DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 68.9 - - 77.6 - - 79.1 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 203 - - 281 - - 82 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 205 - - 1409 - - 3333 - - 2892 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 708 - - 2226 - - 1181 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 310 - - 1515 - - 3439 - - 2998 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 767 - - 1140 - - 1648 - - 2981 - - 1709 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 266 - - 395 - - 251 - - 4 W* B/S 5 - - 26 - - 65 - - 45 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 052 - - 072 - - 252 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -7 - - -19 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1350 - - -2095 - - -2820 - - -3726 - - -4307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1660 - - 3610 - - 6259 - - 6724 - - 4430 sfcLCL ODpotential -5607 - - -5110 - - -4497 - - -5361 - - -7886 ODpotential blCL 5917 - - 6625 - - 7936 - - 8359 - - 8008 blCL maxRH 80 - - 90 - - 89 - - 85 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 30 - - 160 - - 100 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 68.9 - - 77.6 - - 79.1 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.7 - - 53.5 - - 50.5 - - 50.0 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.4 - - 67.5 - - 75.8 - - 78.3 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.6 - - 53.2 - - 50.2 - - 49.7 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 203 - - 281 - - 82 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 205 - - 1409 - - 3333 - - 2892 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 19 - - 61 - - 56 - - 39 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98597 2 075 4 296 4 260 9 258 10 313 98597 91256 5 135 1 267 3 060 2 207 4 050 91256 85582 5 102 5 130 4 101 5 112 6 098 85582 80864 7 103 8 130 5 101 3 096 6 105 80864 76792 10 111 9 117 8 123 5 126 8 114 76792 73188 8 087 12 100 11 152 9 133 6 120 73188 69916 7 105 8 117 13 141 8 132 4 131 69916 66888 7 118 8 152 5 143 5 123 3 093 66888 64067 2 200 4 128 2 084 4 154 2 175 64067 61321 6 233 5 264 4 290 5 311 3 153 61321 58452 4 257 6 273 5 257 10 286 4 313 58452 55487 11 305 7 305 7 276 7 286 6 305 55487 52659 16 304 9 307 8 283 7 312 7 287 52659 50105 18 294 12 302 9 287 9 308 5 307 50105 47812 20 290 13 300 9 283 10 290 8 345 47812 45729 20 289 14 290 10 272 10 292 15 335 45729 43816 22 287 16 273 8 281 11 292 14 318 43816 42043 26 281 17 265 9 280 8 269 8 324 42043 40393 30 272 18 262 8 261 5 240 6 357 40393 38853 29 265 18 256 7 252 6 218 10 031 38853 37413 27 262 19 245 8 250 7 171 14 033 37413 36029 27 255 19 239 8 232 7 115 17 032 36029 34630 33 245 18 235 9 214 6 073 18 048 34630 33196 42 240 22 224 11 193 5 109 22 055 33196 31735 44 237 30 212 12 184 5 133 23 071 31735 30226 30 232 33 203 15 187 13 132 25 092 30226 28643 24 232 24 199 20 182 15 117 25 098 28643 26979 20 225 18 191 18 172 14 107 25 097 26979 25230 16 222 16 182 16 165 16 116 22 096 25230 23395 17 227 15 183 20 147 18 124 21 095 23395 21480 17 228 18 184 15 130 16 123 21 097 21480 19481 16 222 17 181 14 128 13 113 20 101 19481 17391 18 223 15 191 13 135 14 103 18 102 17391 15262 16 220 10 210 11 131 20 106 14 141 15262 13213 13 210 9 181 10 128 23 117 11 140 13213 11347 11 191 12 167 10 128 21 123 13 093 11347 9682 12 171 16 162 9 120 16 126 18 088 9682 8199 14 164 16 150 8 116 13 134 20 093 8199 6879 12 146 13 137 9 138 11 142 19 101 6879 5706 10 113 9 115 6 132 9 140 17 106 5706 4669 8 089 7 087 1 084 5 138 14 109 4669 3755 8 060 7 057 1*042 1*161 9 108 3755 2951 9 048 8 036 1*053 1*266 5 103 2951 2233 7 032 7 018 1 069 1 265 2 119 2233 1599 6 006 5*015 1 072 1 252 2 162 1599 1071 2 357 2*041 1 073 1 251 4 183 1071 666 3 170 2 049 1 079 1 241 5 188 666 388 3*150 2 058 1 078 1 238 6 190 388 219 2*143 2 059 1 080 1 239 6 194 219 122 1 133 2 059 1 077 1 238 4*201 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography