DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 92.2 - - - - - 88.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 733 - - 1698 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 107 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 840 - - 1806 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1272 - - 2519 - - - - - 950 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 130 - - 178 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 17 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 355 - - - - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -9 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7089 - - -8129 - - - - - -5841 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7929 - - 9936 - - - - - 5966 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15836 - - -16290 - - - - - -11658 ODpotential blCL - - - 16676 - - 18096 - - - - - 11782 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 29 - - - - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 92.2 - - - - - 88.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 49.4 - - - - - 62.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 92.8 - - - - - 92.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 48.1 - - - - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 6 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 733 - - 1698 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98791 23 104 16 111 29 104 98791 91316 25 101 17 106 22 084 91316 85557 21 094 22 095 16 086 85557 80786 16 099 16 091 16 079 80786 76704 14 100 11 091 15 077 76704 73112 14 100 10 098 18 096 73112 69839 14 100 10 116 19 072 69839 66819 13 082 8 123 11 032 66819 64037 8 029 8 080 1 035 64037 61363 5 309 5 343 4 106 61363 58578 4 271 9 303 7 350 58578 55697 11 328 12 303 14 318 55697 52964 25 309 20 304 17 316 52964 50513 28 289 29 292 28 301 50513 48319 27 288 31 286 34 287 48319 46330 31 294 30 285 36 281 46330 44506 33 300 32 293 36 278 44506 42819 36 302 36 300 32 284 42819 41248 36 301 37 302 32 293 41248 39776 36 300 37 301 34 297 39776 38390 37 300 37 300 34 300 38390 37046 38 300 36 301 33 309 37046 35676 40 301 34 304 32 315 35676 34248 39 302 32 307 30 317 34248 32767 35 302 30 308 29 317 32767 31216 32 302 27 309 28 317 31216 29586 29 302 22 315 26 316 29586 27873 26 304 20 325 24 317 27873 26073 22 310 19 329 23 324 26073 24187 20 321 19 327 23 329 24187 22219 19 334 20 329 24 339 22219 20162 17 342 19 333 23 354 20162 18010 17 349 19 340 22 353 18010 15807 16 360 17 351 19 350 15807 13677 14 002 15 000 18 000 13677 11735 11 356 14 001 17 011 11735 10009 11 003 13 011 14 013 10009 8478 15 011 16 017 14 006 8478 7116 17 024 15 028 16 354 7116 5907 18 037 12 043 15 355 5907 4835 19 036 10 043 15 005 4835 3892 19 023 10 020 15 013 3892 3059 19 013 14 359 13 017 3059 2314 21 003 19*353 11 020 2314 1656 26 359 19*354 8 024 1656 1108 26*358 18 355 4 031 1108 688 23*358 17 355 1 204 688 399 20 358 15 356 4 220 399 224 18 358 14 356 5*224 224 124 13 357 11 356 4*224 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography