DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 85.2 - - 86.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 155 - - 31 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1313 - - 2248 - - 1755 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 570 - - 1259 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1419 - - 2355 - - 1862 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 860 - - 2630 - - 3618 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 300 - - 185 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 27 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 157 - - 147 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -12 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4407 - - -6088 - - -6314 - - -3960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5826 - - 8444 - - 8177 - - 4083 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9198 - - -9730 - - -9578 - - -7357 ODpotential blCL - - - 10617 - - 12085 - - 11440 - - 7480 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 64 - - 49 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.0 - - 85.2 - - 86.3 - - 78.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 48.6 - - 50.9 - - 60.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 84.1 - - 86.2 - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 47.4 - - 49.6 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 155 - - 31 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1313 - - 2248 - - 1755 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99270 31 101 32 121 24 125 23 105 99270 91705 25 112 23 120 23 115 19 091 91705 85912 26 118 20 117 19 111 23 087 85912 81114 23 110 22 112 20 117 18 092 81114 76987 16 110 20 110 23 107 18 111 76987 73339 13 133 16 108 22 099 21 115 73339 70027 17 122 12 118 12 111 15 106 70027 66976 9 128 8 131 7 125 13 107 66976 64138 4 176 5 164 4 134 7 112 64138 61389 7 190 5 212 2 344 5 114 61389 58525 6 204 10 219 10 262 4 323 58525 55563 6 273 8 214 13 240 13 274 55563 52740 18 293 11 284 12 260 15 275 52740 50190 25 282 20 283 19 270 19 276 50190 47903 26 284 24 287 22 279 24 292 47903 45839 30 285 30 285 29 284 28 291 45839 43965 31 286 29 279 29 283 28 290 43965 42249 30 283 30 286 31 297 27 309 42249 40667 33 285 33 288 35 302 33 316 40667 39197 39 283 34 285 34 301 36 317 39197 37816 42 277 34 280 31 300 34 320 37816 36480 39 273 31 280 28 299 34 328 36480 35120 36 272 28 282 25 300 33 331 35120 33704 34 274 25 286 21 302 30 328 33704 32237 32 277 23 287 19 303 23 323 32237 30703 27 275 23 283 18 301 21 320 30703 29087 26 276 22 280 19 298 19 318 29087 27389 23 277 20 280 20 292 18 313 27389 25606 20 282 19 283 18 284 16 308 25606 23741 15 288 20 285 16 282 14 300 23741 21797 12 298 19 285 13 280 11 281 21797 19767 11 309 16 284 11 273 10 258 19767 17648 9 312 12 280 9 276 9 253 17648 15486 8 305 8 277 6 281 6 242 15486 13400 6 302 5 291 0 001 7 186 13400 11505 3 296 3 293 2 019 6 126 11505 9822 3 270 2 272 5 341 9 038 9822 8325 3 216 2 252 9 315 8 003 8325 6991 3 144 3 228 10 306 6 326 6991 5805 5 137 3 242 8 299 5 291 5805 4753 5 165 5 250 5 285 5 254 4753 3826 3 153 4 251 3 256 7 228 3826 3007 4 023 2*235 3 190 9 214 3007 2275 8 007 2*187 6*158 11 201 2275 1628 8*008 2 159 8*149 13 189 1628 1090 5*016 2 155 9 147 14 177 1090 677 4 019 2 151 9 146 14 167 677 393 4 022 2 149 8 146 13 158 393 221 4 024 2 150 8 145 10 152 221 123 3 023 2 151 7 146 5*145 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography