DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 63.9 - - 55.2 - - 58.8 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 70 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 135 - - 2284 - - 131 - - 16 - - 144 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 240 - - 2390 - - 236 - - 122 - - 249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 849 - - 1914 - - 948 - - 2011 - - 2578 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 222 - - 46 - - 23 - - 38 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 157 - - 184 - - 209 - - 240 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 4 - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3701 - - -4375 - - -990 - - -641 - - -802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3941 - - 6766 - - 1226 - - 763 - - 1051 sfcLCL ODpotential -10040 - - -8985 - - -3899 - - -1419 - - -1391 ODpotential blCL 10280 - - 11375 - - 4135 - - 1541 - - 1640 blCL maxRH 62 - - 100 - - 86 - - 89 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 140 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 63.9 - - 55.2 - - 58.8 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 34.7 - - 50.2 - - 55.8 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.7 - - 63.4 - - 55.1 - - 58.8 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 34.6 - - 49.6 - - 55.2 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 70 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 135 - - 2284 - - 131 - - 16 - - 144 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 101 - - 45 - - 56 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97225 36 269 41 273 58 276 52 298 36 299 97225 89900 34 292 29 285 40 271 44 282 38 283 89900 84273 28 286 25 283 24 270 33 264 36 281 84273 79606 20 276 17 287 19 280 18 275 21 277 79606 75590 18 267 21 271 20 281 18 274 8 287 75590 72040 16 266 19 248 18 271 16 267 10 288 72040 68823 7 268 9 240 11 262 10 259 13 253 68823 65862 16 255 14 246 19 242 16 258 15 257 65862 63101 22 250 20 235 25 226 24 246 21 241 63101 60408 17 241 15 247 20 224 26 231 24 234 60408 57582 19 239 21 253 18 231 23 229 28 231 57582 54636 33 241 30 248 24 241 28 237 31 230 54636 51822 39 235 35 241 36 230 37 231 38 229 51822 49297 34 235 35 235 35 225 37 221 41 220 49297 47044 35 247 34 235 38 229 33 221 40 217 47044 45009 45 245 43 231 45 229 38 225 38 208 45009 43151 54 241 48 223 53 224 47 222 41 217 43151 41443 58 239 57 225 60 213 59 220 57 221 41443 39872 59 238 63 225 62 208 64 206 71 217 39872 38420 61 239 64 226 66 209 65 203 79 215 38420 37059 65 238 66 228 71 209 68 205 84 215 37059 35740 70 237 70 229 74 206 70 203 87 214 35740 34395 74 237 73 229 75 206 72 200 87 214 34395 32991 77 239 73 228 74 208 73 200 87 215 32991 31530 79 242 73 230 71 212 73 200 88 214 31530 29998 79 242 72 231 71 217 72 201 90 211 29998 28383 76 236 72 230 71 218 74 205 92 210 28383 26687 77 229 73 224 72 218 76 212 88 209 26687 24913 77 224 76 221 75 218 77 215 82 206 24913 23065 71 222 74 222 77 218 76 212 80 202 23065 21144 64 219 66 219 73 216 77 208 79 201 21144 19149 60 214 58 213 65 212 74 209 72 204 19149 17076 57 208 56 206 60 205 63 211 62 205 17076 14963 54 201 55 201 57 200 56 203 57 195 14963 12921 49 195 50 197 52 196 56 196 57 179 12921 11060 47 189 45 194 46 189 49 186 57 173 11060 9408 46 186 43 192 41 186 44 176 50 177 9408 7948 40 186 39 192 37 186 38 173 45 193 7948 6659 33 190 36 193 34 191 32 180 42 209 6659 5522 30 187 33 192 31 194 30 193 35 217 5522 4516 29 184 30 190 28 192 29 202 26 221 4516 3632 28 187 28 188 27 193 27 212 21 228 3632 2853 27 194 25*187 27 193 25 224 18 242 2853 2158 25 203 22*186 25 193 23 234 16 261 2158 1546 21 209 18 184 22 196 21 238 14 275 1546 1037 15 200 17 184 19 201 18 240 12 281 1037 646 11 176 17 184 14 206 13 242 10 284 646 378 10*165 15 184 10*208 9 242 7*286 378 215 8*159 14 184 8*209 7*241 6*288 215 121 6 156 11 184 6 209 5*240 5 289 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography