DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 57.4 - - 56.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - -8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2023 - - 1306 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2321 - - 1276 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3460 - - 2743 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1098 - - 1517 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 269 - - 53 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 139 - - 148 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2961 - - -4199 - - -2922 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6421 - - 6942 - - 4215 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10494 - - -12031 - - -12996 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13954 - - 14774 - - 14289 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 89 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 57.4 - - 56.3 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.0 - - 30.8 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 56.4 - - 56.8 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.5 - - 30.2 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 142 - - -8 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2023 - - 1306 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 57 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96692 44 256 48 268 39 274 96692 89400 32 259 29 262 26 263 89400 83818 23 263 20 258 20 260 83818 79207 15 255 17 258 17 272 79207 75255 8 218 13 245 10 276 75255 71787 8 242 12 237 16 257 71787 68663 6 255 14 240 15 244 68663 65774 19 286 13 270 18 272 65774 63071 30 279 24 276 25 270 63071 60436 41 288 35 286 33 288 60436 57681 53 283 49 277 44 276 57681 54808 56 280 51 274 50 275 54808 52042 62 285 59 280 55 274 52042 49545 73 276 65 279 58 278 49545 47326 68 269 67 272 66 278 47326 45353 59 272 67 270 65 277 45353 43575 67 284 68 276 63 278 43575 41939 77 284 73 276 66 279 41939 40410 84 282 79 272 69 278 40410 38972 81 279 81 269 74 275 38972 37615 79 278 75 267 74 272 37615 36301 81 278 70 266 73 270 36301 34964 82 278 72 265 71 266 34964 33573 74 275 66 264 69 263 33573 32130 66 272 55 267 63 262 32130 30619 61 263 52 269 54 265 30619 29028 56 268 53 269 52 267 29028 27363 54 277 52 268 49 263 27363 25623 52 268 44 263 45 267 25623 23807 50 258 40 261 46 277 23807 21918 40 255 40 260 44 275 21918 19953 33 260 41 257 38 273 19953 17911 34 269 39 255 36 273 17911 15837 34 273 33 256 34 262 15837 13842 33 277 27 265 26 250 13842 12029 28 283 24 271 18 249 12029 10418 19 295 16 275 15 243 10418 8988 10 303 6 278 15 219 8988 7720 4 304 6 203 17 196 7720 6599 1 268 10 191 16 188 6599 5611 1 187 11 190 16 188 5611 4743 3 177 10 190 17 187 4743 3979 6*181 10 181 17 180 3979 3296 5*154 11*164 17 170 3296 2695 5 142 11*153 18 160 2695 2193 5 138 11 150 18 153 2193 1809 5 134 11 147 16 148 1809 1543 5 131 10 145 13 141 1543 1383 4 130 9 144 10*135 1383 1292 4 131 6 143 5*130 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography