DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 94.9 - - 95.5 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 191 - - 5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 685 - - 1681 - - 1271 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 884 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 791 - - 1788 - - 1379 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 582 - - 5686 - - 11480 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 278 - - 89 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 042 - - 163 - - 178 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -9 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9926 - - -10184 - - -10533 - - -8265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10717 - - 11973 - - 11913 - - 8388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14989 - - -12425 - - -12029 - - -13108 ODpotential blCL - - - 15780 - - 14213 - - 13408 - - 13231 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 58 - - 56 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 94.9 - - 95.5 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 42.4 - - 43.2 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 93.3 - - 95.6 - - 83.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 41.9 - - 42.7 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 191 - - 5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 685 - - 1681 - - 1271 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97876 9 108 7 008 6 031 6 024 97876 90611 13 092 7 118 3 031 8 051 90611 84973 12 071 11 114 5 177 8 038 84973 80287 12 058 10 081 5 057 10 041 80287 76265 13 036 10 041 9 036 11 019 76265 72727 14 015 14 018 13 026 11 001 72727 69525 13 354 16 345 14 350 17 346 69525 66581 13 334 20 336 18 336 15 338 66581 63845 20 330 24 321 20 327 17 332 63845 61204 22 327 23 328 24 333 24 336 61204 58471 30 325 27 325 31 326 21 318 58471 55631 32 316 30 328 31 326 29 342 55631 52919 34 324 31 326 43 331 45 340 52919 50477 35 324 37 329 40 329 48 332 50477 48275 35 314 41 335 43 348 44 331 48275 46260 37 305 43 338 56 353 43 338 46260 44400 39 292 41 332 61 351 51 344 44400 42667 42 287 37 318 52 347 59 342 42667 41043 40 282 36 307 37 337 59 337 41043 39514 37 281 31 297 38 321 48 332 39514 38075 34 283 32 288 35 309 39 320 38075 36686 34 275 29 287 28 287 38 312 36686 35284 32 267 29 282 29 277 35 307 35284 33838 30 265 29 277 28 280 30 293 33838 32343 28 268 25 277 26 281 27 282 32343 30785 25 270 21 278 23 281 28 280 30785 29152 21 272 19 279 20 281 26 275 29152 27440 18 274 18 279 19 278 24 275 27440 25644 14 278 16 279 18 272 22 276 25644 23769 12 279 14 273 16 269 23 274 23769 21817 12 271 14 268 15 269 22 273 21817 19786 12 268 13 264 13 269 18 270 19786 17670 11 267 11 257 10 253 14 258 17670 15518 10 243 10 246 11 235 15 236 15518 13448 14 183 13 221 15 229 17 224 13448 11562 14 172 12 208 11 240 14 222 11562 9880 7 171 8 220 10 258 11 227 9880 8377 3 276 6 258 11 269 10 222 8377 7037 5 314 9 279 11 269 7 221 7037 5843 7 327 10 286 11 268 7 243 5843 4784 7 349 9 283 11 262 10 262 4784 3850 6 013 6 274 10 252 14 274 3850 3026 4 031 3 242 9 234 17 279 3026 2288 2 047 4*191 9 210 18 280 2288 1637 1 300 5*173 10*191 19 278 1637 1094 2*318 5 164 10*182 19 276 1094 679 1*002 5 162 10 179 16 272 679 394 1 041 5 159 9 177 11 255 394 221 1 061 5 158 9 176 6 237 221 123 1 054 5 158 7 174 4*211 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography