DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 90.5 - - 94.1 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 248 - - 61 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 1838 - - 2397 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 502 - - 1099 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1171 - - 1945 - - 2504 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 371 - - 2160 - - 3911 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 315 - - 225 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 145 - - 172 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - 13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4506 - - -7002 - - -7425 - - -7223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5678 - - 8948 - - 9929 - - 7346 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11703 - - -11922 - - -11933 - - -13272 ODpotential blCL - - - 12874 - - 13867 - - 14437 - - 13395 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 64 - - 90 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.5 - - 90.5 - - 94.1 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 52.0 - - 51.1 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 88.9 - - 93.7 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 51.1 - - 50.1 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 248 - - 61 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 1838 - - 2397 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 59 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99349 28 120 20 111 15 150 11 079 99349 91863 20 123 22 112 13 116 19 111 91863 86051 15 107 18 105 16 098 20 110 86051 81239 15 117 11 109 14 104 15 097 81239 77110 16 116 10 116 14 103 12 092 77110 73473 17 110 13 124 15 114 14 118 73473 70192 13 095 13 130 10 102 13 106 70192 67182 8 109 9 163 3 119 5 083 67182 64392 5 124 12 157 10 150 7 166 64392 61693 16 178 14 180 9 174 10 158 61693 58882 20 166 23 195 17 218 9 223 58882 55960 24 205 33 193 34 201 24 223 55960 53179 33 207 36 202 37 202 35 218 53179 50693 44 206 50 211 50 210 47 216 50693 48468 53 207 56 209 58 211 54 214 48468 46449 64 211 56 205 59 211 55 215 46449 44605 75 208 63 204 63 211 58 216 44605 42909 75 198 74 203 68 210 62 214 42909 41338 71 197 74 200 69 207 65 212 41338 39867 67 196 70 198 68 205 66 209 39867 38478 65 196 67 198 67 205 65 208 38478 37128 64 197 67 202 67 206 63 210 37128 35749 63 197 64 202 65 209 62 213 35749 34312 60 198 61 202 63 212 60 215 34312 32819 58 199 59 203 61 214 56 217 32819 31255 57 199 56 204 59 210 54 215 31255 29607 56 202 54 204 59 208 53 213 29607 27874 52 204 50 205 57 210 53 213 27874 26057 47 200 47 206 51 209 50 214 26057 24159 44 199 45 206 46 207 46 213 24159 22180 41 202 42 201 41 209 43 211 22180 20114 38 201 41 198 39 206 41 212 20114 17956 37 197 39 201 36 204 37 210 17956 15751 34 196 35 205 35 202 34 207 15751 13621 32 198 32 205 32 199 32 203 13621 11680 30 200 30 203 30 200 30 203 11680 9952 28 200 28 203 27 202 28 204 9952 8418 25 200 26 203 25 205 25 205 8418 7057 21 200 22 206 21 209 21 201 7057 5852 17 203 17 214 15 215 15 197 5852 4788 13 208 14 224 13 215 10 195 4788 3852 10 215 13 222 13 211 8 207 3852 3027 8 225 11 210 13*204 9 226 3027 2290 5 220 9*188 12*192 11 236 2290 1640 2*189 9*154 11 177 13 237 1640 1097 2*133 10 146 10 169 14 233 1097 681 2 117 9 144 10 165 14 225 681 395 2 112 9 141 10 163 12 209 395 222 2 110 9 141 9 162 9 195 222 123 2 108 8 140 8 161 6*189 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography