DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 46.3 - - 48.2 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 35 - - 3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 413 - - 1249 - - 516 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 517 - - 1353 - - 620 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4440 - - 4876 - - 7385 - - 3919 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 97 - - 152 - - 67 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 069 - - 237 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1102 - - -582 - - -1983 - - -677 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1619 - - 1935 - - 2603 - - 797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1752 - - -1148 - - -2471 - - -1867 ODpotential blCL - - - 2269 - - 2501 - - 3091 - - 1987 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 97 - - 80 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 170 - - 150 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 46.3 - - 48.2 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 38.4 - - 37.3 - - 40.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 45.9 - - 48.2 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 37.2 - - 36.1 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 35 - - 3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 413 - - 1249 - - 516 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 86 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 25 103 17 110 22 112 21 119 96873 89679 27 110 20 115 19 109 23 099 89679 84075 20 104 17 110 17 100 17 096 84075 79409 19 103 11 090 13 111 11 089 79409 75387 12 089 8 110 8 101 7 070 75387 71825 0 159 6 077 4 092 3 147 71825 68583 9 222 6 264 4 227 4 240 68583 65572 8 197 6 245 13 207 8 264 65572 62757 11 255 12 279 8 218 9 255 62757 60011 16 271 10 274 11 291 3 246 60011 57128 11 298 12 293 23 296 20 306 57128 54140 30 304 26 296 27 292 29 297 54140 51290 35 298 38 300 33 296 32 288 51290 48716 40 302 40 298 37 293 29 295 48716 46406 45 302 40 308 42 309 41 315 46406 44318 49 306 54 314 52 316 54 309 44318 42416 52 306 65 309 63 312 61 305 42416 40663 56 308 69 304 72 306 70 301 40663 39031 60 307 68 303 76 301 73 296 39031 37506 61 307 67 304 76 297 77 295 37506 36077 62 310 67 305 76 295 82 291 36077 34701 64 313 68 305 72 293 82 289 34701 33313 66 313 67 306 66 294 84 290 33313 31887 62 310 65 306 65 299 90 290 31887 30424 55 313 62 307 73 301 94 290 30424 28906 54 317 57 310 81 298 93 290 28906 27319 55 316 57 312 80 293 87 290 27319 25668 58 316 58 310 69 293 80 292 25668 23956 60 316 58 307 63 299 73 297 23956 22185 63 315 59 308 64 302 67 301 22185 20353 66 317 60 311 62 303 62 303 20353 18451 62 321 58 314 56 305 59 302 18451 16466 49 321 51 313 52 307 52 305 16466 14435 35 318 35 307 45 308 44 312 14435 12475 24 314 25 292 30 310 34 308 12475 10697 18 310 23 290 20 308 24 288 10697 9120 17 310 23 298 16 297 18 284 9120 7723 17 309 21 298 14 296 11 274 7723 6482 19 310 19 295 12 302 12 272 6482 5381 21 308 17 291 10 300 14 267 5381 4406 21 304 15 287 8 294 14 260 4406 3548 20 297 12 284 7 286 14 256 3548 2790 19 287 8 283 5 277 13 252 2790 2113 17 277 4 285 5 268 10 246 2113 1514 15 270 1*316 4 257 8 237 1514 1016 12 264 2*069 4 247 5 217 1016 633 8*256 3 069 3*242 5 184 633 371 5*243 3 070 3*238 5 158 371 211 4 239 3 069 3 237 5 150 211 120 3 235 3 068 2 234 4*145 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography