DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 60.4 - - 60.5 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 71 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 804 - - 1735 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 - - 1276 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2241 - - 3172 - - 1294 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 839 - - 990 - - 3050 - - 284 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 217 - - 18 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 002 - - 007 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1759 - - -2594 - - -3760 - - -2742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4000 - - 5766 - - 5054 - - 4035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11980 - - -11576 - - -10743 - - -12582 ODpotential blCL - - - 14221 - - 14748 - - 12037 - - 13875 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 51 - - 43 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.2 - - 60.4 - - 60.5 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.5 - - 40.0 - - 43.2 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 59.8 - - 61.5 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 38.8 - - 42.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 71 - - -14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 804 - - 1735 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97424 14 250 19 276 16 282 12 277 97424 90149 6 281 15 273 12 297 8 313 90149 84563 10 292 6 267 11 294 8 286 84563 79926 9 268 3 224 11 288 11 317 79926 75938 3 318 3 181 8 264 13 318 75938 72433 10 358 3 144 7 224 11 291 72433 69261 10 332 6 336 6 284 10 307 69261 66341 11 301 9 333 7 307 8 316 66341 63637 13 310 12 332 11 327 8 333 63637 61029 13 307 14 320 15 309 10 311 61029 58318 12 318 13 325 14 299 12 295 58318 55505 16 330 16 316 16 291 17 290 55505 52811 17 315 16 301 18 289 20 298 52811 50373 16 307 16 289 19 291 21 307 50373 48172 16 311 13 290 16 293 20 308 48172 46160 17 315 11 305 14 303 18 312 46160 44303 18 310 12 310 13 315 18 324 44303 42577 19 300 15 301 13 322 20 331 42577 40961 15 302 15 290 13 313 21 333 40961 39441 15 322 14 287 14 297 20 327 39441 38007 15 332 12 291 14 287 17 312 38007 36622 14 337 9 304 13 290 15 289 36622 35216 11 349 9 320 12 301 12 282 35216 33761 9 349 9 322 11 312 11 299 33761 32268 7 283 9 296 10 314 12 307 32268 30728 11 261 10 264 11 288 10 295 30728 29135 8 284 7 267 10 267 10 274 29135 27480 4 300 6 284 7 283 11 266 27480 25748 1 321 4 278 7 305 9 268 25748 23937 2 294 4 265 6 292 8 274 23937 22057 3 208 6 245 7 275 8 261 22057 20101 4 187 7 222 8 259 7 239 20101 18059 3 063 3 202 4 250 4 240 18059 15974 7 078 3 148 4 266 2 321 15974 13962 10 064 4 080 2 294 2 322 13962 12135 11 050 6 079 0 024 2 289 12135 10511 11 042 6 064 2 005 3 309 10511 9071 12 033 7 038 5 007 6 326 9071 7794 13 030 10 031 8 007 10 337 7794 6663 15 031 12 030 10 006 11 343 6663 5666 16 027 13 028 13 005 14 350 5666 4791 16 021 14 023 15 357 17 349 4791 4019 15 015 13 009 14 353 17 346 4019 3329 15 013 10*004 12 356 15 353 3329 2718 14*011 9*003 11 001 13 003 2718 2209 12*007 9 003 10 005 10 011 2209 1818 9 358 8 001 9 006 7 018 1818 1549 8 357 8 001 8 006 5 024 1549 1386 7 356 7 001 6*007 2*029 1386 1292 6 354 6 001 4*007 1*164 1292 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography