DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 62.2 - - 66.7 - - 67.9 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 57 - - 40 - - -29 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1577 - - 3243 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1043 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1683 - - 3349 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 3058 - - 1803 - - 4492 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 190 - - 236 - - 17 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 15 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 330 - - 000 - - 354 - - 353 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -130 - - 526 - - -1135 - - -8601 - - -5108 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 251 - - 1157 - - 4484 - - 8723 - - 5230 sfcLCL ODpotential -2509 - - -257 - - -8389 - - -16668 - - -15735 ODpotential blCL 2630 - - 1940 - - 11738 - - 16790 - - 15856 blCL maxRH 94 - - 92 - - 55 - - 21 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 130 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 62.2 - - 66.7 - - 67.9 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 57.7 - - 47.7 - - 30.4 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 61.8 - - 66.5 - - 69.1 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.8 - - 56.7 - - 46.3 - - 29.3 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 57 - - 40 - - -29 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1577 - - 3243 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 67 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97377 2 116 3 294 11 342 7 353 6 282 97377 90156 10 064 6 296 10 330 8 356 8 026 90156 84606 10 022 3 360 5 320 10 013 10 043 84606 79992 12 354 7 076 3 307 13 345 13 021 79992 76017 13 315 8 049 1 358 6 304 7 328 76017 72503 12 274 3 333 3 193 10 254 1 212 72503 69301 10 258 8 282 6 236 11 237 4 273 69301 66343 11 272 9 270 6 263 5 255 12 267 66343 63587 12 266 15 277 15 274 14 267 13 237 63587 60889 13 252 14 276 14 274 12 293 7 219 60889 58050 13 269 12 292 18 279 23 285 21 284 58050 55116 23 292 21 306 22 289 23 275 28 288 55116 52335 25 302 26 306 24 311 25 306 29 317 52335 49834 28 301 25 312 33 318 35 319 37 327 49834 47587 27 307 31 320 39 318 40 321 43 326 47587 45551 32 322 38 320 39 318 43 323 44 323 45551 43694 42 328 35 327 29 325 42 335 40 325 43694 41993 43 323 26 335 38 356 48 352 40 336 41993 40422 31 333 40 002 62 357 57 356 46 347 40422 38958 45 001 72 357 72 353 63 355 56 351 38958 37582 63 001 83 354 72 354 66 353 63 351 37582 36252 82 359 86 358 75 357 67 353 66 352 36252 34902 93 357 89 001 78 000 68 357 65 357 34902 33498 87 359 88 001 75 000 71 001 63 002 33498 32044 85 004 87 002 71 358 69 002 64 005 32044 30518 97 007 85 004 70 356 64 001 64 006 30518 28909 90 006 84 007 69 357 61 000 61 004 28909 27216 76 010 83 012 67 003 58 001 57 001 27216 25440 75 011 81 014 66 010 57 010 53 360 25440 23580 71 007 76 013 64 016 52 018 48 006 23580 21637 65 003 70 008 59 019 46 022 44 024 21637 19603 61 001 61 004 55 015 45 023 42 035 19603 17474 60 002 56 007 50 010 45 020 39 028 17474 15297 58 003 53 013 47 013 43 022 38 026 15297 13198 42 002 46 015 43 018 41 030 38 036 13198 11290 28 356 37 010 38 020 38 035 35 041 11290 9599 23 354 29 010 32 021 33 034 29 041 9599 8109 19 000 20 016 28 023 25 036 20 053 8109 6795 15 019 15 019 25 028 19 045 17 075 6795 5633 15 037 13 029 19 026 16 043 18 077 5633 4604 16 034 12 029 17 011 17 026 18 063 4604 3699 17 026 13 020 18*000 21 009 14 033 3699 2901 15 022 14 014 18*356 21 004 20 017 2901 2191 12 017 15*008 17 355 21 003 32 014 2191 1567 10 007 15*005 16 354 20 002 38 005 1567 1048 9 006 12 001 15 354 19 001 35 000 1048 651 9 006 11 359 14 353 18 360 28 354 651 379 8 356 10 357 13 353 15 357 21 346 379 215 6 339 9 358 12 353 12*355 16 340 215 121 4*330 8 356 10 352 9*353 8*333 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography