DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 80.7 - - 83.3 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 220 - - 76 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 3057 - - 5657 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1939 - - 3160 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 828 - - 3164 - - 5764 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 658 - - 2907 - - 2446 - - 544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 358 - - 315 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 67 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 261 - - 282 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - 10 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4860 - - -4392 - - -1898 - - -5394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5689 - - 7556 - - 7662 - - 5517 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12063 - - -7806 - - -4004 - - -10434 ODpotential blCL - - - 12891 - - 10970 - - 9768 - - 10557 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 74 - - 83 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 80.7 - - 83.3 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 48.1 - - 50.1 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 79.1 - - 82.5 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 49.1 - - 46.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 220 - - 76 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 722 - - 3057 - - 5657 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96143 39 280 33 291 32 288 34 282 96143 89041 25 289 24 290 24 288 26 288 89041 83614 13 290 19 295 16 302 16 288 83614 79111 12 282 23 282 24 286 22 305 79111 75226 13 277 25 267 28 285 22 306 75226 71785 9 298 20 259 20 271 19 287 71785 68664 12 294 16 252 18 252 21 266 68664 65798 20 289 16 243 22 254 22 265 65798 63137 29 272 25 260 24 261 21 264 63137 60554 33 264 32 253 29 258 24 250 60554 57864 41 256 37 252 35 253 32 253 57864 55068 47 247 47 249 47 245 46 253 55068 52387 49 245 54 244 55 245 54 250 52387 49955 53 252 56 246 56 250 56 252 49955 47751 56 252 57 247 58 253 57 255 47751 45734 56 252 60 245 62 251 60 252 45734 43879 57 254 60 247 61 248 59 251 43879 42171 57 252 58 252 59 249 64 251 42171 40605 53 250 57 257 60 253 68 253 40605 39158 51 252 58 259 61 254 66 255 39158 37795 52 255 56 258 57 257 64 257 37795 36468 53 256 56 256 59 258 62 258 36468 35110 54 253 57 255 61 260 61 259 35110 33695 54 248 59 256 59 262 61 262 33695 32226 57 243 60 257 57 263 60 265 32226 30686 58 242 59 255 54 261 58 264 30686 29062 57 245 56 252 53 258 56 263 29062 27355 56 247 53 250 51 255 53 259 27355 25562 55 248 51 250 50 255 52 254 25562 23685 55 247 49 249 49 252 52 254 23685 21726 53 246 48 247 49 249 52 257 21726 19685 49 248 48 248 49 252 49 262 19685 17555 47 251 46 253 48 259 44 265 17555 15384 42 254 42 257 43 264 39 272 15384 13294 36 254 36 258 35 269 32 280 13294 11396 31 255 29 264 28 273 27 279 11396 9713 23 260 24 268 23 273 20 278 9713 8222 17 265 20 268 18 279 13 278 8222 6899 14 271 17 277 12*285 4 279 6899 5724 11 279 14 285 8*284 3 034 5724 4684 7 291 11 282 7 284 6 032 4684 3768 7 306 9*279 7 284 9 019 3768 2960 8 330 5*275 7 283 11 007 2960 2238 10 343 2 265 7 282 14 354 2238 1601 8 340 1 251 6 281 16 339 1601 1071 6*338 0 185 6 279 18 321 1071 666 5*349 1 117 6 279 18 308 666 387 4 353 1 124 6 279 15 298 387 219 4 355 1 112 5 279 12*292 219 123 4 357 1 114 5 279 7*289 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography