DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.0 - - 81.8 - - 92.2 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 165 - - 173 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 117 - - 978 - - 1564 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 804 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 223 - - 1085 - - 1671 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 236 - - 613 - - 1161 - - - - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 225 - - 272 - - - - - 10 W* B/S 13 - - 19 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 092 - - 145 - - - - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -11 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2373 - - -5399 - - -7748 - - - - - -5864 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2596 - - 6485 - - 9419 - - - - - 5988 sfcLCL ODpotential -16421 - - -15407 - - -17405 - - - - - -14994 ODpotential blCL 16644 - - 16492 - - 19076 - - - - - 15118 blCL maxRH 66 - - 41 - - 26 - - - - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.0 - - 81.8 - - 92.2 - - - - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.4 - - 54.4 - - 51.9 - - - - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.8 - - 80.7 - - 91.1 - - - - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 50.6 - - - - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 165 - - 173 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 117 - - 978 - - 1564 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99691 47 098 47 117 38 111 30 100 99691 92197 37 104 35 105 35 119 32 104 92197 86390 31 119 26 105 31 112 30 090 86390 81559 27 122 24 106 27 102 27 108 81559 77415 24 116 21 121 22 101 27 114 77415 73771 20 118 23 117 19 121 22 111 73771 70482 18 127 17 121 14 129 18 101 70482 67464 19 123 17 139 10 140 10 110 67464 64671 12 109 13 152 10 159 6 125 64671 61978 4 160 10 162 18 173 8 177 61978 59206 9 203 9 174 18 181 12 230 59206 56364 11 212 15 225 16 217 22 231 56364 53663 16 244 20 234 20 225 25 233 53663 51238 27 243 24 238 23 236 28 236 51238 49070 34 233 31 237 29 243 33 242 49070 47100 38 231 34 232 35 237 37 250 47100 45286 36 234 33 227 37 230 41 248 45286 43597 31 248 28 233 36 219 41 245 43597 42014 31 264 26 247 27 220 40 242 42014 40522 36 273 29 262 23 233 39 239 40522 39108 38 274 33 267 25 242 36 232 39108 37739 38 274 36 264 30 241 39 225 37739 36346 40 274 40 259 35 238 42 222 36346 34894 42 275 39 259 34 246 39 220 34894 33382 42 278 37 265 31 254 31 217 33382 31795 42 277 35 275 27 257 28 218 31795 30121 42 277 35 273 28 261 27 225 30121 28358 42 278 36 273 29 266 26 229 28358 26506 40 276 35 276 29 268 23 235 26506 24566 37 276 36 274 27 270 20 239 24566 22540 28 275 32 277 25 271 19 235 22540 20424 26 267 24 268 21 259 22 236 20424 18215 25 263 23 257 23 252 22 246 18215 15961 20 255 19 250 23 248 18 254 15961 13791 16 249 16 242 19 244 16 255 13791 11821 15 247 15 236 16 237 12 247 11821 10072 13 238 16 226 15 234 8 242 10072 8520 12 220 17 220 13 235 3 240 8520 7144 10 218 14 221 11 243 1 023 7144 5925 5 226 9 222 9 251 5 272 5925 4848 2 178 6 209 8 250 7 256 4848 3900 4 076 5 174 7 247 8 233 3900 3063 6 076 5 124 6 232 9 208 3063 2316 6 073 5 077 5*197 11 194 2316 1656 6 029 4*061 5*157 13 184 1656 1107 8 012 2*080 5 146 15 174 1107 686 8 007 2 091 5 143 15 164 686 398 3*358 2 094 5 141 13 153 398 223 1*001 2 098 5 140 9*144 223 124 1 023 2 099 4 140 4*131 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography