DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.8 - - 48.4 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 71 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 606 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 120 - - 710 - - 121 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 987 - - 413 - - 968 - - 402 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 143 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 006 - - 012 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -86 - - 44 - - -483 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 206 - - 666 - - 604 - - 120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 0 - - 105 - - -11270 - - -13326 ODpotential blCL - - - 120 - - 605 - - 11391 - - 13446 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.3 - - 46.8 - - 48.4 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 44.6 - - 46.5 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 46.3 - - 48.9 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 44.0 - - 46.0 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 71 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 606 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 98 - - 75 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96613 31 059 37 058 44 085 43 095 96613 89710 47 080 40 083 46 086 41 093 89710 84237 38 078 37 093 40 102 45 094 84237 79640 28 082 25 091 28 104 38 099 79640 75686 20 093 12 098 17 090 23 084 75686 72208 16 083 13 095 13 090 15 074 72208 69062 11 051 14 075 10 105 6 080 69062 66163 5 062 4 038 7 102 5 098 66163 63468 3 298 9 319 2 043 4 038 63468 60863 7 297 15 318 6 345 9 326 60863 58149 12 308 18 307 12 321 14 303 58149 55320 14 308 19 299 21 321 16 308 55320 52595 20 301 23 298 25 319 25 315 52595 50114 22 290 25 294 30 307 34 309 50114 47875 20 285 25 286 33 285 32 311 47875 45830 20 285 24 278 33 277 31 308 45830 43956 19 293 24 279 25 293 33 303 43956 42237 21 296 22 287 31 304 34 311 42237 40656 24 294 35 301 29 322 25 320 40656 39190 23 291 31 302 39 342 44 340 39190 37818 17 297 26 313 54 344 65 336 37818 36493 24 327 31 324 71 342 68 334 36493 35141 37 336 35 321 75 341 64 338 35141 33730 44 332 34 315 69 345 55 338 33730 32261 42 335 31 308 47 336 53 335 32261 30716 36 343 27 314 32 329 42 341 30716 29085 30 353 20 311 24 322 33 333 29085 27367 22 017 12 332 17 302 24 323 27367 25561 13 339 18 304 18 287 19 314 25561 23669 15 306 25 312 22 286 18 312 23669 21701 15 306 19 311 19 292 18 283 21701 19658 13 303 13 282 17 283 22 267 19658 17526 11 290 12 280 19 279 21 273 17526 15346 10 269 12 271 16 279 17 274 15346 13241 11 256 12 258 12 273 14 267 13241 11326 11 246 11 245 8 267 12 261 11326 9625 11 233 10 231 7 244 11 256 9625 8118 12 221 10 222 8 228 10 246 8118 6782 12 208 11 214 8 222 8 229 6782 5601 12 195 11 201 8 209 7 202 5601 4560 11 185 11 190 8 202 7 185 4560 3649 8 180 8 183 5 212 3 164 3649 2850 3 173 3 194 3 310 4 040 2850 2143 3 019 3 351 5 344 6 037 2143 1526 7 007 7 355 6 348 5 033 1526 1018 8 359 7*349 5 336 4 024 1018 633 7 346 4*360 3 341 2 018 633 370 5 337 4 006 3 356 1 007 370 211 5 337 3 010 2*005 1 330 211 120 4*336 3 013 2*012 1*298 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography