DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 58.5 - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 36 - - 70 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 640 - - 1268 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 745 - - 1373 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 186 - - 869 - - 2323 - - 2827 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 126 - - 189 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 347 - - 332 - - 340 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -7 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -387 - - -1218 - - -1937 - - -3134 - - -1060 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 508 - - 1963 - - 3310 - - 3256 - - 1182 sfcLCL ODpotential -7635 - - -5076 - - -4427 - - -5161 - - -4483 ODpotential blCL 7756 - - 5821 - - 5800 - - 5283 - - 4605 blCL maxRH 80 - - 72 - - 63 - - 57 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 58.5 - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.0 - - 50.5 - - 51.3 - - 51.7 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 58.3 - - 64.6 - - 65.8 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 50.1 - - 50.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 36 - - 70 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 640 - - 1268 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96606 34 277 38 295 28 284 28 278 39 295 96606 89593 18 282 22 290 26 295 19 292 28 293 89593 84132 13 285 12 285 21 285 16 302 25 293 84132 79561 16 275 14 280 20 268 18 293 22 301 79561 75604 18 274 15 284 13 257 17 277 18 298 75604 72100 20 278 13 306 6 314 11 263 16 298 72100 68922 18 274 19 281 13 316 11 283 13 301 68922 65993 11 285 20 263 18 313 13 315 13 310 65993 63259 13 305 13 262 20 297 18 304 16 292 63259 60599 20 298 15 294 19 285 22 298 21 296 60599 57830 27 303 20 311 25 290 30 290 26 296 57830 54967 32 297 32 300 28 283 30 279 33 290 54967 52234 34 310 34 303 33 290 33 284 33 284 52234 49768 43 302 40 299 43 290 38 288 32 294 49768 47546 40 300 40 297 44 290 41 286 38 297 47546 45519 39 312 40 296 43 288 44 287 42 290 45519 43662 50 312 44 296 45 290 49 286 47 287 43662 41954 57 308 49 297 48 293 55 282 51 283 41954 40377 60 308 54 301 51 295 54 277 53 276 40377 38916 65 307 53 303 51 296 49 277 55 270 38916 37550 66 307 49 308 49 299 49 281 56 270 37550 36229 65 308 47 309 46 301 47 281 56 268 36229 34883 62 306 45 311 42 300 45 282 54 268 34883 33480 57 306 45 314 40 300 44 286 52 271 33480 32023 53 312 42 314 38 300 41 290 49 273 32023 30496 54 315 41 308 35 301 39 293 47 274 30496 28885 53 318 41 306 35 303 37 293 47 276 28885 27190 50 323 38 311 38 306 38 292 44 280 27190 25408 48 325 36 315 38 306 38 290 40 282 25408 23538 46 331 34 315 31 304 35 295 39 287 23538 21586 46 337 34 316 23 302 29 302 33 287 21586 19550 46 342 31 324 20 305 22 301 25 288 19550 17427 42 346 27 337 19 309 23 303 21 301 17427 15256 37 344 22 336 19 314 22 317 22 317 15256 13161 29 344 20 329 19 319 21 332 22 327 13161 11258 19 343 15 332 16 327 18 341 20 338 11258 9577 10 341 8 343 9 338 13 346 16 351 9577 8093 5 344 7 352 4 356 10 347 12 358 8093 6780 4 007 7 355 4 358 9 346 10 000 6780 5620 7 013 7 355 5 340 11 343 12 006 5620 4595 12 011 8 004 8 330 12 337 13 005 4595 3695 14 013 9 003 11 326 12 324 12 001 3695 2901 14 009 12 359 12 323 11 321 10 359 2901 2194 16 013 14 002 11 326 8 325 8 358 2194 1570 21 014 18 358 10*328 7 331 7 000 1570 1052 23 007 17*353 8*331 5 339 6 356 1052 654 21 357 13*348 7 332 4 343 5 336 654 381 15 343 11 347 7 333 3 343 5 313 381 216 10*332 10 347 6 334 3 343 4*291 216 122 6*323 8 347 6 333 2*340 4*287 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography