DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.2 - - 80.8 - - 90.1 - - 92.8 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 155 - - 109 - - -33 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 150 - - 1037 - - 1362 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 326 - - 480 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 256 - - 1143 - - 1469 - - 124 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 310 - - 408 - - 1192 - - 3655 - - 333 Hgt.Variab. W* 70 - - 228 - - 234 - - 31 - - 12 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 134 - - 158 - - 148 - - 151 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2605 - - -4271 - - -6583 - - -8378 - - -5436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2862 - - 5414 - - 8052 - - 8502 - - 5559 sfcLCL ODpotential -13500 - - -11701 - - -12690 - - -13555 - - -11994 ODpotential blCL 13756 - - 12844 - - 14159 - - 13679 - - 12117 blCL maxRH 65 - - 47 - - 30 - - 24 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m 66.2 - - 80.8 - - 90.1 - - 92.8 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.2 - - 57.7 - - 55.5 - - 56.2 - - 60.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.8 - - 79.7 - - 89.4 - - 94.0 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.7 - - 56.5 - - 54.1 - - 54.9 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 155 - - 109 - - -33 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 150 - - 1037 - - 1362 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99386 30 110 22 111 19 091 26 104 25 114 99386 91843 25 103 24 106 21 110 21 100 24 112 91843 86006 26 104 22 101 24 124 16 114 22 090 86006 81175 22 107 18 109 25 106 20 124 18 091 81175 77035 19 115 18 121 19 119 17 112 21 107 77035 73383 15 123 17 143 13 138 9 109 17 103 73383 70077 18 110 16 135 10 137 9 125 11 112 70077 67050 7 128 13 150 12 174 9 170 8 152 67050 64255 8 172 15 140 15 175 15 164 15 176 64255 61555 14 226 14 174 15 208 11 219 8 160 61555 58750 22 207 22 191 29 221 26 234 19 253 58750 55871 17 224 21 216 30 212 34 222 35 235 55871 53155 30 254 30 241 32 224 41 221 44 222 53155 50714 49 249 48 246 51 247 46 240 46 228 50714 48514 62 249 66 248 65 249 62 244 56 238 48514 46511 69 247 69 247 70 245 74 240 70 239 46511 44668 70 247 69 248 71 246 77 238 77 235 44668 42958 66 248 66 248 70 246 75 238 81 234 42958 41364 60 252 59 249 69 246 71 241 76 237 41364 39871 56 254 52 251 58 246 65 243 65 240 39871 38464 52 255 49 253 50 247 58 243 56 243 38464 37105 49 259 46 254 46 247 50 242 49 246 37105 35723 44 264 41 259 39 246 44 239 43 244 35723 34287 42 269 36 263 33 254 38 239 44 238 34287 32801 40 273 36 265 35 264 35 239 45 243 32801 31251 41 276 37 266 37 257 36 241 46 245 31251 29622 48 276 39 268 36 251 38 241 46 246 29622 27910 53 276 43 268 35 247 42 251 49 253 27910 26110 50 274 45 264 35 247 47 258 54 254 26110 24220 43 267 46 259 38 252 47 259 54 255 24220 22242 45 267 45 263 40 258 44 259 48 259 22242 20171 42 275 42 271 39 263 40 263 38 259 20171 18002 33 277 35 271 36 263 36 265 31 255 18002 15786 26 274 32 265 35 258 32 257 30 249 15786 13651 21 273 30 263 32 251 31 250 29 243 13651 11709 16 253 25 262 26 249 26 244 27 238 11709 9984 14 234 17 249 20 248 20 238 23 235 9984 8451 13 224 13 218 15 241 15 237 18 233 8451 7088 11 212 13 200 13 237 14 242 13 224 7088 5880 10 196 13 194 14 237 14 242 10 216 5880 4812 10 187 12 199 14 233 15 235 8 227 4812 3872 9 187 10 209 14 225 15 223 10 241 3872 3043 8 194 7 216 13 206 15 209 12 253 3043 2302 2 218 5 198 13 182 16 194 14 257 2302 1647 3 356 6*190 15*158 17 177 15 254 1647 1102 5 347 5*169 15*150 17 164 14 241 1102 684 1 317 5 158 15 148 17 159 11 218 684 396 2*154 5 154 14 147 15 156 9 192 396 223 2*135 5 153 13 146 13*153 7 175 223 123 2 134 4 151 11 145 10*151 4*165 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography