DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.9 - - 49.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 7 - - -15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2203 - - 953 - - 2760 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2308 - - 1058 - - 2865 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2977 - - 3597 - - 3376 - - 2614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 102 - - 150 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - 29 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 198 - - 214 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 11 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 786 - - -292 - - 619 - - -1242 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1522 - - 1350 - - 2246 - - 1363 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 93 - - -984 - - -953 - - -1881 ODpotential blCL - - - 2215 - - 2042 - - 3818 - - 2002 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 180 - - 260 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.9 - - 49.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 52.1 - - 49.3 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 57.7 - - 59.4 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 51.3 - - 48.0 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 60 - - 7 - - -15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2203 - - 953 - - 2760 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 102 - - 85 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97017 41 264 57 271 61 278 54 277 97017 89628 40 269 51 271 49 281 48 276 89628 84009 40 277 44 273 39 283 41 273 84009 79391 37 276 38 265 35 276 32 273 79391 75396 30 267 30 255 34 264 30 261 75396 71843 22 259 21 247 37 253 30 252 71843 68618 22 264 23 249 31 251 26 252 68618 65631 28 258 28 250 24 253 23 254 65631 62825 31 248 27 248 22 254 27 250 62825 60092 26 241 25 242 25 253 29 240 60092 57235 23 238 27 238 25 246 23 242 57235 54253 25 238 29 234 22 250 23 253 54253 51385 31 238 24 237 25 257 26 258 51385 48786 36 235 33 246 37 254 36 258 48786 46459 39 236 44 244 53 242 45 247 46459 44367 46 238 50 236 55 230 47 235 44367 42472 44 237 46 230 49 228 39 229 42472 40723 42 246 48 248 48 232 33 244 40723 39095 54 255 61 254 51 236 40 250 39095 37576 61 251 77 252 57 240 50 250 37576 36156 67 252 92 247 69 241 58 243 36156 34797 77 253 99 243 78 235 64 238 34797 33426 86 254 98 241 80 227 69 232 33426 32016 87 255 93 238 82 223 70 225 32016 30576 81 252 88 235 88 223 74 220 30576 29090 75 245 86 232 94 220 82 215 29090 27543 73 240 84 229 96 218 83 210 27543 25933 71 239 79 227 92 216 71 203 25933 24254 64 237 75 226 83 213 65 197 24254 22496 58 235 70 225 73 208 68 197 22496 20656 52 235 63 222 68 206 67 199 20656 18730 44 235 54 215 62 209 60 200 18730 16712 39 229 47 208 54 213 54 199 16712 14649 39 221 42 203 47 211 49 198 14649 12658 37 211 42 201 43 204 45 200 12658 10847 35 207 42 202 39 195 43 202 10847 9239 33 207 42 199 38 190 41 203 9239 7813 32 207 43 196 37 193 41 202 7813 6548 32 205 41 195 35 202 39 203 6548 5426 29 203 39 195 35 209 36 205 5426 4436 28 200 35 197 35 212 31 209 4436 3567 27 198 32 200 34*213 26 214 3567 2803 26*196 29 202 34*213 23 222 2803 2120 25*193 28 202 32 214 21 233 2120 1520 22 188 26*201 31 214 20 240 1520 1020 20 185 24*200 29 214 19 240 1020 636 19 183 22 199 26 214 17 240 636 373 17 182 20 198 23 214 14 238 373 212 15 181 17 197 20 213 12*237 212 121 12 179 13 196 15 213 8*235 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography