DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 56.5 - - 60.4 - - 59.6 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 50 - - 42 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 595 - - 2185 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 700 - - 2291 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 218 - - 2762 - - 4502 - - 4761 - - 1651 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 130 - - 194 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 168 - - 174 - - 176 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -222 - - -567 - - 423 - - -1677 - - -774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 343 - - 1267 - - 1868 - - 1800 - - 896 sfcLCL ODpotential -3506 - - -1723 - - -113 - - -2196 - - -2161 ODpotential blCL 3627 - - 2423 - - 2404 - - 2318 - - 2283 blCL maxRH 89 - - 89 - - 98 - - 81 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 90 - - 180 - - 90 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 56.5 - - 60.4 - - 59.6 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 51.4 - - 52.7 - - 52.2 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 56.0 - - 60.2 - - 60.4 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.0 - - 50.6 - - 51.8 - - 51.7 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 50 - - 42 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 595 - - 2185 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 55 - - 55 - - 91 - - 24 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96299 21 290 24 295 25 284 30 270 32 287 96299 89179 20 306 14 291 15 274 21 272 23 290 89179 83738 8 296 16 294 15 293 7 266 16 298 83738 79227 9 297 10 284 17 295 6 309 7 280 79227 75302 10 309 7 226 10 294 8 295 5 229 75302 71800 13 309 4 226 11 270 12 283 9 286 71800 68632 14 316 3 262 14 257 16 257 17 281 68632 65745 22 320 12 336 7 267 11 235 9 257 65745 63067 24 302 19 323 6 309 12 278 13 276 63067 60453 23 303 24 305 16 289 19 285 18 265 60453 57728 27 318 27 310 25 282 23 288 26 269 57728 54919 47 314 34 304 27 279 28 277 31 267 54919 52238 49 290 35 299 33 300 38 278 35 268 52238 49805 32 327 41 301 42 297 43 276 39 267 49805 47608 50 324 54 301 53 293 46 281 41 268 47608 45601 77 310 57 293 58 290 54 286 46 272 45601 43756 74 300 55 288 60 286 61 283 57 273 43756 42053 63 310 58 300 62 284 63 279 69 269 42053 40472 76 317 67 303 63 282 60 277 72 266 40472 38996 84 313 71 304 64 282 58 276 71 269 38996 37608 81 308 72 303 65 283 58 275 72 270 37608 36264 78 306 68 301 64 284 63 274 72 265 36264 34893 75 305 63 301 64 284 65 275 70 264 34893 33465 71 305 61 302 61 286 63 277 67 268 33465 31984 69 304 59 302 57 288 59 278 63 270 31984 30433 68 303 56 303 57 287 56 280 59 271 30433 28798 64 305 56 305 56 287 56 282 58 274 28798 27082 60 309 56 306 52 287 55 282 58 278 27082 25285 58 311 51 306 47 285 52 282 57 277 25285 23408 54 313 45 302 43 283 49 283 56 274 23408 21450 48 312 40 300 43 289 48 284 56 271 21450 19410 45 310 38 302 42 296 46 282 51 268 19410 17281 42 310 35 308 38 296 40 279 43 266 17281 15109 35 309 30 308 32 293 33 276 37 259 15109 13021 25 304 25 296 25 288 28 268 31 250 13021 11131 16 294 23 280 20 277 22 260 28 245 11131 9461 11 261 17 257 17 256 17 243 25 239 9461 7988 10 230 16 224 15 219 21 224 21 224 7988 6690 7 226 14 226 16 205 19 217 19 208 6690 5547 6 221 14 225 16 209 15 207 18 207 5547 4539 5 216 12 222 15 210 15 201 19 202 4539 3652 5 213 10 215 14 207 14 195 18 203 3652 2870 5 214 10 202 14*198 15 190 17 204 2870 2172 5 217 10 188 13*184 14 187 16 205 2172 1556 6 215 11 181 13 175 14 185 15 205 1556 1042 7 209 11*181 13 172 14 183 14 202 1042 649 9 204 9*177 12 170 13 181 12 198 649 379 9 197 7 166 12 170 11 179 10 190 379 215 6*189 6 165 11 168 9*177 8*183 215 122 3*168 6 163 9 168 7*176 4*176 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography