DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.1 - - 52.1 - - 64.5 - - 66.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 54 - - 93 - - 7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 431 - - 1056 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 535 - - 1161 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 341 - - 739 - - 2105 - - 121 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 117 - - 192 - - 21 - - 1 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 356 - - 351 - - 347 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -580 - - -2020 - - -3784 - - -4462 - - -1688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 700 - - 2556 - - 4946 - - 4584 - - 1810 sfcLCL ODpotential -13973 - - -13088 - - -12340 - - -11710 - - -12680 ODpotential blCL 14093 - - 13623 - - 13501 - - 11832 - - 12802 blCL maxRH 76 - - 68 - - 48 - - 43 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.1 - - 52.1 - - 64.5 - - 66.8 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 41.9 - - 43.9 - - 47.7 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.4 - - 51.6 - - 63.8 - - 67.5 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 41.1 - - 43.0 - - 46.8 - - 47.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 54 - - 93 - - 7 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 431 - - 1056 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96082 18 320 12 344 22 305 23 318 10 031 96082 89091 14 350 12 342 19 348 19 337 10 026 89091 83693 11 329 6 318 13 327 17 328 9 317 83693 79190 14 338 10 002 8 337 12 317 13 310 79190 75290 20 330 15 341 11 343 9 330 18 326 75290 71847 15 317 10 335 18 337 17 344 19 342 71847 68730 12 331 9 329 15 331 13 338 15 356 68730 65850 18 337 15 333 15 352 15 354 17 008 65850 63181 23 326 24 342 25 351 22 354 20 013 63181 60602 21 328 31 339 31 345 27 352 23 008 60602 57905 29 325 30 335 29 346 31 346 27 000 57905 55096 28 325 30 344 32 355 32 342 28 342 55096 52406 43 337 38 352 38 004 33 356 29 358 52406 49962 45 343 50 354 48 004 48 357 42 011 49962 47746 47 348 50 350 49 354 52 351 47 002 47746 45736 48 348 49 347 49 346 47 345 45 356 45736 43931 46 356 36 004 34 349 36 345 35 007 43931 42302 42 020 37 042 25 052 24 353 31 023 42302 40797 60 024 56 048 39 060 19 016 31 026 40797 39378 66 019 59 040 41 045 22 050 30 025 39378 38026 63 017 54 035 42 035 31 052 26 031 38026 36707 59 021 50 032 42 033 37 055 23 048 36707 35356 57 030 47 033 43 035 38 054 21 055 35356 33943 56 035 45 037 39 039 34 041 21 061 33943 32470 54 035 44 046 34 043 30 035 23 062 32470 30922 48 051 44 064 29 052 30 045 23 050 30922 29286 30 052 30 070 27 074 30 062 20 069 29286 27563 17 013 19 035 21 092 18 065 13 107 27563 25753 14 305 13 021 12 069 9 079 13 116 25753 23860 17 292 9 292 5 010 3 060 14 127 23860 21897 5 265 15 282 9 282 11 267 6 011 21897 19856 9 232 15 272 9 256 17 257 11 314 19856 17720 16 266 13 260 13 270 14 263 13 271 17720 15529 20 279 16 287 19 282 17 274 16 254 15529 13407 15 281 11 286 10 297 17 279 16 261 13407 11471 8 269 7 237 4 260 9 271 11 257 11471 9754 6 268 5 243 2 256 5 238 9 217 9754 8234 5 323 2 343 3 057 1 178 6 188 8234 6888 5 017 6 078 8 103 4 081 4 169 6888 5698 3 020 6 114 8 121 6 073 3 137 5698 4649 7 018 3 092 6 100 7 047 4 108 4649 3729 9 031 6 036 7 075 10 050 7 064 3729 2921 9 040 7 037 8 066 11 053 10 041 2921 2204 9 042 7 026 9 033 11 023 14 014 2204 1575 8 035 12 007 10*004 10 003 16 008 1575 1054 8 012 15 005 9*354 8 357 14 002 1054 655 11 353 12*002 7 350 7 354 10 352 655 381 10 343 7*356 6 350 6 351 7 340 381 216 7 326 6 356 6 349 5 348 5*317 216 122 5*320 5 356 5 350 4*347 4*310 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography