DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 73.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 5 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 199 - - 467 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 1277 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1636 - - 1904 - - 1295 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1720 - - 3230 - - 2919 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 47 - - 55 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 135 - - 162 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 338 - - 3 - - -61 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1298 - - 1901 - - 1356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -305 - - -880 - - -1227 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1941 - - 2784 - - 2522 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 340 - - 850 - - 750 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.2 - - 73.0 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 68.7 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.3 - - 73.2 - - 71.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.3 - - 68.1 - - 68.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 5 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 199 - - 467 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98621 10 082 7 060 12 028 98621 91134 12 076 10 075 7 055 91134 85385 12 096 14 066 11 082 85385 80623 14 099 13 082 12 076 80623 76519 12 091 10 086 7 069 76519 72895 12 109 4 083 7 029 72895 69626 7 085 7 108 6 025 69626 66642 2 064 5 055 7 044 66642 63883 4 322 6 008 7 022 63883 61218 9 273 6 296 11 316 61218 58451 9 286 12 276 11 292 58451 55596 22 280 21 283 17 290 55596 52886 31 249 30 257 28 273 52886 50471 38 242 42 238 40 244 50471 48332 46 243 45 241 52 243 48332 46408 56 243 58 242 61 239 46408 44644 57 243 60 241 59 242 44644 42999 52 245 55 244 55 249 42999 41451 51 244 51 248 55 252 41451 39989 52 237 52 245 52 251 39989 38600 48 236 52 240 48 248 38600 37251 44 240 49 237 46 247 37251 35874 43 243 45 238 44 246 35874 34441 42 245 41 246 44 243 34441 32956 41 244 39 250 41 239 32956 31404 40 243 38 248 38 237 31404 29774 38 244 37 243 37 242 29774 28066 39 252 35 239 37 241 28066 26280 39 257 32 236 38 238 26280 24421 38 251 32 239 34 236 24421 22491 32 243 35 248 34 239 22491 20488 27 239 33 254 34 241 20488 18405 28 239 30 250 35 243 18405 16283 30 244 25 248 34 247 16283 14241 31 245 24 256 29 251 14241 12387 30 250 25 257 25 255 12387 10741 23 253 22 248 22 255 10741 9280 17 252 20 249 21 255 9280 7980 14 260 18 246 19 248 7980 6827 11 259 15 235 16 239 6827 5807 9 245 12 224 15 228 5807 4907 8 236 12 217 14 223 4907 4112 8 232 11 216 12 221 4112 3400 7 225 10 209 11 219 3400 2769 6 218 9 199 10 217 2769 2243 4 182 7*178 8 209 2243 1838 4*144 6*167 6 190 1838 1560 4*137 5 162 5 172 1560 1390 3 135 5 160 4*161 1390 1294 3 133 4 159 3*151 1294 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography