DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 55.8 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 9 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 324 - - 1001 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 429 - - 1106 - - - - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3386 - - 3756 - - - - - 3098 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 44 - - 102 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 147 - - - - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -189 - - 232 - - - - - -185 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 618 - - 874 - - - - - 306 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -543 - - -215 - - - - - -554 ODpotential blCL - - - 972 - - 1321 - - - - - 675 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 99 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 470 - - - - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 55.8 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 52.5 - - - - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 55.8 - - - - - 53.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 51.7 - - - - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 9 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 324 - - 1001 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 98 - - - - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96688 27 079 22 089 24 090 96688 89593 29 089 27 103 31 090 89593 84077 31 112 22 089 27 090 84077 79460 27 103 17 069 20 094 79460 75461 17 079 13 066 17 093 75461 71909 9 077 12 103 12 093 71909 68693 5 082 9 126 5 102 68693 65744 4 045 7 150 3 112 65744 63003 8 230 9 218 10 274 63003 60322 15 219 21 211 15 233 60322 57490 16 214 22 207 21 217 57490 54519 18 223 18 222 23 214 54519 51660 21 232 21 232 22 221 51660 49078 22 227 24 231 15 229 49078 46770 21 222 22 231 7 244 46770 44690 19 216 19 229 5 305 44690 42793 18 211 17 221 7 313 42793 41042 17 212 13 218 6 283 41042 39416 14 207 11 221 5 283 39416 37900 10 204 11 222 4 334 37900 36481 8 229 10 223 7 015 36481 35118 15 232 8 234 9 035 35118 33745 20 222 8 248 11 045 33745 32332 24 221 10 251 10 060 32332 30881 27 220 12 240 11 067 30881 29385 26 211 13 217 14 050 29385 27833 18 194 10 191 13 033 27833 26215 13 173 7 184 14 037 26215 24517 12 147 8 141 16 034 24517 22741 9 145 7 144 13 035 22741 20889 10 157 8 168 8 060 20889 18951 11 168 9 162 9 075 18951 16919 12 173 11 157 6 142 16919 14837 15 170 16 171 8 157 14837 12825 19 184 18 178 9 161 12825 10992 20 176 21 177 11 165 10992 9362 20 161 24 173 12 165 9362 7917 22 154 24 170 14 164 7917 6634 24 154 22 169 15 164 6634 5499 26 160 21 168 17 166 5499 4498 28 166 21 165 18 166 4498 3619 30 170 21 162 19 165 3619 2844 33 171 21 159 19 165 2844 2152 34 170 21 157 18 164 2152 1541 31 169 19*154 17 164 1541 1033 26 166 16*149 15 162 1033 644 22*164 15 147 13 157 644 376 18*162 13 145 10 148 376 214 15 161 12 144 9 145 214 121 11 160 9 144 5*139 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography