DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 97.5 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 79 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 944 - - 1310 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 108 - - - - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1052 - - 1418 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 791 - - 6014 - - - - - 1012 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 214 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 134 - - - - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -10 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5991 - - -7944 - - - - - -6535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7043 - - 9362 - - - - - 6659 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9967 - - -10449 - - - - - -10727 ODpotential blCL - - - 11019 - - 11867 - - - - - 10851 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 28 - - - - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 270 - - - - - 440 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 97.5 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.1 - - 56.9 - - - - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.4 - - 96.7 - - - - - 92.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 55.6 - - - - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 79 - - - - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 944 - - 1310 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99486 41 114 44 107 34 112 99486 91965 40 121 34 106 33 101 91965 86167 35 113 30 110 32 101 86167 81341 26 105 26 107 29 102 81341 77183 23 115 25 106 26 115 77183 73541 25 103 22 105 24 103 73541 70275 22 097 17 134 19 085 70275 67270 16 117 18 144 12 105 67270 64480 12 131 17 131 10 136 64480 61787 13 183 4 155 10 142 61787 58975 15 182 19 189 8 175 58975 56060 24 216 20 197 15 219 56060 53278 41 211 32 213 26 210 53278 50764 40 205 46 215 32 222 50764 48510 46 223 54 216 44 229 48510 46486 55 223 57 215 57 228 46486 44655 56 223 57 218 63 228 44655 42968 53 226 58 225 66 230 42968 41395 53 230 59 227 68 228 41395 39916 56 230 57 227 67 226 39916 38516 57 230 56 228 65 225 38516 37156 56 229 56 229 64 227 37156 35766 53 229 54 228 62 229 35766 34319 49 230 52 225 59 230 34319 32818 46 230 50 225 53 230 32818 31253 44 231 48 228 47 232 31253 29610 43 232 45 227 44 236 29610 27885 43 232 43 226 42 231 27885 26078 41 233 41 227 40 226 26078 24185 38 233 37 229 36 229 24185 22208 33 231 35 231 33 225 22208 20140 30 226 32 229 28 215 20140 17978 25 226 26 230 21 216 17978 15777 15 213 16 225 13 199 15777 13661 12 195 11 208 13 185 13661 11734 10 201 10 211 12 191 11734 10018 8 203 9 229 9 201 10018 8490 7 193 9 236 6 213 8490 7128 6 191 10 240 4 222 7128 5917 4 186 10 241 3 245 5917 4843 4 187 10 243 4 263 4843 3897 5 201 9 243 7 270 3897 3061 3 207 7 241 11 276 3061 2315 1 346 4 228 16 283 2315 1657 3 354 3*167 20 285 1657 1109 3*344 4*137 22 282 1109 689 2*348 4 134 21 278 689 400 2 353 4 133 16 272 400 224 2 356 4 132 11*266 224 124 2 357 4 133 5*253 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography