DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 60.5 - - 67.4 - - 67.3 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 67 - - 80 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 623 - - 1563 - - 1052 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 728 - - 1669 - - 1158 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 380 - - 642 - - 1115 - - 1154 - - 1208 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 145 - - 216 - - 121 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 18 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 000 - - 347 - - 354 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -6 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -60 - - -74 - - -436 - - -792 - - -468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 181 - - 802 - - 2105 - - 1950 - - 590 sfcLCL ODpotential -7249 - - -4166 - - -3865 - - -3678 - - -4681 ODpotential blCL 7370 - - 4894 - - 5534 - - 4836 - - 4803 blCL maxRH 98 - - 95 - - 83 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 60.5 - - 67.4 - - 67.3 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.6 - - 57.6 - - 58.7 - - 59.4 - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.5 - - 59.8 - - 66.7 - - 67.3 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 56.8 - - 57.4 - - 58.1 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 67 - - 80 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 623 - - 1563 - - 1052 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 79 - - 31 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 17 083 11 098 8 117 11 039 10 090 96685 89568 13 096 14 102 7 134 8 054 9 096 89568 84022 11 086 14 081 7 087 6 044 11 014 84022 79409 13 043 9 013 11 031 5 014 16 012 79409 75457 14 006 8 003 16 353 13 004 21 353 75457 71993 16 003 14 333 20 325 13 347 12 326 71993 68866 26 333 15 319 24 322 22 336 19 320 68866 65981 40 305 26 328 32 314 33 320 33 319 65981 63295 45 295 42 305 44 303 44 307 36 310 63295 60683 45 301 48 294 45 292 47 302 44 300 60683 57950 48 303 54 295 52 288 56 292 49 294 57950 55103 73 290 67 287 66 285 63 287 56 291 55103 52377 72 278 71 279 75 276 73 280 70 280 52377 49930 64 274 71 276 81 267 81 277 75 277 49930 47746 68 280 75 272 78 268 84 272 81 276 47746 45772 84 279 78 272 76 271 81 270 80 272 45772 43967 91 275 81 274 75 274 76 275 76 269 43967 42299 90 272 83 274 78 274 80 277 76 271 42299 40753 82 274 84 275 83 275 87 275 82 274 40753 39309 78 274 88 277 85 273 88 274 83 274 39309 37946 84 280 88 276 82 272 85 275 79 272 37946 36621 87 284 84 274 80 271 80 273 76 269 36621 35264 81 283 80 275 77 270 77 270 72 267 35264 33847 71 279 73 277 76 270 75 270 69 267 33847 32371 67 278 70 277 77 272 74 271 68 268 32371 30824 68 279 71 274 66 273 70 273 65 269 30824 29193 67 281 69 273 57 272 65 274 62 270 29193 27478 59 282 61 275 54 273 50 271 58 275 27478 25675 54 286 53 279 50 275 42 274 56 278 25675 23790 52 287 44 279 41 277 42 280 51 282 23790 21823 44 288 40 276 36 279 41 281 45 285 21823 19770 35 286 37 279 36 279 37 282 38 286 19770 17627 31 290 29 285 33 284 33 286 31 289 17627 15441 26 287 23 288 28 284 29 293 24 292 15441 13332 20 270 22 287 23 283 24 296 21 303 13332 11416 16 277 23 296 22 290 21 304 20 311 11416 9715 17 293 19 301 19 302 21 311 20 319 9715 8208 17 293 13 297 16 319 18 320 18 327 8208 6872 15 289 10 298 13 323 12 332 14 339 6872 5690 14 289 10 305 9 322 7 339 8 353 5690 4647 11 291 9 309 7 323 6 334 4 009 4647 3733 7 288 6 311 6 320 6 325 5 009 3733 2930 4 268 4 308 5 308 6 315 7 357 2930 2214 3 251 2 322 4*306 6 312 8 349 2214 1584 2 284 3 354 3*326 5*321 7 349 1584 1061 3 358 5*358 2 344 4*349 6 002 1061 660 5 007 5*359 2 353 4 355 6 008 660 385 5 360 4 360 2 357 4 356 5 008 385 218 3 001 4 001 2 359 4 357 4 358 218 122 2*003 3 003 2 358 4 357 3*348 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography