DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.3 - - 74.7 - - 83.1 - - 84.3 - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 141 - - 211 - - 48 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1421 - - 2894 - - 2458 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 563 - - 1806 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1527 - - 3000 - - 2565 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 132 - - 991 - - 1480 - - 2278 - - 1892 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 241 - - 348 - - 206 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 7 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 359 - - 009 - - 350 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8016 - - -9544 - - -9445 - - -9776 - - -8863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8137 - - 11071 - - 12446 - - 12341 - - 8986 sfcLCL ODpotential -18897 - - -16754 - - -14717 - - -14386 - - -15338 ODpotential blCL 19018 - - 18281 - - 17717 - - 16951 - - 15461 blCL maxRH 19 - - 29 - - 72 - - 90 - - 19 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.3 - - 74.7 - - 83.1 - - 84.3 - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.5 - - 27.1 - - 29.0 - - 30.6 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 73.7 - - 81.6 - - 83.7 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.7 - - 26.2 - - 28.0 - - 29.8 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 141 - - 211 - - 48 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1421 - - 2894 - - 2458 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96401 29 274 29 288 36 284 36 284 36 296 96401 89245 25 288 25 297 30 281 32 296 25 293 89245 83778 22 285 25 291 27 291 28 305 22 297 83778 79240 14 275 22 287 25 287 28 304 24 309 79240 75327 11 299 16 279 24 285 25 296 25 306 75327 71860 17 304 10 282 20 279 19 289 20 300 71860 68708 17 302 8 293 17 280 19 279 19 289 68708 65802 21 292 11 286 18 284 17 279 18 277 65802 63109 25 279 15 273 19 271 18 273 18 278 63109 60507 33 270 25 275 24 263 23 268 23 271 60507 57787 41 258 33 268 31 258 31 261 29 263 57787 54954 40 251 40 258 40 253 42 255 42 255 54954 52236 46 254 45 256 47 253 50 251 49 249 52236 49775 56 255 57 253 56 254 61 256 57 250 49775 47557 61 254 64 245 62 248 62 249 62 248 47557 45533 59 254 59 239 62 240 62 241 63 241 45533 43672 59 251 53 239 54 238 54 238 53 242 43672 41957 51 246 47 236 49 232 42 231 45 246 41957 40375 43 242 41 234 44 224 37 229 36 238 40375 38909 41 245 40 236 34 215 35 218 29 236 38909 37541 44 244 42 235 30 220 26 212 23 218 37541 36225 45 243 40 230 39 216 25 216 16 209 36225 34888 42 244 39 230 42 213 26 220 13 214 34888 33495 41 247 39 231 38 213 30 218 16 216 33495 32049 39 251 37 231 36 215 30 213 18 214 32049 30534 39 249 33 231 33 217 26 214 18 213 30534 28937 39 246 33 235 28 224 22 220 19 214 28937 27258 36 245 34 238 24 226 24 220 19 221 27258 25496 31 248 27 242 23 221 26 225 20 229 25496 23657 28 245 29 233 24 229 25 235 18 232 23657 21739 25 237 24 232 23 232 25 237 18 234 21739 19732 21 246 20 240 20 225 23 233 20 241 19732 17628 18 263 20 246 20 228 22 228 20 244 17628 15470 15 259 19 240 20 228 18 229 18 245 15470 13382 15 254 17 238 19 230 16 237 15 246 13382 11475 14 254 14 248 15 239 12 240 11 247 11475 9777 11 253 11 256 10 244 8 229 9 234 9777 8268 6 238 7 249 6 232 6 213 7 224 8268 6929 4 229 5 210 5 213 4 219 2 242 6929 5745 6 177 7 196 4 243 4 280 5 329 5745 4699 5 099 4 146 2 260 6 317 8 323 4699 3779 9 044 7 065 2*025 5 331 8 310 3779 2968 11 019 11 027 7*012 4*345 5 313 2968 2245 15 014 15 009 7 010 3*350 3 320 2245 1607 23 009 17*000 7 010 3 351 2 317 1607 1076 30 003 16*359 7 009 2 351 2 297 1076 669 26 357 15 359 7 007 2 350 2 277 669 389 16 345 14 359 6 007 2 346 2 263 389 219 11 336 13 359 6 007 2 345 2*254 219 123 5*325 10 358 5 007 2 348 3*249 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography