DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 97.5 - - 98.1 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 178 - - 10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 737 - - 2418 - - 1353 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1379 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 844 - - 2526 - - 1461 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 729 - - 3524 - - 6432 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 307 - - 102 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 19 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 303 - - 185 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -9 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10436 - - -11096 - - -12224 - - -9746 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11281 - - 13622 - - 13686 - - 9869 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17162 - - -15571 - - -16367 - - -15869 ODpotential blCL - - - 18006 - - 18097 - - 17828 - - 15992 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 47 - - 37 - - 16 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 97.5 - - 98.1 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 37.8 - - 38.0 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 96.1 - - 98.0 - - 87.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 37.2 - - 37.5 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 178 - - 10 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 737 - - 2418 - - 1353 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97829 7 101 11 071 12 060 4 078 97829 90601 11 110 17 088 12 088 12 096 90601 84969 9 077 11 074 9 078 16 076 84969 80295 9 069 5 040 11 038 14 060 80295 76303 11 068 6 044 12 017 13 043 76303 72799 12 071 8 045 9 015 14 032 72799 69620 14 071 6 040 6 333 12 360 69620 66690 9 044 6 007 10 337 12 333 66690 63979 8 348 11 334 14 337 13 330 63979 61361 10 340 11 308 17 308 19 322 61361 58636 19 330 14 315 19 305 24 315 58636 55812 26 316 21 324 21 311 27 310 55812 53116 32 307 27 312 27 309 32 310 53116 50687 31 297 31 297 34 303 31 307 50687 48499 30 293 33 295 37 302 29 309 48499 46498 29 295 33 294 35 298 28 307 46498 44654 37 298 35 295 36 292 29 300 44654 42941 42 295 37 293 36 285 32 290 42941 41340 41 294 35 291 34 283 33 282 41340 39837 41 295 35 292 33 282 32 278 39837 38422 41 296 36 291 33 284 33 278 38422 37053 38 296 36 289 34 286 33 279 37053 35660 36 295 34 287 33 285 33 279 35660 34210 35 292 32 285 32 282 32 277 34210 32707 33 289 30 283 30 279 29 273 32707 31138 30 284 28 279 28 275 27 270 31138 29489 27 280 27 278 27 273 25 270 29489 27760 24 282 23 282 23 274 21 273 27760 25947 19 285 16 284 16 275 16 271 25947 24051 14 285 11 278 10 263 12 259 24051 22077 10 281 8 267 7 246 10 247 22077 20019 6 249 6 240 6 213 8 223 20019 17875 7 181 7 186 10 175 14 177 17875 15694 7 140 10 165 15 161 23 166 15694 13595 14 184 16 177 19 159 27 164 13595 11679 14 158 13 170 16 158 19 148 11679 9969 10 146 10 166 8 161 14 159 9969 8446 9 126 9 158 7 165 7 169 8446 7090 3 216 3 156 4 213 1 353 7090 5886 10 266 5 264 8 281 7 354 5886 4818 11 277 12 280 10 284 7 338 4818 3877 4 291 13 289 10 282 8 327 3877 3046 1 354 8*297 9 278 10 318 3046 2304 5 357 4*302 6 268 13 312 2304 1648 12 002 3 305 3*236 15 308 1648 1101 12*360 3 303 2*196 15 303 1101 683 8*355 3 303 2 185 14 293 683 396 7 356 2 300 2 182 11 276 396 222 7 356 2 297 2 178 8 264 222 123 6 357 2 297 2 178 6*255 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography