DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.9 - - 62.3 - - 70.4 - - 74.0 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 181 - - 196 - - 23 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1215 - - 2196 - - 1885 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 509 - - 1247 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1320 - - 2301 - - 1991 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 201 - - 1161 - - 873 - - 1396 - - 387 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 243 - - 304 - - 144 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 316 - - 011 - - 013 - - 011 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -271 - - -3275 - - -4627 - - -5963 - - -5806 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 392 - - 4596 - - 6928 - - 7954 - - 5928 sfcLCL ODpotential -9833 - - -8733 - - -8254 - - -9337 - - -11811 ODpotential blCL 9954 - - 10053 - - 10555 - - 11328 - - 11933 blCL maxRH 84 - - 63 - - 81 - - 73 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.9 - - 62.3 - - 70.4 - - 74.0 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 42.8 - - 40.7 - - 39.7 - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 61.1 - - 69.2 - - 73.6 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 42.6 - - 40.5 - - 39.4 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 181 - - 196 - - 23 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1215 - - 2196 - - 1885 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97617 10 329 16 285 23 312 17 314 15 319 97617 90364 7 346 6 295 13 300 17 314 14 333 90364 84748 5 347 5 288 1 251 8 289 9 332 84748 80087 4 201 6 238 6 249 4 261 7 296 80087 76066 3 355 3 084 4 205 5 301 1 130 76066 72505 9 308 4 049 5 172 7 247 9 235 72505 69290 5 303 2 098 6 193 10 197 14 204 69290 66334 1 165 4 113 4 174 6 169 7 201 66334 63563 12 229 13 213 12 215 6 243 10 218 63563 60850 20 178 21 210 21 214 15 231 15 216 60850 58000 16 178 22 195 24 202 26 203 24 215 58000 55037 22 222 22 200 25 205 32 200 33 207 55037 52216 32 230 29 208 32 208 35 202 38 198 52216 49677 44 225 43 206 39 205 33 204 45 194 49677 47397 54 220 48 205 41 208 47 205 41 190 47397 45327 51 217 52 210 55 210 49 199 39 203 45327 43428 50 222 61 207 60 202 43 201 48 211 43428 41670 66 220 63 206 59 203 52 209 60 204 41670 40046 84 210 73 206 70 204 68 203 57 197 40046 38545 73 201 73 200 73 199 69 195 51 191 38545 37146 67 211 64 203 67 199 57 194 46 195 37146 35804 79 218 71 212 71 206 63 202 53 202 35804 34452 81 214 75 210 73 205 68 199 60 198 34452 33064 73 206 71 204 64 199 61 195 54 192 33064 31638 64 198 67 198 58 196 53 187 47 187 31638 30144 60 197 65 196 56 191 52 186 45 180 30144 28565 57 197 61 195 52 185 51 187 46 178 28565 26900 55 198 54 193 51 185 50 186 47 179 26900 25154 52 198 48 188 48 186 46 185 43 178 25154 23330 47 194 47 187 47 186 42 184 39 173 23330 21428 44 189 45 186 45 186 39 177 38 163 21428 19443 44 189 41 186 42 181 38 167 40 155 19443 17370 41 189 37 186 38 177 38 158 41 152 17370 15248 38 190 34 188 34 181 40 156 41 154 15248 13197 35 189 34 188 35 182 38 157 39 158 13197 11324 32 187 35 186 36 181 34 160 33 163 11324 9656 30 185 35 185 35 179 29 164 24 159 9656 8171 28 185 32 183 33 177 24 168 19 157 8171 6850 24 187 28 180 31 176 22 174 14 156 6850 5677 19 188 23 177 27 177 19 185 11 157 5677 4639 13 185 15 172 21 176 14 198 7 162 4639 3727 9 164 9 139 13 166 9 214 0 193 3727 2926 8 147 10 129 7*143 5 233 6 004 2926 2212 8 144 5 131 3*023 3*004 8 022 2212 1583 3 122 5*013 3 014 3*008 6 030 1583 1060 6 346 6*011 3 013 3 009 4 026 1060 660 8 335 6 011 3 011 3 013 2 016 660 384 8 325 6 011 3 009 2 013 1 358 384 217 6*320 6 011 3 009 2 015 2 299 217 122 4*316 6 011 3 007 2 014 2*285 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography