DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 60.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - -21 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1708 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3145 - - 1294 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1176 - - 3701 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 180 - - 18 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 358 - - 358 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3897 - - -3961 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7042 - - 5255 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11941 - - -8817 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15086 - - 10111 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 59 - - 38 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 60.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.2 - - 42.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 62.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.0 - - 41.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - -21 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1708 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97403 15 235 23 262 97403 90129 10 243 12 250 90129 84538 7 258 5 259 84538 79900 0 234 4 290 79900 75923 5 105 2 162 75923 72415 5 036 5 015 72415 69237 6 007 3 356 69237 66307 10 332 6 333 66307 63587 9 314 10 310 63587 60949 14 297 15 284 60949 58207 23 296 25 296 58207 55372 32 286 27 286 55372 52655 31 274 31 284 52655 50187 31 270 36 275 50187 47955 33 272 36 274 47955 45911 35 277 38 284 45911 44025 43 284 42 283 44025 42275 45 279 41 276 42275 40641 45 270 37 271 40641 39109 43 264 33 277 39109 37673 40 265 37 290 37673 36301 37 275 36 290 36301 34920 31 276 26 290 34920 33498 23 281 21 319 33498 32033 23 303 27 343 32033 30513 24 316 27 339 30513 28928 22 314 29 336 28928 27278 23 291 30 339 27278 25557 22 276 31 343 25557 23766 18 289 31 344 23766 21903 19 305 30 336 21903 19962 17 318 28 333 19962 17936 18 330 29 342 17936 15867 20 337 26 345 15867 13875 20 344 21 334 13875 12067 18 350 20 329 12067 10464 17 352 19 334 10464 9040 18 352 19 340 9040 7776 19 353 21 345 7776 6655 19 357 23 348 6655 5664 20 001 23 348 5664 4792 21 003 22 345 4792 4023 20 000 19 346 4023 3333 17*359 16 350 3333 2723 13*358 15 353 2723 2213 12 358 14 357 2213 1821 12 358 12 358 1821 1550 11 358 10 359 1550 1386 10 358 8*359 1386 1293 8 358 4*358 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography