DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 88.3 - - 90.0 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 144 - - 6 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1970 - - 1285 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 414 - - 1038 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1197 - - 2077 - - 1392 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 506 - - 1572 - - 3495 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 235 - - 282 - - 139 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 166 - - 147 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4045 - - -5809 - - -6490 - - -4815 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5242 - - 7887 - - 7883 - - 4938 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11701 - - -12308 - - -12099 - - -11463 ODpotential blCL - - - 12898 - - 14385 - - 13491 - - 11586 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 37 - - 28 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 88.3 - - 90.0 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.6 - - 54.5 - - 56.1 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.5 - - 87.4 - - 90.3 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 53.2 - - 54.8 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 165 - - 144 - - 6 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1090 - - 1970 - - 1285 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99344 37 114 28 104 32 100 35 091 99344 91822 32 110 31 106 28 108 28 100 91822 86030 27 103 24 111 23 107 22 102 86030 81244 19 091 22 096 20 112 22 098 81244 77137 14 116 14 090 18 101 22 091 77137 73514 16 114 13 124 11 102 15 080 73514 70238 14 097 10 114 14 109 13 111 70238 67228 7 110 8 115 8 093 12 096 67228 64441 7 166 5 160 4 107 5 085 64441 61742 8 191 9 237 4 245 1 078 61742 58941 11 225 18 240 15 246 10 257 58941 56062 15 261 17 254 16 251 13 252 56062 53315 28 260 28 261 26 250 30 241 53315 50838 38 257 37 255 35 244 34 230 50838 48614 46 254 46 253 47 252 40 246 48614 46587 51 252 54 249 59 246 62 248 46587 44721 51 256 54 248 58 247 68 243 44721 42991 47 260 50 256 57 254 65 248 42991 41385 38 258 43 257 48 251 61 249 41385 39893 22 245 34 248 44 249 47 245 39893 38498 14 230 27 236 42 252 43 243 38498 37146 11 200 24 239 41 250 41 244 37146 35767 12 196 23 240 41 246 39 235 35767 34330 14 191 21 240 42 249 42 229 34330 32836 13 177 17 238 30 248 28 237 32836 31274 11 178 15 226 21 249 15 241 31274 29630 10 185 16 216 21 247 16 240 29630 27902 10 199 13 219 20 255 15 245 27902 26085 9 228 9 224 12 261 11 238 26085 24183 5 241 7 222 7 224 8 205 24183 22198 4 184 9 219 7 204 8 194 22198 20122 7 164 8 204 8 189 9 186 20122 17954 5 156 10 151 11 161 19 168 17954 15743 5 178 10 136 15 150 27 152 15743 13612 13 189 13 169 17 156 28 149 13612 11671 17 173 16 171 19 162 21 156 11671 9946 19 157 16 169 17 170 14 170 9946 8418 14 149 15 159 12 178 6 195 8418 7063 11 154 11 168 6 199 2 183 7063 5861 5 161 9 179 7 232 1 214 5861 4796 4 134 6 190 9 227 4 222 4796 3858 4 145 6 200 10 216 7 212 3858 3032 1 175 6 198 10 200 10 207 3032 2293 3 011 6*185 11 180 12 208 2293 1641 3*018 5*173 12*158 14 206 1641 1098 1*042 5 168 12*150 15 200 1098 682 2 054 5 163 12 147 15 189 682 395 1 063 5 163 11 145 13 177 395 222 1 066 5 162 10 144 10 169 222 123 1 065 4 160 8 143 6*164 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography