DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 81.0 - - 83.2 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 234 - - 71 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2183 - - 3362 - - 2586 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1299 - - 2209 - - 1021 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2289 - - 3469 - - 2693 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 694 - - 1022 - - 1845 - - 1808 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 319 - - 383 - - 247 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 174 - - 173 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1626 - - -2049 - - -3359 - - -3462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3915 - - 5519 - - 6053 - - 3585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8936 - - -7574 - - -8155 - - -9018 ODpotential blCL - - - 11225 - - 11043 - - 10848 - - 9141 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 64 - - 51 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.8 - - 81.0 - - 83.2 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 57.2 - - 57.0 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 79.6 - - 82.6 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 56.1 - - 56.0 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 234 - - 71 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2183 - - 3362 - - 2586 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99278 26 103 28 107 19 122 17 087 99278 91807 16 105 19 086 21 110 16 106 91807 86028 14 124 15 104 17 107 17 098 86028 81218 22 115 11 135 13 107 13 079 81218 77070 21 100 14 133 9 096 12 089 77070 73407 11 091 14 107 9 101 11 100 73407 70093 5 099 7 139 4 075 9 106 70093 67046 3 108 7 172 2 232 2 066 67046 64231 1 267 5 171 3 222 4 298 64231 61510 5 254 5 234 5 228 7 254 61510 58675 5 251 5 221 7 210 13 237 58675 55740 9 246 7 235 9 227 16 229 55740 52939 15 233 14 245 15 246 14 229 52939 50413 18 221 19 236 20 240 14 237 50413 48146 18 221 19 231 22 230 18 236 48146 46091 18 223 20 229 22 228 21 227 46091 44212 19 230 20 230 23 233 21 226 44212 42486 20 234 19 238 23 231 21 226 42486 40888 19 234 19 245 20 226 22 224 40888 39397 15 233 18 246 17 238 19 232 39397 38005 9 230 15 244 16 251 13 255 38005 36668 5 245 12 245 15 250 11 269 36668 35309 5 296 8 248 13 243 10 264 35309 33895 6 321 6 261 11 240 11 260 33895 32424 5 334 7 276 9 254 12 266 32424 30881 5 319 9 284 9 278 12 271 30881 29256 6 306 11 284 10 283 9 280 29256 27549 7 301 10 288 9 282 9 290 27549 25756 7 297 9 287 9 279 9 299 25756 23877 8 285 10 279 10 282 8 294 23877 21914 9 264 11 267 11 278 9 275 21914 19863 12 245 13 249 13 260 13 262 19863 17719 17 232 16 233 15 241 15 249 17719 15531 21 228 21 221 18 229 16 235 15531 13424 21 229 21 216 18 222 17 222 13424 11510 18 227 18 212 15 217 15 214 11510 9810 15 221 16 211 12 212 12 203 9810 8300 14 215 16 212 10 213 10 192 8300 6959 15 207 16 212 8 216 9 187 6959 5769 18 196 17 210 8 224 8 192 5769 4718 22 190 15 207 10 221 9 198 4718 3793 21 191 13*196 12 210 10 200 3793 2979 15*196 13*189 13*196 11 204 2979 2253 11*182 13 180 14*183 14 209 2253 1613 10 173 13 174 15 177 16 210 1613 1080 10 168 13 170 15 173 17 206 1080 671 9 164 13 167 14 170 16 199 671 391 9 162 13 165 14 168 14 190 391 220 8 160 12 164 13 167 12*183 220 123 7 160 10 163 11 166 8*178 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography