DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/11 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 89.1 - - - - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 222 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1110 - - 1865 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 498 - - 1080 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1216 - - 1971 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 498 - - 1348 - - - - - 350 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 305 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 149 - - - - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4766 - - -7366 - - - - - -6987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5983 - - 9337 - - - - - 7110 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11589 - - -12035 - - - - - -13181 ODpotential blCL - - - 12805 - - 14006 - - - - - 13304 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 46 - - - - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 89.1 - - - - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 48.8 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.4 - - 87.6 - - - - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 47.9 - - - - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 222 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1110 - - 1865 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98770 8 219 11 209 8 256 98770 91313 6 245 5 185 7 193 91313 85558 5 253 1 287 4 247 85558 80780 7 226 7 264 4 352 80780 76660 3 146 7 237 6 333 76660 73024 3 035 5 212 2 039 73024 69747 2 143 4 250 7 318 69747 66743 4 327 4 292 1 182 66743 63970 14 285 15 282 17 316 63970 61311 16 254 20 262 22 291 61311 58548 16 282 22 268 26 281 58548 55681 34 284 32 278 35 280 55681 52957 43 276 42 275 47 277 52957 50527 48 277 50 273 59 283 50527 48363 52 275 57 275 71 279 48363 46412 62 278 69 277 73 281 46412 44623 71 279 70 281 76 289 44623 42954 71 284 72 286 81 289 42954 41385 69 288 72 287 79 288 41385 39904 67 287 69 284 74 288 39904 38502 65 285 65 281 69 287 38502 37140 64 284 62 279 62 283 37140 35749 63 285 60 278 58 279 35749 34299 61 288 59 280 53 275 34299 32794 59 289 58 281 48 272 32794 31219 57 288 56 281 45 270 31219 29562 55 286 55 282 44 269 29562 27824 49 282 54 283 45 273 27824 26004 44 279 49 287 49 278 26004 24102 40 277 43 286 49 281 24102 22120 38 278 40 284 44 283 22120 20048 34 277 37 281 39 283 20048 17880 30 279 30 283 34 278 17880 15671 24 280 23 282 25 270 15671 13551 19 275 19 275 19 270 13551 11626 16 273 16 273 16 267 11626 9915 14 273 15 279 15 268 9915 8393 12 270 13 278 14 274 8393 7040 11 263 12 275 11 276 7040 5840 10 258 15 268 8 260 5840 4779 9 262 16 259 7 243 4779 3845 7 291 14 248 7 251 3845 3021 7 323 10 227 8 263 3021 2285 7 329 7*184 10 272 2285 1635 4*329 6*155 13 273 1635 1094 1*002 6 150 14 266 1094 679 1 024 6 147 12 247 679 394 2 031 5 146 9 216 394 222 2 034 5 144 7 199 222 123 1 033 5 144 5*190 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography