DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.6 - - 59.3 - - 58.1 - - 59.0 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 1 - - 8 - - -4 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2044 - - 16 - - 1466 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 2149 - - 122 - - 1571 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1881 - - 2216 - - 3346 - - 2389 - - 2865 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 113 - - 25 - - 91 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 18 - - 12 - - 22 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 175 - - 235 - - 216 - - 225 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 9 - - -4 - - -15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -723 - - 52 - - -1712 - - -553 - - -940 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 845 - - 2097 - - 1834 - - 2124 - - 1061 sfcLCL ODpotential -2067 - - -897 - - -2392 - - -2029 - - -1829 ODpotential blCL 2189 - - 3046 - - 2514 - - 3600 - - 1950 blCL maxRH 84 - - 100 - - 82 - - 100 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 54.6 - - 59.3 - - 58.1 - - 59.0 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.3 - - 50.5 - - 50.5 - - 50.0 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 59.4 - - 58.1 - - 59.3 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.8 - - 49.5 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 1 - - 8 - - -4 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2044 - - 16 - - 1466 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 101 - - 28 - - 100 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96408 30 277 39 276 35 287 34 277 32 291 96408 89268 23 288 24 273 37 278 31 283 21 284 89268 83796 21 288 21 271 25 276 26 299 15 311 83796 79217 16 308 10 281 17 282 30 291 27 297 79217 75287 18 303 17 290 24 277 25 274 20 297 75287 71822 27 288 23 292 19 276 13 266 10 307 71822 68619 29 280 23 296 12 282 17 279 24 289 68619 65629 28 280 27 283 25 282 34 280 37 288 65629 62875 28 292 35 282 40 280 42 274 39 280 62875 60223 41 288 39 287 37 280 32 266 34 266 60223 57431 46 278 39 295 28 296 21 309 19 280 57431 54497 46 283 40 293 38 302 35 310 23 307 54497 51687 47 285 45 291 52 290 54 293 48 291 51687 49165 43 292 46 290 51 284 54 292 59 286 49165 46910 42 303 46 291 50 298 61 300 69 285 46910 44880 54 306 49 299 72 299 70 293 69 287 44880 43045 72 304 75 296 79 285 67 287 68 296 43045 41369 80 298 79 287 69 287 72 297 83 299 41369 39826 75 296 76 293 75 308 91 299 98 293 39826 38390 69 306 87 304 92 307 102 296 101 290 38390 37037 81 314 99 308 105 300 102 295 98 291 37037 35723 92 313 103 306 103 298 102 294 96 292 35723 34381 94 312 100 300 98 297 100 293 94 292 34381 32980 88 310 95 297 95 297 97 294 93 292 32980 31524 83 305 92 297 94 295 96 294 92 293 31524 29994 78 303 89 296 94 292 95 293 91 293 29994 28379 75 301 84 292 92 290 92 292 91 292 28379 26685 72 301 80 291 89 290 86 291 87 291 26685 24914 65 302 75 290 88 293 81 291 79 291 24914 23070 55 300 68 287 89 295 79 291 72 292 23070 21149 50 291 58 285 86 296 80 293 71 295 21149 19140 48 289 49 283 70 292 77 297 71 297 19140 17044 40 289 45 280 52 276 66 294 66 296 17044 14913 31 282 40 277 48 267 53 284 59 289 14913 12874 25 273 31 269 43 271 46 277 54 279 12874 11037 22 259 23 254 34 276 41 273 45 270 11037 9407 21 252 21 243 28 268 38 264 36 258 9407 7955 20 251 21 243 28 251 38 258 33 248 7955 6667 19 251 22 243 29 237 37 254 32 251 6667 5527 19 250 23 243 29 231 36 253 32 260 5527 4521 21 249 25 243 28 231 34 252 31 262 4521 3637 23 246 25 243 28 231 33 248 31 257 3637 2858 25 244 25 243 28 231 31 245 30 251 2858 2162 25 241 24*242 28 230 29*238 28 243 2162 1549 22 238 22*239 25 225 26*229 26 235 1549 1038 18 231 20 237 23 221 24 225 22 225 1038 647 14 214 18 235 21 219 23 223 19 216 647 378 11 191 16 232 19 217 21 222 16 210 378 215 9*182 13 230 16*217 18 221 14 208 215 121 7*175 10 227 12*216 14 220 9*206 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography