DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 79.2 - - 81.1 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 276 - - 67 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1129 - - 3136 - - 2458 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 346 - - 2075 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1235 - - 3242 - - 2565 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 882 - - 2326 - - 4885 - - 415 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 228 - - 386 - - 225 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 56 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 164 - - 150 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -11 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5597 - - -5799 - - -7217 - - -3892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6832 - - 9042 - - 9782 - - 4015 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10637 - - -9218 - - -9425 - - -7871 ODpotential blCL - - - 11872 - - 12460 - - 11990 - - 7994 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 69 - - 85 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 79.2 - - 81.1 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 39.9 - - 38.4 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 77.4 - - 80.4 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 39.3 - - 37.8 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 276 - - 67 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1129 - - 3136 - - 2458 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98405 3 131 7 121 8 213 6 296 98405 91034 10 147 5 146 5 109 9 149 91034 85333 1 120 7 151 3 180 3 072 85333 80604 1 183 6 028 6 123 1 026 80604 76556 3 116 7 005 9 059 3 012 76556 72994 4 106 5 302 6 019 7 027 72994 69769 5 168 9 253 7 302 4 315 69769 66793 2 298 9 221 9 258 5 278 66793 64018 12 278 13 250 14 267 11 274 64018 61316 14 258 18 243 20 246 18 267 61316 58505 16 263 17 256 18 261 22 261 58505 55591 29 266 26 262 24 270 24 267 55591 52812 32 262 28 263 28 275 32 276 52812 50313 40 267 37 267 34 269 37 267 50313 48061 47 263 41 267 38 266 34 267 48061 46000 50 260 46 265 44 268 38 276 46000 44097 54 257 52 260 51 266 45 276 44097 42325 57 253 55 253 55 264 50 269 42325 40665 58 250 56 249 57 259 51 261 40665 39102 60 249 55 247 57 255 49 258 39102 37632 61 246 54 246 55 254 48 259 37632 36215 61 242 54 245 51 254 43 262 36215 34785 61 236 55 241 48 253 40 262 34785 33313 61 232 58 237 48 248 37 259 33313 31807 62 227 59 234 48 244 35 256 31807 30248 62 221 60 232 50 240 34 251 30248 28621 61 219 61 231 52 234 33 248 28621 26925 58 218 61 229 52 231 31 245 26925 25157 55 219 56 229 47 229 29 241 25157 23318 51 221 48 224 40 222 28 234 23318 21409 45 224 45 218 36 218 26 227 21409 19425 37 227 39 219 33 222 22 228 19425 17356 29 226 31 221 26 213 18 226 17356 15245 23 229 23 220 21 207 19 214 15245 13204 19 235 18 215 16 214 16 215 13204 11339 18 225 16 208 8 222 9 225 11339 9676 20 195 15 210 5 269 1 324 9676 8196 17 169 10 228 9 277 6 048 8196 6878 13 190 9 272 12 262 6 034 6878 5707 10 227 9 280 12 253 2 360 5707 4671 5 219 8 267 10 233 2 244 4671 3759 5 191 6*241 9 205 4 224 3759 2953 5 188 5*193 9*176 6 222 2953 2234 2 196 5 174 11*157 7 224 2234 1599 1*353 6 162 12 151 10 220 1599 1070 1*056 6 158 12 149 12 209 1070 665 1 088 6 156 11 149 12 192 665 387 1 090 6 155 11 148 11 177 387 218 1 098 6 154 10 148 8*169 218 123 1 097 5 154 9 147 4*163 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography