DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 84.6 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 202 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1110 - - 2529 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1527 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1216 - - 2635 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 627 - - 2743 - - - - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 329 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 341 - - - - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7721 - - -7988 - - - - - -6676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8938 - - 10623 - - - - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14792 - - -13148 - - - - - -12487 ODpotential blCL - - - 16008 - - 15783 - - - - - 12610 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 68 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.1 - - 84.6 - - - - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 38.4 - - - - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 83.1 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 37.5 - - - - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 202 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1110 - - 2529 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96535 27 268 28 283 31 265 96535 89370 14 260 23 276 20 307 89370 83885 8 222 17 251 15 316 83885 79338 7 316 11 278 10 302 79338 75419 13 306 19 308 13 288 75419 71963 13 270 17 293 19 297 71963 68834 13 288 14 291 20 308 68834 65950 22 290 20 286 25 302 65950 63284 24 283 24 279 28 287 63284 60711 31 285 29 281 32 279 60711 58023 37 278 35 277 36 289 58023 55214 48 283 45 285 46 280 55214 52500 59 268 51 271 47 297 52500 50036 58 287 50 291 64 301 50036 47832 68 286 71 298 70 290 47832 45835 63 282 79 289 60 279 45835 44007 54 289 62 282 53 290 44007 42331 49 311 48 278 56 303 42331 40787 83 329 58 327 61 303 40787 39353 95 326 70 323 61 291 39353 37995 86 322 66 318 66 287 37995 36672 78 319 64 315 63 284 36672 35315 74 318 60 309 52 280 35315 33897 66 315 57 300 53 275 33897 32420 55 307 55 294 60 276 32420 30868 51 302 51 288 66 279 30868 29228 48 292 49 284 65 280 29228 27503 46 280 49 282 60 284 27503 25695 43 267 49 282 54 284 25695 23805 45 263 44 281 50 282 23805 21837 41 266 41 281 47 280 21837 19785 32 266 38 281 45 280 19785 17646 27 269 31 276 41 281 17646 15468 26 268 26 270 34 285 15468 13374 24 266 23 270 27 291 13374 11469 19 271 19 275 20 286 11469 9777 15 279 12 276 12 276 9777 8275 12 288 8 277 5 289 8275 6943 11 297 6 280 6 319 6943 5762 10 310 4 286 8 307 5762 4717 8 331 3 289 8 295 4717 3797 7 344 4 301 7 281 3797 2984 9 347 5*324 6 264 2984 2258 13 355 5*337 6 250 2258 1616 17*354 5 342 6 241 1616 1082 14*352 5 342 7 232 1082 672 13 352 5 342 8 220 672 391 12 352 5 343 8 206 391 220 11 352 5 343 7*196 220 123 9 352 4 342 5*194 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography