DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 60.0 - - 61.4 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 76 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 110 - - 938 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 215 - - 1043 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 338 - - 589 - - 1737 - - 293 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 173 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 015 - - 006 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2392 - - -3446 - - -3291 - - -664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2607 - - 4489 - - 3413 - - 785 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14589 - - -12651 - - -11112 - - -11890 ODpotential blCL - - - 14804 - - 13694 - - 11234 - - 12011 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 51 - - 52 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 60.0 - - 61.4 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 41.3 - - 47.2 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 59.5 - - 62.5 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 40.5 - - 46.3 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 76 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 110 - - 938 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96474 34 065 35 063 38 069 38 080 96474 89432 39 063 37 060 34 067 27 072 89432 83997 38 068 33 067 32 063 23 068 83997 79437 37 071 26 071 27 063 21 055 79437 75468 30 063 25 054 26 049 27 049 75468 71949 23 063 22 042 28 040 32 052 71949 68768 24 065 24 039 29 038 31 051 68768 65852 25 053 23 032 26 031 28 039 65852 63162 21 036 20 029 24 023 27 029 63162 60571 23 029 20 036 22 019 24 021 60571 57861 25 021 24 029 20 023 20 015 57861 55021 25 013 22 018 20 005 19 359 55021 52285 22 001 20 008 20 347 23 339 52285 49809 24 349 22 339 26 339 27 332 49809 47583 27 341 24 328 29 327 32 328 47583 45555 27 329 24 334 25 328 31 319 45555 43688 24 326 24 326 28 324 29 322 43688 41966 24 325 28 316 30 315 35 319 41966 40380 25 332 27 323 27 319 32 310 40380 38914 31 333 32 328 29 322 28 308 38914 37549 34 326 32 323 29 316 25 307 37549 36237 36 326 33 321 28 317 20 312 36237 34904 36 321 32 320 28 309 20 304 34904 33513 35 318 30 315 30 296 25 283 33513 32064 33 320 29 314 29 296 26 285 32064 30544 32 321 27 317 24 309 20 305 30544 28939 33 323 27 320 23 317 17 316 28939 27252 29 332 23 330 14 334 15 326 27252 25480 20 340 15 340 6 017 9 320 25480 23623 15 337 12 343 9 048 3 322 23623 21683 14 339 11 344 9 040 2 320 21683 19653 13 340 9 351 7 026 4 316 19653 17530 12 346 8 346 6 356 8 325 17530 15357 10 352 7 336 9 338 9 329 15357 13258 10 350 5 335 9 335 8 343 13258 11346 9 349 5 344 8 344 6 006 11346 9648 7 008 5 359 7 002 5 017 9648 8143 6 026 6 003 8 014 5 016 8143 6810 6 056 6 042 6 033 3 002 6810 5632 9 064 10 062 8 070 3 056 5632 4593 11 053 13 054 12 055 9 048 4593 3683 12 039 16 047 15 039 16 042 3683 2884 14 025 17 033 16 021 18 020 2884 2175 19 010 19 010 19 005 21 013 2175 1553 25 007 17*006 18 003 21 011 1553 1037 21 008 8*008 12 002 8 360 1037 645 7 009 6 015 9 003 2 223 645 376 1*090 5 018 6 003 5 194 376 213 1*122 5 021 5*004 4 190 213 121 1 119 4 022 3*006 3*185 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography