DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.0 - - 73.4 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 206 - - 65 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5525 - - 6210 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5147 - - 4850 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6962 - - 7647 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1510 - - 1806 - - 7348 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 442 - - 321 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 013 - - 020 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1233 - - -767 - - -4377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8195 - - 8415 - - 5672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8166 - - -5203 - - -5814 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15128 - - 12850 - - 7108 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 92 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.0 - - 73.4 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.4 - - 40.9 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.6 - - 72.8 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.2 - - 39.7 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 206 - - 65 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5525 - - 6210 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 66 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98479 9 086 9 078 14 035 98479 91001 7 074 10 086 5 108 91001 85241 13 086 8 124 4 121 85241 80467 12 084 7 087 8 068 80467 76348 15 090 7 038 13 053 76348 72697 9 046 11 054 16 034 72697 69404 7 074 7 047 13 017 69404 66389 12 007 9 017 14 356 66389 63599 9 345 9 326 14 323 63599 60902 21 335 14 329 22 317 60902 58101 32 318 23 323 29 302 58101 55195 37 307 35 316 31 298 55195 52413 41 298 42 306 37 301 52413 49917 50 291 52 299 49 304 49917 47698 53 283 64 292 63 301 47698 45701 52 286 71 283 70 286 45701 43882 60 288 73 273 70 274 43882 42202 61 279 61 274 69 269 42202 40635 62 282 60 286 65 269 40635 39168 65 284 70 291 66 274 39168 37789 66 285 76 289 74 276 37789 36458 66 283 77 285 75 272 36458 35102 65 280 77 284 76 271 35102 33691 64 276 76 284 76 273 33691 32227 64 275 70 287 69 271 32227 30700 58 278 57 288 67 271 30700 29099 49 278 49 287 62 278 29099 27426 49 279 48 285 54 281 27426 25682 51 278 46 282 50 280 25682 23865 46 278 42 283 47 280 23865 21979 39 283 45 286 42 282 21979 20019 36 289 42 284 36 283 20019 17983 37 289 29 290 26 287 17983 15914 33 294 26 303 21 289 15914 13923 26 300 21 311 17 302 13923 12119 22 300 17 312 13 315 12119 10524 18 311 12 308 8 316 10524 9109 13 346 7 330 5 342 9109 7851 11*011 7*005 8 026 7851 6730 10*011 8*013 10 034 6730 5733 10 012 8 016 11 036 5733 4852 11 012 9 020 11 038 4852 4071 11 013 9 021 11 040 4071 3370 11 014 9 021 11 042 3370 2749 11 014 9 023 11 044 2749 2230 10 014 9 023 11 045 2230 1831 10 014 9 023 10 046 1831 1556 9 015 9 023 9 046 1556 1389 9 014 8 023 7*046 1389 1293 8 014 7 022 4*045 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography