DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/01 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 76.9 - - 78.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 164 - - 297 - - 109 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2756 - - 5974 - - 6847 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1575 - - 4289 - - 4326 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2862 - - 6081 - - 6953 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2617 - - 1293 - - 1603 - - 3628 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 492 - - 374 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 188 - - 221 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 16 - - 20 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -508 - - -115 - - -423 - - -4788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3370 - - 6196 - - 7377 - - 4910 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -699 - - -562 - - -2885 - - -8494 ODpotential blCL - - - 3561 - - 6643 - - 9838 - - 8616 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - 80 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 76.9 - - 78.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 50.0 - - 46.1 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 75.1 - - 77.4 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 49.3 - - 45.3 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 164 - - 297 - - 109 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2756 - - 5974 - - 6847 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 74 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99059 9 070 12 077 10 105 5 047 99059 91660 9 099 10 094 9 093 13 079 91660 85922 9 109 14 089 10 097 12 094 85922 81137 7 114 7 101 10 092 10 084 81137 77014 8 141 1 105 6 122 5 097 77014 73377 7 199 5 234 7 120 5 137 73377 70076 8 217 13 241 7 245 1 089 70076 67024 8 194 13 222 7 209 4 198 67024 64185 6 219 7 196 7 274 5 209 64185 61432 14 233 21 235 19 253 10 245 61432 58550 18 216 23 227 22 231 16 249 58550 55539 25 242 27 233 31 244 31 248 55539 52668 35 243 38 237 41 243 39 253 52668 50093 45 244 46 242 48 249 47 254 50093 47786 50 240 51 244 52 250 48 249 47786 45697 51 245 54 247 50 250 46 255 45697 43793 56 249 62 248 53 257 54 265 43793 42039 60 248 68 244 65 252 66 260 42039 40410 63 247 72 241 68 241 69 250 40410 38892 68 246 72 240 63 247 67 247 38892 37474 71 245 75 245 75 251 69 249 37474 36118 72 243 79 241 84 244 78 251 36118 34751 70 242 73 234 85 239 90 250 34751 33336 66 242 63 234 84 236 99 245 33336 31868 60 243 61 236 79 241 101 244 31868 30327 55 242 59 235 75 246 94 242 30327 28702 51 240 57 235 69 244 87 242 28702 27001 48 238 54 235 65 235 81 247 27001 25225 44 239 50 235 65 233 69 244 25225 23370 40 239 47 233 60 233 65 231 23370 21435 37 234 45 233 55 232 67 229 21435 19418 33 230 40 232 49 232 58 235 19418 17320 29 226 35 226 41 230 44 235 17320 15181 26 224 32 223 37 221 36 236 15181 13118 24 219 27 222 32 220 30 238 13118 11242 24 212 25 216 26 216 26 230 11242 9578 23 211 24 216 20 221 21 218 9578 8102 22 212 19 221 11*235 16 211 8102 6794 21 215 13*223 10*236 11 192 6794 5636 16 220 12*219 10 231 8 184 5636 4611 12 228 11 212 11 224 8 221 4611 3710 11 227 11 199 12 221 13 254 3710 2916 9*212 10 187 13 219 20 260 2916 2207 7*192 10 176 13 216 23 258 2207 1581 6 173 10 169 13 215 23 254 1581 1059 6 166 10 164 13 214 23 250 1059 659 5 160 9 161 13 212 21 245 659 384 5 157 9 159 12 212 17 240 384 218 5 154 9 158 12 211 14 237 218 122 4 154 8 157 10 210 9*233 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography