DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 87.5 - - 88.6 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 122 - - 0 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 1800 - - 1046 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 445 - - 865 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1202 - - 1907 - - 1153 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 524 - - 1755 - - 2952 - - 241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 264 - - 122 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 153 - - 151 - - 147 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -9 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3520 - - -5664 - - -6254 - - -4322 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4723 - - 7571 - - 7407 - - 4445 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10669 - - -11895 - - -11685 - - -9872 ODpotential blCL - - - 11871 - - 13802 - - 12838 - - 9995 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 33 - - 29 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 87.5 - - 88.6 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 54.9 - - 56.8 - - 60.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 86.6 - - 88.9 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 53.6 - - 55.5 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 172 - - 122 - - 0 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1096 - - 1800 - - 1046 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 37 108 29 109 29 110 33 082 99261 91726 26 101 26 099 28 112 25 093 91726 85900 20 115 23 096 21 103 23 101 85900 81078 20 106 18 104 19 087 21 100 81078 76938 19 115 18 110 15 076 20 093 76938 73297 17 116 14 130 10 056 17 079 73297 70012 16 101 14 105 10 086 11 084 70012 66992 11 114 8 111 11 093 13 093 66992 64194 7 074 1 131 3 080 7 050 64194 61495 2 020 3 258 3 265 5 320 61495 58692 10 279 12 266 11 267 10 292 58692 55782 16 261 22 260 23 267 21 280 55782 53002 27 267 32 265 34 271 31 279 53002 50505 43 268 45 267 45 268 43 275 50505 48270 51 264 51 262 51 261 49 268 48270 46249 55 262 55 262 56 257 55 264 46249 44403 63 263 59 263 56 257 58 263 44403 42703 65 262 59 261 57 257 59 260 42703 41130 63 262 59 261 58 258 59 257 41130 39659 61 263 59 262 56 260 57 258 39659 38274 56 265 55 263 54 260 53 258 38274 36932 50 265 48 264 48 261 46 259 36932 35564 47 265 46 267 43 265 42 263 35564 34141 46 267 42 269 42 267 42 266 34141 32661 42 271 37 273 39 266 39 265 32661 31108 38 274 33 277 33 269 34 264 31108 29472 33 275 30 282 30 273 32 268 29472 27752 28 277 25 280 26 275 30 271 27752 25945 25 274 23 277 22 274 25 269 25945 24052 27 262 20 278 20 273 21 265 24052 22079 28 249 17 270 17 271 19 268 22079 20019 27 250 18 256 15 266 16 269 20019 17868 19 252 17 254 14 266 14 270 17868 15672 9 251 11 244 11 268 12 273 15672 13556 9 233 9 230 7 264 8 277 13556 11630 10 239 7 242 3 283 4 262 11630 9919 8 241 5 244 3 005 3 113 9919 8400 6 231 3 236 5 006 9 051 8400 7050 5 200 4 227 6 341 5 024 7050 5849 7 158 6 221 5 313 4 299 5849 4787 6 158 6 215 5 250 4 267 4787 3852 4 209 7 215 8 215 6 250 3852 3026 4 256 8 204 10 199 8 236 3026 2289 3 228 8*186 11 186 10 227 2289 1638 4*206 8*162 12*162 12 220 1638 1095 3*164 9 152 13*150 13 209 1095 680 3 155 8 148 12 147 14 194 680 394 3 148 8 147 12 146 13 177 394 222 3 143 8 145 11 144 10 165 222 123 3 145 7 144 9 143 6*158 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography