DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 93.2 - - 95.5 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 237 - - 68 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 777 - - 1766 - - 1284 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1036 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 883 - - 1874 - - 1391 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 454 - - 1688 - - 2834 - - 134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 307 - - 189 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 154 - - 145 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4096 - - -7103 - - -9081 - - -6647 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4980 - - 8977 - - 10473 - - 6772 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11899 - - -13015 - - -14288 - - -13545 ODpotential blCL - - - 12782 - - 14889 - - 15679 - - 13669 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 45 - - 30 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 93.2 - - 95.5 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 54.5 - - 50.3 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 91.7 - - 95.1 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 53.5 - - 49.2 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 237 - - 68 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 777 - - 1766 - - 1284 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99331 26 138 22 102 19 102 21 101 99331 91830 22 120 22 108 22 105 17 111 91830 86035 28 111 23 120 16 111 15 095 86035 81220 22 091 21 116 15 112 17 099 81220 77073 14 096 17 115 11 108 17 083 77073 73429 18 090 12 113 12 092 15 080 73429 70159 11 084 15 104 14 099 11 103 70159 67169 12 109 13 095 14 087 12 115 67169 64395 10 141 10 155 6 084 12 091 64395 61708 6 132 12 161 6 154 7 110 61708 58913 8 209 14 175 13 189 8 193 58913 56016 21 218 20 204 22 202 20 216 56016 53251 36 221 32 218 30 217 30 222 53251 50767 44 225 40 219 39 225 39 227 50767 48559 51 228 50 230 48 231 45 233 48559 46580 54 233 55 233 51 236 51 239 46580 44779 53 236 56 235 54 236 54 237 44779 43112 53 238 52 235 54 234 56 234 43112 41552 53 238 51 236 56 236 56 234 41552 40083 54 239 53 237 54 238 54 235 40083 38691 55 241 54 239 53 239 53 236 38691 37338 54 242 54 238 51 238 52 237 37338 35954 51 242 51 237 50 237 50 236 35954 34510 49 240 48 234 49 236 47 236 34510 33009 45 238 48 233 47 235 46 236 33009 31436 42 234 45 233 45 236 45 237 31436 29777 41 236 43 231 42 237 43 238 29777 28032 35 236 40 228 39 237 39 234 28032 26200 34 226 38 227 36 232 36 230 26200 24284 37 222 39 229 36 231 37 229 24284 22290 35 222 36 228 34 230 37 232 22290 20211 31 224 29 225 31 223 33 236 20211 18041 26 229 22 230 28 222 27 232 18041 15826 21 220 19 225 21 217 24 219 15826 13689 19 213 17 223 18 216 20 219 13689 11743 12 216 12 216 13 229 14 224 11743 10013 7 216 9 202 8 226 9 218 10013 8477 5 228 6 227 3 248 5 176 8477 7114 5 266 5 254 4 280 4 077 7114 5904 3 261 5 247 6 257 1 030 5904 4832 2 166 7 234 8 241 3 253 4832 3887 2 146 9 222 9 225 6 232 3887 3054 2 164 9 210 10 207 9 220 3054 2309 0 146 8*190 10 186 12 212 2309 1652 1 009 8*167 12*161 14 202 1652 1104 1*137 8 156 12*149 15 189 1104 685 1*129 8 151 12 146 16 175 685 397 2 124 8 148 12 144 14 164 397 223 2 120 7 146 11 143 11*158 223 124 1 124 7 146 9 142 5*151 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography