DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/16 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 88.3 - - - - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 141 - - - - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1019 - - 1390 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 386 - - 624 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1126 - - 1497 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 310 - - 775 - - - - - 269 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 251 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 158 - - - - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3088 - - -4489 - - - - - -3484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4214 - - 5986 - - - - - 3608 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11618 - - -10729 - - - - - -10421 ODpotential blCL - - - 12744 - - 12226 - - - - - 10545 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 44 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 88.3 - - - - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.1 - - 62.7 - - - - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 87.3 - - - - - 85.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 61.4 - - - - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 141 - - - - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1019 - - 1390 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98794 23 098 30 113 23 095 98794 91277 20 109 24 092 23 092 91277 85516 21 100 19 089 26 096 85516 80762 22 105 19 111 25 081 80762 76696 20 095 20 097 20 084 76696 73126 18 093 16 085 21 095 73126 69891 17 095 15 088 18 086 69891 66913 14 079 11 104 15 074 66913 64165 13 086 9 129 11 058 64165 61528 13 064 8 103 10 042 61528 58793 11 047 8 083 6 026 58793 55951 5 053 7 073 4 060 55951 53232 8 078 9 102 5 097 53232 50782 14 079 16 100 11 114 50782 48586 16 097 17 106 19 106 48586 46598 23 097 29 108 18 123 46598 44776 26 098 30 095 28 127 44776 43096 32 120 29 103 29 115 43096 41534 39 108 35 116 34 119 41534 40068 41 094 38 109 35 116 40068 38678 39 099 36 098 34 110 38678 37327 35 102 35 100 33 114 37327 35946 33 100 33 106 29 115 35946 34504 34 095 26 097 28 119 34504 33004 29 107 26 092 28 112 33004 31431 25 105 26 090 28 112 31431 29774 26 093 23 094 25 118 29774 28036 24 097 21 104 19 120 28036 26214 21 101 18 111 13 114 26214 24310 19 105 15 108 9 109 24310 22322 16 109 14 107 6 104 22322 20245 10 112 10 109 6 113 20245 18076 5 115 2 145 4 120 18076 15866 1 251 5 264 0 098 15866 13736 7 258 10 271 7 291 13736 11794 10 289 10 300 10 299 11794 10061 8 312 7 345 9 325 10061 8519 2 293 3 011 6 001 8519 7148 2 019 4 031 5 028 7148 5930 6 018 5 020 4 019 5930 4851 7 016 4 001 5 307 4851 3901 9 015 3 336 8 282 3901 3062 10 020 2 332 9 262 3062 2314 5 038 1 182 9 239 2314 1655 1*128 5*169 10 217 1655 1106 2*148 6*161 13 195 1106 686 2 138 6 159 14 174 686 398 2 130 6 156 14 160 398 223 2 126 5 155 11*151 223 124 2 126 5 155 6*142 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography