DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 58.3 - - 56.5 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - -11 - - -13 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 672 - - 122 - - 121 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1390 - - 4187 - - 2672 - - 1562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 20 - - 11 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 181 - - 163 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 195 - - -839 - - -313 - - -294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 477 - - 961 - - 434 - - 416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -321 - - -1239 - - -1129 - - -1929 ODpotential blCL - - - 993 - - 1361 - - 1250 - - 2051 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 91 - - 92 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 70 - - 70 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 58.3 - - 56.5 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.3 - - 54.8 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 58.7 - - 57.3 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 53.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - -11 - - -13 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 63 - - 68 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96079 23 306 26 331 18 335 21 293 96079 88982 15 317 16 317 14 325 19 313 88982 83484 12 324 9 276 14 321 11 320 83484 78921 15 293 14 273 19 305 11 359 78921 74973 17 282 21 272 25 274 21 293 74973 71477 13 261 18 250 20 257 17 247 71477 68305 13 270 11 260 11 243 12 248 68305 65362 26 261 22 273 27 253 27 259 65362 62622 36 245 39 247 41 234 37 234 62622 59959 40 234 45 232 38 228 37 212 59959 57163 41 232 44 226 40 236 33 227 57163 54238 43 232 48 227 57 235 60 235 54238 51423 52 231 54 228 72 229 82 223 51423 48876 59 230 58 226 72 221 74 220 48876 46596 64 232 64 225 67 220 69 226 46596 44532 75 230 70 226 74 224 85 232 44532 42644 81 225 80 226 85 225 95 226 42644 40909 91 221 88 227 96 222 93 221 40909 39310 101 221 102 225 103 219 92 221 39310 37832 105 222 116 222 104 217 91 221 37832 36459 103 224 119 221 99 215 78 220 36459 35149 97 222 112 223 95 213 72 217 35149 33830 93 219 104 225 90 213 63 216 33830 32468 88 220 102 224 81 216 55 213 32468 31056 90 224 96 226 68 216 55 209 31056 29577 84 225 84 230 63 214 59 206 29577 28018 73 226 72 229 63 212 63 206 28018 26378 70 222 70 224 63 210 65 210 26378 24655 65 221 74 220 65 209 66 215 24655 22852 59 222 72 223 67 214 65 220 22852 20968 59 217 67 224 62 220 64 222 20968 19001 59 211 62 217 54 218 60 219 19001 16952 56 208 57 213 55 210 56 207 16952 14865 54 207 54 209 55 205 56 202 14865 12850 50 206 51 201 52 198 54 200 12850 11016 48 202 49 192 51 192 53 194 11016 9391 46 198 49 187 50 188 51 189 9391 7952 45 192 48 184 48 185 52 186 7952 6674 41 187 45 183 44 182 52 185 6674 5539 35 186 40 185 38 178 52 182 5539 4535 29 190 34 190 36 178 52 181 4535 3650 27 195 32 191 33 179 51 180 3650 2868 25 195 30 191 30 180 49 180 2868 2170 23 194 27 191 27 183 45 179 2170 1554 20 191 24 189 24 184 40 179 1554 1041 17*178 22 187 19 182 32 179 1041 649 15*164 20 185 17 178 25 178 649 379 13 159 17 183 12 172 18 175 379 215 12 157 14*182 10 168 15*173 215 122 10 156 11*181 6*163 9*171 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography