DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 88.5 - - 90.6 - - 82.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 141 - - 19 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1311 - - 3370 - - 2469 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 600 - - 2033 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1418 - - 3477 - - 2576 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 770 - - 2812 - - 4824 - - 2109 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 336 - - 188 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 18 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 174 - - 161 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -18 - - -16 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3627 - - -4747 - - -7094 - - -6367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5046 - - 8224 - - 9671 - - 6490 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9472 - - -10232 - - -11801 - - -11242 ODpotential blCL - - - 10890 - - 13709 - - 14377 - - 11365 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 80 - - 87 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 88.5 - - 90.6 - - 82.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 52.9 - - 48.7 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 87.5 - - 91.0 - - 86.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 51.7 - - 47.5 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 141 - - 19 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1311 - - 3370 - - 2469 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 21 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98649 6 113 14 065 15 077 12 079 98649 91151 14 099 14 084 14 081 13 095 91151 85404 19 090 11 114 14 076 20 081 85404 80671 20 098 14 119 11 088 22 069 80671 76607 18 094 15 100 12 093 16 066 76607 73031 12 091 15 083 14 088 15 056 73031 69802 13 107 10 072 13 075 13 062 69802 66830 11 104 3 118 6 029 12 052 66830 64061 9 068 3 086 5 004 9 025 64061 61368 4 040 4 075 2 023 4 005 61368 58546 3 292 1 349 0 210 2 300 58546 55609 6 240 10 270 10 306 11 322 55609 52811 6 286 12 288 11 299 14 318 52811 50309 15 306 18 307 16 322 22 328 50309 48092 19 321 22 325 24 336 26 324 48092 46102 25 337 28 342 37 336 42 337 46102 44301 33 348 43 343 52 336 55 332 44301 42650 46 351 55 341 61 340 68 335 42650 41111 52 353 53 341 69 337 74 335 41111 39660 54 352 47 341 59 334 68 332 39660 38283 48 351 41 338 49 332 65 331 38283 36942 41 341 42 341 42 330 62 331 36942 35569 38 341 38 344 38 326 56 329 35569 34135 33 341 36 335 37 323 53 327 34135 32643 30 335 36 327 34 324 48 328 32643 31077 27 317 29 321 35 322 40 325 31077 29425 26 309 25 314 35 315 35 321 29425 27688 26 304 26 308 27 308 31 318 27688 25866 25 299 22 306 20 303 27 305 25866 23971 20 299 20 300 16 290 24 280 23971 22007 15 296 15 292 15 274 22 269 22007 19959 12 281 11 277 13 256 19 261 19959 17820 11 268 11 260 12 248 17 254 17820 15638 10 260 10 244 11 246 14 247 15638 13533 10 254 11 243 11 251 12 246 13533 11615 9 262 9 254 8 256 9 252 11615 9907 4 286 4 265 4 248 7 251 9907 8388 2 292 2 266 2 268 4 252 8388 7037 3 262 4 294 7 279 3 316 7037 5840 1 255 5 283 7 259 1 333 5840 4781 2 060 3 248 7 239 0 239 4781 3847 1 080 3*213 6 211 1 274 3847 3024 1 032 4*194 6*192 3 288 3024 2287 3 027 4 179 6*175 7 290 2287 1637 2*031 4 172 6 164 10 285 1637 1095 1*047 4 170 5 158 13 278 1095 681 1 053 3 166 5 156 13 271 681 395 1 063 3 167 5 154 11 262 395 222 1 067 3 165 5 153 9 253 222 123 1 063 3 166 4 152 5*243 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography