DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.4 - - 52.9 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 762 - - 308 - - 214 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2199 - - 1745 - - 1651 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 820 - - 1270 - - 1427 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 100 - - 61 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 072 - - 083 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 553 - - 289 - - 216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1646 - - 1456 - - 1435 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 172 - - -49 - - -188 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2027 - - 1794 - - 1839 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.4 - - 52.9 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.9 - - 51.1 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.3 - - 52.8 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.5 - - 50.9 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 762 - - 308 - - 214 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98317 12 121 11 077 10 125 98317 90889 11 103 10 073 13 078 90889 85165 6 108 8 125 10 043 85165 80403 5 117 5 146 8 346 80403 76303 7 104 1 033 3 312 76303 72697 7 010 6 021 3 274 72697 69446 3 352 6 351 3 152 69446 66464 6 255 10 300 6 323 66464 63710 12 223 16 250 18 296 63710 61047 10 255 20 236 16 248 61047 58269 16 282 20 256 17 255 58269 55385 34 257 32 260 28 253 55385 52635 37 236 41 244 36 251 52635 50178 39 242 39 242 41 252 50178 48015 54 247 50 245 44 243 48015 46096 61 243 60 240 53 242 46096 44351 61 239 57 231 55 231 44351 42722 58 237 52 235 51 233 42722 41187 55 238 48 237 47 232 41187 39736 53 239 45 234 42 236 39736 38360 50 242 44 230 35 248 38360 37024 45 244 40 232 33 249 37024 35660 44 247 36 236 35 253 35660 34238 43 247 33 241 36 253 34238 32762 42 243 33 242 37 255 32762 31219 39 238 32 247 38 260 31219 29596 38 246 32 252 39 264 29596 27894 33 247 30 255 38 265 27894 26116 30 237 25 249 30 255 26116 24260 25 225 24 236 25 233 24260 22330 22 213 26 220 23 239 22330 20326 28 221 24 226 21 249 20326 18242 29 232 23 233 24 238 18242 16127 25 238 23 235 26 225 16127 14093 22 227 24 235 28 223 14093 12239 19 220 24 234 23 226 12239 10591 16 213 25 232 22 224 10591 9129 13 210 25 227 24 222 9129 7831 12 207 23 218 25 217 7831 6681 12 200 19 205 22 212 6681 5665 7 202 15 182 15 202 5665 4777 2 101 13 147 13 157 4777 4000 8 086 14 115 16 122 4000 3310 13 082 15 094 18 103 3310 2704 14*075 14 085 17 094 2704 2200 12*073 13 084 16 092 2200 1813 10 072 10*084 13*091 1813 1547 9 071 8*084 10*091 1547 1385 8 071 7 084 8 091 1385 1292 5 070 5 083 5 091 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography