DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 92.5 - - - - - 86.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 166 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 1656 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 419 - - 860 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1188 - - 1764 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 442 - - 2252 - - - - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 236 - - 275 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 148 - - - - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -11 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4413 - - -6579 - - - - - -6218 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5601 - - 8344 - - - - - 6342 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11206 - - -11858 - - - - - -11605 ODpotential blCL - - - 12394 - - 13622 - - - - - 11729 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 31 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 92.5 - - - - - 86.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 56.5 - - - - - 59.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 91.3 - - - - - 90.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 55.2 - - - - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 166 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 1656 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99494 36 116 32 114 37 103 99494 91969 37 120 30 118 26 099 91969 86177 34 111 27 116 23 113 86177 81366 28 106 24 112 26 111 81366 77222 26 110 24 132 22 098 77222 73570 21 101 29 120 14 094 73570 70277 14 110 23 110 14 119 70277 67262 7 106 11 122 12 109 67262 64477 4 105 8 157 5 078 64477 61791 7 154 19 203 9 255 61791 59005 10 248 14 222 16 238 59005 56124 20 234 22 222 25 231 56124 53368 23 258 24 260 18 238 53368 50884 43 266 45 270 40 274 50884 48662 58 248 56 255 58 265 48662 46639 48 243 48 256 58 266 46639 44773 39 254 46 266 55 275 44773 43049 40 264 47 268 60 288 43049 41445 40 271 48 276 61 290 41445 39945 37 270 50 284 56 288 39945 38532 34 271 48 285 51 286 38532 37168 33 272 40 281 49 287 37168 35779 30 273 33 281 51 291 35779 34336 29 275 30 282 49 288 34336 32843 28 275 27 279 40 278 32843 31285 28 274 22 276 31 272 31285 29645 25 274 19 276 28 273 29645 27920 23 273 19 278 28 274 27920 26107 23 272 20 281 25 273 26107 24207 22 271 21 284 24 267 24207 22224 20 267 19 277 24 263 22224 20155 17 266 17 262 22 262 20155 17995 13 264 15 254 18 261 17995 15791 8 268 13 255 14 256 15791 13667 6 295 10 267 10 245 13667 11733 5 302 8 273 7 224 11733 10009 5 291 7 269 7 205 10009 8476 6 289 8 263 5 200 8476 7112 6 277 9 255 5 229 7112 5903 4 238 10 239 6 229 5903 4833 4 202 10 230 6 233 4833 3890 4 190 9 224 7 245 3890 3057 4 188 8 210 9 254 3057 2312 2 181 8*184 11 257 2312 1655 1*157 8*156 12 254 1655 1107 1*128 9 148 13 243 1107 687 1 118 9 147 11 225 687 399 1 119 8 145 9 201 399 223 1 114 8 144 7*185 223 124 1 111 7 144 4*178 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography