DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 83.7 - - 87.4 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 185 - - 42 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1431 - - 1949 - - 1708 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 744 - - 1106 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1537 - - 2056 - - 1815 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 516 - - 1556 - - 2717 - - 515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 300 - - 193 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 166 - - 147 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2522 - - -4344 - - -5602 - - -3695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4059 - - 6401 - - 7418 - - 3819 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8565 - - -8692 - - -9613 - - -7853 ODpotential blCL - - - 10102 - - 10748 - - 11428 - - 7976 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 63 - - 34 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 260 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 83.7 - - 87.4 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 56.2 - - 55.4 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 82.5 - - 87.1 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 54.9 - - 54.1 - - 61.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 185 - - 42 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1431 - - 1949 - - 1708 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99335 36 116 30 116 28 119 29 112 99335 91823 30 116 24 127 26 124 27 093 91823 86039 21 119 21 129 23 113 23 105 86039 81243 20 111 22 134 23 110 24 117 81243 77106 18 111 23 117 21 124 21 111 77106 73450 16 120 18 107 18 121 16 104 73450 70149 15 125 13 122 13 114 13 096 70149 67113 8 117 11 130 6 113 6 109 67113 64295 5 119 7 128 6 137 5 157 64295 61559 4 180 3 214 3 041 4 129 61559 58705 5 190 8 239 10 296 8 339 58705 55755 5 311 6 261 12 278 12 314 55755 52945 14 309 11 300 15 288 17 311 52945 50436 20 297 18 323 16 305 18 311 50436 48195 23 302 24 329 15 332 12 337 48195 46154 25 301 29 328 27 345 24 348 46154 44284 25 303 29 314 31 333 26 338 44284 42559 23 303 25 307 30 312 26 328 42559 40963 25 305 24 306 29 299 31 310 40963 39482 34 292 26 298 31 293 32 299 39482 38095 36 281 28 296 28 295 29 301 38095 36755 34 280 28 299 21 311 25 309 36755 35392 32 279 32 295 25 339 22 319 35392 33973 27 279 35 285 28 347 21 330 33973 32500 23 282 29 278 26 345 20 335 32500 30955 20 287 24 275 23 332 15 336 30955 29325 14 291 18 277 21 314 13 342 29325 27610 13 307 14 281 21 302 13 344 27610 25809 15 304 10 293 16 304 13 336 25809 23926 13 294 9 291 10 302 10 323 23926 21966 11 295 9 285 8 291 6 289 21966 19921 7 307 6 291 6 279 4 257 19921 17783 5 300 3 288 1 255 3 216 17783 15599 6 272 1 314 6 131 7 173 15599 13492 4 232 5 146 13 149 13 176 13492 11574 5 174 7 159 10 150 12 166 11574 9872 5 180 6 162 4 163 5 100 9872 8362 6 169 2 178 1 335 12 021 8362 7020 6 100 2 224 8 342 11 003 7020 5826 8 066 1 083 9 336 7 343 5826 4769 7 069 3 045 6 322 4 296 4769 3837 5 083 1 026 3 282 6 238 3837 3015 1 113 3 231 3 219 9 217 3015 2281 1 243 4*203 5*182 12 206 2281 1632 2*185 4*181 7*153 14 196 1632 1092 2*167 4 170 7 147 15 184 1092 678 2 163 4 163 7 146 14 172 678 394 2 160 4 157 7 144 13 161 394 222 2 156 4 156 7 144 10 153 222 123 2 154 3 156 6 143 6*146 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography