DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 85.6 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 201 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1146 - - 3455 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 2204 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1252 - - 3562 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1219 - - 2133 - - - - - 644 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 365 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 359 - - 338 - - - - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5499 - - -5939 - - - - - -6495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6752 - - 9502 - - - - - 6618 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10936 - - -10177 - - - - - -12234 ODpotential blCL - - - 12188 - - 13739 - - - - - 12357 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 62 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 85.6 - - - - - 75.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 44.4 - - - - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 84.1 - - - - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 43.2 - - - - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 201 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1146 - - 3455 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96414 11 247 17 258 19 275 96414 89341 8 235 7 264 7 283 89341 83899 12 233 3 297 6 300 83899 79377 11 229 6 274 4 241 79377 75469 7 238 9 259 7 314 75469 72010 6 283 4 258 12 303 72010 68879 12 307 9 317 9 300 68879 65994 14 284 14 290 12 278 65994 63323 15 262 16 267 16 276 63323 60757 15 263 21 256 25 281 60757 58089 21 262 29 250 36 275 58089 55294 38 270 42 263 44 272 55294 52585 51 267 55 263 50 269 52585 50110 54 266 60 261 56 266 50110 47872 57 263 63 263 54 272 47872 45831 59 257 67 263 56 271 45831 43954 63 255 71 255 55 270 43954 42226 67 253 68 249 57 267 42226 40649 68 249 58 253 46 265 40649 39204 73 245 41 254 35 251 39204 37847 73 243 32 266 26 240 37847 36531 73 242 36 286 28 274 36531 35185 72 243 39 281 33 285 35185 33779 70 245 40 275 30 283 33779 32314 67 248 42 272 29 268 32314 30774 61 248 47 266 32 271 30774 29149 48 248 48 262 37 276 29149 27439 41 250 44 267 41 282 27439 25644 41 255 41 272 44 290 25644 23770 42 261 41 267 38 290 23770 21818 41 266 42 270 32 280 21818 19785 38 271 36 281 32 286 19785 17662 31 275 30 284 31 294 17662 15495 26 274 26 275 25 295 15495 13402 23 269 24 268 20 286 13402 11496 20 263 20 271 21 277 11496 9800 17 257 17 273 20 273 9800 8294 15 254 14 276 14 280 8294 6959 11 260 13 285 5 323 6959 5776 5 289 10 302 4 022 5776 4729 7 359 8 325 4 035 4729 3806 12 008 8*337 5 039 3806 2991 18 009 8*338 5 034 2991 2263 22 007 7 339 6 024 2263 1619 19*006 7 338 7 009 1619 1084 12*001 7 338 8 351 1084 673 10 359 7 336 8 331 673 391 9 359 6 337 7 314 391 221 9 358 6 336 5*307 221 123 8 359 6 336 3*304 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography