DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 62.0 - - 71.5 - - 69.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 52 - - 96 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 318 - - 1010 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 423 - - 1116 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 438 - - 690 - - 1688 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 105 - - 187 - - 5 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 26 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 000 - - 005 - - 178 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -867 - - -2104 - - -3684 - - -3681 - - -1000 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 988 - - 2527 - - 4801 - - 3803 - - 1122 sfcLCL ODpotential -11678 - - -10619 - - -9289 - - -8374 - - -7763 ODpotential blCL 11799 - - 11042 - - 10405 - - 8496 - - 7885 blCL maxRH 69 - - 71 - - 53 - - 55 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 62.0 - - 71.5 - - 69.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.4 - - 51.7 - - 51.3 - - 53.8 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 61.5 - - 70.7 - - 70.6 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.6 - - 51.2 - - 50.8 - - 53.1 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 52 - - 96 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 318 - - 1010 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96521 15 003 18 001 21 332 22 357 14 323 96521 89537 15 024 21 017 17 354 14 006 17 348 89537 84104 11 042 16 036 14 017 5 029 14 001 84104 79546 14 065 18 063 9 055 4 035 12 007 79546 75578 12 069 21 059 10 095 3 078 11 019 75578 72051 12 040 12 033 7 041 7 058 11 037 72051 68860 15 002 8 015 8 350 7 355 11 012 68860 65941 11 339 9 326 11 328 8 333 7 330 65941 63228 15 323 12 289 15 295 11 309 11 298 63228 60595 21 303 15 281 18 267 18 278 22 265 60595 57869 28 286 25 292 20 283 24 278 28 253 57869 55035 37 272 33 276 32 282 29 263 24 252 55035 52331 36 284 39 282 55 276 50 276 41 271 52331 49916 52 276 54 281 49 271 61 264 54 272 49916 47760 55 275 61 281 54 279 56 264 62 266 47760 45797 58 284 65 277 60 270 64 265 64 256 45797 43989 64 278 69 274 68 270 69 258 67 248 43989 42312 68 267 70 265 75 260 73 258 67 245 42312 40753 64 262 63 266 68 253 79 253 70 248 40753 39293 59 253 56 259 59 252 75 250 73 249 39293 37914 55 253 48 256 50 253 63 250 68 246 37914 36574 55 250 50 252 47 250 60 254 63 251 36574 35207 54 246 49 242 53 244 62 258 62 255 35207 33781 49 244 41 235 56 241 62 256 58 254 33781 32296 33 245 38 237 51 239 60 251 55 250 32296 30736 23 237 39 242 41 237 60 247 55 243 30736 29091 28 233 36 243 43 241 57 245 55 243 29091 27365 32 230 34 236 50 240 50 241 51 246 27365 25564 28 229 30 227 49 236 49 241 47 245 25564 23687 23 226 27 228 43 226 48 245 43 252 23687 21736 22 231 25 228 40 225 40 242 37 256 21736 19706 21 237 23 228 30 223 36 219 34 235 19706 17587 17 248 21 235 22 217 28 227 33 221 17587 15415 14 256 18 243 19 217 23 235 26 219 15415 13319 14 251 18 243 17 226 20 212 22 219 13319 11417 14 246 17 238 17 226 19 211 19 219 11417 9727 11 242 15 228 17 223 17 212 19 212 9727 8227 9 238 13 215 16 216 15 207 19 203 8227 6892 8 233 11 205 14 201 14 200 19 197 6892 5708 7 219 9 199 11 188 13 193 18 195 5708 4660 5 212 6 184 9 169 11 186 16 197 4660 3741 4 201 6 170 7 160 9 182 13 201 3741 2933 3 191 4 169 4 150 6 178 9 208 2933 2216 1 235 1 037 3 092 4 168 5 205 2216 1585 3 346 6 021 3*073 1 134 3 184 1585 1061 6 010 6 015 2*011 0 335 4 174 1061 660 7 021 5*006 1 002 1 199 4 170 660 384 5 008 4*359 1 003 1 181 3 174 384 217 2 334 3 000 1 003 2 183 3*190 217 122 1*320 3 001 1 006 2*178 2*200 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography