DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 66.5 - - 74.5 - - 76.4 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 107 - - 200 - - 60 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1179 - - 2672 - - 3159 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 106 - - 1622 - - 1103 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1285 - - 2778 - - 3265 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 1078 - - 1645 - - 2474 - - 2815 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 208 - - 333 - - 240 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 352 - - 345 - - 351 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2296 - - -3457 - - -4662 - - -4536 - - -5110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2417 - - 4742 - - 7440 - - 7802 - - 5234 sfcLCL ODpotential -12050 - - -9245 - - -8813 - - -8323 - - -10218 ODpotential blCL 12171 - - 10530 - - 11591 - - 11588 - - 10341 blCL maxRH 47 - - 50 - - 53 - - 66 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 66.5 - - 74.5 - - 76.4 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.9 - - 46.4 - - 42.4 - - 42.6 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 65.7 - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.2 - - 45.4 - - 41.4 - - 41.7 - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 107 - - 200 - - 60 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1179 - - 2672 - - 3159 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96339 11 306 5 339 6 280 11 280 11 263 96339 89222 2 303 1 123 9 245 10 285 9 304 89222 83718 2 354 2 100 8 244 9 285 7 295 83718 79125 13 329 5 285 13 260 13 277 13 298 79125 75154 17 299 12 292 17 276 15 279 18 295 75154 71635 13 279 12 291 20 282 17 302 17 297 71635 68443 16 303 14 301 20 281 22 304 18 303 68443 65502 20 300 18 290 22 280 24 289 21 305 65502 62761 17 301 17 280 20 276 21 278 23 306 62761 60092 20 293 20 283 20 286 25 289 27 303 60092 57302 25 287 22 282 24 278 30 283 31 294 57302 54409 33 286 26 288 25 283 30 282 31 282 54409 51639 36 286 35 291 32 285 34 289 33 285 51639 49144 37 285 41 282 40 284 41 291 39 294 49144 46919 42 286 46 281 45 287 49 293 45 300 46919 44925 46 288 50 285 51 293 52 297 50 302 44925 43120 40 294 46 287 54 293 55 302 51 313 43120 41472 41 316 50 302 55 293 55 305 64 317 41472 39963 57 320 63 307 60 296 55 304 58 310 39963 38557 58 315 63 306 65 297 53 306 48 314 38557 37229 55 311 59 305 64 297 49 309 52 326 37229 35937 53 310 56 304 61 298 46 315 51 323 35937 34615 51 309 53 304 57 300 43 319 50 319 34615 33233 49 309 51 304 53 304 41 321 48 314 33233 31792 47 309 48 305 51 308 40 321 47 311 31792 30277 45 310 46 306 48 307 40 317 50 313 30277 28678 42 311 42 307 41 306 40 310 53 318 28678 26994 40 314 38 307 39 306 38 306 55 323 26994 25225 38 318 35 305 38 302 36 304 53 326 25225 23373 34 320 32 303 34 298 37 306 42 324 23373 21445 29 320 30 303 32 296 36 308 35 318 21445 19438 26 318 29 302 30 295 33 307 31 315 19438 17347 27 317 27 301 27 293 30 305 25 311 17347 15215 25 317 23 303 21 294 24 299 22 303 15215 13162 20 316 18 309 16 300 19 297 20 302 13162 11290 17 321 16 318 14 309 17 303 19 311 11290 9626 16 330 15 332 12 321 14 308 15 318 9626 8149 14 336 14 343 11 333 11 312 11 318 8149 6836 12 337 11 351 10 339 7 319 8 312 6836 5673 8 340 8 349 9 335 7 327 6 303 5673 4643 5 356 6 342 10 329 6 325 4 294 4643 3737 5 008 6 341 10 333 5*332 3 287 3737 2938 6 006 6 350 8*339 4*340 2 305 2938 2223 8 012 10 005 7*342 4 350 2 348 2223 1592 13 019 11*007 7 345 4 353 2 006 1592 1067 12 016 8*355 7 345 3 354 3 004 1067 663 8 354 7 351 6 345 3 354 3 359 663 386 7 331 6 350 6 344 3 355 3 351 386 218 5 316 6 351 5 345 3 353 3*338 218 123 4*315 5 350 5 344 3 351 2*322 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography