DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.2 - - 73.4 - - 84.0 - - 87.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 130 - - 224 - - 63 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 710 - - 2179 - - 2295 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1304 - - 107 - - - Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 816 - - 2286 - - 2402 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 129 - - 630 - - 1250 - - 2548 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 185 - - 321 - - 218 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 32 - - 21 - - - B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction 322 - - 001 - - 179 - - 203 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - -9 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1256 - - -5228 - - -4819 - - -5708 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1378 - - 6044 - - 7106 - - 8111 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -14786 - - -14774 - - -11138 - - -11170 - - - ODpotential blCL 14908 - - 15590 - - 13424 - - 13572 - - - blCL maxRH 60 - - 51 - - 44 - - 36 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 55.2 - - 73.4 - - 84.0 - - 87.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.9 - - 48.0 - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 72.5 - - 82.5 - - 86.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.9 - - 47.2 - - 52.9 - - 51.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 130 - - 224 - - 63 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 710 - - 2179 - - 2295 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96617 14 282 8 240 28 253 24 302 96617 89497 2 277 5 247 10 295 12 283 89497 84042 3 188 3 277 2 243 7 323 84042 79492 4 164 3 265 1 181 4 293 79492 75554 6 145 7 193 5 333 7 152 75554 72079 6 163 10 170 9 255 6 193 72079 68945 4 127 7 145 12 220 7 248 68945 66080 7 328 2 002 8 201 7 264 66080 63424 11 284 13 280 9 261 10 282 63424 60845 14 275 20 260 19 263 17 257 60845 58164 17 273 21 263 20 270 18 255 58164 55387 20 268 16 253 22 254 24 259 55387 52725 19 273 14 244 22 248 26 253 52725 50324 24 271 24 280 24 267 25 266 50324 48167 34 255 38 258 37 272 37 283 48167 46200 37 253 42 245 45 248 45 257 46200 44402 42 259 38 248 42 239 43 237 44402 42753 40 259 41 260 42 251 44 246 42753 41214 49 264 53 263 54 256 58 249 41214 39764 57 260 60 256 60 251 62 246 39764 38388 60 255 61 253 58 249 62 245 38388 37050 57 251 58 250 57 245 60 242 37050 35681 54 251 54 245 54 239 59 238 35681 34252 52 253 51 243 55 237 59 236 34252 32767 50 250 54 242 56 238 60 238 32767 31211 48 245 55 242 57 239 56 240 31211 29571 50 242 49 245 51 243 47 244 29571 27843 51 239 46 242 46 244 45 245 27843 26024 47 239 45 238 43 246 44 246 26024 24117 44 239 42 236 41 245 42 246 24117 22127 42 236 41 234 38 245 40 247 22127 20053 39 234 40 232 33 248 31 256 20053 17890 36 237 34 235 27 253 21 261 17890 15680 32 241 26 246 22 254 18 253 15680 13548 28 242 21 252 20 256 20 260 13548 11608 22 243 18 247 19 260 18 269 11608 9886 16 243 14 242 15 257 12 258 9886 8362 10 245 10 243 11 251 10 239 8362 7013 6 241 6 238 7 236 8 224 7013 5818 5 240 5 226 6 210 8 217 5818 4761 4 231 4 226 5 201 8 229 4761 3831 2 218 3 214 5 197 7 241 3831 3011 1 137 2 186 3*187 5*239 3011 2278 1 096 2 089 2*178 3*230 2278 1632 1 051 4 030 2 177 2 205 1632 1092 5 002 5*003 2 180 2 198 1092 679 8 000 4*359 2 178 2 192 679 395 9 355 4 360 2 181 2 187 395 222 5*334 3 003 2 182 2 186 222 123 3*322 3 002 2 179 2 189 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography