DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 87.2 - - - - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 140 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1074 - - 1675 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 438 - - 824 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1180 - - 1783 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 417 - - 1265 - - - - - 213 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 266 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 092 - - 143 - - - - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4052 - - -6093 - - - - - -4204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5233 - - 7876 - - - - - 4328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12345 - - -12373 - - - - - -11218 ODpotential blCL - - - 13525 - - 14156 - - - - - 11341 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 58 - - - - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 87.2 - - - - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 53.4 - - - - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 86.2 - - - - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 52.1 - - - - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 177 - - 140 - - - - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1074 - - 1675 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99646 37 108 34 115 31 108 99646 92095 30 099 33 109 25 108 92095 86286 34 111 30 112 26 112 86286 81478 29 110 28 119 28 097 81478 77329 21 119 29 113 22 104 77329 73667 19 118 17 112 19 106 73667 70365 19 117 15 127 16 104 70365 67336 16 118 11 135 10 110 67336 64538 14 097 24 146 12 170 64538 61837 11 167 10 164 14 151 61837 59018 18 186 12 185 12 151 59018 56096 29 188 34 201 16 201 56096 53310 35 189 40 193 33 211 53310 50820 35 194 45 204 52 209 50820 48603 47 209 60 209 57 205 48603 46592 59 215 68 214 65 212 46592 44745 73 217 71 212 71 215 44745 43030 76 217 72 215 76 220 43030 41428 77 220 77 217 82 220 41428 39922 77 221 78 216 82 219 39922 38501 75 220 76 214 78 217 38501 37126 72 219 73 213 72 216 37126 35730 70 219 68 214 68 215 35730 34278 68 219 64 214 64 214 34278 32772 66 216 63 214 63 215 32772 31197 62 214 61 213 62 215 31197 29541 56 213 59 212 59 216 29541 27805 51 211 55 213 52 215 27805 25992 47 208 50 211 47 212 25992 24099 43 203 45 211 46 211 24099 22127 40 205 36 206 41 212 22127 20069 35 211 30 200 30 199 20069 17920 25 212 23 204 24 192 17920 15724 20 211 18 198 20 180 15724 13604 20 207 17 187 16 168 13604 11670 19 215 17 193 15 162 11670 9948 18 222 14 200 16 179 9948 8417 15 213 13 195 16 184 8417 7058 14 192 14 188 12 181 7058 5854 17 185 16 193 7 179 5854 4789 18 188 15 208 4 188 4789 3852 16 199 14 216 5 203 3852 3026 11 219 13 211 8 202 3026 2288 4 246 10*188 11 198 2288 1637 1*034 9*153 14 192 1637 1095 1*092 9 143 16 182 1095 679 2 092 9 141 17 168 679 394 2 093 8 139 15 155 394 222 2 092 8 138 12 148 222 123 2 094 7 138 6*143 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography