DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 77.7 - - 79.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 198 - - 54 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 630 - - 1963 - - 1705 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1104 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 735 - - 2069 - - 1812 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 549 - - 1297 - - 3107 - - 793 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 298 - - 187 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 38 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 339 - - 148 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5716 - - -7571 - - -8263 - - -7294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6452 - - 9640 - - 10075 - - 7417 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13846 - - -13898 - - -13949 - - -15172 ODpotential blCL - - - 14581 - - 15967 - - 15761 - - 15294 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 42 - - 36 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.4 - - 77.7 - - 79.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.4 - - 36.3 - - 36.5 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 76.4 - - 79.4 - - 74.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.5 - - 35.3 - - 35.6 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 198 - - 54 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 630 - - 1963 - - 1705 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 13 352 9 307 12 307 8 003 96351 89250 6 359 10 349 9 353 14 034 89250 83771 3 088 7 299 13 337 13 013 83771 79227 10 004 6 330 14 317 14 332 79227 75310 12 348 13 334 11 343 16 344 75310 71838 18 339 18 326 20 333 24 325 71838 68709 24 327 23 327 25 345 22 336 68709 65837 30 311 32 317 34 335 29 336 65837 63160 33 306 38 309 37 318 38 314 63160 60560 33 307 37 307 39 309 41 299 60560 57850 38 311 40 312 44 308 44 302 57850 55031 45 309 44 308 49 309 50 307 55031 52321 48 304 50 302 53 307 53 308 52321 49869 47 300 50 296 56 306 51 308 49869 47668 45 301 46 292 53 297 52 307 47668 45678 42 302 42 295 47 292 51 298 45678 43864 46 312 44 304 40 297 46 292 43864 42196 47 305 43 302 41 301 46 291 42196 40649 47 299 46 298 44 299 46 290 40649 39203 44 296 43 299 42 296 45 292 39203 37842 41 292 41 299 40 298 46 295 37842 36522 36 289 40 297 40 296 50 296 36522 35178 33 290 40 294 44 295 59 298 35178 33780 36 287 41 291 49 295 63 298 33780 32327 39 280 45 293 54 295 58 296 32327 30802 40 280 51 294 56 294 54 297 30802 29189 43 286 49 293 54 293 51 297 29189 27489 45 290 46 295 50 295 49 294 27489 25698 43 291 47 294 48 296 48 296 25698 23819 41 291 47 296 49 298 46 301 23819 21858 41 292 44 299 46 305 42 306 21858 19807 42 293 41 298 40 304 37 306 19807 17664 41 295 40 297 36 301 34 303 17664 15475 37 297 36 298 33 303 30 303 15475 13366 28 296 28 296 26 303 23 304 13366 11451 20 290 22 293 19 297 17 298 11451 9751 15 281 16 285 15 288 14 290 9751 8245 12 275 13 274 13 280 13 284 8245 6910 10 273 11 271 14 277 13 284 6910 5727 8 273 10 273 14 276 12 290 5727 4684 7 278 8 277 14 272 11 295 4684 3767 4 296 6 282 12 268 8 297 3767 2959 3 336 3 298 9 266 6 293 2959 2238 3 006 2*328 3*257 4 284 2238 1602 7 006 2*335 1*199 3 267 1602 1072 8*358 2 341 1 149 2 237 1072 666 6*347 1 344 2 141 3 213 666 388 5 348 1 338 2 138 4 196 388 219 5 348 1 337 2 139 4 188 219 122 4 349 1 338 2 137 4*190 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography