DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 79.8 - - 81.9 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 139 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2906 - - 4721 - - 3600 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1649 - - 3026 - - 1147 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3012 - - 4828 - - 3707 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2542 - - 2246 - - 3759 - - 5483 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 376 - - 236 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 15 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 359 - - 006 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -18 - - -21 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4166 - - -4447 - - -6166 - - -7293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7178 - - 9275 - - 9874 - - 7416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9714 - - -10416 - - -12253 - - -10708 ODpotential blCL - - - 12726 - - 15244 - - 15960 - - 10831 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 28 - - 24 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 79.8 - - 81.9 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.7 - - 39.4 - - 38.9 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 79.0 - - 81.9 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 38.2 - - 37.7 - - 44.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 139 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2906 - - 4721 - - 3600 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99192 32 103 24 096 23 105 25 088 99192 91652 30 117 16 124 21 090 23 092 91652 85860 24 108 16 115 20 096 27 092 85860 81083 19 092 15 112 20 084 25 098 81083 76961 11 095 18 118 13 085 23 088 76961 73303 7 105 13 113 16 116 12 077 73303 69991 10 106 12 103 14 103 8 103 69991 66946 12 102 8 085 11 088 13 101 66946 64111 4 022 5 115 5 045 10 068 64111 61357 7 324 4 123 3 311 7 344 61357 58497 12 333 7 006 5 279 10 295 58497 55537 21 306 18 304 17 309 16 332 55537 52708 35 319 28 295 34 299 33 317 52708 50171 47 311 32 313 33 305 33 304 50171 47904 51 302 43 321 39 319 36 316 47904 45847 56 305 55 312 52 314 46 315 45847 43967 65 308 63 310 57 310 54 308 43967 42243 70 310 64 312 57 312 56 307 42243 40650 74 314 67 317 59 315 55 310 40650 39162 79 314 71 315 65 316 56 313 39162 37762 82 312 74 312 67 314 60 313 37762 36409 84 315 75 313 67 315 63 313 36409 35035 86 320 75 316 67 317 63 312 35035 33609 86 321 77 320 69 319 65 314 33609 32132 87 320 80 322 72 320 68 317 32132 30587 89 322 81 324 75 322 69 317 30587 28961 90 322 80 328 74 326 69 318 28961 27255 92 328 79 330 73 327 70 320 27255 25466 86 332 77 332 69 327 70 323 25466 23596 71 331 73 333 65 331 64 326 23596 21651 63 330 61 334 58 335 55 329 21651 19624 55 332 47 340 46 337 45 330 19624 17512 41 340 38 350 32 340 33 334 17512 15357 33 348 31 002 20 353 19 332 15357 13281 28 351 23 008 14 004 11 342 13281 11395 23 354 17 008 12 006 8 014 11395 9722 19 355 13 005 10 353 12 001 9722 8237 16 352 11 001 13 340 14 334 8237 6916 14 343 12 355 15 343 14 332 6916 5741 12 355 15*355 15 347 13 347 5741 4701 12 003 16*356 15 353 13 002 4701 3784 14*001 16 357 14*357 13 009 3784 2975 18*358 16 358 13*001 12 011 2975 2252 19 357 15 359 11 005 10 013 2252 1613 19 358 15 360 10 006 7 014 1613 1080 18 358 14 001 9 008 5 010 1080 672 18 359 14 001 9 010 2 352 672 391 16 359 13 002 8 010 1 296 391 221 15 359 12 001 8 010 2*261 221 123 12 358 10 001 7 010 3*250 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography