DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 54.0 - - 56.5 - - 47.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 74 - - -10 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 432 - - 630 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 536 - - 735 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 455 - - 999 - - 5146 - - 950 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 104 - - 150 - - 14 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 21 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 129 - - 271 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -37 - - -247 - - -1247 - - -1287 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 573 - - 982 - - 1369 - - 1409 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2985 - - -1797 - - -2002 - - -4257 ODpotential blCL - - - 3521 - - 2532 - - 2124 - - 4378 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 90 - - 70 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 410 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 54.0 - - 56.5 - - 47.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 50.2 - - 51.0 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 53.3 - - 57.4 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 49.2 - - 49.7 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 74 - - -10 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 432 - - 630 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96160 29 291 30 284 34 285 26 291 96160 89080 23 279 31 282 26 305 15 294 89080 83627 18 272 29 295 23 303 14 273 83627 79060 16 259 24 303 26 291 22 293 79060 75065 15 270 24 286 26 283 27 290 75065 71488 16 287 22 264 24 283 27 285 71488 68242 19 292 18 264 24 278 23 285 68242 65262 26 292 21 276 26 276 20 290 65262 62478 30 282 27 282 28 281 25 289 62478 59749 27 271 30 282 23 277 31 280 59749 56895 25 274 30 278 29 287 38 284 56895 53946 28 276 33 275 39 290 40 282 53946 51133 36 277 39 277 42 286 36 283 51133 48595 44 274 47 278 40 287 37 296 48595 46318 51 275 52 277 43 291 40 297 46318 44253 58 275 53 282 49 288 43 299 44253 42364 57 274 55 282 48 283 53 298 42364 40622 56 275 51 278 54 280 56 293 40622 39009 57 278 51 277 48 277 54 296 39009 37511 59 279 49 276 49 300 55 304 37511 36115 62 285 50 299 67 310 63 310 36115 34780 73 291 68 303 82 305 73 309 34780 33440 83 287 77 298 85 296 70 307 33440 32065 86 280 74 289 78 290 70 313 32065 30657 81 276 64 277 66 292 84 316 30657 29199 71 277 47 274 66 301 87 309 29199 27672 58 278 37 295 71 302 82 301 27672 26069 48 280 53 320 69 298 75 300 26069 24386 48 290 61 319 66 296 71 302 24386 22619 52 293 57 313 65 296 69 304 22619 20769 49 293 52 310 63 298 67 305 20769 18832 41 301 49 312 61 301 66 302 18832 16805 36 317 45 311 57 303 63 297 16805 14732 36 330 42 310 52 303 57 297 14732 12730 31 333 39 316 47 302 49 303 12730 10910 22 335 35 321 40 304 39 315 10910 9296 13 330 27 325 31 308 31 327 9296 7867 13 340 19 326 22 311 25 338 7867 6599 15 348 13 320 15 311 20 347 6599 5473 14 347 9 308 12 315 16 352 5473 4478 11 338 8 311 13 319 14 350 4478 3601 9 333 7 317 14 315 13 340 3601 2828 8 336 7 310 14 309 15 328 2828 2138 8 343 6 298 14 303 20 317 2138 1531 9 344 4 271 12 296 25 306 1531 1025 8 340 2*240 10 292 26 293 1025 639 7*338 1*148 9 288 25 278 639 374 6*345 1 129 7 283 22 271 374 213 5 350 1 120 5*278 19*269 213 121 4 352 1 118 3*271 12*268 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography