DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 54.8 - - 55.2 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 40 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 606 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 120 - - 711 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 269 - - 548 - - 1204 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 126 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 326 - - 354 - - 043 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1881 - - -2017 - - -1671 - - -1068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2002 - - 2729 - - 1792 - - 1189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12376 - - -10563 - - -9693 - - -11207 ODpotential blCL - - - 12496 - - 11274 - - 9814 - - 11328 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 66 - - 68 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 54.8 - - 55.2 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 43.8 - - 48.3 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 54.3 - - 55.9 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 42.6 - - 47.0 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 40 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 606 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96339 26 035 28 016 24 040 18 018 96339 89388 18 058 25 047 25 046 26 048 89388 83915 14 072 22 052 25 057 28 055 83915 79350 17 071 16 057 22 055 21 057 79350 75418 17 058 9 057 15 036 18 057 75418 71935 16 041 10 041 18 045 20 049 71935 68764 12 017 9 006 16 023 20 031 68764 65839 11 014 9 347 13 352 20 356 65839 63128 17 360 9 351 14 336 18 336 63128 60510 27 354 20 351 21 346 22 340 60510 57774 32 337 26 341 24 338 22 339 57774 54918 37 332 37 336 34 333 30 348 54918 52181 37 323 39 325 40 329 40 342 52181 49712 36 319 38 323 41 332 40 336 49712 47501 36 320 36 327 41 337 41 342 47501 45501 33 316 37 332 44 342 44 342 45501 43668 33 316 38 330 46 342 43 346 43668 41978 36 307 33 318 42 341 42 348 41978 40410 39 295 29 311 37 332 41 344 40410 38946 47 288 32 303 28 317 31 336 38946 37578 51 286 39 296 24 305 20 326 37578 36263 44 289 47 289 20 301 19 320 36263 34927 38 291 45 290 19 301 21 309 34927 33539 34 289 39 295 25 297 29 300 33539 32094 33 292 30 290 28 295 30 298 32094 30576 30 294 28 290 27 296 28 303 30576 28973 26 293 27 294 26 299 23 310 28973 27285 23 297 20 295 20 310 19 315 27285 25508 18 303 14 303 11 323 12 314 25508 23644 15 317 8 323 8 335 5 313 23644 21699 13 328 7 343 8 344 2 305 21699 19667 11 322 7 328 10 337 4 331 19667 17545 11 308 9 317 13 333 9 345 17545 15375 11 303 9 324 15 338 13 003 15375 13278 9 304 8 330 15 347 16 017 13278 11365 7 317 6 336 12 356 16 021 11365 9664 5 336 6 346 9 001 14 016 9664 8155 6 359 8 358 9 013 13 014 8155 6818 8 011 12 003 11 026 13 017 6818 5634 9 016 14 005 13 033 15 021 5634 4592 9 018 14 006 14 034 15 023 4592 3681 9 021 12 011 13 035 14 025 3681 2882 10 015 13 012 11 028 14 020 2882 2173 12 009 13 011 11 018 17 013 2173 1551 14 003 13 006 10 008 17 011 1551 1037 14 359 10*355 7 356 11 001 1037 645 10 358 6*352 3 356 6 331 645 376 6 343 5 354 2 018 3 293 376 213 4 333 5 355 1 030 2*278 213 121 2*326 4 355 1*043 2*276 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography