DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 87.9 - - 91.3 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 179 - - 26 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1162 - - 1539 - - 1311 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 571 - - 802 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1268 - - 1646 - - 1418 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 566 - - 1318 - - 2759 - - 409 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 274 - - 162 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 003 - - 135 - - 141 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2699 - - -6444 - - -6910 - - -4601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3968 - - 8090 - - 8328 - - 4726 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11935 - - -14545 - - -13657 - - -11588 ODpotential blCL - - - 13203 - - 16191 - - 15075 - - 11712 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 32 - - 29 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 87.9 - - 91.3 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.5 - - 53.2 - - 55.5 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 86.8 - - 91.0 - - 85.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 51.9 - - 54.1 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 213 - - 179 - - 26 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1162 - - 1539 - - 1311 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99581 39 115 37 118 32 110 32 102 99581 92051 28 105 31 108 31 100 31 102 92051 86272 26 109 26 105 25 101 27 103 86272 81479 29 123 26 116 19 099 25 108 81479 77341 28 119 26 127 17 120 21 102 77341 73680 27 113 21 117 21 127 18 100 73680 70369 21 114 17 113 20 126 16 119 70369 67343 15 108 17 114 16 126 14 126 67343 64553 12 123 15 134 11 135 11 122 64553 61867 12 178 9 166 12 152 7 134 61867 59073 20 189 17 197 12 196 10 161 59073 56183 17 206 22 199 20 210 14 204 56183 53443 22 231 23 212 26 209 25 221 53443 50993 37 224 34 225 34 221 34 220 50993 48799 45 221 47 226 46 225 44 220 48799 46800 56 229 59 230 58 230 54 231 46800 44964 67 230 71 228 71 229 68 233 44964 43266 74 226 77 222 76 223 73 227 43266 41679 75 227 75 221 71 221 71 224 41679 40188 69 228 68 226 68 224 72 225 40188 38779 63 228 66 229 68 225 71 223 38779 37413 59 228 66 229 69 225 73 222 37413 36018 59 228 67 229 70 228 73 225 36018 34560 60 231 64 229 71 230 72 230 34560 33046 60 236 57 230 64 232 68 236 33046 31463 57 237 51 232 54 232 57 237 31463 29800 54 235 47 230 51 229 49 224 29800 28055 53 232 46 226 50 223 52 217 28055 26223 49 232 47 227 48 223 49 223 26223 24311 42 234 43 232 43 227 43 228 24311 22319 35 231 37 231 37 228 38 231 22319 20240 31 229 33 226 34 230 34 232 20240 18067 26 225 29 227 30 229 29 230 18067 15842 23 210 25 218 25 219 25 223 15842 13696 23 207 24 212 24 213 24 217 13696 11743 19 217 21 214 20 218 20 221 11743 10007 15 221 16 216 15 223 15 219 10007 8465 12 207 14 209 11 214 12 210 8465 7094 10 206 11 214 9 221 10 210 7094 5881 8 216 10 235 11 245 7 229 5881 4813 6 223 11 249 13 245 6 236 4813 3873 3 254 11 248 11 235 7 236 3873 3044 2 321 9 240 9 213 8 230 3044 2302 4 346 5*214 9 181 9 214 2302 1647 3*347 5*145 11*150 10 196 1647 1102 2*355 6 134 12*143 12 178 1102 684 2 003 6 132 11 141 13 164 684 397 2 005 6 132 11 140 11 155 397 223 2 010 5 131 10 139 8*150 223 124 2 010 5 131 8 139 4*144 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography