DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.2 - - 55.1 - - 59.5 - - 55.6 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 41 - - 48 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 996 - - 3565 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 1398 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1101 - - 3670 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 248 - - 2122 - - 2512 - - 3007 - - 2017 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 151 - - 249 - - 14 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 15 - - 17 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 177 - - 168 - - 176 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -8 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -286 - - -573 - - 1194 - - -693 - - -177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 407 - - 1674 - - 2476 - - 815 - - 298 sfcLCL ODpotential -3629 - - -1991 - - 253 - - -1325 - - -1069 ODpotential blCL 3750 - - 3092 - - 3417 - - 1447 - - 1190 blCL maxRH 87 - - 92 - - 87 - - 85 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 230 - - 330 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 44.2 - - 55.1 - - 59.5 - - 55.6 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.9 - - 48.2 - - 49.0 - - 52.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 54.7 - - 59.1 - - 55.6 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 47.0 - - 47.7 - - 51.7 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 41 - - 48 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 996 - - 3565 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 69 - - 48 - - 42 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96807 40 105 33 087 37 102 43 115 18 121 96807 89650 33 108 23 104 26 103 32 104 29 107 89650 84086 23 109 20 123 16 105 19 115 17 090 84086 79427 11 115 15 118 16 126 9 124 4 133 79427 75387 14 135 6 117 7 107 4 128 3 149 75387 71797 6 132 8 119 3 120 8 183 3 013 71797 68533 7 140 3 241 3 349 8 206 9 178 68533 65524 5 203 12 198 9 239 5 171 4 209 65524 62708 6 193 12 177 15 215 22 223 20 225 62708 59962 10 275 9 202 18 216 25 229 19 227 59962 57095 35 233 28 226 26 222 22 227 21 238 57095 54108 42 227 37 220 37 223 32 228 24 245 54108 51245 43 231 43 225 40 240 39 235 43 257 51245 48673 52 238 53 232 53 238 55 240 59 245 48673 46389 63 241 60 236 63 228 61 241 60 233 46389 44344 70 240 65 241 68 232 71 241 54 238 44344 42479 73 238 75 238 75 236 77 236 63 236 42479 40757 79 233 79 231 80 233 76 231 69 230 40757 39164 77 227 77 228 82 231 76 230 75 227 39164 37681 72 231 76 230 86 232 81 231 78 226 37681 36291 82 238 82 233 94 232 88 230 82 229 36291 34954 99 236 90 231 99 231 93 230 92 233 34954 33603 100 229 93 228 98 230 95 231 101 235 33603 32209 94 226 90 224 96 228 100 234 106 236 32209 30776 94 228 86 222 93 228 105 235 111 236 30776 29287 93 229 84 223 91 228 103 233 112 236 29287 27728 92 225 82 225 86 227 97 233 105 235 27728 26102 91 222 81 226 81 227 89 234 90 234 26102 24407 84 221 82 229 78 228 75 233 71 233 24407 22642 73 223 79 233 74 231 57 230 53 230 22642 20799 60 227 64 236 58 231 43 222 46 224 20799 18867 50 229 40 229 39 226 36 212 41 217 18867 16845 37 229 27 221 28 221 36 202 37 207 16845 14778 25 223 25 214 25 217 37 202 33 193 14778 12780 21 205 28 209 26 206 36 203 32 188 12780 10960 20 205 24 208 26 196 34 202 31 181 10960 9341 25 201 20 198 26 188 28 192 32 179 9341 7903 27 193 21 186 24 186 25 190 32 178 7903 6628 25 188 23 176 24 186 24 178 31 177 6628 5497 23 185 24 171 23 184 25 169 29 177 5497 4498 20 185 23 171 22*180 25 167 25 185 4498 3618 21 188 23 172 21*176 24 168 23 202 3618 2843 22 187 23 176 19 171 21 170 23 213 2843 2150 20 177 23 180 18 167 19 174 21 214 2150 1541 19 169 22*181 17 165 16 178 18 213 1541 1032 19 169 20*180 16 165 13 184 14 224 1032 643 17 173 16 177 16 164 9 184 9 231 643 376 11 168 14 176 15 164 7 181 5 252 376 214 6*161 13 175 14 164 6*179 3 290 214 121 3*154 10 174 11 163 4*176 2*323 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography