DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 66.1 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - -48 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3017 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4454 - - 1294 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1511 - - 5430 - - 2013 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 225 - - 25 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 349 - - 352 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1814 - - -3444 - - -1746 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6268 - - 4738 - - 3040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9975 - - -4931 - - -4069 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14429 - - 6225 - - 5363 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 69 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.0 - - 66.1 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.1 - - 49.8 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 67.8 - - 67.5 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.8 - - 48.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - -48 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3017 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 82 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98491 11 080 6 356 5 010 98491 91142 9 062 5 311 5 350 91142 85436 4 056 4 294 7 000 85436 80671 4 295 2 004 12 354 80671 76560 6 238 3 027 9 323 76560 72948 1 162 3 005 2 288 72948 69703 4 074 3 247 2 047 69703 66729 3 046 4 247 5 012 66729 63976 4 139 4 197 7 360 63976 61304 5 092 6 195 5 313 61304 58515 3 040 6 207 6 276 58515 55621 9 302 6 332 6 285 55621 52865 15 280 13 343 7 311 52865 50386 16 293 15 328 6 304 50386 48154 24 299 21 299 14 288 48154 46118 22 280 24 274 19 293 46118 44241 17 269 24 273 24 291 44241 42503 16 283 21 284 22 289 42503 40883 20 287 21 291 18 285 40883 39370 21 293 25 297 16 303 39370 37950 22 293 27 299 13 324 37950 36584 21 297 24 299 10 348 36584 35206 17 301 18 303 10 016 35206 33786 13 302 11 315 14 056 33786 32324 10 308 8 360 25 065 32324 30801 6 318 12 046 28 052 30801 29202 4 018 17 065 24 052 29202 27526 7 039 16 075 22 060 27526 25770 9 016 9 054 18 054 25770 23940 15 352 11 012 14 038 23940 22037 20 350 20 341 17 026 22037 20057 20 345 27 326 21 022 20057 17997 22 339 29 326 22 357 17997 15903 26 359 26 346 19 002 15903 13893 33 012 32 002 24 004 13893 12077 36 013 39 003 23 009 12077 10469 37 011 40 005 25 029 10469 9045 36 008 36 011 31 023 9045 7781 36 005 37 013 38 010 7781 6662 37 005 35 008 38 002 6662 5671 33 360 28 351 37 354 5671 4799 29*354 27 351 34 342 4799 4026 27*350 27 353 31 341 4026 3334 26 350 26 354 29 346 3334 2723 25 350 25 355 27 357 2723 2212 24 349 24 355 23 007 2212 1820 22 349 21 355 20 012 1820 1551 20 349 19 355 16 014 1551 1387 18 348 16*354 13*014 1387 1293 13 348 11*352 6*014 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography