DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.7 - - 61.7 - - 73.2 - - 71.7 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 10 - - 101 - - -25 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 309 - - 1858 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 629 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 414 - - 1964 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 1089 - - 1599 - - 3070 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 76 - - 235 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 14 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 345 - - 359 - - 342 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1883 - - -3624 - - -6625 - - -9186 - - -5466 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2004 - - 4038 - - 8589 - - 9309 - - 5589 sfcLCL ODpotential -11753 - - -10418 - - -12336 - - -14766 - - -13903 ODpotential blCL 11874 - - 10832 - - 14300 - - 14888 - - 14025 blCL maxRH 48 - - 49 - - 29 - - 21 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.7 - - 61.7 - - 73.2 - - 71.7 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 44.9 - - 36.3 - - 31.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.5 - - 61.7 - - 72.5 - - 73.2 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 43.6 - - 35.1 - - 30.9 - - 34.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 10 - - 101 - - -25 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 309 - - 1858 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 37 295 33 286 32 294 41 301 34 310 96395 89443 22 310 20 299 24 314 15 302 21 310 89443 84031 15 315 13 309 19 306 7 312 24 306 84031 79497 15 326 12 324 12 287 9 295 26 308 79497 75555 20 318 16 332 7 316 10 276 17 304 75555 72051 23 307 19 309 13 298 17 288 15 309 72051 68880 22 307 16 290 15 286 22 296 16 327 68880 65971 20 306 11 301 14 294 21 300 18 322 65971 63267 20 303 16 322 15 309 18 300 16 308 63267 60627 19 297 19 316 16 313 16 309 20 312 60627 57854 19 297 21 298 23 306 24 317 24 323 57854 54973 24 295 24 284 27 299 24 325 20 324 54973 52227 30 285 27 284 27 305 23 332 26 342 52227 49761 36 279 28 295 28 310 40 331 31 332 49761 47556 37 283 31 302 38 314 42 328 34 345 47556 45554 38 292 35 304 39 310 38 327 38 346 45554 43716 37 292 38 304 38 322 37 327 38 340 43716 42020 34 299 35 302 41 324 32 338 45 349 42020 40448 36 302 33 310 35 334 36 360 43 356 40448 38984 35 293 37 317 41 348 66 009 55 012 38984 37618 29 299 39 316 56 357 85 012 71 012 37618 36303 35 310 32 317 65 000 91 010 75 009 36303 34960 45 314 26 332 68 003 87 011 77 007 34960 33557 46 315 44 351 67 005 80 011 75 010 33557 32098 42 314 57 348 61 358 73 014 65 019 32098 30568 38 314 58 342 51 343 61 016 56 019 30568 28954 35 323 51 339 44 337 54 359 51 020 28954 27254 43 347 48 340 44 335 53 347 45 011 27254 25469 49 349 46 342 47 325 48 343 43 003 25469 23604 47 345 42 342 43 316 42 336 40 355 23604 21660 45 345 40 341 38 316 40 330 38 347 21660 19630 43 349 37 343 31 319 33 332 36 345 19630 17512 37 355 30 349 23 325 25 322 30 343 17512 15351 29 001 23 352 19 328 21 310 23 340 15351 13266 25 353 20 347 15 336 16 313 20 337 13266 11368 25 351 20 352 14 346 13 328 18 338 11368 9682 21 360 19 002 12 356 14 346 15 348 9682 8187 16 022 14 014 10 352 15 000 14 002 8187 6861 13 034 10 026 10 350 15 012 14 020 6861 5685 12 020 10 015 13 351 16 017 13 032 5685 4647 15 009 13 006 16 355 16 016 11 035 4647 3733 19 009 15 008 18 360 17 017 12 024 3733 2929 22 009 18 007 19 004 18 011 13 013 2929 2213 25 008 22 003 18*004 17 001 17 008 2213 1583 28 006 23 358 16*002 16 356 20 003 1583 1059 27 002 21 354 15 360 15 355 19 354 1059 658 17 352 15*349 14 358 14 352 16 342 658 383 11 331 11*345 13 358 12 348 12 323 383 216 8*312 10 345 12 357 10 345 9*312 216 122 6*308 8 344 10 357 7*342 6*309 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography