DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 91.5 - - - - - 84.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 185 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1109 - - 1677 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 463 - - 908 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1216 - - 1784 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 492 - - 1166 - - - - - 283 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 284 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 51 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 150 - - - - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4453 - - -6291 - - - - - -5913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5669 - - 8076 - - - - - 6038 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12792 - - -12855 - - - - - -13073 ODpotential blCL - - - 14008 - - 14639 - - - - - 13197 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 33 - - - - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 91.5 - - - - - 84.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.8 - - - - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 90.3 - - - - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 55.6 - - - - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 181 - - 185 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1109 - - 1677 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99613 45 113 40 113 32 115 99613 92096 38 123 34 114 31 110 92096 86292 27 107 26 111 34 104 86292 81490 20 118 24 109 29 110 81490 77362 26 123 22 124 27 112 77362 73704 27 109 26 130 23 098 73704 70402 19 110 26 126 11 098 70402 67387 13 131 17 110 14 132 67387 64597 10 129 13 145 12 109 64597 61908 9 145 7 156 4 141 61908 59127 6 198 13 212 7 216 59127 56265 16 248 19 236 18 248 56265 53562 25 247 25 260 28 259 53562 51149 41 266 46 262 41 263 51149 48993 57 263 57 263 49 267 48993 47024 62 265 64 265 55 268 47024 45200 64 266 68 267 58 269 45200 43498 64 268 69 269 60 271 43498 41898 66 272 68 273 60 275 41898 40388 70 276 70 278 60 278 40388 38959 71 277 71 278 58 282 38959 37573 67 275 70 278 55 284 37573 36160 64 273 66 277 55 284 36160 34690 60 270 60 273 54 285 34690 33165 57 268 55 272 51 281 33165 31572 53 264 51 272 48 279 31572 29897 51 262 46 270 38 277 29897 28141 48 264 44 265 32 276 28141 26300 41 260 43 261 31 273 26300 24374 35 251 38 253 30 272 24374 22366 30 247 36 248 29 269 22366 20270 24 250 31 248 30 263 20270 18086 19 257 24 246 28 256 18086 15860 15 256 18 245 23 248 15860 13716 13 251 15 243 18 241 13716 11764 11 245 13 237 13 240 11764 10030 10 237 11 234 9 232 10030 8490 8 234 9 237 7 209 8490 7123 7 230 8 249 5 196 7123 5911 6 216 9 259 4 222 5911 4838 6 203 10 259 6 233 4838 3893 4 213 9 254 7 237 3893 3059 2 233 7 241 8 235 3059 2313 1 214 5*207 9 225 2313 1654 1*321 5*161 11 208 1654 1105 1*034 5 151 13 188 1105 686 1 061 5 148 14 170 686 398 1 063 5 146 12 157 398 223 1 069 5 145 9*150 223 124 1 070 4 144 5*144 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography