DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.9 - - 78.2 - - 89.3 - - 92.2 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 169 - - 148 - - 1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 1100 - - 1564 - - 1048 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 425 - - 749 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 305 - - 1207 - - 1671 - - 1155 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 337 - - 466 - - 1151 - - 2175 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* 78 - - 236 - - 261 - - 119 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 40 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 126 - - 149 - - 133 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -10 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1082 - - -3120 - - -5072 - - -6217 - - -3993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1387 - - 4327 - - 6743 - - 7373 - - 4117 sfcLCL ODpotential -13251 - - -12412 - - -12686 - - -12771 - - -12097 ODpotential blCL 13556 - - 13619 - - 14357 - - 13926 - - 12221 blCL maxRH 83 - - 60 - - 41 - - 31 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 64.9 - - 78.2 - - 89.3 - - 92.2 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.1 - - 59.8 - - 60.4 - - 60.6 - - 65.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.6 - - 77.1 - - 88.2 - - 92.5 - - 86.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.9 - - 58.9 - - 59.1 - - 59.3 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 169 - - 148 - - 1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 1100 - - 1564 - - 1048 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 32 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99456 37 112 32 104 32 110 31 114 33 108 99456 91976 36 105 29 108 29 112 30 113 33 103 91976 86187 33 101 29 118 26 105 27 107 34 099 86187 81387 27 110 30 121 23 114 23 099 32 096 81387 77260 24 102 26 111 24 127 16 106 24 105 77260 73607 21 089 20 101 24 117 16 137 16 097 73607 70307 14 109 13 118 18 101 19 125 12 113 70307 67287 17 121 13 126 11 110 16 109 15 128 67287 64499 13 102 17 125 11 127 11 111 14 118 64499 61817 9 113 16 117 15 155 5 173 7 100 61817 59045 9 141 13 123 14 168 9 202 4 213 59045 56197 8 128 10 173 8 187 7 218 4 201 56197 53502 3 286 7 207 8 230 12 239 11 255 53502 51082 13 285 6 237 10 234 14 223 17 242 51082 48908 17 277 8 282 7 251 10 220 16 239 48908 46922 19 272 11 293 8 260 8 241 12 243 46922 45093 16 278 12 292 9 260 11 254 12 257 45093 43396 16 282 14 292 10 275 10 262 11 263 43396 41808 20 279 17 294 12 289 10 281 10 270 41808 40312 22 276 19 292 15 292 13 290 12 267 40312 38897 23 274 20 287 17 289 15 291 14 261 38897 37524 22 274 19 288 18 289 16 290 16 256 37524 36123 22 277 19 293 18 291 17 290 17 255 36123 34666 20 278 20 298 20 292 19 290 18 261 34666 33153 16 279 20 296 20 291 19 292 16 282 33153 31568 10 276 16 290 17 291 16 293 14 285 31568 29898 7 271 10 260 12 275 13 285 11 274 29898 28146 11 268 10 238 11 239 10 269 9 264 28146 26316 14 263 13 248 13 238 10 255 7 255 26316 24402 13 259 14 249 13 240 11 248 7 254 24402 22403 13 250 14 236 13 235 12 242 7 246 22403 20313 15 247 13 235 12 229 11 235 8 230 20313 18131 12 248 11 234 10 215 11 222 10 224 18131 15901 10 237 10 216 12 203 14 217 12 225 15901 13751 11 213 13 194 14 202 15 215 14 220 13751 11790 9 189 13 188 14 201 14 209 14 217 11790 10046 7 194 12 197 14 195 13 200 11 212 10046 8500 8 190 13 196 14 189 12 188 10 198 8500 7129 10 176 14 190 15 189 13 180 11 182 7129 5915 10 171 13 191 15 192 13 184 9 169 5915 4840 6 163 12 192 14 204 10 205 5 165 4840 3894 4 135 8 194 12 217 12 210 4 200 3894 3059 3 180 6 202 10 219 12 204 7 209 3059 2313 3 186 6 220 8*210 11 188 10 203 2313 1655 1 035 3*222 5*176 11*162 12 199 1655 1106 2 327 1*158 4 149 11*138 13 190 1106 687 4 171 1 129 4 142 10 133 14 176 687 398 4*151 1 117 4 137 10 132 13 162 398 224 4*144 1 113 4 135 9 131 10*153 224 124 3 143 1 109 3 135 7 129 4*147 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography