DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/27 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 74.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -32 - - 10 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 1528 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1295 - - 2965 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4478 - - 2262 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 24 - - 132 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 232 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1807 - - 632 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3102 - - 2333 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3007 - - -368 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4302 - - 3333 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 190 - - 690 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 74.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.3 - - 68.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.8 - - 74.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.3 - - 67.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -32 - - 10 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 1528 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 100 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99041 28 079 19 078 99041 91538 27 072 19 067 91538 85770 22 081 18 084 85770 81006 23 076 21 081 81006 76910 19 069 21 080 76910 73289 12 082 17 068 73289 70019 11 091 11 048 70019 67022 11 074 7 026 67022 64244 5 022 6 321 64244 61550 5 023 8 275 61550 58752 21 342 20 319 58752 55868 30 289 26 283 55868 53129 37 268 37 287 53129 50680 44 277 47 274 50680 48481 52 261 44 264 48481 46473 42 270 39 290 46473 44633 50 291 47 296 44633 42953 58 291 57 292 42953 41407 64 287 65 283 41407 39955 60 276 59 276 39955 38578 52 265 51 269 38578 37237 47 258 42 268 37237 35868 47 257 38 269 35868 34441 46 256 36 266 34441 32960 43 251 33 261 32960 31412 39 254 28 260 31412 29784 29 256 26 265 29784 28077 25 260 25 266 28077 26292 23 261 22 268 26292 24431 26 263 19 275 24431 22501 26 266 17 286 22501 20496 24 273 18 307 20496 18412 22 281 16 319 18412 16291 25 282 16 308 16291 14250 26 273 14 300 14250 12395 22 266 11 283 12395 10747 19 264 14 250 10747 9283 19 265 21 244 9283 7982 17 265 23 250 7982 6829 16 253 25 255 6829 5808 16 232 26 255 5808 4908 18 223 24 251 4908 4113 19 224 19 244 4113 3401 19 224 15*235 3401 2771 19 224 13*233 2771 2244 19 225 12 232 2244 1840 18 225 10 232 1840 1561 16 226 9 232 1561 1391 13*225 8 231 1391 1294 9*225 6 232 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography