DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 60.6 - - 70.0 - - 69.2 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 91 - - 180 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1011 - - 2832 - - 2034 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 1671 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1115 - - 2938 - - 2140 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 904 - - 1633 - - 2078 - - 242 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 185 - - 323 - - 85 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 350 - - 351 - - 008 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2384 - - -5229 - - -6537 - - -7101 - - -6691 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2505 - - 6345 - - 9476 - - 9241 - - 6813 sfcLCL ODpotential -13114 - - -13673 - - -13164 - - -13494 - - -15596 ODpotential blCL 13235 - - 14788 - - 16102 - - 15634 - - 15718 blCL maxRH 46 - - 43 - - 66 - - 27 - - 25 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 60.6 - - 70.0 - - 69.2 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 33.6 - - 28.9 - - 29.3 - - 29.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 59.9 - - 68.8 - - 69.3 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 32.8 - - 28.2 - - 28.7 - - 28.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 91 - - 180 - - 4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1011 - - 2832 - - 2034 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96778 23 279 35 280 31 275 32 273 40 271 96778 89565 12 276 26 273 20 266 19 273 27 262 89565 84021 10 304 17 260 18 263 16 280 22 263 84021 79424 17 292 12 242 19 252 19 262 18 285 79424 75448 15 273 11 235 19 243 20 253 15 289 75448 71912 15 269 14 262 19 255 17 257 11 283 71912 68683 16 284 16 282 19 251 19 254 13 275 68683 65700 19 276 18 284 20 240 20 254 17 278 65700 62922 22 268 20 271 19 245 21 263 17 272 62922 60215 27 267 22 262 22 259 23 273 19 263 60215 57386 30 266 24 259 26 261 27 271 23 260 57386 54450 32 274 24 264 29 261 29 268 25 262 54450 51649 34 271 28 270 32 265 31 266 26 271 51649 49143 35 265 31 267 33 265 30 263 29 273 49143 46926 34 271 31 268 30 265 30 265 31 264 46926 44946 38 275 32 281 30 274 31 272 30 260 44946 43154 37 278 42 278 40 276 40 274 33 271 43154 41513 42 281 48 270 48 271 47 268 40 265 41513 39999 48 281 50 266 56 268 55 266 47 262 39999 38586 49 285 49 266 62 266 59 261 50 265 38586 37251 55 296 49 268 59 266 62 272 53 262 37251 35951 68 302 51 271 57 273 64 268 56 256 35951 34621 70 298 53 276 58 278 65 272 57 255 34621 33233 69 297 57 281 55 276 60 277 52 256 33233 31789 62 301 57 285 53 275 55 276 51 260 31789 30273 48 292 51 288 49 278 53 274 48 266 30273 28673 40 284 43 286 44 277 50 271 41 265 28673 26990 33 284 36 282 37 270 42 270 39 263 26990 25225 28 289 26 283 31 269 37 267 35 262 25225 23386 23 295 21 295 24 274 28 269 31 261 23386 21471 19 305 20 303 21 288 21 274 24 269 21471 19468 15 318 19 306 22 304 19 290 20 285 19468 17371 13 323 18 313 20 312 17 301 17 301 17371 15225 13 321 19 329 18 323 15 313 15 315 15225 13151 14 329 17 345 14 334 13 324 12 324 13151 11260 15 346 14 357 10 349 10 333 9 330 11260 9580 14 357 10 009 7 006 7 350 5 340 9580 8092 11 001 8 015 6 009 6 017 2 072 8092 6776 9 000 7 021 6 006 6 023 5 079 6776 5614 8 004 8 019 7 001 5 011 4 063 5614 4590 10 002 9 010 9 353 7 349 6 017 4590 3690 11 002 10 006 10*349 8 348 8 009 3690 2899 12 004 11 004 10*350 6 357 6 010 2899 2193 15 004 15 000 10 351 5*004 5 010 2193 1570 20 004 16*357 10 352 4*006 3 015 1570 1052 21 003 13*352 9 352 4 008 2 021 1052 654 15 353 11 349 9 352 4 007 1 003 654 381 11 331 10 349 8 352 3 009 1 281 381 216 7 314 9 348 8 352 3 009 3*270 216 122 5*310 8 349 7 352 3 010 3*268 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography