DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.7 - - 62.6 - - 71.4 - - 73.8 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 135 - - 208 - - 72 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 930 - - 1728 - - 1754 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 959 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1035 - - 1834 - - 1860 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 168 - - 613 - - 746 - - 1257 - - 1312 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 204 - - 291 - - 207 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 37 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 148 - - 186 - - 160 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -605 - - -2115 - - -3418 - - -3785 - - -3807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 726 - - 3150 - - 5252 - - 5645 - - 3929 sfcLCL ODpotential -11460 - - -10418 - - -10040 - - -9332 - - -11005 ODpotential blCL 11581 - - 11453 - - 11874 - - 11192 - - 11127 blCL maxRH 76 - - 68 - - 54 - - 49 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.7 - - 62.6 - - 71.4 - - 73.8 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 49.5 - - 49.1 - - 49.6 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 61.6 - - 70.0 - - 73.2 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.0 - - 48.7 - - 48.1 - - 48.9 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 135 - - 208 - - 72 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 930 - - 1728 - - 1754 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96153 9 019 4 028 4 328 7 004 8 354 96153 89056 8 345 6 019 3 359 1 342 4 025 89056 83574 7 336 4 002 5 268 7 275 12 344 83574 79031 6 314 6 335 9 310 14 272 13 326 79031 75101 6 299 6 315 14 314 13 308 9 332 75101 71612 9 319 8 315 15 296 18 325 9 327 71612 68454 12 337 11 327 16 279 18 315 12 304 68454 65557 11 294 12 315 14 289 16 309 12 308 65557 62869 12 261 11 303 9 293 13 316 15 334 62869 60264 8 321 12 333 10 322 13 327 16 322 60264 57550 8 003 13 008 7 351 7 322 10 296 57550 54722 17 024 12 033 13 005 10 347 11 315 54722 52006 14 031 8 016 16 342 17 337 18 328 52006 49558 16 041 5 003 17 321 18 323 22 317 49558 47364 17 029 10 349 14 305 19 303 27 309 47364 45374 20 031 12 002 10 304 20 308 31 309 45374 43560 31 013 23 350 14 331 19 311 31 311 43560 41903 32 358 34 347 24 340 27 329 36 323 41903 40373 30 356 36 344 33 336 35 327 42 324 40373 38946 32 357 32 339 32 329 34 324 40 320 38946 37601 34 358 29 339 30 328 31 323 32 315 37601 36296 34 359 29 342 29 332 28 325 27 312 36296 34961 35 358 30 344 27 335 28 329 27 314 34961 33566 36 356 30 344 24 338 28 332 27 316 33566 32116 34 353 29 344 22 346 25 330 26 315 32116 30594 31 356 27 347 23 354 22 331 25 312 30594 28986 29 002 27 353 24 355 23 337 26 314 28986 27296 28 007 26 001 24 356 27 341 30 322 27296 25524 26 013 21 006 21 355 27 341 33 323 25524 23667 20 024 17 004 18 351 24 337 32 320 23667 21723 13 040 12 358 16 348 21 337 29 318 21723 19686 12 026 11 350 17 344 20 337 29 319 19686 17556 18 019 16 000 17 339 20 329 28 320 17556 15382 17 031 16 013 16 345 20 324 24 317 15382 13286 10 030 11 018 11 347 17 321 21 313 13286 11381 10 011 10 003 9 340 14 322 18 312 11381 9691 10 004 10 354 10 345 14 331 16 321 9691 8192 7 355 9 344 10 347 13 342 13 335 8192 6864 6 345 9 335 10 341 11 349 9 345 6864 5688 4 011 8 344 11 340 9 347 7 335 5688 4650 6 049 6 017 9 345 9 338 7 312 4650 3737 9 040 6 071 2 356 7 325 8 300 3737 2934 13 021 6 135 1 245 5 319 5 310 2934 2218 14 023 6 171 1*228 1*306 1 322 2218 1588 9 044 7 187 1*199 1*175 2 137 1588 1063 4 130 4*186 1 188 2 157 3 147 1063 662 7 186 3*155 2 186 2 161 4 163 662 385 8 181 3 148 2 180 2 158 4 175 385 218 6 167 3 144 2 176 2 159 4 185 218 122 3*153 2 144 1 178 2 160 4*192 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography