DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 91.5 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 120 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1009 - - 1552 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 678 - - - - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1116 - - 1660 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 409 - - 690 - - - - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 250 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 13 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 086 - - 152 - - - - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3538 - - -5316 - - - - - -3394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4655 - - 6977 - - - - - 3518 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10177 - - -10509 - - - - - -9312 ODpotential blCL - - - 11293 - - 12169 - - - - - 9436 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 39 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 470 - - - - - 2060 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 91.5 - - - - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.4 - - 61.7 - - - - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.0 - - 90.7 - - - - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 60.4 - - - - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 120 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1009 - - 1552 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98877 27 115 28 107 20 087 98877 91364 18 105 19 098 21 096 91364 85613 20 101 15 098 22 084 85613 80864 23 096 15 093 24 079 80864 76786 23 090 17 102 20 070 76786 73205 24 092 19 105 21 078 73205 69975 20 083 19 096 22 076 69975 67010 15 085 18 082 17 066 67010 64265 18 085 15 082 15 062 64265 61614 16 067 14 069 13 045 61614 58852 12 041 14 056 11 050 58852 55978 12 013 14 028 12 036 55978 53230 11 356 9 023 11 039 53230 50759 9 351 12 046 13 054 50759 48546 14 010 18 032 19 060 48546 46540 17 007 17 046 24 068 46540 44711 13 056 26 060 34 084 44711 43031 27 069 35 067 47 087 43031 41469 39 063 42 071 57 086 41469 40004 37 062 45 073 63 084 40004 38618 34 071 46 073 65 083 38618 37271 39 077 44 073 62 082 37271 35893 43 075 43 075 53 084 35893 34457 42 071 43 074 48 084 34457 32966 37 070 41 070 41 085 32966 31405 34 076 36 069 36 086 31405 29760 31 083 28 073 32 088 29760 28032 26 080 24 084 26 091 28032 26218 22 074 23 086 22 089 26218 24318 19 073 21 088 21 090 24318 22337 17 080 18 097 17 099 22337 20269 15 092 16 105 14 098 20269 18108 11 098 11 115 11 094 18108 15900 5 042 6 133 8 099 15900 13768 1 322 2 089 6 100 13768 11824 5 063 4 066 6 065 11824 10092 9 044 6 067 8 031 10092 8550 11 078 7 079 10 021 8550 7176 10 093 6 073 11 018 7176 5954 8 095 4 039 11 017 5954 4873 8 072 6 015 9 016 4873 3920 11 040 8 009 6 006 3920 3079 15 020 8 008 4 316 3079 2328 17 012 4*012 4 262 2328 1665 13*013 2*152 5 212 1665 1113 3*041 4 154 9 179 1113 690 2 095 4 151 12 161 690 400 2 099 4 150 12 148 400 224 2 102 4 148 10 142 224 124 2 103 3 148 5*131 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography