DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.6 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 76 - - -3 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 752 - - 1880 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1274 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2189 - - 3317 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 988 - - 1041 - - 4345 - - 944 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 219 - - 9 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 257 - - 277 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -40 - - 229 - - -1603 - - -445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2229 - - 3088 - - 2896 - - 1737 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5165 - - -3362 - - -2309 - - -3591 ODpotential blCL - - - 7354 - - 6679 - - 3602 - - 4883 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 85 - - 84 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.6 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.2 - - 33.0 - - 34.6 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 41.5 - - 43.4 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 31.8 - - 33.3 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 76 - - -3 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 752 - - 1880 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 40 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96279 5 100 4 025 3 178 3 294 96279 89046 0 312 5 321 4 192 10 255 89046 83466 5 290 6 231 8 277 10 263 83466 78850 11 268 6 243 11 255 14 261 78850 74882 20 267 13 246 18 273 17 253 74882 71385 20 272 23 256 23 262 22 269 71385 68227 25 250 30 258 27 259 30 261 68227 65323 30 266 36 252 33 262 36 253 65323 62615 41 270 40 248 43 258 44 254 62615 59978 51 271 44 255 48 252 49 251 59978 57216 61 265 55 258 54 254 56 250 57216 54341 67 256 65 255 65 255 67 254 54341 51591 72 252 72 252 78 251 84 253 51591 49115 76 254 77 252 84 246 91 248 49115 46878 82 253 83 251 82 248 86 250 46878 44829 89 250 90 251 91 257 100 256 44829 42947 95 248 99 253 94 256 118 252 42947 41221 104 249 107 250 109 255 127 242 41221 39621 120 250 118 246 122 251 116 237 39621 38113 127 248 130 244 129 246 107 243 38113 36689 127 247 140 244 129 243 111 257 36689 35321 128 248 142 242 135 242 130 262 35321 33942 133 250 144 242 142 242 137 257 33942 32515 140 250 147 243 142 242 137 249 32515 31045 143 248 148 243 141 239 137 244 31045 29525 142 246 149 240 151 237 127 247 29525 27953 142 244 151 239 154 237 97 254 27953 26330 137 244 149 240 147 237 79 260 26330 24651 119 248 134 243 128 240 71 267 24651 22909 100 249 109 245 109 243 68 270 22909 21099 90 249 96 246 98 244 66 271 21099 19211 80 246 88 248 89 247 58 276 19211 17240 73 245 76 249 74 251 52 279 17240 15242 65 245 62 249 52 253 46 276 15242 13335 53 246 50 253 41 260 39 273 13335 11604 42 252 38 259 37 270 35 273 11604 10067 35 254 28 263 32 274 32 273 10067 8701 29 253 24 273 27 278 28 272 8701 7487 25 258 22 285 24 284 22 275 7487 6412 22 267 23 291 21 292 17 285 6412 5463 20 274 22 295 15 299 14 296 5463 4628 17 280 18 296 10 300 9 305 4628 3892 14 288 13*292 9 294 9 314 3892 3233 11 297 8*274 8 293 11 311 3233 2652 9*296 6 257 7 290 14 308 2652 2166 8*280 6 254 6 286 14 307 2166 1793 7 270 5 251 5 284 14 306 1793 1536 5 267 5 249 5 282 12 305 1536 1380 5 267 5 248 4*280 9*300 1380 1291 4 265 4 247 2*277 4*298 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography