DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 89.3 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 173 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 821 - - 3041 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1806 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 927 - - 3148 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1594 - - 2083 - - - - - 83 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 174 - - 327 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 013 - - 014 - - - - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9695 - - -10418 - - - - - -10542 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10622 - - 13566 - - - - - 10665 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18293 - - -17830 - - - - - -21460 ODpotential blCL - - - 19220 - - 20978 - - - - - 21583 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 17 - - - - - 13 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 89.3 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 30.3 - - - - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 88.0 - - - - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 29.5 - - - - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 173 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 821 - - 3041 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97700 9 323 5 305 12 274 97700 90406 4 199 7 246 9 009 90406 84817 4 158 6 239 7 024 84817 80191 3 176 5 288 7 027 80191 76200 4 143 4 244 8 360 76200 72679 4 039 5 144 5 339 72679 69502 2 250 5 192 7 290 69502 66591 5 253 6 216 9 267 66591 63897 5 305 1 318 9 248 63897 61290 6 331 2 351 9 218 61290 58571 15 326 15 332 12 333 58571 55770 18 312 19 312 19 315 55770 53114 20 344 19 338 15 343 53114 50712 36 348 34 342 30 350 50712 48543 47 344 43 342 39 347 48543 46560 53 344 48 344 42 347 46560 44734 60 348 52 349 43 350 44734 43037 62 350 55 353 44 356 43037 41451 60 353 51 356 45 001 41451 39960 57 001 47 003 43 360 39960 38554 54 008 45 009 38 011 38554 37194 47 018 40 015 31 025 37194 35817 44 029 35 028 25 037 35817 34392 45 030 32 041 23 057 34392 32913 44 031 31 052 23 066 32913 31361 41 039 30 061 24 066 31361 29720 41 052 30 064 24 066 29720 27991 41 060 31 064 24 070 27991 26171 39 064 30 072 24 077 26171 24263 33 068 29 083 27 085 24263 22269 28 066 25 084 27 095 22269 20183 27 066 21 081 23 108 20183 18001 22 077 19 084 19 105 18001 15779 14 091 16 092 18 095 15779 13638 10 109 18 110 15 104 13638 11690 19 098 21 115 15 126 11690 9960 24 084 22 104 14 135 9960 8427 20 095 20 109 14 125 8427 7066 18 116 12 125 17 105 7066 5859 17 123 9 132 17 094 5859 4790 15 125 7 121 16 081 4790 3849 13 113 6*077 19 066 3849 3020 11 082 9*029 22 051 3020 2282 14 048 11 015 25 031 2282 1630 17 027 12 013 28 017 1630 1089 17*016 12 012 29 010 1089 674 16*014 11 011 25 005 674 391 15 013 11 011 17 355 391 220 14 013 11 011 11*340 220 123 11 012 9 010 7*327 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography