DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 62.0 - - 70.8 - - 71.3 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 84 - - 145 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 480 - - 1549 - - 1084 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 668 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 585 - - 1655 - - 1190 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 91 - - 730 - - 643 - - 939 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 141 - - 249 - - 113 - - 3 W* B/S 2 - - 49 - - 31 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 133 - - 170 - - 147 - - 164 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -787 - - -2138 - - -3552 - - -3875 - - -1689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 908 - - 2723 - - 5207 - - 5065 - - 1811 sfcLCL ODpotential -13794 - - -11566 - - -12116 - - -11629 - - -11613 ODpotential blCL 13915 - - 12151 - - 13771 - - 12819 - - 11735 blCL maxRH 64 - - 68 - - 71 - - 58 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 62.0 - - 70.8 - - 71.3 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 50.7 - - 48.7 - - 49.9 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 61.4 - - 69.7 - - 71.2 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 50.0 - - 47.9 - - 49.4 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 84 - - 145 - - 18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 480 - - 1549 - - 1084 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96947 25 282 22 294 31 289 27 302 30 282 96947 89812 19 291 16 287 17 290 17 291 17 292 89812 84282 16 285 14 277 14 286 15 283 19 306 84282 79683 12 291 11 277 13 266 14 270 17 291 79683 75711 8 301 8 257 14 259 14 284 13 284 75711 72192 6 299 6 225 11 258 16 281 12 282 72192 68996 5 285 5 292 8 257 13 281 11 279 68996 66056 5 284 7 281 9 276 11 301 10 303 66056 63336 6 317 5 331 7 266 10 294 10 291 63336 60711 6 319 8 357 6 329 11 341 8 329 60711 58002 6 320 8 298 10 292 15 333 13 332 58002 55227 15 014 10 043 5 313 11 306 13 331 55227 52583 21 037 16 037 14 356 14 344 15 341 52583 50188 25 035 20 012 23 004 26 354 21 356 50188 48032 28 028 30 005 27 360 27 351 26 354 48032 46072 31 358 28 355 24 351 27 342 27 352 46072 44267 22 004 25 341 23 338 30 333 32 353 44267 42591 25 030 21 001 23 345 29 338 37 353 42591 41024 44 036 31 012 30 358 33 351 40 352 41024 39550 53 027 43 009 38 002 36 355 41 353 39550 38158 55 021 48 007 41 001 36 359 40 355 38158 36810 53 020 48 004 39 004 36 002 39 356 36810 35437 49 018 44 001 38 010 34 001 37 357 35437 34008 48 014 41 358 36 014 30 001 34 355 34008 32524 46 011 40 359 35 016 28 002 31 352 32524 30971 43 011 40 002 34 015 27 001 30 350 30971 29334 40 011 37 003 31 011 28 359 28 352 29334 27614 38 011 31 003 31 006 28 357 26 354 27614 25807 37 012 25 005 29 000 27 357 27 354 25807 23914 34 011 25 007 27 355 29 358 28 356 23914 21937 31 012 26 007 26 351 30 359 26 001 21937 19872 28 014 26 010 25 353 29 360 22 007 19872 17713 22 017 24 010 25 359 28 004 20 008 17713 15507 19 013 23 009 24 007 27 010 19 007 15507 13379 19 012 21 009 20 015 23 015 19 010 13379 11445 20 016 19 014 17 019 19 015 19 018 11445 9732 19 024 17 023 14 026 16 018 17 027 9732 8217 16 030 14 030 12 030 12 026 15 031 8217 6878 14 038 12 038 10 033 8 025 12 024 6878 5694 13 036 11 035 9 038 7 013 12 008 5694 4651 12 034 11 029 9 034 7 001 12 001 4651 3734 12 030 10 029 9 025 8 350 9 355 3734 2928 13 028 11 027 9 015 7 348 5 354 2928 2211 15 024 10 019 6*017 3 356 1 031 2211 1581 13 022 6 016 1*105 2*161 3 167 1581 1058 5 007 2 349 1 148 4*165 5 177 1058 658 3 323 1*233 2 151 4 163 7 173 658 383 2 315 1*195 2 154 4 165 6 171 383 217 1 286 1 164 2 153 4 164 5*177 217 122 1*133 1 158 2 155 4 164 4*182 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography