DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 89.3 - - 92.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 188 - - 24 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1101 - - 1685 - - 1478 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 501 - - 919 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1208 - - 1792 - - 1586 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 482 - - 1760 - - 5025 - - 377 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 286 - - 164 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 018 - - 136 - - 142 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4256 - - -6707 - - -8028 - - -5858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5464 - - 8499 - - 9615 - - 5982 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12420 - - -13533 - - -13885 - - -12163 ODpotential blCL - - - 13628 - - 15325 - - 15471 - - 12287 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 30 - - 25 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 89.3 - - 92.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 52.7 - - 51.4 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 88.1 - - 92.9 - - 87.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 51.4 - - 50.1 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 188 - - 24 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1101 - - 1685 - - 1478 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99381 41 109 38 114 34 118 30 105 99381 91844 31 119 32 116 31 101 30 099 91844 86031 25 118 27 117 27 091 31 108 86031 81235 27 117 24 116 24 105 23 099 81235 77127 25 106 27 116 22 124 15 102 77127 73504 21 106 22 111 21 128 16 099 73504 70230 15 123 17 109 15 129 12 113 70230 67231 14 147 9 121 11 125 11 120 67231 64464 14 151 6 177 5 147 9 126 64464 61792 8 190 10 188 6 206 5 176 61792 59009 13 210 15 210 15 212 12 204 59009 56139 18 213 21 225 21 221 21 230 56139 53424 25 227 32 226 29 237 27 238 53424 50989 40 229 38 220 39 221 38 231 50989 48809 43 222 45 220 45 218 45 226 48809 46827 42 240 44 222 42 215 42 218 46827 44986 58 255 43 249 41 260 33 245 44986 43266 68 252 59 256 54 263 49 261 43266 41655 70 243 67 248 62 250 55 253 41655 40136 75 235 68 236 69 240 62 241 40136 38697 77 230 72 226 71 231 67 230 38697 37301 75 227 72 224 69 225 68 226 37301 35880 70 231 66 228 67 229 65 231 35880 34407 55 238 56 235 55 239 54 238 34407 32889 33 249 39 239 36 240 37 241 32889 31316 23 264 22 235 26 233 27 233 31316 29671 23 269 19 239 21 233 23 230 29671 27943 25 268 23 246 24 240 22 233 27943 26127 26 262 25 244 24 240 21 244 26127 24224 28 259 23 242 22 241 20 244 24224 22237 27 257 24 242 22 241 21 241 22237 20159 27 248 25 246 22 243 22 240 20159 17985 27 245 24 251 19 247 19 239 17985 15766 21 251 19 252 16 238 16 226 15766 13629 17 249 14 242 13 228 14 221 13629 11688 15 241 12 236 9 234 10 232 11688 9965 13 235 10 233 4 220 5 208 9965 8437 9 237 8 243 5 250 4 134 8437 7081 7 223 7 257 9 250 1 084 7081 5878 5 208 8 261 11 246 3 256 5878 4812 5 194 9 261 10 234 5 250 4812 3873 4 197 8 256 8 212 6 246 3873 3043 2 209 6 246 8 188 7 240 3043 2302 1 322 3*201 9 168 8 229 2302 1647 3*340 5*144 11*149 9 210 1647 1102 2*004 5 136 11*143 10 187 1102 683 2 016 5 134 11 142 10 168 683 397 2 023 5 132 10 141 9 155 397 223 2 027 5 131 9 141 7*148 223 124 2 029 4 133 8 141 4*140 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography