DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 84.3 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 186 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 661 - - 1508 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 742 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 766 - - 1615 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 478 - - 1016 - - - - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 264 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 44 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 161 - - - - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9533 - - -9975 - - - - - -8230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10300 - - 11591 - - - - - 8353 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19765 - - -16151 - - - - - -16866 ODpotential blCL - - - 20531 - - 17766 - - - - - 16989 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 19 - - - - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 84.3 - - - - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 34.3 - - - - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 82.9 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.4 - - 33.8 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 186 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 661 - - 1508 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97683 17 277 17 287 15 267 97683 90420 10 271 16 285 10 312 90420 84807 8 299 15 282 9 308 84807 80136 9 282 15 280 10 298 80136 76120 8 246 11 238 12 295 76120 72572 9 310 5 212 11 301 72572 69357 12 275 11 260 15 313 69357 66408 10 288 8 273 13 284 66408 63678 16 287 16 293 14 293 63678 61042 21 264 26 280 25 289 61042 58309 22 255 26 259 26 278 58309 55479 25 277 24 270 25 282 55479 52773 36 280 31 279 30 282 52773 50326 40 275 38 273 33 277 50326 48115 41 274 41 272 36 275 48115 46096 41 276 44 279 40 277 46096 44242 38 277 45 279 42 276 44242 42539 30 277 37 278 45 279 42539 40969 22 270 27 277 45 279 40969 39509 19 271 22 274 39 274 39509 38135 18 286 20 276 34 268 38135 36800 16 292 17 277 29 269 36800 35436 11 288 14 275 25 273 35436 34015 5 266 11 274 23 276 34015 32539 7 295 10 276 22 275 32539 30992 7 299 9 288 19 276 30992 29360 5 214 6 263 17 281 29360 27645 4 159 2 226 15 288 27645 25843 5 124 1 156 11 289 25843 23955 5 126 1 080 7 282 23955 21981 8 138 2 153 6 281 21981 19917 10 142 6 194 5 294 19917 17764 9 173 10 221 9 307 17764 15576 8 232 9 237 12 268 15576 13473 13 260 12 256 16 267 13473 11558 14 269 13 265 17 266 11558 9853 13 268 12 265 11 261 9853 8338 13 254 13 259 8 251 8338 6992 12 245 14 261 8 265 6992 5799 10 237 13 263 7 278 5799 4743 9 229 10 261 8 275 4743 3814 9 224 8 254 8 263 3814 2994 7 226 6 244 7 241 2994 2262 3 271 3*229 7 213 2262 1618 5 000 1*183 7 192 1618 1081 6*356 1 158 7 180 1081 671 5*350 1 158 6 177 671 390 4 351 1 154 4 184 390 220 4 353 1 155 2*214 220 123 4 354 1 151 2*236 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography