DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 52.9 - - 52.5 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 75 - - 2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 150 - - 936 - - 558 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 254 - - 1041 - - 662 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 823 - - 312 - - 602 - - 1221 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 169 - - 46 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 20 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 115 - - 136 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 8 - - 232 - - -226 - - -300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 246 - - 809 - - 888 - - 421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 82 - - 260 - - -7995 - - -585 ODpotential blCL - - - 172 - - 781 - - 8657 - - 706 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 52.9 - - 52.5 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 50.0 - - 49.3 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 52.3 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 49.5 - - 48.8 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 75 - - 2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 150 - - 936 - - 558 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - 71 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 7 061 8 102 4 105 9 100 96565 89442 9 100 3 133 5 026 17 083 89442 83927 8 097 2 159 3 001 13 069 83927 79327 7 075 5 176 6 272 3 033 79327 75341 6 048 7 195 8 256 5 281 75341 71803 1 295 7 227 9 248 8 269 71803 68594 6 261 10 255 10 238 9 239 68594 65636 14 253 13 253 13 247 13 273 65636 62892 21 233 17 235 18 251 19 271 62892 60236 17 247 19 251 22 265 25 268 60236 57465 21 255 25 259 23 260 26 268 57465 54602 21 285 28 272 36 276 34 268 54602 51883 28 281 35 269 40 273 37 261 51883 49433 31 278 38 270 42 275 43 274 49433 47226 34 275 41 275 48 277 53 276 47226 45222 35 274 45 274 54 276 58 272 45222 43396 34 276 47 272 60 275 60 269 43396 41724 33 281 44 273 61 274 59 270 41724 40180 34 289 41 279 54 272 59 270 40180 38742 37 291 40 284 47 273 56 270 38742 37389 38 290 39 283 42 277 54 271 37389 36078 37 289 37 282 42 280 52 273 36078 34739 35 280 34 285 42 282 50 276 34739 33342 29 273 33 289 41 283 48 281 33342 31892 28 269 33 289 40 287 45 284 31892 30372 27 272 32 286 38 291 42 284 30372 28771 27 290 31 284 38 291 39 283 28771 27089 25 305 30 285 38 290 41 290 27089 25323 23 309 28 288 35 292 50 294 25323 23478 23 309 29 297 37 299 51 296 23478 21551 24 318 30 308 40 302 50 301 21551 19533 25 328 31 315 40 305 46 304 19533 17419 25 330 30 314 38 309 43 303 17419 15254 27 329 27 313 34 310 40 303 15254 13164 28 327 24 314 31 311 35 306 13164 11263 24 326 22 317 26 311 28 307 11263 9575 20 331 20 320 20 312 21 307 9575 8079 16 337 16 326 16 313 15 305 8079 6754 11 336 11 330 11 315 11 304 6754 5583 7 323 7 320 7 311 7 305 5583 4551 5 326 6 306 5 301 4 301 4551 3649 3 354 4 296 3 294 3 296 3649 2858 0 346 3 279 3 282 3 292 2858 2155 2 161 3 250 2 264 3 279 2155 1539 2 102 1*245 2 225 3 246 1539 1030 3 357 1*168 2*188 3 206 1030 642 3 352 2 115 3*140 4 168 642 375 3*001 2 108 3 135 3 158 375 214 3*002 2 109 3 134 3 153 214 121 2 003 2 104 2 133 2*150 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography