DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 45.2 - - 44.7 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 76 - - -26 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 600 - - 1412 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1274 - - 1275 - - 1275 - - 1275 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2037 - - 2849 - - 1293 - - 1292 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 883 - - 822 - - 2080 - - 186 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 200 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 187 - - 168 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1779 - - -2147 - - -3443 - - -2075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3816 - - 4997 - - 4737 - - 3367 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16795 - - -14966 - - -15453 - - -16285 ODpotential blCL - - - 18832 - - 17815 - - 16746 - - 17577 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 55 - - 56 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.3 - - 45.2 - - 44.7 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.5 - - 28.1 - - 28.9 - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.0 - - 44.7 - - 46.1 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 27.0 - - 27.7 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 76 - - -26 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 600 - - 1412 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96387 26 234 37 256 38 248 27 260 96387 89264 14 208 25 228 22 236 18 258 89264 83810 12 188 20 196 16 213 16 206 83810 79250 20 232 15 214 15 214 18 209 79250 75295 22 226 15 220 16 225 19 232 75295 71792 18 218 18 231 19 223 19 236 71792 68591 21 233 26 227 19 235 21 234 68591 65616 32 247 26 240 25 247 24 239 65616 62861 29 255 30 261 28 257 30 245 62861 60231 30 258 35 257 35 265 28 245 60231 57505 37 245 39 242 46 253 39 261 57505 54664 39 248 40 238 52 240 60 248 54664 51952 39 272 42 260 45 236 55 243 51952 49510 67 276 59 268 48 250 55 258 49510 47310 78 262 71 262 60 259 69 263 47310 45316 75 252 77 262 76 262 81 258 45316 43507 67 249 81 264 86 261 84 255 43507 41856 67 258 81 263 90 260 83 256 41856 40326 78 272 87 262 94 256 85 258 40326 38886 87 279 90 261 92 253 87 257 38886 37526 95 277 90 262 90 253 87 256 37526 36210 93 273 86 262 85 251 85 254 36210 34869 89 272 76 260 77 249 84 254 34869 33475 84 272 76 259 71 247 80 254 33475 32031 80 270 77 257 69 250 78 253 32031 30521 78 268 76 255 68 253 75 250 30521 28934 75 268 76 256 69 255 71 246 28934 27272 72 267 75 258 70 258 70 249 27272 25535 68 266 71 260 69 260 66 254 25535 23725 62 266 64 259 64 259 63 257 23725 21843 56 266 56 256 59 254 65 258 21843 19881 53 263 50 258 55 252 64 254 19881 17838 48 255 46 261 49 255 58 248 17838 15761 44 252 41 262 44 261 50 242 15761 13764 41 249 39 260 35 265 43 239 13764 11952 38 247 36 255 33 268 40 245 11952 10346 29 250 29 250 35 264 40 251 10346 8926 22 260 25 246 32 257 40 254 8926 7668 20 268 23 240 27 252 41 255 7668 6554 17 262 20 236 25 243 40 253 6554 5569 13 236 19 228 26 227 36 245 5569 4704 12 216 21 212 28 216 29 232 4704 3944 12 210 22 203 27 208 29 221 3944 3267 15 190 18*200 24 198 30 211 3267 2672 18 174 14*193 20 189 30 200 2672 2178 16*167 12 187 17 181 26 192 2178 1799 12*156 11 185 15 176 19 185 1799 1539 11 155 11 184 12 172 13 174 1539 1381 9 154 10 183 10*169 9*158 1381 1291 7 155 8 184 7*168 6*133 1291 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography