DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 86.1 - - 87.4 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 250 - - 80 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1514 - - 3991 - - 4173 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 772 - - 2686 - - 2119 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1620 - - 4098 - - 4280 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1608 - - 3011 - - 2992 - - 3017 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 407 - - 286 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 20 - - 37 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 021 - - 004 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6098 - - -6261 - - -6773 - - -8011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7718 - - 10359 - - 11054 - - 8135 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14451 - - -13055 - - -13112 - - -15706 ODpotential blCL - - - 16071 - - 17153 - - 17392 - - 15829 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 45 - - 47 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 86.1 - - 87.4 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 41.0 - - 39.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.3 - - 84.4 - - 86.7 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 40.0 - - 38.3 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 250 - - 80 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1514 - - 3991 - - 4173 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98849 3 087 6 032 15 125 13 175 98849 91424 7 112 3 169 3 102 7 037 91424 85699 9 118 10 140 3 349 12 047 85699 80950 13 093 12 108 5 082 10 073 80950 76859 14 068 13 109 10 072 11 094 76859 73250 11 071 14 107 7 105 9 065 73250 69990 8 076 10 110 4 089 9 074 69990 66984 2 136 5 077 0 037 6 058 66984 64183 7 160 6 217 8 238 7 289 64183 61466 5 217 9 219 10 243 10 263 61466 58630 15 260 15 262 17 266 15 265 58630 55696 23 266 21 272 24 264 24 262 55696 52906 29 270 27 270 28 260 30 259 52906 50402 31 261 34 265 33 260 36 260 50402 48157 32 258 37 265 39 260 42 258 48157 46125 33 263 37 263 40 261 42 256 46125 44274 35 268 37 263 40 262 42 257 44274 42575 38 271 34 272 38 262 45 256 42575 41003 40 275 32 284 35 266 39 258 41003 39540 41 275 34 290 35 277 35 265 39540 38162 41 271 35 294 34 284 34 266 38162 36823 39 269 35 294 33 283 35 264 36823 35456 37 272 33 293 31 285 33 267 35456 34032 35 277 34 280 34 281 32 269 34032 32553 34 280 38 275 37 281 32 272 32553 31005 32 281 36 276 35 283 30 273 31005 29369 30 283 33 275 32 281 29 272 29369 27650 29 288 30 277 29 278 29 273 27650 25844 27 292 27 279 28 276 28 275 25844 23956 24 291 24 276 27 277 27 277 23956 21986 24 290 22 278 25 278 25 281 21986 19927 23 293 20 283 21 279 21 282 19927 17777 20 296 19 289 18 279 16 276 17777 15581 18 293 17 294 15 281 14 275 15581 13457 15 287 13 299 9 295 9 274 13457 11525 9 270 8 288 2 320 5 202 11525 9816 7 227 7 245 2 300 3 168 9816 8308 7 208 5 217 4 296 7 016 8308 6971 4 185 4 175 3 308 8 008 6971 5785 3 171 2 162 2 325 5 002 5785 4735 4 084 2*052 1*342 2 356 4735 3810 7 059 3*028 1*351 1 003 3810 2995 10 028 4 024 1 359 0 050 2995 2266 14*008 4 021 1 008 1 154 2266 1623 14*005 4 022 1 005 1 158 1623 1086 13 005 4 019 2 007 1 148 1086 675 13 005 4 019 2 005 1 120 675 392 12 006 4 019 2 007 1 106 392 221 11 006 4 018 2 006 1*108 221 123 9 006 3 018 1 008 0*145 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography