DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 85.5 - - 88.4 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 265 - - 88 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 2541 - - 2005 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 533 - - 1629 - - 639 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1230 - - 2647 - - 2112 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 875 - - 1337 - - 2339 - - 172 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 358 - - 233 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 24 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 146 - - 150 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4619 - - -6321 - - -7829 - - -5818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5849 - - 8968 - - 9942 - - 5941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11831 - - -12229 - - -13569 - - -12772 ODpotential blCL - - - 13061 - - 14876 - - 15681 - - 12895 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 38 - - 42 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.5 - - 85.5 - - 88.4 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 46.7 - - 45.3 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 83.8 - - 87.6 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 45.8 - - 44.3 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 265 - - 88 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 2541 - - 2005 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99141 21 128 9 127 11 109 11 089 99141 91677 14 106 14 135 10 112 11 082 91677 85931 13 110 9 151 7 117 12 098 85931 81149 13 119 7 120 7 122 7 100 81149 77019 10 125 10 118 7 108 4 113 77019 73371 13 126 7 158 4 106 4 092 73371 70062 8 096 6 140 4 166 1 177 70062 67022 2 088 6 170 3 252 3 324 67022 64211 5 311 6 197 7 237 9 248 64211 61489 12 269 9 261 9 282 10 266 61489 58648 14 265 14 267 16 270 16 266 58648 55701 17 263 18 265 19 258 18 263 55701 52895 21 274 21 274 22 272 21 271 52895 50384 23 274 23 269 22 272 20 269 50384 48143 19 282 17 266 16 272 15 274 48143 46119 18 300 13 293 16 298 15 302 46119 44278 13 303 8 318 8 311 11 295 44278 42591 7 011 11 032 10 037 10 026 42591 41033 19 033 21 040 18 039 17 034 41033 39575 24 042 24 047 21 042 19 042 39575 38197 24 048 25 053 22 047 19 050 38197 36860 22 046 23 057 21 054 17 054 36860 35494 19 044 20 056 17 060 15 047 35494 34070 16 037 16 048 14 061 12 043 34070 32588 15 026 12 040 12 059 7 045 32588 31033 13 023 11 038 10 049 8 040 31033 29392 12 017 8 045 5 041 7 023 29392 27668 10 006 6 023 4 008 7 351 27668 25859 5 344 3 350 5 353 7 349 25859 23967 5 307 4 291 6 314 6 332 23967 21997 5 303 5 284 7 301 6 317 21997 19941 4 286 5 280 6 296 5 307 19941 17794 5 284 5 265 5 277 3 269 17794 15602 5 283 4 234 4 242 4 209 15602 13488 3 257 5 193 4 209 6 178 13488 11567 3 218 6 175 6 183 8 165 11567 9860 5 209 6 177 6 173 9 155 9860 8346 8 197 6 190 5 172 5 137 8346 7002 9 181 7 197 3 192 2 048 7002 5810 10 157 7 196 2 251 4 358 5810 4754 11 130 7 189 4 258 4 320 4754 3825 10 110 6 179 5 240 5 253 3825 3005 8 074 3*167 5 215 7 212 3005 2273 7 041 3*159 5*187 10 186 2273 1626 5*029 3 151 6*161 12 169 1626 1088 3*029 3 148 6 152 14 160 1088 676 3 036 3 139 6 148 14 153 676 393 3 039 3 138 6 145 13 149 393 221 2 042 3 139 6 144 9 144 221 123 2 043 3 136 5 143 5*139 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography