DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 81.8 - - 84.3 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 192 - - 48 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1948 - - 2909 - - 2094 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1127 - - 1812 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2054 - - 3016 - - 2201 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1051 - - 1661 - - 3521 - - 1821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 347 - - 215 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 17 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 160 - - 143 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -13 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1523 - - -2909 - - -4476 - - -3960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3577 - - 5925 - - 6677 - - 4083 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6823 - - -8685 - - -9779 - - -9019 ODpotential blCL - - - 8877 - - 11701 - - 11980 - - 9142 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 50 - - 39 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 81.8 - - 84.3 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.9 - - 56.3 - - 55.4 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.9 - - 80.5 - - 83.9 - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 55.0 - - 54.1 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 192 - - 48 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1948 - - 2909 - - 2094 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 28 099 26 114 20 116 20 105 98941 91409 20 103 25 104 22 107 21 107 91409 85627 22 105 21 100 20 101 21 097 85627 80837 20 106 15 101 17 082 19 087 80837 76713 12 116 8 101 12 083 16 077 76713 73084 13 119 5 138 7 073 13 075 73084 69810 8 099 9 145 4 104 8 085 69810 66808 4 066 12 145 7 151 3 137 66808 64035 1 140 8 173 7 166 2 193 64035 61350 9 240 6 255 4 291 3 024 61350 58545 14 248 17 240 17 266 15 297 58545 55652 18 267 17 242 20 241 21 258 55652 52897 26 273 22 271 21 266 23 269 52897 50408 35 269 35 263 36 267 38 270 50408 48176 42 270 43 260 44 265 45 273 48176 46153 50 269 51 261 50 269 53 275 46153 44305 57 267 57 262 55 270 52 273 44305 42600 60 267 58 262 54 267 50 275 42600 41014 64 269 55 264 47 267 50 279 41014 39531 65 269 55 268 44 271 49 281 39531 38134 64 268 58 268 43 273 48 282 38134 36782 64 268 58 266 45 275 47 282 36782 35406 64 269 56 266 48 274 47 282 35406 33977 59 271 56 266 49 272 48 280 33977 32494 50 274 52 266 47 271 47 277 32494 30943 43 276 46 266 43 270 44 274 30943 29308 40 277 40 266 39 269 41 273 29308 27591 34 277 34 264 37 269 36 276 27591 25787 27 275 30 263 34 266 31 277 25787 23900 26 272 27 264 29 260 28 270 23900 21935 26 270 26 264 26 256 26 259 21935 19883 24 266 25 261 26 251 22 252 19883 17738 21 257 22 252 22 242 17 240 17738 15551 13 256 14 245 13 234 11 233 15551 13447 5 263 5 220 6 218 4 235 13447 11532 1 202 2 230 1 269 1 077 11532 9828 5 101 2 156 3 353 7 059 9828 8317 5 139 3 159 4 339 10 054 8317 6978 9 167 4 176 6 333 10 037 6978 5791 10 144 6 170 5 288 7 011 5791 4740 6 120 6 197 6 246 3 278 4740 3815 2 168 5*205 7 222 6 224 3815 2999 6 228 4*195 7 200 9 221 2999 2269 4*219 4 177 7*168 11 223 2269 1625 2*194 4 159 8*148 12 219 1625 1088 2 175 4 150 8 144 13 212 1088 676 2 160 4 143 8 142 12 203 676 393 1 150 4 140 8 140 11 193 393 221 1 143 4 138 8 140 9 182 221 123 1 141 3 137 7 140 5*174 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography