DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 45.6 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 88 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 930 - - 2092 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 103 - - 800 - - - - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1033 - - 2196 - - - - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 886 - - 3437 - - - - - 379 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 243 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 24 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 354 - - - - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 519 - - 597 - - - - - -1232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 514 - - 1599 - - - - - 1353 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 374 - - -488 - - - - - -3483 ODpotential blCL - - - 659 - - 2684 - - - - - 3604 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 120 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 45.6 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 38.9 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 45.1 - - - - - 44.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 37.7 - - - - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 85 - - 88 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 930 - - 2092 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 80 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96796 26 119 17 119 19 099 96796 89612 17 108 15 103 12 097 89612 84028 13 083 14 101 13 089 84028 79362 12 072 12 106 10 089 79362 75317 7 059 10 074 6 058 75317 71736 7 031 3 210 6 039 71736 68485 10 013 6 150 3 317 68485 65476 13 340 5 329 5 255 65476 62673 16 296 18 300 6 308 62673 59944 18 294 21 280 20 297 59944 57078 17 306 17 288 25 292 57078 54081 22 324 28 314 22 289 54081 51208 38 308 35 316 31 315 51208 48627 43 301 41 312 44 321 48627 46325 48 304 43 312 51 323 46325 44234 49 307 48 309 56 317 44234 42316 49 310 50 309 57 316 42316 40549 55 310 54 312 60 321 40549 38915 62 306 59 313 60 325 38915 37394 59 300 61 310 60 328 37394 35969 49 299 57 307 60 331 35969 34602 47 309 52 309 64 335 34602 33228 53 308 52 316 69 338 33228 31824 51 304 52 318 76 338 31824 30387 46 309 51 323 78 339 30387 28898 47 312 51 325 79 342 28898 27340 45 309 47 327 81 343 27340 25710 36 308 42 327 80 342 25710 24005 29 305 32 326 75 340 24005 22225 20 286 13 311 69 340 22225 20376 11 241 5 194 63 341 20376 18450 11 201 2 006 58 346 18450 16444 10 203 14 341 51 344 16444 14408 3 209 16 339 29 336 14408 12455 4 302 21 339 14 346 12455 10684 11 301 30 344 16 350 10684 9111 24 326 27 347 18 357 9111 7719 34 339 32 336 25 001 7719 6482 40 344 35 333 28 007 6482 5383 42 345 36 333 31 007 5383 4409 42 346 35 336 33 002 4409 3551 38 346 33 340 31 356 3551 2792 32 344 31*345 28 352 2792 2114 25 343 28*351 25 348 2114 1515 17*347 26 354 22 344 1515 1016 13*354 25 355 18 338 1016 633 12 358 24 356 14 327 633 370 11 359 22 356 11 311 370 211 10 359 20 357 9*298 211 121 9 000 15 357 5*288 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography