DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 92.9 - - 94.1 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 201 - - 12 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1186 - - 3538 - - 3062 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 2251 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1293 - - 3645 - - 3170 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1103 - - 2368 - - 3388 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 364 - - 148 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 357 - - 357 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -9 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10157 - - -10223 - - -11410 - - -10993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11450 - - 13868 - - 14581 - - 11116 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18551 - - -17086 - - -18192 - - -20218 ODpotential blCL - - - 19844 - - 20731 - - 21362 - - 20341 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 47 - - 49 - - 12 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 92.9 - - 94.1 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 32.1 - - 30.2 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.5 - - 91.5 - - 94.0 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 31.2 - - 29.2 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 201 - - 12 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1186 - - 3538 - - 3062 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98076 8 071 2 118 1 293 5 059 98076 90760 6 105 3 329 4 011 4 057 90760 85109 5 054 1 094 3 043 4 023 85109 80430 6 016 3 104 6 015 5 084 80430 76404 6 353 1 125 9 349 7 015 76404 72859 4 002 4 290 6 349 5 008 72859 69639 3 300 10 288 11 315 6 356 69639 66665 6 237 11 272 14 277 15 311 66665 63920 4 238 8 243 14 241 18 284 63920 61275 12 301 9 293 12 260 16 276 61275 58518 17 290 18 286 20 283 21 284 58518 55662 17 281 20 285 21 299 23 282 55662 52945 19 305 21 303 23 306 22 293 52945 50503 28 334 25 330 25 324 23 311 50503 48309 35 339 30 334 30 326 26 329 48309 46316 33 351 29 339 30 325 28 334 46316 44490 34 001 29 351 28 334 28 334 44490 42808 35 008 29 005 26 345 26 336 42808 41246 35 014 29 013 23 353 24 343 41246 39779 33 015 29 011 22 356 21 347 39779 38392 32 012 29 004 24 352 21 346 38392 37045 33 010 30 359 28 348 23 346 37045 35671 32 010 29 358 27 349 22 344 35671 34237 29 007 27 002 24 350 18 336 34237 32744 27 350 25 004 22 347 16 332 32744 31178 25 343 23 004 21 350 15 335 31178 29527 24 349 21 002 19 357 15 343 29527 27792 22 346 18 000 18 003 16 348 27792 25973 19 343 17 345 17 356 18 350 25973 24073 19 351 16 325 18 350 20 350 24073 22094 20 352 13 327 18 348 21 353 22094 20032 19 352 13 339 17 346 19 359 20032 17879 19 357 15 346 16 352 17 008 17879 15679 19 007 16 359 16 009 16 016 15679 13557 17 016 17 012 16 023 14 025 13557 11627 14 026 16 022 16 027 12 039 11627 9914 11 032 12 023 14 022 12 048 9914 8395 8 032 10 016 15 010 12 049 8395 7045 8 022 10 006 16 001 11 052 7045 5847 9 010 11 002 16 000 11 037 5847 4785 9 004 13 001 15 000 12 014 4785 3849 8 005 13*358 14*359 17 009 3849 3024 10 002 13*357 13*358 22 010 3024 2287 14 002 13 357 13 357 23 008 2287 1637 17*357 13 356 12 357 22 006 1637 1094 16*355 12 357 12 357 20 003 1094 679 15 355 12 357 11 357 17 356 679 393 14 354 11 357 10 357 12 338 393 221 13 354 10 357 9 357 9*318 221 123 10 354 9 357 8 356 7*310 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography