DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 76.8 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 354 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2047 - - 5083 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1262 - - 3667 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2153 - - 5189 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2141 - - 1365 - - - - - 1671 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 493 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 157 - - - - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5974 - - -4929 - - - - - -7097 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8127 - - 10118 - - - - - 7220 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12411 - - -10097 - - - - - -12801 ODpotential blCL - - - 14564 - - 15286 - - - - - 12923 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 68 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 76.8 - - - - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 32.6 - - - - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 74.6 - - - - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 32.4 - - - - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 354 - - - - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2047 - - 5083 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97010 45 276 59 274 54 282 97010 89734 44 281 46 280 47 282 89734 84144 39 286 31 285 30 277 84144 79501 23 279 27 272 21 282 79501 75496 17 264 25 267 19 289 75496 71950 11 264 18 270 18 285 71950 68744 14 299 14 283 14 282 68744 65796 18 299 15 293 15 279 65796 63058 18 293 16 291 15 272 63058 60400 19 289 19 285 16 278 60400 57621 19 282 24 276 24 277 57621 54727 19 286 26 273 29 269 54727 51946 22 297 30 279 33 267 51946 49425 29 299 35 276 40 264 49425 47163 34 296 37 271 40 261 47163 45124 35 292 37 274 37 263 45124 43275 32 292 38 273 37 264 43275 41585 28 296 33 268 36 257 41585 40038 23 297 28 267 34 249 40038 38612 20 292 30 266 39 246 38612 37277 21 283 32 267 43 246 37277 35980 21 276 31 267 41 247 35980 34649 20 276 31 267 37 247 34649 33258 19 279 29 265 35 240 33258 31809 19 280 26 264 35 238 31809 30289 19 276 22 264 32 237 30289 28685 20 269 21 264 27 234 28685 26997 21 271 23 259 25 230 26997 25227 24 276 21 259 26 214 25227 23382 22 277 16 254 28 210 23382 21461 19 277 14 240 24 209 21461 19455 16 271 13 231 21 213 19455 17359 12 264 11 228 18 217 17359 15216 7 259 9 212 15 205 15216 13148 6 232 8 203 13 188 13148 11268 7 221 8 195 13 181 11268 9601 5 212 9 184 15 187 9601 8125 3 188 10 178 14 199 8125 6816 5 163 11 180 11 203 6816 5658 6 162 8*173 7 187 5658 4633 7 150 5*159 5 180 4633 3731 7 143 5 157 5 187 3731 2933 5 145 5 157 5 192 2933 2220 2*106 5 157 6 191 2220 1590 2*049 4 156 8 191 1590 1065 2 046 4 157 9 188 1065 662 2 044 4 157 10 185 662 386 2 046 4 157 10 182 386 218 2 046 4 157 8 182 218 122 2 047 3 156 5*181 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography