DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 80.4 - - 78.7 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 56 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1730 - - 2795 - - 1400 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1277 - - 2488 - - 1278 - - 1278 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3167 - - 4232 - - 2837 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2334 - - 2702 - - 3616 - - 3372 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 252 - - 111 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 336 - - 303 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 594 - - 981 - - 112 - - -546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2573 - - 3251 - - 2725 - - 1841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -547 - - -458 - - -1409 - - -2004 ODpotential blCL - - - 3714 - - 4690 - - 4246 - - 3299 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 700 - - 1390 - - 1480 - - 1290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 80.4 - - 78.7 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.3 - - 70.1 - - 70.7 - - 71.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.1 - - 79.9 - - 78.7 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 68.7 - - 69.6 - - 70.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 56 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1730 - - 2795 - - 1400 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 89 - - 99 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99268 44 091 34 092 35 075 37 079 99268 91751 31 088 28 083 33 072 33 071 91751 85986 25 072 28 083 29 070 27 068 85986 81214 20 073 25 085 20 076 18 067 81214 77098 18 069 19 082 14 081 11 088 77098 73460 16 076 13 085 9 090 12 090 73460 70160 14 063 12 061 11 095 11 066 70160 67130 6 069 10 033 8 079 10 046 67130 64339 7 049 8 048 6 072 8 004 64339 61653 7 014 3 017 4 129 7 248 61653 58871 17 324 14 304 14 309 7 283 58871 55991 28 272 29 279 27 288 15 289 55991 53259 26 257 32 260 36 288 40 294 53259 50833 35 285 36 272 45 275 46 277 50833 48661 41 283 41 262 45 262 50 274 48661 46683 42 272 40 253 47 267 54 265 46683 44868 42 262 44 269 52 271 57 265 44868 43179 42 268 50 273 54 267 57 265 43179 41595 50 279 55 272 52 263 54 262 41595 40104 51 282 52 272 53 260 56 258 40104 38694 50 280 46 267 53 259 55 256 38694 37328 47 269 49 261 50 253 51 255 37328 35940 42 264 44 251 48 247 51 252 35940 34501 40 269 39 248 47 251 51 247 34501 33010 42 273 37 253 42 256 49 249 33010 31452 42 275 35 258 39 256 48 253 31452 29815 40 272 35 266 38 259 48 256 29815 28103 38 271 32 266 37 262 48 268 28103 26313 35 269 27 263 30 269 42 275 26313 24445 28 268 27 267 29 275 39 278 24445 22508 22 276 30 274 26 274 31 277 22508 20499 22 264 31 274 26 265 25 276 20499 18411 25 264 30 267 20 254 16 274 18411 16290 26 279 23 266 17 269 9 274 16290 14251 23 295 15 298 19 276 8 296 14251 12400 20 306 15 307 13 283 9 316 12400 10761 19 306 14 305 8 314 8 318 10761 9305 16 296 12 311 8 344 6 320 9305 8009 15 285 11 313 7 347 7 329 8009 6857 13 279 11 314 8 319 8 329 6857 5835 11 289 11 315 9 308 8 334 5835 4933 11 302 11*317 8 305 8 343 4933 4133 10 306 8*324 7 302 7 347 4133 3415 7*311 6 334 6*299 6 347 3415 2780 6*313 5 339 6*302 5 345 2780 2250 5 316 5 339 5 302 4 345 2250 1843 4 319 5 341 5 304 3 341 1843 1563 4 321 5 342 5 305 2 324 1563 1392 4 322 4 341 5 304 2*306 1392 1294 3 323 4 342 4 304 1*279 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography