DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 85.6 - - 88.3 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 158 - - 26 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1200 - - 1865 - - 1255 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 547 - - 997 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1306 - - 1972 - - 1362 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 811 - - 1449 - - 1874 - - 343 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 284 - - 161 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 16 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 149 - - 148 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -10 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3135 - - -4762 - - -5690 - - -4257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4441 - - 6734 - - 7052 - - 4380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9381 - - -9771 - - -9892 - - -9939 ODpotential blCL - - - 10687 - - 11743 - - 11254 - - 10062 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 39 - - 34 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 85.6 - - 88.3 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 56.5 - - 57.8 - - 61.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.8 - - 84.5 - - 88.2 - - 82.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 55.2 - - 56.5 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 158 - - 26 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1200 - - 1865 - - 1255 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98902 29 119 26 129 18 112 23 092 98902 91384 22 108 19 108 23 104 22 109 91384 85623 18 109 15 105 22 102 18 101 85623 80853 22 113 17 099 15 102 16 105 80853 76745 12 103 15 108 15 100 16 089 76745 73119 13 114 8 123 8 089 15 082 73119 69834 12 116 11 107 5 149 11 057 69834 66823 1 225 4 106 8 179 1 321 66823 64039 6 232 2 330 2 184 2 118 64039 61349 2 231 6 267 9 264 7 286 61349 58556 10 257 9 257 12 274 9 265 58556 55661 21 271 18 261 19 285 15 287 55661 52902 38 263 31 260 33 273 30 278 52902 50431 43 266 35 263 37 269 40 276 50431 48228 49 271 43 269 46 270 50 274 48228 46237 52 267 49 268 51 272 53 272 46237 44417 51 267 53 267 52 273 50 274 44417 42737 53 271 52 269 52 273 48 275 42737 41173 58 272 51 269 52 272 48 276 41173 39703 59 270 52 269 51 271 48 276 39703 38314 57 270 52 270 49 270 48 274 38314 36964 54 270 53 271 46 270 46 273 36964 35587 52 269 54 271 42 272 43 272 35587 34153 48 270 51 272 37 276 39 274 34153 32665 43 273 42 270 35 279 33 277 32665 31107 36 273 36 268 35 276 29 279 31107 29466 31 274 32 269 32 271 27 280 29466 27742 28 276 30 272 27 271 25 276 27742 25931 25 278 26 272 25 270 23 274 25931 24035 20 278 22 269 22 269 22 271 24035 22057 17 279 19 269 18 276 19 273 22057 19992 11 273 13 274 14 285 12 277 19992 17841 6 286 8 288 8 298 7 281 17841 15648 4 324 4 286 4 305 2 276 15648 13535 4 002 1 270 1 282 4 208 13535 11613 3 084 1 298 2 049 3 186 11613 9904 7 053 2 037 4 015 3 071 9904 8387 5 033 4 019 7 347 9 032 8387 7040 3 050 7 353 10 318 12 017 7040 5843 5 065 8 340 10 304 8 346 5843 4782 7 038 7 332 8 289 7 298 4782 3848 9 016 6 332 6 269 8 271 3848 3023 8 003 4 331 4 238 8 249 3023 2286 7 350 1*257 5 193 9 227 2286 1636 4*348 3*161 7*162 10 203 1636 1095 2*357 3 152 8*150 12 185 1095 680 1 001 3 147 8 149 12 170 680 394 1 005 3 143 8 148 11 157 394 222 1 013 3 143 8 147 9 147 222 123 1 010 3 143 6 146 5*137 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography