DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.0 - - 81.5 - - 88.0 - - 88.6 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 252 - - 325 - - 147 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3086 - - 6424 - - 8243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 2018 - - 4694 - - 5631 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 3193 - - 6531 - - 8350 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1240 - - 2335 - - 2052 - - 1643 - - 2961 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 377 - - 522 - - 440 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 17 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 356 - - 002 - - 346 - - 335 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 5 - - -5 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7193 - - -7221 - - -6871 - - -4627 - - -9691 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7315 - - 10414 - - 13402 - - 12978 - - 9815 sfcLCL ODpotential -14102 - - -12302 - - -10713 - - -7969 - - -14627 ODpotential blCL 14224 - - 15495 - - 17244 - - 16319 - - 14750 blCL maxRH 28 - - 32 - - 29 - - 45 - - 17 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.0 - - 81.5 - - 88.0 - - 88.6 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 36.2 - - 28.9 - - 31.4 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.4 - - 80.0 - - 86.1 - - 87.5 - - 79.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 35.1 - - 27.8 - - 30.3 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 252 - - 325 - - 147 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3086 - - 6424 - - 8243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98258 4 228 9 302 1 151 6 278 13 280 98258 90755 3 145 7 243 3 306 4 278 2 295 90755 84978 5 110 9 197 9 226 5 292 5 055 84978 80212 2 084 8 164 9 219 8 306 8 030 80212 76133 7 021 3 183 4 234 5 307 6 000 76133 72540 8 348 3 280 9 295 6 331 7 320 72540 69289 6 305 6 277 11 249 9 293 12 310 69289 66294 10 313 9 291 10 266 13 276 13 294 66294 63494 23 305 14 295 15 284 17 271 24 280 63494 60775 28 284 21 278 26 281 23 279 29 280 60775 57944 28 262 28 275 32 279 30 282 30 285 57944 55001 28 265 32 278 34 277 35 277 33 278 55001 52187 43 275 39 279 41 277 42 275 40 278 52187 49655 50 271 47 276 49 275 48 276 47 281 49655 47395 53 274 56 277 54 276 54 281 54 284 47395 45367 62 279 63 280 61 280 59 283 57 285 45367 43537 70 281 71 280 68 281 62 283 56 286 43537 41869 74 281 76 278 70 280 65 284 58 294 41869 40330 76 278 76 277 65 280 63 288 64 297 40330 38895 75 276 78 277 60 283 57 295 63 298 38895 37543 73 276 79 276 56 289 54 299 57 298 37543 36232 73 277 79 275 52 293 54 299 51 298 36232 34893 72 277 77 276 48 298 55 296 48 296 34893 33496 70 277 73 279 46 301 56 296 48 295 33496 32041 66 279 66 282 45 303 56 298 51 296 32041 30515 64 280 57 286 43 303 55 299 53 297 30515 28906 61 281 50 290 40 303 51 300 50 294 28906 27218 58 281 45 294 39 302 47 300 44 291 27218 25447 55 282 40 298 36 304 42 299 40 292 25447 23593 52 284 37 301 33 303 37 301 37 295 23593 21655 47 288 35 298 31 303 35 300 37 295 21655 19630 39 294 28 300 26 308 31 301 36 297 19630 17517 31 304 22 307 22 308 25 301 32 297 17517 15363 24 308 18 314 19 308 22 295 28 299 15363 13287 19 314 15 317 17 314 23 294 27 304 13287 11399 15 324 12 321 15 317 23 303 24 309 11399 9724 11 329 11 327 13 318 16*310 15 311 9724 8237 9 328 11 328 13 322 10*306 9 297 8237 6915 8 340 11 330 12*329 9 308 9 303 6915 5740 11 002 10 353 11*336 8 313 9 325 5740 4699 14 001 14 015 11 338 7 334 10 343 4699 3781 17 008 17*008 11 344 7 347 13 356 3781 2972 21 013 17*004 11 348 7 354 15 004 2972 2248 30 011 17 003 11 350 7 359 18 009 2248 1610 31 007 17 002 11 351 7 003 19 014 1610 1078 25 004 17 001 10 352 7 005 19 017 1078 670 18 001 16 001 10 352 7 007 18 020 670 390 13 358 15 000 10 353 7 007 16 021 390 220 10 356 14 000 9 353 7 008 13*021 220 123 8*356 12 360 8 352 6 007 7*022 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography