DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 56.2 - - 54.5 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 67 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 230 - - 613 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 334 - - 718 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 271 - - 593 - - 1224 - - 468 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 144 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 125 - - 165 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -928 - - -1778 - - -1328 - - -266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1262 - - 2497 - - 1449 - - 387 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11508 - - -9385 - - -7897 - - -9480 ODpotential blCL - - - 11842 - - 10103 - - 8018 - - 9601 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 71 - - 72 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 56.2 - - 54.5 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 45.9 - - 48.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 55.5 - - 55.8 - - 47.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 44.9 - - 47.9 - - 44.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 67 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 230 - - 613 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 31 - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96925 58 085 65 083 58 084 58 086 96925 89690 52 075 50 079 42 077 47 082 89690 84111 42 069 34 081 34 072 37 072 84111 79456 29 062 25 066 26 062 32 065 79456 75430 25 060 17 051 25 051 29 052 75430 71867 25 049 11 022 20 033 25 052 71867 68634 22 036 12 029 19 039 25 047 68634 65647 22 020 17 030 20 048 21 031 65647 62873 20 008 26 014 25 053 24 034 62873 60193 24 359 27 010 28 020 24 023 60193 57400 30 354 34 016 29 019 27 023 57400 54496 31 347 34 341 39 005 31 020 54496 51726 29 348 29 333 41 356 41 004 51726 49251 37 338 37 001 47 358 48 360 49251 47049 43 338 52 351 53 354 57 360 47049 45067 58 331 49 335 53 350 65 001 45067 43274 48 321 44 349 64 002 80 005 43274 41647 37 337 70 011 95 010 91 008 41647 40142 55 004 91 010 114 012 103 014 40142 38725 82 007 98 007 119 012 113 014 38725 37379 93 007 96 007 116 009 111 011 37379 36068 92 008 94 010 110 011 105 011 36068 34729 88 010 96 013 106 012 93 006 34729 33332 80 011 98 014 98 011 83 357 33332 31878 69 009 92 012 92 008 81 354 31878 30349 62 005 79 007 88 006 81 360 30349 28732 56 358 64 357 83 003 80 004 28732 27028 50 344 57 344 76 355 79 004 27028 25239 46 334 56 337 73 346 75 001 25239 23368 44 329 60 335 74 343 72 353 23368 21419 47 333 62 335 73 344 71 349 21419 19390 50 341 59 335 65 344 68 347 19390 17281 46 347 51 336 55 341 63 348 17281 15133 35 349 43 341 49 340 57 351 15133 13064 30 349 37 342 43 344 49 354 13064 11183 28 357 31 342 36 348 41 354 11183 9513 24 005 27 343 30 349 33 354 9513 8032 20 007 22 343 25 349 27 356 8032 6720 18 008 18 340 23 351 22 000 6720 5559 14 008 14 334 21 352 20 006 5559 4538 11 009 12 328 16 352 21 010 4538 3642 8 002 9 323 11 349 17 011 3642 2853 6 354 7 319 6 334 11 006 2853 2150 5 357 4 319 3 290 5 345 2150 1535 5 348 1 327 4 223 1 239 1535 1026 4 338 2*143 7 190 7 172 1026 638 2 359 3*126 7 176 10 160 638 373 2*044 3 123 6 172 9 152 373 212 2*048 3 127 5 169 6*144 212 121 2 052 3 124 3*165 3*133 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography