DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 84.2 - - 84.4 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 420 - - 226 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2431 - - 4685 - - 3946 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1626 - - 3422 - - 2607 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2537 - - 4791 - - 4053 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 785 - - 1057 - - 1757 - - 2585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 508 - - 392 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 183 - - 201 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3283 - - -2621 - - -3771 - - -5398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5820 - - 7413 - - 7825 - - 5521 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8677 - - -6069 - - -7035 - - -9910 ODpotential blCL - - - 11214 - - 10860 - - 11088 - - 10033 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 55 - - 51 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 84.2 - - 84.4 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 52.0 - - 50.5 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 81.8 - - 82.9 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 51.4 - - 49.8 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 351 - - 420 - - 226 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2431 - - 4685 - - 3946 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98272 11 104 5 093 19 116 17 120 98272 90871 5 077 5 151 10 159 5 184 90871 85180 6 211 6 204 7 214 2 183 85180 80426 11 218 10 210 5 278 1 127 80426 76317 9 206 13 218 7 257 3 354 76317 72675 6 156 9 213 5 223 5 339 72675 69369 1 186 7 191 4 230 5 311 69369 66325 4 274 5 211 6 259 6 268 66325 63513 7 312 5 244 9 257 8 251 63513 60801 12 301 9 271 11 264 8 269 60801 57977 12 286 14 269 13 268 11 278 57977 55049 11 282 16 267 16 273 15 274 55049 52273 12 290 19 267 20 278 20 270 52273 49798 14 288 20 268 21 276 18 279 49798 47599 16 277 18 257 22 264 21 262 47599 45628 16 268 20 245 21 256 19 248 45628 43841 14 272 21 233 23 238 19 247 43841 42196 13 281 18 234 24 227 21 247 42196 40661 11 294 17 239 20 231 20 254 40661 39215 10 296 15 245 17 241 17 259 39215 37845 12 285 17 256 16 251 15 262 37845 36515 13 279 18 266 15 266 15 266 36515 35159 15 274 17 272 15 270 15 267 35159 33745 14 273 15 276 14 271 15 269 33745 32276 12 275 14 276 13 272 15 277 32276 30735 11 276 12 276 12 275 13 285 30735 29109 10 276 10 279 9 279 10 288 29109 27400 7 271 7 281 6 275 6 284 27400 25606 4 260 5 276 4 258 5 259 25606 23732 4 284 6 266 6 251 5 247 23732 21782 4 279 9 249 8 252 6 254 21782 19745 4 253 8 237 7 247 5 250 19745 17618 4 228 6 233 6 236 4 215 17618 15449 6 211 9 226 9 226 6 212 15449 13363 8 210 11 223 11 217 8 223 13363 11463 9 206 12 219 11 211 9 225 11463 9771 8 200 12 216 11 211 9 222 9771 8267 9 192 11 219 10 211 9 216 8267 6931 10 188 11 223 9 211 7 212 6931 5748 9 189 10*217 9 214 6 209 5748 4702 9 196 9*194 10*211 6 207 4702 3782 8 206 9 190 10*207 7 198 3782 2971 7*197 10 186 11 204 7 197 2971 2247 6*175 10 183 12 202 9 210 2247 1609 6 167 10 180 13 200 12 218 1609 1078 6 164 10 178 13 199 14 216 1078 670 6 160 10 175 13 199 14 212 670 390 6 158 10 175 13 197 12 206 390 220 5 157 9 174 12 197 10*201 220 123 5 157 8 174 10 196 7*196 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography