DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.3 - - 70.5 - - 80.8 - - 83.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 139 - - 198 - - 10 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 994 - - 2380 - - 2208 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1388 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1100 - - 2487 - - 2315 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 647 - - 1505 - - 1889 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 208 - - 314 - - 117 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 15 - - 26 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 011 - - 360 - - 355 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7972 - - -10202 - - -11219 - - -12212 - - -9664 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8093 - - 11302 - - 13707 - - 14528 - - 9787 sfcLCL ODpotential -21932 - - -20131 - - -18947 - - -19231 - - -19681 ODpotential blCL 22053 - - 21231 - - 21434 - - 21546 - - 19803 blCL maxRH 17 - - 27 - - 46 - - 45 - - 15 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.3 - - 70.5 - - 80.8 - - 83.1 - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.0 - - 22.2 - - 21.2 - - 19.8 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 69.5 - - 79.3 - - 83.0 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.4 - - 21.5 - - 20.4 - - 18.8 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 139 - - 198 - - 10 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 994 - - 2380 - - 2208 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97500 7 333 7 316 7 332 7 315 6 024 97500 90280 6 055 3 287 12 304 9 325 7 019 90280 84707 6 022 4 299 9 303 8 326 5 332 84707 80077 6 325 2 021 3 273 5 274 8 293 80077 76087 8 294 7 023 2 304 4 234 8 311 76087 72568 9 280 6 012 2 273 5 244 7 318 72568 69391 12 287 8 358 1 228 7 260 6 299 69391 66469 11 285 10 327 5 302 9 297 6 305 66469 63755 10 272 9 289 12 275 17 308 12 325 63755 61134 12 293 8 274 16 265 18 306 14 312 61134 58407 18 302 14 305 16 290 23 307 22 307 58407 55585 26 313 22 311 24 300 27 296 27 301 55585 52887 29 320 27 318 26 311 28 303 31 312 52887 50444 41 330 39 320 37 316 39 313 44 319 50444 48242 51 321 47 311 45 313 50 315 56 315 48242 46233 51 322 51 306 51 311 58 315 63 315 46233 44379 53 328 51 308 55 312 62 316 70 319 44379 42664 56 328 54 316 56 314 62 317 69 317 42664 41068 64 329 61 321 55 319 61 317 59 316 41068 39571 69 328 66 323 58 324 58 322 59 330 39571 38160 70 325 68 323 65 327 61 330 56 339 38160 36795 69 323 69 322 64 326 59 333 51 340 36795 35408 67 322 63 322 56 324 55 329 50 336 35408 33970 61 322 55 321 45 326 49 325 50 335 33970 32485 51 323 50 321 43 329 46 325 46 338 32485 30935 47 327 47 324 45 328 45 326 42 341 30935 29304 45 330 45 326 45 324 42 332 38 340 29304 27593 41 331 42 330 44 323 40 335 35 337 27593 25798 40 332 38 332 41 326 38 333 32 340 25798 23915 41 334 36 332 34 329 34 332 31 344 23915 21950 39 337 34 334 29 331 31 333 29 343 21950 19899 35 341 29 338 25 334 28 336 26 344 19899 17754 28 348 24 343 22 339 24 342 23 345 17754 15559 25 357 21 350 19 350 20 353 20 348 15559 13439 22 003 19 002 18 004 17 012 16 005 13439 11510 19 006 16 015 15 015 15 025 13 026 11510 9799 15 010 13 022 12 022 13 029 13 039 9799 8285 12 012 10 025 11 023 11 030 11 046 8285 6942 9 014 8 027 10 017 9 032 9 053 6942 5752 7 013 7 035 9 016 8 028 9 036 5752 4698 6 016 8 036 8 019 8 011 10 007 4698 3773 6 030 8 035 8 009 8 355 12 359 3773 2960 8 029 8 025 7*357 6*352 10 352 2960 2236 11 016 10 010 5*355 3*350 5 348 2236 1598 18 011 13*006 4 357 1 352 1 222 1598 1068 20 009 10*007 4 359 1 350 6 179 1068 663 15 004 6 010 3 003 0 051 11 176 663 386 9 344 6 012 3 008 0 107 12 176 386 217 6*330 5 014 3 009 0 143 8 177 217 122 5*328 5 016 2 010 0 139 5*178 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography