DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 69.9 - - - - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 76 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3649 - - 6449 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2481 - - 3650 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3755 - - 6555 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2714 - - 1862 - - - - - 5732 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 413 - - 321 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 63 - - 17 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 231 - - - - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 10 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1988 - - 198 - - - - - -2083 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5743 - - 6358 - - - - - 2205 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3038 - - 101 - - - - - -2888 ODpotential blCL - - - 6793 - - 6454 - - - - - 3010 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 20 - - - - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.0 - - 69.9 - - - - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 42.2 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 69.2 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 41.7 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 291 - - 76 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3649 - - 6449 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 101 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98687 13 119 10 096 15 102 98687 91207 21 141 10 099 7 085 91207 85455 12 117 11 116 8 105 85455 80697 10 127 12 136 12 099 80697 76585 12 113 10 125 10 074 76585 72946 9 121 8 111 8 085 72946 69659 10 150 6 144 9 112 69659 66631 13 136 9 178 9 140 66631 63807 5 124 10 170 7 166 63807 61052 3 075 7 148 2 142 61052 58171 4 042 5 129 2 335 58171 55176 12 017 1 021 5 131 55176 52310 14 009 4 114 8 059 52310 49737 16 360 13 052 6 001 49737 47433 12 004 13 027 3 097 47433 45344 16 022 13 022 17 052 45344 43434 14 032 15 008 20 029 43434 41665 17 044 10 005 19 018 41665 40011 26 040 14 050 15 018 40011 38460 30 035 16 049 20 040 38460 37006 36 040 34 054 31 040 37006 35614 45 040 47 045 39 038 35614 34215 47 031 55 039 42 037 34215 32791 41 033 58 036 61 042 32791 31342 42 049 63 038 89 039 31342 29833 57 046 71 037 92 026 29833 28247 67 039 70 034 82 020 28247 26581 64 040 60 034 80 023 26581 24833 58 043 49 029 75 028 24833 23005 51 049 45 029 71 030 23005 21101 45 054 39 037 72 046 21101 19121 39 057 33 048 39 054 19121 17061 24 042 28 054 23 037 17061 14955 24 034 27 055 19 026 14955 12929 16 025 16 036 11 024 12929 11089 17 335 14 334 6 360 11089 9453 16 337 13 302 1 005 9453 8003 14 347 11 271 1 189 8003 6716 14 349 9*266 2 301 6716 5575 13 354 8*258 5 290 5575 4566 10*355 6 248 7 270 4566 3676 5*352 4 232 8 263 3676 2891 4 353 3 222 7 263 2891 2189 1 104 3 212 6 267 2189 1569 2 119 2 202 6 276 1569 1052 2 124 2 194 5 283 1052 655 3 127 2 187 5 291 655 382 3 127 2 184 4 299 382 217 3 127 2 184 3 313 217 122 3 128 2 183 2*322 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography