DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.8 - - 82.7 - - 95.0 - - 96.1 - - 84.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 110 - - 158 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 649 - - 1587 - - 869 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 106 - - 730 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 755 - - 1694 - - 976 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 433 - - 1071 - - 1599 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 168 - - 256 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 303 - - 347 - - 354 - - 342 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7879 - - -10398 - - -12068 - - -12829 - - -11546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8002 - - 11154 - - 13762 - - 13806 - - 11669 sfcLCL ODpotential -18701 - - -17812 - - -17168 - - -16771 - - -17119 ODpotential blCL 18823 - - 18567 - - 18862 - - 17747 - - 17242 blCL maxRH 19 - - 19 - - 42 - - 34 - - 12 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.8 - - 82.7 - - 95.0 - - 96.1 - - 84.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 35.2 - - 35.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.5 - - 81.8 - - 93.7 - - 96.1 - - 90.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.4 - - 34.6 - - 34.2 - - 35.0 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 110 - - 158 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 649 - - 1587 - - 869 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97801 11 256 7 230 14 261 11 290 5 352 97801 90595 2 157 2 091 2 103 4 318 5 354 90595 85033 9 095 6 055 8 030 5 062 6 026 85033 80423 15 056 13 079 9 046 9 054 10 026 80423 76456 13 030 15 064 10 076 13 045 12 034 76456 72953 10 030 14 044 12 057 14 046 16 049 72953 69773 12 041 14 044 12 052 11 052 11 033 69773 66845 7 360 9 059 6 065 8 045 8 021 66845 64124 3 336 3 046 1 111 5 348 8 015 64124 61479 5 033 3 130 5 198 5 276 11 321 61479 58719 8 272 7 284 5 244 8 267 11 266 58719 55856 17 258 14 274 12 265 16 275 16 281 55856 53121 24 248 26 270 30 267 30 273 29 282 53121 50667 28 247 34 260 38 272 38 275 42 282 50667 48467 37 245 43 255 46 273 44 275 49 280 48467 46459 44 240 48 252 49 270 47 276 53 277 46459 44603 47 235 49 248 50 266 49 271 51 273 44603 42877 48 231 49 242 51 256 49 266 48 272 42877 41264 48 227 51 235 50 247 49 261 44 274 41264 39750 47 225 51 227 47 239 47 257 44 271 39750 38326 43 222 46 217 45 227 44 249 44 268 38326 36946 36 216 40 206 46 211 41 232 48 265 36946 35541 30 208 36 197 46 199 42 213 49 257 35541 34086 28 205 35 192 47 196 46 200 46 241 34086 32594 29 210 35 193 46 199 48 194 46 218 32594 31051 29 209 35 194 45 198 50 193 52 207 31051 29432 26 203 35 191 41 192 52 195 52 203 29432 27730 26 196 36 187 39 180 49 199 46 199 27730 25942 28 194 36 184 38 178 40 199 39 195 25942 24070 26 191 34 185 37 186 33 189 34 192 24070 22119 24 185 29 193 34 193 29 179 29 188 22119 20080 22 184 25 200 30 195 28 177 29 179 20080 17949 19 183 24 199 24 193 26 177 35 175 17949 15767 18 178 20 197 20 191 24 176 37 172 15767 13654 16 171 14 192 15 191 19 181 31 181 13654 11727 13 176 7 187 8 173 11 186 18 192 11727 10009 8 195 7 183 7 175 8 172 3 140 10009 8480 1 139 4 199 7 198 7 183 1 139 8480 7117 1 340 1 265 2 164 6 208 3 252 7117 5904 7 011 2 354 2 072 5 234 4 264 5904 4830 8 002 3 026 3 055 2 267 3 310 4830 3885 9 005 4 036 3 047 1 004 2 336 3885 3051 10 006 5 030 4 032 1 020 2 322 3051 2305 10 002 7 019 5*008 3 352 3 322 2305 1649 13 003 10 007 5*355 4 345 4 344 1649 1102 15 006 10*356 5 353 4*343 4 005 1102 684 12 003 7*346 5 354 4*342 3 021 684 396 6 338 7 347 5 355 4 342 2 022 396 223 4 306 6 347 4 353 4 342 1 305 223 123 3*303 5 348 4 354 3 343 1*273 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography