DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.7 - - 88.8 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 132 - - 33 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1584 - - 3036 - - 2922 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 689 - - 1771 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1691 - - 3143 - - 3030 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1215 - - 3826 - - 5058 - - 6899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 320 - - 219 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 19 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 350 - - 044 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -10 - - -22 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5275 - - -5894 - - -7283 - - -8361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6967 - - 9037 - - 10314 - - 8486 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12203 - - -11495 - - -13037 - - -13724 ODpotential blCL - - - 13894 - - 14638 - - 16067 - - 13848 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 27 - - 31 - - 17 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 87.7 - - 88.8 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 48.5 - - 43.9 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 86.6 - - 88.8 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 47.2 - - 42.6 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 132 - - 33 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1584 - - 3036 - - 2922 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98614 7 101 8 089 10 045 13 073 98614 91167 8 118 13 079 9 101 10 073 91167 85433 15 111 15 095 10 096 11 066 85433 80669 20 111 11 103 16 098 14 081 80669 76584 21 107 10 111 15 097 16 093 76584 72997 15 093 9 102 15 104 17 087 72997 69753 13 121 10 104 11 107 15 078 69753 66760 13 107 6 106 4 102 9 061 66760 63976 7 101 5 125 5 116 2 097 63976 61264 7 219 10 229 4 290 1 190 61264 58409 9 219 14 221 10 246 11 239 58409 55443 15 251 15 234 16 248 17 246 55443 52613 22 259 16 247 19 253 17 252 52613 50067 25 267 19 266 19 264 16 262 50067 47792 27 269 21 276 20 285 14 282 47792 45738 30 274 24 278 24 290 14 297 45738 43875 32 274 23 286 26 293 21 319 43875 42185 29 271 25 286 27 291 24 316 42185 40639 22 281 21 303 20 291 23 306 40639 39202 23 290 22 312 14 326 18 326 39202 37850 22 295 22 319 21 358 21 347 37850 36539 21 299 22 323 21 357 21 346 36539 35196 22 295 21 319 17 336 19 334 35196 33793 23 293 23 308 19 319 20 328 33793 32333 24 299 26 301 21 307 20 321 32333 30801 23 310 25 301 22 305 21 319 30801 29184 22 312 23 305 20 308 19 311 29184 27485 20 306 20 305 18 306 18 299 27485 25702 17 301 17 294 17 293 17 291 25702 23839 16 298 17 290 17 286 15 288 23839 21895 16 292 16 289 16 284 13 287 21895 19864 17 286 15 285 15 284 13 289 19864 17739 15 283 14 282 14 286 12 291 17739 15565 11 281 10 280 11 288 10 290 15565 13463 8 272 7 280 5 299 7 285 13463 11544 6 285 4 306 2 013 1 160 11544 9840 6 341 2 034 1 022 3 101 9840 8333 6 036 4 157 5 306 5 353 8333 6996 3 046 2 186 6 314 9 333 6996 5808 3 013 2 332 6 321 7 326 5808 4755 5 359 4 341 5 328 6 323 4755 3827 8 357 5*342 4*340 4 322 3827 3008 12 003 6*344 3*356 2 319 3008 2276 13*004 5 347 2 033 0 319 2276 1630 12*003 5 349 2 054 0 116 1630 1092 9 004 5 353 2 059 1 121 1092 678 8 005 5 355 2 060 1 082 678 394 8 005 5 354 2 060 1 051 394 222 7 005 4 355 2 060 1*024 222 124 7 005 4 354 2 056 1*008 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography