DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.0 - - 67.5 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 108 - - 111 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2911 - - 4482 - - 4123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 3921 - - 3683 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4348 - - 5919 - - 5560 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2374 - - 1944 - - 1545 - - 3501 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 324 - - 318 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 21 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 261 - - 267 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 18 - - 15 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 657 - - 607 - - -894 - - -3770 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3691 - - 5312 - - 6454 - - 5065 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -390 - - 158 - - -4231 - - -8513 ODpotential blCL - - - 4738 - - 5761 - - 9791 - - 9807 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 85 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.0 - - 67.5 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.8 - - 49.1 - - 43.6 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 67.5 - - 66.7 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 48.7 - - 43.1 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 108 - - 111 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2911 - - 4482 - - 4123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 101 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95937 52 252 48 261 40 270 36 282 95937 88757 41 244 45 255 45 263 42 280 88757 83306 30 252 36 246 38 248 39 263 83306 78822 36 260 32 251 35 259 37 252 78822 74968 37 250 33 255 35 264 35 259 74968 71570 42 259 33 249 34 252 32 262 71570 68482 45 251 35 252 35 249 36 272 68482 65630 44 239 45 258 42 254 43 265 65630 62972 52 239 52 250 50 250 44 255 62972 60381 56 229 51 247 51 243 48 246 60381 57659 50 250 52 251 50 250 54 252 57659 54809 69 259 68 254 72 257 72 254 54809 52069 83 248 80 250 88 251 77 254 52069 49579 85 236 82 244 85 250 79 257 49579 47328 75 235 79 243 84 253 85 258 47328 45279 72 245 79 247 87 254 88 257 45279 43410 77 253 81 249 86 252 87 256 43410 41697 80 256 81 253 85 251 86 252 41697 40121 87 257 92 255 85 250 85 244 40121 38667 94 250 103 246 91 246 86 240 38667 37309 85 237 94 233 100 238 98 236 37309 35998 79 233 88 229 98 236 106 229 35998 34665 83 236 92 232 91 235 101 229 34665 33280 83 240 91 233 89 233 91 230 33280 31850 83 243 92 238 89 236 82 235 31850 30357 78 243 91 241 87 238 78 237 30357 28789 76 244 84 242 85 238 78 238 28789 27144 75 245 75 236 85 237 76 239 27144 25421 74 243 69 230 86 238 74 237 25421 23625 73 241 68 234 83 242 71 234 23625 21764 68 243 69 243 67 249 63 234 21764 19839 55 248 59 244 52 244 51 238 19839 17839 46 246 53 239 52 237 50 251 17839 15798 44 235 53 228 55 242 49 262 15798 13829 45 225 56 225 54 257 39 264 13829 12035 48 228 51 241 47 265 35 261 12035 10439 49 242 52 260 43 271 31 264 10439 9022 50 256 47 268 41 275 27 272 9022 7766 48 262 35 273 34 276 22 280 7766 6652 40 265 29*269 25 269 18 282 6652 5667 32 264 28*268 19*264 15 277 5667 4797 30*263 24 263 19*265 14 272 4797 4027 26*260 21 259 19 266 14 273 4027 3337 22 255 21 259 19 267 15 277 3337 2726 20 252 20 259 19 267 15 281 2726 2215 18 250 20 259 19 268 15 283 2215 1822 17 248 19 259 18 268 14 285 1822 1551 16 248 18 258 17 269 12 288 1551 1387 14 247 16 258 16 269 9*290 1387 1293 10 247 13 258 12 269 4*292 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography