DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 84.5 - - 88.5 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 183 - - 17 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1045 - - 1354 - - 1137 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 485 - - 676 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1151 - - 1460 - - 1245 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 348 - - 762 - - 1584 - - 258 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 264 - - 144 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 113 - - 151 - - 152 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2831 - - -5352 - - -7213 - - -4705 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3982 - - 6812 - - 8458 - - 4829 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12749 - - -12372 - - -14121 - - -10882 ODpotential blCL - - - 13900 - - 13832 - - 15366 - - 11006 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 39 - - 26 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 84.5 - - 88.5 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.2 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 83.3 - - 88.5 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 54.1 - - 50.9 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 183 - - 17 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1045 - - 1354 - - 1137 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99517 29 118 26 110 23 101 28 109 99517 91937 25 110 25 098 28 108 27 106 91937 86125 27 099 23 106 25 103 24 098 86125 81315 22 107 20 114 20 101 23 093 81315 77169 19 119 19 112 18 105 22 091 77169 73514 20 115 17 108 18 105 18 102 73514 70236 16 114 15 114 11 114 15 100 70236 67238 12 134 12 138 9 116 10 093 67238 64457 10 140 13 164 9 167 5 126 64457 61774 8 148 11 164 8 160 5 173 61774 58989 16 226 16 240 14 260 10 270 58989 56118 22 210 29 229 31 244 28 252 56118 53395 17 251 29 237 37 247 37 248 53395 50944 46 256 49 251 46 249 41 247 50944 48737 57 249 56 249 53 262 46 261 48737 46722 65 256 70 256 71 263 66 268 46722 44869 76 254 83 253 84 257 83 262 44869 43141 84 251 87 251 89 251 86 257 43141 41514 85 250 85 253 85 253 83 257 41514 39977 80 252 77 257 78 255 76 259 39977 38532 70 257 68 261 68 257 67 261 38532 37142 59 259 62 262 59 262 59 265 37142 35739 52 261 55 262 52 266 50 268 35739 34289 49 262 49 264 46 269 44 267 34289 32793 46 258 46 267 39 273 41 267 32793 31231 39 258 41 267 30 276 37 271 31231 29588 32 262 33 266 27 277 28 273 29588 27863 28 267 26 268 25 275 25 277 27863 26052 22 271 21 272 22 273 23 277 26052 24158 18 271 18 272 18 271 20 272 24158 22183 17 255 17 263 16 265 19 266 22183 20119 18 246 19 253 18 256 21 263 20119 17958 20 248 21 251 22 254 22 265 17958 15747 20 251 20 254 21 259 20 268 15747 13613 16 252 16 257 15 265 14 273 13613 11673 11 254 10 259 8 271 8 277 11673 9953 7 275 6 275 4 316 3 291 9953 8427 6 288 5 304 7 350 4 027 8427 7072 5 270 6 320 9 328 6 034 7072 5869 2 258 7 316 10 293 4 314 5869 4803 1 041 5 299 9 272 8 269 4803 3865 4 047 4 265 7 247 9 253 3865 3036 7 042 3 219 7 219 10 236 3036 2295 5 048 4 185 8 183 11 217 2295 1641 1*049 5*166 10*164 12 199 1641 1097 1*114 5*155 11*154 14 181 1097 681 1 117 5 152 10 153 14 165 681 395 1 112 5 150 10 152 13 153 395 222 1 112 5 148 9 151 9*146 222 124 1 108 5 148 7 150 5*135 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography