DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.2 - - 44.3 - - 52.4 - - 51.0 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 44 - - 111 - - 9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 252 - - 1433 - - 1301 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 355 - - 1537 - - 1405 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 264 - - 444 - - 621 - - 913 - - 1228 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 91 - - 220 - - 94 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 119 - - 141 - - 192 - - 168 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -268 - - -2338 - - -1435 - - -707 - - -476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 388 - - 2693 - - 2972 - - 2113 - - 598 sfcLCL ODpotential -10557 - - -11077 - - -7718 - - -6368 - - -8243 ODpotential blCL 10677 - - 11432 - - 9255 - - 7773 - - 8364 blCL maxRH 88 - - 65 - - 72 - - 82 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.2 - - 44.3 - - 52.4 - - 51.0 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.4 - - 33.4 - - 40.2 - - 42.5 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.8 - - 43.9 - - 51.6 - - 51.1 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.2 - - 32.8 - - 39.5 - - 42.0 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 44 - - 111 - - 9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 252 - - 1433 - - 1301 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95095 76 279 61 296 58 292 50 301 72 278 95095 88354 49 294 38 312 41 303 38 315 45 292 88354 83066 34 309 29 303 38 295 38 313 35 305 83066 78633 30 318 21 299 33 297 40 320 33 316 78633 74775 27 315 17 301 31 303 39 316 32 323 74775 71320 23 317 17 303 27 301 36 309 35 320 71320 68152 24 321 17 301 26 299 33 305 36 312 68152 65218 25 318 18 308 27 297 30 301 32 304 65218 62490 28 317 21 310 26 298 31 299 31 309 62490 59833 29 308 26 316 26 300 34 294 37 304 59833 57044 33 312 31 318 27 315 30 290 36 297 57044 54133 42 304 36 307 34 318 33 295 33 300 54133 51348 38 294 33 295 37 292 37 296 35 307 51348 48848 28 314 26 297 31 280 39 294 36 311 48848 46614 41 311 31 305 31 299 40 296 37 309 46614 44590 48 304 41 296 39 297 40 291 37 302 44590 42746 47 306 44 296 41 298 35 291 34 294 42746 41064 55 308 50 290 43 293 33 307 30 298 41064 39516 58 308 41 292 43 273 38 292 30 307 39516 38080 57 312 37 297 32 263 34 273 28 293 38080 36750 56 309 43 287 29 274 29 260 21 286 36750 35475 55 306 46 284 32 280 26 254 24 268 35475 34174 55 303 38 290 29 280 19 264 21 252 34174 32814 52 306 38 298 25 278 19 272 14 250 32814 31396 45 318 38 301 23 282 20 273 10 283 31396 29906 43 327 35 302 22 291 18 279 13 303 29906 28332 38 319 32 297 22 294 16 290 15 297 28332 26675 33 319 32 296 22 295 13 300 18 288 26675 24932 30 316 29 303 21 293 11 302 22 288 24932 23105 29 306 25 311 20 288 13 281 21 290 23105 21200 30 304 23 310 15 287 16 261 16 271 21200 19213 28 315 20 313 13 289 11 252 17 220 19213 17135 22 327 15 331 9 294 7 263 10 205 17135 15015 17 343 10 353 5 287 11 265 8 223 15015 12971 14 356 7 005 5 261 12 259 8 245 12971 11105 10 005 5 000 4 257 8 251 9 239 11105 9447 6 014 4 301 4 268 5 218 7 206 9447 7974 5 008 4 280 3 275 3 185 6 162 7974 6669 4 011 2 269 2 258 1 143 7 117 6669 5514 5 052 2 179 1 225 2 080 8 115 5514 4496 8 061 4 119 2 134 4 109 9 130 4496 3604 10 057 5 087 3 124 5 117 11 150 3604 2822 9 052 5 066 3 107 5 112 11 146 2822 2129 7 047 3 066 2*182 4 125 8 139 2129 1522 4 052 1 055 4*198 3*156 5 141 1522 1019 1 008 2 027 4 195 3*165 2 147 1019 636 1 173 2 101 4 190 3 168 1 264 636 372 4 147 4*142 4 188 3 169 2 278 372 212 4 133 3*142 4 186 3 168 3*280 212 121 3*119 3 140 3 187 3 172 3*283 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography