DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 58.0 - - 56.7 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - 21 - - -51 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 864 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 121 - - 969 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 722 - - 1645 - - 1420 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 129 - - 20 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 20 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 008 - - 002 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2878 - - -4119 - - -4084 - - -1639 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3000 - - 5088 - - 4206 - - 1760 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8926 - - -9884 - - -9049 - - -9090 ODpotential blCL - - - 9047 - - 10853 - - 9170 - - 9211 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 39 - - 43 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 58.0 - - 56.7 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 36.5 - - 39.1 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 58.4 - - 58.2 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 35.3 - - 38.2 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - 21 - - -51 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 864 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94921 55 299 50 292 49 295 58 276 94921 88236 36 297 37 302 35 312 36 290 88236 83018 20 298 30 302 32 309 28 304 83018 78623 7 315 22 290 27 304 24 325 78623 74776 6 348 18 282 24 300 27 332 74776 71333 11 316 18 291 19 309 26 320 71333 68209 14 299 20 295 22 313 23 315 68209 65324 18 297 23 296 26 295 24 307 65324 62626 21 295 23 297 24 289 23 288 62626 59991 20 303 19 305 23 294 26 295 59991 57226 25 308 23 307 27 293 30 292 57226 54340 30 302 31 304 32 296 29 297 54340 51568 33 305 35 301 39 302 34 303 51568 49075 34 312 36 304 43 309 41 308 49075 46858 39 316 38 307 49 317 46 312 46858 44853 46 312 46 310 54 317 49 316 44853 43028 47 319 52 319 56 318 59 327 43028 41372 52 329 57 320 68 320 73 330 41372 39849 57 336 60 326 78 323 80 327 39849 38422 66 344 70 335 86 330 82 326 38422 37069 82 345 86 341 93 334 81 331 37069 35756 93 342 99 342 96 335 80 335 35756 34414 99 341 104 340 96 335 82 338 34414 33019 99 340 100 339 95 337 88 337 33019 31567 96 340 94 340 93 338 88 337 31567 30041 95 344 90 343 89 340 82 343 30041 28432 85 341 85 343 86 346 77 345 28432 26743 70 341 73 338 75 346 70 346 26743 24977 71 355 66 343 67 349 63 350 24977 23138 75 355 65 356 64 351 57 354 23138 21226 76 359 72 009 61 012 51 006 21226 19232 64 004 61 014 51 025 41 012 19232 17157 51 008 42 015 38 017 30 005 17157 15044 40 029 27 036 27 021 22 008 15044 13005 36 050 23 056 21 038 18 027 13005 11146 29 059 23 061 19 051 16 038 11146 9494 22 058 23 066 19 057 14 046 9494 8027 23 059 23 071 19 065 14 061 8027 6724 26 073 23 076 19 071 13 075 6724 5570 28 083 23 078 18 073 13 083 5570 4551 29 086 22 075 19 069 13 083 4551 3656 26 079 20 061 21 058 14 074 3656 2869 21 058 20 039 23 041 17 059 2869 2167 22 027 24 017 27 025 21 040 2167 1549 26 013 26 009 29 012 25 019 1549 1035 29 004 25*009 28 008 28 004 1035 643 27 001 24*008 25 006 25 352 643 375 20 357 22 008 22 004 19 339 375 213 17*356 19 008 18 003 14*332 213 121 12*356 14 007 12*002 7*326 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography