DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.9 - - 44.0 - - 52.7 - - 54.3 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 59 - - 117 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 582 - - 1018 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 686 - - 1123 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 456 - - 544 - - 1478 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 132 - - 200 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 336 - - 360 - - 167 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -128 - - -361 - - -1907 - - -3377 - - -615 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 248 - - 1047 - - 3030 - - 3499 - - 736 sfcLCL ODpotential -15191 - - -13310 - - -12911 - - -13530 - - -12976 ODpotential blCL 15311 - - 13996 - - 14034 - - 13651 - - 13097 blCL maxRH 97 - - 95 - - 72 - - 57 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.9 - - 44.0 - - 52.7 - - 54.3 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.8 - - 40.4 - - 40.4 - - 40.0 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 43.5 - - 51.8 - - 54.9 - - 46.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.8 - - 40.1 - - 39.7 - - 39.2 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 59 - - 117 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 582 - - 1018 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 79 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 34 092 28 075 29 081 20 074 25 095 96350 89340 34 081 32 067 30 084 23 075 21 105 89340 83916 31 082 27 070 29 074 27 073 20 094 83916 79404 32 081 21 081 21 071 24 069 20 080 79404 75505 34 063 25 074 21 080 19 073 16 072 75505 72054 26 051 25 058 24 070 21 065 18 077 72054 68923 19 058 21 058 18 070 21 046 20 052 68923 66041 24 057 20 059 14 065 20 030 19 036 66041 63367 30 054 21 056 15 056 16 030 16 041 63367 60772 36 046 25 057 20 044 19 026 22 029 60772 58074 40 046 32 046 29 036 23 020 23 012 58074 55279 43 043 36 037 31 034 28 020 22 013 55279 52598 45 040 37 040 41 033 38 020 30 015 52598 50171 58 034 53 026 48 022 44 015 36 008 50171 47979 66 018 58 021 46 017 40 006 38 359 47979 45969 59 018 55 017 44 018 40 000 39 360 45969 44109 55 030 51 021 48 022 45 001 47 004 44109 42386 64 035 58 023 60 016 51 006 56 002 42386 40785 75 030 69 015 67 012 62 004 59 358 40785 39290 85 021 73 011 71 005 67 359 59 002 39290 37885 91 017 78 009 70 002 70 004 67 008 37885 36534 92 014 81 005 69 007 81 009 80 007 36534 35166 88 012 79 003 75 013 87 008 85 007 35166 33746 77 012 72 002 85 014 85 011 91 009 33746 32275 64 012 65 002 86 014 79 010 93 011 32275 30733 61 013 62 001 79 014 74 009 88 011 30733 29109 60 016 59 357 72 015 69 010 82 010 29109 27399 58 018 55 359 66 014 62 010 76 012 27399 25604 57 019 52 003 64 009 58 008 69 013 25604 23721 52 017 51 006 59 007 58 005 62 011 23721 21753 49 014 50 009 49 006 55 004 56 007 21753 19696 49 015 48 013 45 006 48 008 52 003 19696 17551 46 015 46 018 46 012 46 009 53 003 17551 15362 42 015 44 018 45 015 46 011 52 006 15362 13248 37 018 43 020 37 016 41 015 46 009 13248 11323 33 023 37 025 32 022 36 021 39 010 11323 9613 28 027 28 026 29 027 32 023 35 011 9613 8101 23 029 20 024 23 026 27 025 31 016 8101 6764 20 031 16 023 18 022 23 026 28 019 6764 5587 19 033 14 027 15 019 18 024 23 019 5587 4551 18 034 13 036 14 023 15 022 19 014 4551 3646 16 032 12 034 12 023 13 021 17 011 3646 2852 15 027 14 025 12 015 13 015 15 011 2852 2149 12 025 18 018 13 011 11 009 11 012 2149 1533 7 020 10 017 10*006 7 001 7 007 1533 1024 5 357 6*351 3*355 1 335 3 359 1024 637 0 286 4*334 3 358 1 203 1 146 637 372 0 151 4 335 2 002 1 182 3 165 372 212 0 073 3 338 2 005 1 170 3*169 212 121 1*019 3 339 2 007 1*167 2*169 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography