DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 54.0 - - 54.4 - - 51.5 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 49 - - -3 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 319 - - 16 - - 316 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 423 - - 121 - - 421 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 162 - - 671 - - 2549 - - 1169 - - 1285 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 104 - - 7 - - 48 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 140 - - 122 - - 353 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -627 - - -990 - - -161 - - -166 - - -393 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 748 - - 1413 - - 282 - - 587 - - 514 sfcLCL ODpotential -8110 - - -3302 - - -382 - - -1014 - - -2996 ODpotential blCL 8231 - - 3725 - - 503 - - 1435 - - 3117 blCL maxRH 77 - - 95 - - 98 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 50 - - 30 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 54.0 - - 54.4 - - 51.5 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.4 - - 48.4 - - 53.6 - - 49.5 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.4 - - 53.5 - - 54.6 - - 51.4 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.8 - - 47.7 - - 53.5 - - 49.3 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 49 - - -3 - - 4 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 319 - - 16 - - 316 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 80 - - 92 - - 101 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96513 24 289 23 291 28 293 23 281 30 293 96513 89534 13 290 12 278 16 275 16 302 14 310 89534 84109 17 273 16 297 11 307 15 286 13 288 84109 79597 19 272 23 268 21 303 19 287 21 282 79597 75684 16 284 20 271 23 282 23 285 22 280 75684 72179 20 293 15 275 26 279 25 288 23 287 72179 68969 24 283 12 291 22 264 25 273 24 284 68969 66008 24 271 19 286 18 267 21 268 24 281 66008 63273 24 266 19 267 19 281 17 282 19 266 63273 60619 25 265 25 282 16 286 18 268 14 266 60619 57820 33 272 27 282 23 291 21 291 16 299 57820 54908 42 267 34 275 40 284 38 294 35 308 54908 52148 41 263 42 262 48 268 51 285 43 294 52148 49671 39 260 42 264 45 268 46 279 40 292 49671 47443 48 269 45 273 45 278 45 296 45 308 47443 45415 61 270 54 275 51 282 59 300 60 310 45415 43553 71 266 63 271 56 283 65 297 69 306 43553 41827 81 261 73 264 60 285 66 298 72 304 41827 40221 88 255 80 258 65 283 69 301 74 304 40221 38724 85 250 81 254 63 280 72 300 76 306 38724 37321 79 251 80 253 62 285 70 301 80 311 37321 35961 86 255 81 252 69 286 70 304 88 314 35961 34574 94 252 86 249 68 280 75 307 93 315 34574 33133 91 244 92 246 64 274 84 304 94 316 33133 31640 85 239 97 243 58 271 78 301 94 315 31640 30080 82 239 97 239 50 276 71 308 94 316 30080 28449 79 236 90 235 46 268 75 315 91 320 28449 26751 78 234 79 230 42 270 72 314 88 320 26751 24982 74 233 73 226 40 273 51 303 85 320 24982 23134 70 230 64 227 36 276 36 287 82 325 23134 21206 68 228 52 227 35 276 29 285 70 324 21206 19199 67 226 40 221 30 270 27 287 55 319 19199 17112 62 220 30 216 26 252 20 291 43 315 17112 14988 53 211 28 226 23 238 16 289 30 320 14988 12944 47 208 29 236 27 224 17 269 18 320 12944 11085 42 212 27 238 28 222 17 245 10 311 11085 9435 33 211 24 236 25 224 15 224 7 290 9435 7975 28 204 21 228 22 229 15 223 4 250 7975 6681 26 194 18 218 22 232 13 226 5 193 6681 5535 26 188 16 204 22 226 12 221 7 197 5535 4523 23 186 13 192 19 214 12 217 9 206 4523 3633 19 191 11 188 15 191 13 213 9 200 3633 2849 15 199 12 195 13 171 11 195 7 183 2849 2151 12 202 14 205 13 161 8 175 2 146 2151 1538 11 193 13 208 13 155 2 134 10 007 1538 1030 12 185 11 203 12 149 6 004 16 004 1030 641 12 191 7*182 11 140 6*355 15 001 641 375 9 199 4*143 8 131 6*354 11 357 375 214 5*197 4 141 6 127 6 353 9 355 214 121 3*191 4 137 4*122 5 352 6*353 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography