DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 42.9 - - 46.5 - - 41.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 300 - - 151 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4351 - - 4859 - - 4487 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4157 - - 4771 - - 4146 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5788 - - 6296 - - 5924 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1022 - - 845 - - 1245 - - 4408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 466 - - 362 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 334 - - 334 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 771 - - 163 - - -1608 - - -4557 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5017 - - 6134 - - 7533 - - 5849 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -183 - - -8415 - - -9741 - - -11382 ODpotential blCL - - - 5971 - - 14711 - - 15665 - - 12674 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 75 - - 56 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.8 - - 42.9 - - 46.5 - - 41.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.8 - - 20.8 - - 18.1 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 41.5 - - 45.6 - - 43.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 19.7 - - 17.0 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 300 - - 151 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4351 - - 4859 - - 4487 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 44 247 39 235 41 241 41 267 96454 89124 38 242 40 240 40 245 44 257 89124 83529 33 238 38 236 42 241 43 237 83529 78888 40 256 36 260 37 250 38 256 78888 74905 40 242 37 257 36 270 39 262 74905 71402 38 234 38 246 38 261 37 258 71402 68214 40 265 42 253 42 252 40 272 68214 65267 44 277 48 272 52 265 49 275 65267 62530 49 273 58 276 59 275 60 278 62530 59888 60 263 64 268 68 277 73 277 59888 57149 68 257 71 260 78 267 82 268 57149 54303 75 255 79 255 81 261 81 264 54303 51555 82 264 82 260 84 264 79 271 51555 49063 95 269 92 265 89 266 85 276 49063 46823 102 268 93 264 89 269 92 276 46823 44792 104 268 94 268 91 275 94 276 44792 42939 106 272 97 272 100 279 95 281 42939 41245 111 274 104 275 113 280 103 289 41245 39690 116 271 116 275 123 276 112 292 39690 38249 118 264 126 271 121 275 116 293 38249 36899 117 261 124 265 110 275 119 295 36899 35598 113 260 109 265 98 281 120 296 35598 34275 106 262 100 275 103 291 119 296 34275 32900 103 267 105 281 107 291 117 297 32900 31475 105 269 110 278 106 289 114 296 31475 29988 103 267 111 272 103 287 107 294 29988 28426 101 264 109 269 98 285 101 293 28426 26791 99 264 104 271 94 283 94 293 26791 25080 97 266 102 276 93 284 88 292 25080 23295 95 269 96 279 89 288 86 291 23295 21438 92 272 89 280 83 294 83 289 21438 19508 88 276 85 281 77 297 75 288 19508 17504 84 281 79 286 71 297 66 287 17504 15469 83 289 72 298 63 300 57 288 15469 13515 82 304 66 311 51 307 49 293 13515 11743 74 317 60 321 42 314 40 302 11743 10173 62 320 54 328 37 318 32 314 10173 8783 52 320 46 330 33 321 27 318 8783 7554 38 321 33 328 26 320 22 316 7554 6469 21*328 17*328 15*319 15 300 6469 5512 18*333 16*329 14*322 10 286 5512 4670 17 334 15 331 13 326 8 300 4670 3926 17 336 15 333 12 331 7 323 3926 3260 16 337 15 335 12 336 6 346 3260 2670 16 338 14 336 11 339 7 005 2670 2178 15 338 13 337 11 342 7 017 2178 1800 15 339 13 338 11 344 7 026 1800 1540 14 339 12 339 10 344 7 033 1540 1381 13 339 12 339 10 346 6*042 1381 1291 10 339 10 339 8 346 4*053 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography