DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 91.9 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 199 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 685 - - 2143 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1226 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 792 - - 2250 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 609 - - 1735 - - - - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 305 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 25 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 353 - - 011 - - - - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8639 - - -9416 - - - - - -8917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9432 - - 11666 - - - - - 9040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17214 - - -15407 - - - - - -17383 ODpotential blCL - - - 18006 - - 17657 - - - - - 17506 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 73 - - - - - 18 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 91.9 - - - - - 80.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 41.4 - - - - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 90.4 - - - - - 85.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 40.8 - - - - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 199 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 685 - - 2143 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97786 14 295 11 284 19 320 97786 90551 10 324 6 318 9 356 90551 84976 10 341 6 342 9 033 84976 80368 1 004 7 340 11 057 80368 76398 5 109 10 002 10 059 76398 72877 7 066 5 015 9 040 72877 69684 6 351 3 355 9 005 69684 66753 7 299 7 279 14 328 66753 64036 8 290 8 259 17 308 64036 61400 12 296 9 268 18 288 61400 58664 16 287 12 270 19 281 58664 55842 26 279 23 272 25 274 55842 53155 37 269 34 270 32 272 53155 50737 36 264 38 268 38 268 50737 48568 33 272 40 273 42 269 48568 46588 36 281 45 278 45 273 46588 44757 36 279 44 278 51 274 44757 43046 38 273 40 275 55 274 43046 41440 37 268 36 271 50 274 41440 39928 32 266 32 265 43 268 39928 38501 33 271 33 261 41 263 38501 37127 41 267 37 255 38 251 37127 35745 49 250 38 252 40 242 35745 34317 44 247 39 243 43 243 34317 32835 31 251 41 247 37 252 32835 31278 30 256 39 251 28 260 31278 29633 29 261 33 262 19 257 29633 27901 25 258 25 270 18 238 27901 26083 25 257 19 266 13 211 26083 24184 26 261 20 254 8 218 24184 22209 26 265 19 255 5 229 22209 20147 22 267 14 258 8 236 20147 17985 14 261 11 239 9 258 17985 15772 12 245 13 237 7 251 15772 13636 17 238 16 245 7 239 13636 11693 17 235 15 238 10 226 11693 9966 16 223 16 226 10 225 9966 8434 17 217 17 220 8 225 8434 7074 16 209 16 211 6 230 7074 5867 15 194 14 202 2 265 5867 4799 12 184 12 200 2 007 4799 3860 7 169 7 201 3 008 3860 3032 4 085 2 152 1 006 3032 2293 5 047 2*029 1 155 2293 1640 9 016 2*015 1 188 1640 1097 8*006 2 012 1 255 1097 681 6*353 2 009 2 244 681 395 5 353 2 010 3 238 395 222 5 353 2 010 3 241 222 123 4 353 2 009 4*241 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography