DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.1 - - 90.3 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 68 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5400 - - 5455 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4776 - - 4443 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6837 - - 6892 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2173 - - 3831 - - 5551 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 376 - - 322 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 269 - - 280 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 21 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 299 - - 214 - - -3423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6539 - - 6678 - - 4719 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1944 - - -1326 - - -5659 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8781 - - 8218 - - 6955 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 79 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1350 - - 1460 - - 1420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.1 - - 90.3 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.6 - - 65.2 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.3 - - 89.9 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.2 - - 64.1 - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 68 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5400 - - 5455 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 10 - - 17 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98839 20 082 19 079 16 056 98839 91353 22 089 14 090 12 065 91353 85581 26 092 11 093 14 070 85581 80782 20 097 16 077 19 068 80782 76660 18 096 18 081 19 062 76660 73046 17 082 17 087 15 071 73046 69806 16 067 15 081 14 092 69806 66844 14 063 15 074 13 085 66844 64098 9 055 13 067 8 059 64098 61442 2 048 11 071 2 342 61442 58681 5 157 6 074 1 216 58681 55824 3 227 13 261 9 287 55824 53104 8 264 20 246 19 279 53104 50670 2 317 17 242 25 270 50670 48506 13 320 15 235 25 252 48506 46552 20 292 13 240 24 247 46552 44759 17 263 15 250 19 224 44759 43091 16 229 15 242 19 212 43091 41526 24 205 11 235 26 253 41526 40051 36 193 11 284 20 252 40051 38652 42 189 19 281 17 246 38652 37289 41 191 27 283 15 232 37289 35900 37 196 27 282 16 223 35900 34456 27 206 8 237 22 245 34456 32960 16 241 11 216 27 263 32960 31398 16 281 19 257 25 261 31398 29764 13 262 21 260 23 246 29764 28061 10 218 21 260 27 250 28061 26285 10 232 22 260 28 255 26285 24437 21 263 25 251 26 265 24437 22518 29 271 30 253 25 274 22518 20525 31 274 34 263 27 273 20525 18455 28 275 32 264 30 272 18455 16351 28 272 30 261 30 267 16351 14327 28 271 31 259 27 263 14327 12486 23 276 28 260 26 262 12486 10847 14 276 23 265 26 265 10847 9387 9 273 19 270 24 264 9387 8084 11 269 17 271 21 261 8084 6923 11*266 16*274 18 261 6923 5892 11*266 16*276 15 266 5892 4981 11 267 16 277 14 273 4981 4172 11 268 16 279 14 278 4172 3447 11 269 16 280 14 281 3447 2804 11 270 16 281 13 285 2804 2266 10 270 15 282 13 288 2266 1852 10 271 15 282 13 290 1852 1567 9 272 14 283 11 291 1567 1394 9 272 13 284 9*292 1394 1295 7 272 10 283 6*292 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography