DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.7 - - 75.2 - - 73.6 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 73 - - 132 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 552 - - 1578 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 604 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 658 - - 1684 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 357 - - 1400 - - 2240 - - 125 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 140 - - 240 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 332 - - 319 - - 226 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1319 - - -3119 - - -4972 - - -6342 - - -3172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1440 - - 3777 - - 6657 - - 6464 - - 3295 sfcLCL ODpotential -12677 - - -11385 - - -11148 - - -12567 - - -11902 ODpotential blCL 12798 - - 12043 - - 12832 - - 12689 - - 12024 blCL maxRH 62 - - 59 - - 42 - - 37 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 63.7 - - 75.2 - - 73.6 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.3 - - 48.1 - - 46.9 - - 46.3 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 63.0 - - 74.2 - - 74.6 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 47.7 - - 46.5 - - 45.7 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 73 - - 132 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 552 - - 1578 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96461 45 300 38 290 46 287 45 301 46 293 96461 89424 30 312 22 301 30 289 30 304 36 299 89424 83969 26 305 18 306 23 297 18 315 24 305 83969 79424 16 294 19 293 24 300 19 306 18 307 79424 75493 10 299 15 300 16 298 21 289 19 302 75493 72004 13 299 13 300 11 302 18 269 16 301 72004 68836 18 303 17 302 16 313 13 274 15 307 68836 65932 19 305 22 280 21 293 19 294 20 294 65932 63258 17 292 24 247 25 274 24 290 22 280 63258 60679 22 310 21 292 23 290 28 293 21 277 60679 57991 45 305 36 296 27 288 29 295 25 282 57991 55200 42 303 33 306 26 300 30 304 26 299 55200 52528 48 314 42 317 49 313 48 308 50 303 52528 50120 48 311 55 318 59 312 55 304 61 296 50120 47953 40 313 62 321 62 316 60 303 61 293 47953 45972 53 322 70 318 66 313 63 302 62 294 45972 44146 66 317 66 311 63 308 64 304 60 293 44146 42456 66 315 54 316 55 306 58 308 47 294 42456 40880 53 320 54 326 50 322 52 316 33 308 40880 39396 44 328 60 334 63 333 70 331 50 335 39396 37991 39 334 59 338 70 332 75 330 70 332 37991 36630 34 334 44 334 66 334 69 328 78 328 36630 35246 34 324 31 326 38 335 55 331 66 330 35246 33815 28 325 27 311 28 311 30 327 48 337 33815 32340 22 325 21 314 30 298 30 302 36 340 32340 30801 19 323 9 327 21 298 31 302 25 333 30801 29182 20 324 8 330 13 279 10 257 22 328 29182 27481 21 319 13 323 12 284 11 209 9 281 27481 25696 21 315 16 316 13 299 10 244 13 244 25696 23828 19 328 14 311 12 297 9 267 10 239 23828 21878 18 338 13 307 12 270 10 251 11 233 21878 19842 19 325 12 296 13 259 12 255 13 247 19842 17709 21 311 18 293 17 283 15 285 13 264 17709 15525 20 304 18 297 17 283 15 290 10 250 15525 13416 13 301 10 282 13 261 12 271 11 231 13416 11493 8 300 7 247 12 244 12 258 10 229 11493 9783 5 283 6 245 9 244 9 265 6 226 9783 8267 4 247 5 246 6 249 5 274 5 211 8267 6923 4 220 4 253 4 240 2 286 4 182 6923 5734 3 225 3 274 3 231 2 291 3 164 5734 4685 4 274 4 301 2 253 4 298 2 240 4685 3764 5 308 4 333 3 287 7 291 6 261 3764 2955 5 341 5 004 3 311 8 283 7 258 2955 2232 7 355 6 012 4*321 6 279 6 248 2232 1596 9 353 8 001 5*321 3 280 4 223 1596 1067 11 359 10*353 5 320 2 286 5 180 1067 663 12 002 9*342 5 318 1 287 6 171 663 385 9 348 7 328 5 318 1 285 6 176 385 217 5 317 6 327 4 318 0 249 4 184 217 122 3*307 5 326 4 317 0*226 3*187 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography