DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 54.0 - - 63.5 - - 62.2 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 17 - - 15 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 151 - - 802 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 106 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 256 - - 908 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 153 - - 684 - - 1209 - - 2121 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 63 - - 115 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 354 - - 357 - - 311 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -514 - - -2105 - - -2113 - - -2214 - - -364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 635 - - 2361 - - 3021 - - 2336 - - 485 sfcLCL ODpotential -12168 - - -11028 - - -8315 - - -7105 - - -8981 ODpotential blCL 12289 - - 11284 - - 9223 - - 7227 - - 9102 blCL maxRH 78 - - 65 - - 59 - - 59 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 54.0 - - 63.5 - - 62.2 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 44.4 - - 50.9 - - 52.5 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.5 - - 53.9 - - 63.4 - - 64.1 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.3 - - 43.2 - - 49.6 - - 51.1 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 17 - - 15 - - -1 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 151 - - 802 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 11 131 6 105 5 236 9 346 8 092 96559 89439 12 090 11 119 6 107 8 024 12 090 89439 83941 11 066 13 102 10 101 7 068 10 088 83941 79357 7 053 9 067 7 105 5 103 7 063 79357 75392 5 109 6 104 2 084 7 152 4 065 75392 71875 9 114 10 148 3 240 3 173 4 152 71875 68670 4 157 6 164 6 186 4 247 5 177 68670 65711 8 211 6 209 5 204 7 229 7 266 65711 62977 5 234 7 181 9 212 11 247 14 274 62977 60332 7 287 3 285 4 207 10 248 15 244 60332 57564 11 278 9 283 8 284 10 274 11 250 57564 54699 10 277 7 293 9 291 7 265 9 266 54699 51985 9 317 12 336 9 353 5 332 4 310 51985 49551 5 001 10 349 13 003 13 352 11 356 49551 47372 13 068 6 045 8 009 14 338 18 344 47372 45388 32 043 19 056 14 040 12 340 18 339 45388 43562 35 017 26 039 21 029 13 003 16 339 43562 41875 32 360 27 024 24 012 20 005 19 349 41875 40311 26 359 25 021 24 012 24 003 23 002 40311 38850 22 002 26 001 27 009 25 013 26 014 38850 37478 21 354 23 347 28 001 24 025 25 021 37478 36152 19 354 19 351 23 006 23 024 24 024 36152 34801 19 007 19 360 19 016 22 014 26 021 34801 33396 23 010 24 007 18 018 21 011 28 018 33396 31939 26 011 27 011 20 011 23 015 25 013 31939 30415 33 011 28 012 23 007 25 019 20 015 30415 28810 39 009 28 016 24 010 26 021 19 021 28810 27124 38 006 28 020 21 018 23 015 21 021 27124 25353 37 008 27 024 20 027 21 014 21 018 25353 23500 35 021 26 025 21 027 21 023 21 021 23500 21567 33 032 26 024 24 024 23 029 22 019 21567 19548 30 033 27 022 27 023 26 029 24 018 19548 17434 30 032 27 032 28 028 28 026 26 020 17434 15268 29 040 25 041 26 033 29 026 26 026 15268 13176 25 042 23 045 23 042 26 031 24 033 13176 11272 18 048 17 050 16 053 17 039 19 038 11272 9585 14 061 14 061 13 065 11 050 13 027 9585 8093 12 080 11 075 9 080 6 074 7 030 8093 6771 8 089 9 090 8 097 7 113 5 066 6771 5604 8 060 8 085 6 094 7 100 7 081 5604 4573 12 044 9 058 5 058 8 064 10 046 4573 3670 14 036 12 037 10 032 10 050 14 015 3670 2878 19 022 15 024 14 025 12 020 17 013 2878 2172 21 016 19 009 17 011 15 006 13 011 2172 1552 19 012 23 003 20 001 13 000 2 327 1552 1037 15 008 21 001 18*360 9 355 8 197 1037 645 12 359 15 357 14*358 7 352 13 181 645 376 8 346 10*354 13 357 5 345 12 170 376 214 5*338 8*355 11 357 3*333 8 165 214 121 3*335 7 354 9 357 2*311 5*159 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography