DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 81.5 - - 90.9 - - 91.3 - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 141 - - 118 - - -22 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1101 - - 1630 - - 135 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 323 - - 727 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1207 - - 1737 - - 242 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 374 - - 611 - - 2674 - - 5637 - - 387 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 227 - - 253 - - 63 - - 11 W* B/S 5 - - 15 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 008 - - 003 - - 144 - - 135 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -9 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3620 - - -4931 - - -6348 - - -7951 - - -4695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3742 - - 6138 - - 8085 - - 8194 - - 4819 sfcLCL ODpotential -13113 - - -12255 - - -12474 - - -12974 - - -10479 ODpotential blCL 13235 - - 13462 - - 14211 - - 13216 - - 10603 blCL maxRH 49 - - 41 - - 31 - - 26 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 81.5 - - 90.9 - - 91.3 - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.8 - - 55.3 - - 56.0 - - 55.9 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.4 - - 80.4 - - 90.0 - - 92.1 - - 85.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.1 - - 54.0 - - 54.7 - - 54.6 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 141 - - 118 - - -22 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1101 - - 1630 - - 135 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99518 48 097 40 109 41 115 31 117 28 105 99518 91995 39 101 38 112 35 102 36 110 31 110 91995 86199 35 107 32 110 31 102 33 108 31 103 86199 81391 34 107 28 111 30 113 26 102 28 102 81391 77241 26 102 29 102 25 121 25 108 23 109 77241 73569 21 113 21 088 26 117 21 110 24 111 73569 70264 19 113 15 113 17 108 20 111 19 111 70264 67253 14 090 16 137 14 156 13 125 17 104 67253 64466 9 129 16 141 15 158 15 139 14 124 64466 61768 13 174 17 159 16 173 14 157 13 163 61768 58957 19 173 14 167 17 185 11 177 17 153 58957 56035 12 185 18 196 19 200 17 209 13 186 56035 53245 16 199 25 203 27 207 33 208 28 213 53245 50744 26 216 32 211 36 210 40 212 38 214 50744 48509 32 224 36 215 41 217 46 220 48 226 48509 46478 40 236 39 217 45 216 55 222 62 229 46478 44616 48 233 45 215 51 215 58 220 64 224 44616 42903 52 227 51 212 54 214 57 220 60 222 42903 41317 53 228 52 215 53 214 57 219 60 222 41317 39836 56 230 52 220 52 214 58 216 62 220 39836 38440 58 230 52 222 53 213 58 214 63 216 38440 37087 56 230 53 222 53 214 57 215 63 214 37087 35705 52 230 51 224 50 217 53 216 59 214 35705 34266 50 232 48 227 47 220 49 215 54 211 34266 32772 46 234 45 227 45 219 49 214 53 208 32772 31203 43 234 43 225 46 217 48 217 52 212 31203 29549 43 231 43 224 45 220 43 220 46 217 29549 27814 42 230 43 224 42 222 37 216 40 214 27814 25996 40 229 41 225 39 222 34 215 37 211 25996 24097 38 232 37 227 37 222 32 219 33 211 24097 22122 32 234 32 228 34 219 32 219 30 210 22122 20060 25 223 29 220 33 215 33 215 30 209 20060 17904 24 213 27 218 30 219 28 217 28 213 17904 15703 23 213 25 223 25 226 22 227 21 220 15703 13583 22 219 23 224 22 227 17 227 14 221 13583 11653 21 223 21 220 19 222 14 214 13 207 11653 9938 19 220 19 215 17 214 14 202 15 192 9938 8414 17 214 16 211 15 208 13 204 17 188 8414 7062 14 214 13 208 14 214 13 223 11 191 7062 5864 11 217 11 215 15 225 13 226 7 206 5864 4802 7 206 11 227 15 229 12 220 6 228 4802 3865 3 218 10 235 14 224 12 206 7 244 3865 3039 7 330 6 269 11 210 12 190 9 249 3039 2299 10 343 6 325 10*188 14 172 10 247 2299 1645 11 342 6*333 9*153 15 155 10 235 1645 1101 12 345 3*350 9 144 15 143 9 213 1101 683 10 343 3 001 8 142 15 139 9 187 683 396 4 325 3 010 8 140 14*137 9 164 396 223 2 336 3 012 8 140 12*136 7*153 223 124 1*008 2 013 7 140 9 135 3*143 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography