DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 49.7 - - 57.0 - - 55.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 71 - - 84 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 582 - - 988 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 686 - - 1093 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 784 - - 416 - - 393 - - 1095 - - 631 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 142 - - 181 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 359 - - 357 - - 120 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -67 - - -381 - - -1237 - - -1444 - - -170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 188 - - 1067 - - 2331 - - 1566 - - 291 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - -10428 - - -9766 - - -9491 - - -11701 ODpotential blCL 121 - - 11114 - - 10859 - - 9613 - - 11822 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 76 - - 75 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 49.7 - - 57.0 - - 55.8 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 45.8 - - 47.5 - - 49.7 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 49.1 - - 56.4 - - 56.4 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.3 - - 45.1 - - 46.4 - - 48.5 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 71 - - 84 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 582 - - 988 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 69 - - 3 - - 0 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96353 20 094 17 070 21 077 18 126 15 095 96353 89334 16 096 13 074 14 082 14 089 15 091 89334 83856 15 082 11 113 4 087 9 059 10 068 83856 79258 10 046 12 103 7 166 2 318 10 014 79258 75272 7 038 3 054 1 165 2 332 10 336 75272 71746 8 358 5 346 8 309 9 339 11 356 71746 68551 7 317 7 313 15 303 15 311 13 335 68551 65603 10 321 9 314 13 297 16 296 12 304 65603 62854 17 312 15 315 18 316 21 306 11 313 62854 60181 22 307 22 304 25 304 25 308 22 331 60181 57414 27 295 26 298 27 307 32 310 33 314 57414 54567 29 288 30 298 30 306 30 305 31 314 54567 51861 33 312 32 306 33 308 35 312 40 315 51861 49437 39 309 35 306 35 305 40 307 39 305 49437 47273 35 314 33 313 30 306 32 306 28 305 47273 45320 46 325 33 319 30 320 31 308 34 320 45320 43565 40 315 37 310 32 315 34 303 34 304 43565 41975 6 278 32 294 36 299 37 292 31 285 41975 40492 6 012 21 293 26 284 32 283 29 288 40492 39087 24 356 20 354 17 298 29 279 31 307 39087 37750 41 001 24 355 16 320 26 288 31 310 37750 36446 44 357 24 348 17 316 27 296 31 307 36446 35110 37 353 24 335 21 313 28 300 31 305 35110 33712 34 341 23 320 24 306 30 298 30 299 33712 32255 28 336 25 299 24 293 34 294 29 280 32255 30726 19 326 26 293 28 283 36 285 33 270 30726 29110 16 312 27 289 31 279 36 284 36 274 29110 27403 20 300 30 289 34 278 33 292 37 285 27403 25604 25 298 31 301 32 291 27 302 33 288 25604 23717 29 303 31 311 28 300 24 292 30 283 23717 21743 27 303 28 303 25 287 27 275 31 272 21743 19683 30 307 25 297 26 286 29 281 32 276 19683 17541 39 313 29 305 33 304 32 302 34 297 17541 15361 43 314 35 312 37 311 34 309 35 307 15361 13255 38 316 34 317 33 314 31 310 36 310 13255 11337 28 317 26 321 26 314 27 312 32 314 11337 9635 20 318 18 324 18 312 21 312 25 315 9635 8127 15 321 14 325 12 311 15 312 18 317 8127 6792 11 324 12 326 10 317 11 314 11 318 6792 5613 9 325 10 331 8 325 8 322 7 322 5613 4574 8 328 7 338 7 333 7 331 5 335 4574 3664 7 338 6 347 5 335 6 335 4 352 3664 2866 6 357 6 359 5 336 6 329 4 355 2866 2158 7 004 8 360 6 345 6 327 4 003 2158 1538 8 355 11 000 5*341 5 329 3 352 1538 1026 5 340 9*354 2*336 2 344 1 349 1026 639 2 012 4*354 2 359 1 104 2 134 639 373 2 035 4 358 2 004 2 114 3 146 373 213 2*040 3 002 1 011 2*115 3*164 213 121 2*043 3 004 1 009 2*120 3*174 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography