 38623 37081 64 220 57 225 44 248 37081 35637 65 216 57 222 46 243 35637 34252 63 216 56 221 44 236 34252 32857 63 221 54 220 38 230 32857 31423 69 225 52 220 33 229 31423 29955 76 222 52 220 32 242 29955 28445 84 216 54 219 35 253 28445 26882 88 213 58 217 36 250 26882 25270 89 212 62 216 32 247 25270 23610 91 212 65 214 28 250 23610 21902 92 212 64 213 24 257 21902 20152 90 213 60 216 22 276 20152 18354 85 215 57 224 24 312 18354 16500 77 220 51 229 29 328 16500 14618 65 223 39 238 31 335 14618 12802 51 229 29 258 30 335 12802 11147 39 238 23 280 29 330 11147 9674 28 253 22 299 28 328 9674 8365 24 271 24 306 27 329 8365 7204 26 278 25 300 29 325 7204 6176 24*279 23*291 35 313 6176 5272 23*279 23*290 38 304 5272 4479 23 279 23 291 35 299 4479 3780 23 280 23 291 30 298 3780 3153 23 280 22 291 27 297 3153 2596 23 280 22 291 23 295 2596 2131 23 281 22 292 20 293 2131 1773 22 281 21 292 16 292 1773 1526 20 281 19 292 12 290 1526 1376 19 281 17 292 10*289 1376 1290 15 282 13 292 5*288 1290 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography