DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 86.2 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 156 - - - - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 2059 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 412 - - 1128 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1344 - - 2166 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 680 - - 1626 - - - - - 980 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 292 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 153 - - - - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3173 - - -5182 - - - - - -5200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4517 - - 7349 - - - - - 5323 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10333 - - -10472 - - - - - -10706 ODpotential blCL - - - 11677 - - 12638 - - - - - 10829 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 81 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 86.2 - - - - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.7 - - 54.6 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 85.2 - - - - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 53.3 - - - - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 156 - - - - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1238 - - 2059 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 26 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99315 41 111 35 094 33 109 99315 91773 28 111 20 105 37 094 91773 85983 31 104 19 119 28 089 85983 81208 25 104 25 115 23 088 81208 77110 22 109 22 102 19 108 77110 73496 17 108 20 114 18 104 73496 70230 11 124 12 107 15 086 70230 67234 11 125 4 125 9 069 67234 64451 9 107 4 159 5 038 64451 61758 2 080 1 211 3 193 61758 58958 4 316 10 245 5 225 58958 56046 21 246 19 234 13 240 56046 53263 33 239 27 232 25 243 53263 50766 47 244 40 241 40 246 50766 48528 53 239 52 237 52 239 48528 46486 59 241 58 241 56 240 46486 44609 67 240 64 243 66 245 44609 42871 71 239 67 240 70 245 42871 41251 73 239 66 239 71 244 41251 39734 70 237 63 237 69 243 39734 38310 61 231 58 233 63 242 38310 36941 55 228 55 230 58 241 36941 35556 48 225 53 227 56 238 35556 34121 42 217 50 225 57 237 34121 32630 40 213 47 223 56 239 32630 31068 36 213 43 227 49 237 31068 29424 27 202 31 229 40 233 29424 27700 27 182 19 202 32 232 27700 25898 20 190 15 191 21 227 25898 24018 7 133 10 162 15 225 24018 22056 4 083 11 164 11 234 22056 20002 6 161 8 205 11 240 20002 17854 16 176 8 218 6 206 17854 15657 19 174 11 199 7 137 15657 13534 19 189 15 180 12 119 13534 11599 23 202 20 174 13 148 11599 9880 22 205 14 189 14 178 9880 8355 13 201 10 200 13 186 8355 7003 11 186 10 199 10 192 7003 5808 11 183 12 197 9 184 5808 4752 10 182 14 203 10 179 4752 3824 7 179 13 207 9 187 3824 3005 5 169 11 202 9 194 3005 2274 4 172 9*184 9 206 2274 1628 3*171 9*163 12 220 1628 1090 3*165 8 155 14 221 1090 677 3 164 8 151 14 217 677 393 3 161 8 148 12 211 393 221 2 160 7 147 9*202 221 123 2 159 7 146 6*196 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography