DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 68.4 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 184 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2830 - - 3273 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1449 - - 2028 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2935 - - 3379 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1910 - - 2134 - - - - - 6308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 348 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 33 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 052 - - - - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 424 - - 116 - - - - - -3924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2511 - - 3263 - - - - - 4047 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -43 - - -293 - - - - - -4546 ODpotential blCL - - - 2978 - - 3672 - - - - - 4668 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 68.4 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 54.5 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 67.2 - - - - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 53.6 - - - - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 184 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2830 - - 3273 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 95 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98360 2 183 9 006 9 106 98360 90923 5 119 5 078 14 111 90923 85220 9 130 7 126 18 083 85220 80493 17 120 12 143 19 048 80493 76423 12 135 14 134 10 053 76423 72824 9 171 10 136 3 093 72824 69564 12 190 11 159 7 163 69564 66547 11 186 15 191 10 189 66547 63722 13 172 15 191 11 197 63722 60972 12 209 16 212 19 238 60972 58102 15 214 17 234 21 214 58102 55122 15 252 16 247 17 237 55122 52288 26 267 29 261 26 262 52288 49751 31 262 32 259 34 264 49751 47482 26 261 28 261 35 265 47482 45431 21 280 24 269 38 277 45431 43561 23 296 29 285 41 284 43561 41844 36 301 43 295 46 296 41844 40265 49 295 53 299 58 302 40265 38804 49 294 55 299 70 305 38804 37437 50 303 53 300 78 305 37437 36114 58 308 54 304 76 305 36114 34764 59 306 51 307 71 304 34764 33359 55 305 45 309 67 304 33359 31902 50 309 42 308 64 305 31902 30375 44 313 40 307 57 304 30375 28771 43 314 38 314 47 303 28771 27092 43 320 36 320 38 303 27092 25328 35 328 33 327 33 304 25328 23480 25 337 29 331 29 305 23480 21550 29 345 27 334 25 304 21550 19532 31 342 24 336 22 307 19532 17421 29 345 23 329 19 309 17421 15263 27 346 24 328 16 317 15263 13185 25 351 21 339 13 327 13185 11299 24 358 19 341 13 340 11299 9625 22 000 18 348 13 351 9625 8141 14 004 14 003 11 359 8141 6826 8 020 10 355 7 353 6826 5664 6 034 3 014 1 335 5664 4637 5 067 2 060 1 180 4637 3734 4*086 2*062 3 173 3734 2935 2*111 2*060 4 170 2935 2222 2 115 2 058 5 170 2222 1591 2 115 2 054 6 169 1591 1066 2 116 2 047 6 168 1066 663 2 110 2 047 7 167 663 386 2 110 2 043 6 167 386 219 2 108 2 045 5 165 219 122 1 107 2 043 4*165 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography