DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 66.7 - - 67.9 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 79 - - 7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 205 - - 1018 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 310 - - 1124 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 293 - - 896 - - 2169 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 84 - - 181 - - 21 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 332 - - 006 - - 010 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2758 - - -4961 - - -5340 - - -2334 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3068 - - 6085 - - 5463 - - 2456 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14457 - - -13440 - - -12768 - - -12668 ODpotential blCL - - - 14767 - - 14564 - - 12890 - - 12790 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 39 - - 37 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.4 - - 66.7 - - 67.9 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 41.2 - - 45.0 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 66.1 - - 68.6 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.4 - - 40.2 - - 44.0 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 79 - - 7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 205 - - 1018 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96103 20 302 10 000 15 341 15 354 96103 89113 11 000 19 021 12 051 14 038 89113 83686 9 036 10 006 14 046 10 050 83686 79182 13 065 2 087 11 045 4 099 79182 75279 17 079 8 073 13 037 7 091 75279 71813 17 067 8 075 12 027 11 060 71813 68687 20 035 14 058 12 070 10 068 68687 65824 17 017 20 027 19 066 13 074 65824 63166 10 013 16 357 16 033 12 051 63166 60584 6 074 3 354 4 017 2 082 60584 57902 20 056 13 083 10 102 12 150 57902 55117 25 023 16 051 15 079 17 127 55117 52425 20 030 17 051 15 057 14 103 52425 49969 24 050 19 057 16 059 11 088 49969 47747 32 039 21 050 19 063 15 099 47747 45728 31 029 19 046 16 067 18 096 45728 43887 17 036 14 074 13 120 20 110 43887 42209 13 096 19 101 26 136 23 131 42209 40670 26 119 26 110 35 136 33 135 40670 39239 35 122 30 115 34 138 43 139 39239 37892 34 124 31 123 33 146 46 144 37892 36581 31 130 31 130 33 146 43 148 36581 35238 32 139 25 137 28 142 39 149 35238 33833 31 145 23 138 24 143 38 148 33833 32370 30 144 24 141 26 145 35 152 32370 30832 27 139 24 139 28 144 33 156 30832 29208 25 131 23 135 27 143 33 160 29208 27499 25 130 22 139 26 145 31 159 27499 25704 24 144 22 150 25 149 26 151 25704 23821 20 169 25 156 25 151 24 149 23821 21851 12 190 25 160 26 155 24 152 21851 19791 10 154 18 149 20 149 20 156 19791 17641 8 135 16 119 13 120 15 145 17641 15451 4 115 14 088 16 074 15 097 15451 13342 5 086 12 074 15 066 17 082 13342 11420 10 096 11 083 10 071 16 079 11420 9711 8 115 7 102 9 086 13 089 9711 8196 7 108 8 108 10 111 12 123 8196 6856 9 110 10 122 10 128 11 139 6856 5671 9 109 9 130 9 126 11 130 5671 4628 11 105 9 124 7 124 12 124 4628 3714 10 101 7 108 6 112 9 106 3714 2912 9 076 7 065 6 069 10 050 2912 2199 10 036 14 013 11 016 14 025 2199 1572 14 010 12*006 9 009 9 027 1572 1052 15 360 8*005 7 010 1 028 1052 654 11 347 6 005 6 011 1 202 654 381 8*335 5 006 4 011 3 222 381 216 5*330 5 007 4 011 4*242 216 122 4 333 4 008 3*010 4*246 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography