DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 86.1 - - 86.9 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 42 - - -21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3204 - - 5439 - - 5677 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2158 - - 4306 - - 1279 - - 1279 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4641 - - 6876 - - 7114 - - 1296 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1481 - - 2467 - - 3357 - - 8378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 229 - - 308 - - 200 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 288 - - 271 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 841 - - 1111 - - 690 - - -2748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3800 - - 5766 - - 6424 - - 4044 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1508 - - -585 - - -1789 - - -4868 ODpotential blCL - - - 6149 - - 7461 - - 8903 - - 6164 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 76 - - 83 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 1360 - - 1130 - - 980 - - 2240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 86.1 - - 86.9 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.7 - - 65.2 - - 63.2 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 85.8 - - 88.2 - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 63.8 - - 61.9 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 42 - - -21 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3204 - - 5439 - - 5677 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 3 - - 33 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99367 32 094 25 097 24 071 31 070 99367 91886 29 089 28 090 27 079 32 088 91886 86134 28 084 28 087 27 087 24 082 86134 81361 25 083 25 083 26 099 15 074 81361 77227 21 080 17 086 19 092 9 087 77227 73553 17 061 14 113 7 066 9 099 73553 70224 10 050 11 104 3 100 9 082 70224 67178 4 062 8 076 6 128 7 065 67178 64373 7 136 4 103 4 144 3 030 64373 61671 5 121 5 166 4 192 1 120 61671 58869 4 109 8 215 6 258 6 255 58869 55991 7 273 8 221 9 223 15 250 55991 53278 15 253 13 264 18 258 20 269 53278 50844 23 255 27 257 28 251 26 267 50844 48653 29 260 35 255 36 255 33 263 48653 46664 35 258 39 254 39 257 38 254 46664 44842 37 247 41 250 42 258 40 252 44842 43158 36 241 41 250 43 252 39 254 43158 41584 33 251 41 253 43 253 38 262 41584 40104 38 258 44 254 46 252 40 269 40104 38706 45 252 46 249 48 250 42 264 38706 37352 48 250 45 242 45 251 33 258 37352 35975 47 251 44 244 40 254 22 273 35975 34542 42 247 42 252 38 253 21 279 34542 33057 39 248 40 251 36 254 22 274 33057 31506 34 253 41 250 36 256 22 275 31506 29876 31 248 40 249 37 250 22 272 29876 28170 27 243 35 248 30 243 22 269 28170 26387 25 244 27 249 32 251 23 275 26387 24532 24 256 27 260 31 261 23 270 24532 22608 25 256 27 266 27 269 20 267 22608 20609 27 256 26 272 25 275 18 275 20609 18533 25 273 25 276 22 273 17 279 18533 16421 23 279 22 276 20 278 16 290 16421 14386 20 274 21 273 19 283 14 298 14386 12534 17 267 20 269 18 284 13 282 12534 10889 15 266 18 272 16 274 12 271 10889 9427 13 273 15 279 13 264 9 279 9427 8121 12 286 12 276 11*264 7 274 8121 6954 13 299 11*276 10*265 7 264 6954 5916 13 306 10*279 9 267 8 256 5916 4998 13*306 9 282 9 268 9 250 4998 4184 12*307 8 285 8 270 9 245 4184 3455 11 308 7 289 7 273 8 241 3455 2809 10 310 7 293 7 276 8 237 2809 2269 9 312 6 296 6 279 7 231 2269 1854 8 314 6 298 6 281 6 224 1854 1568 8 313 5 298 6 282 4 215 1568 1395 7 314 5 299 5 283 3*202 1395 1295 6 314 5 300 5 283 2*193 1295 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography