DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 81.3 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 384 - - - - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4354 - - 6571 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3062 - - 4884 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4459 - - 6678 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1506 - - 3155 - - - - - 3083 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 454 - - 554 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 020 - - - - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7320 - - -6193 - - - - - -11842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11780 - - 12871 - - - - - 11965 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13142 - - -9841 - - - - - -15876 ODpotential blCL - - - 17601 - - 16519 - - - - - 15999 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 39 - - - - - 10 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 81.3 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 24.3 - - - - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 79.3 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 23.3 - - - - - 22.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 384 - - - - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4354 - - 6571 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98131 3 152 8 345 9 343 98131 90716 5 216 8 234 2 158 90716 84998 2 240 10 230 5 021 84998 80240 5 133 2 201 5 312 80240 76140 4 023 1 271 1 337 76140 72519 2 004 3 240 4 058 72519 69238 3 087 2 303 7 015 69238 66214 6 337 5 284 9 297 66214 63402 12 325 6 321 6 266 63402 60668 15 320 16 308 9 332 60668 57816 17 307 20 289 18 313 57816 54867 18 289 19 284 18 311 54867 52064 16 292 18 305 23 316 52064 49550 21 308 20 319 26 311 49550 47297 28 307 27 309 29 319 47297 45257 38 303 38 309 38 314 45257 43398 46 300 44 307 40 314 43398 41693 52 299 55 312 43 322 41693 40118 55 294 60 312 46 324 40118 38650 56 302 58 312 46 328 38650 37273 62 304 57 318 46 335 37273 35943 61 302 62 324 50 344 35943 34594 59 307 67 323 57 345 34594 33196 59 311 68 320 59 343 33196 31747 63 311 68 319 58 342 31747 30228 68 313 68 320 59 345 30228 28624 70 320 70 323 59 351 28624 26939 66 328 68 331 53 353 26939 25178 62 338 63 335 47 353 25178 23342 58 348 56 337 44 353 23342 21433 45 348 47 339 37 354 21433 19444 35 348 38 344 29 357 19444 17365 33 353 33 354 26 007 17365 15240 32 001 32 012 24 016 15240 13195 27 031 29 025 14 038 13195 11334 24 042 24 042 13 061 11334 9677 23 052 21 055 15 062 9677 8201 29 067 20 056 15 054 8201 6886 31 074 19*043 15 043 6886 5716 29 071 20*033 15 030 5716 4680 24*053 20 027 17 018 4680 3767 22*038 20 023 19 010 3767 2961 22 026 20 018 20 007 2961 2241 22 021 20 016 20 006 2241 1605 22 020 20 015 20 005 1605 1075 22 019 19 014 19 004 1075 668 21 018 19 013 18 003 668 389 20 018 18 012 15 359 389 219 19 017 17 012 11*356 219 123 16 017 15 012 6*352 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography