DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 91.4 - - 93.2 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 151 - - 1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1072 - - 1444 - - 1051 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 444 - - 680 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1178 - - 1552 - - 1158 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 381 - - 1566 - - 2347 - - 496 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 257 - - 120 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 102 - - 143 - - 146 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4082 - - -7189 - - -7848 - - -6094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5260 - - 8741 - - 9007 - - 6219 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13025 - - -13789 - - -14171 - - -12841 ODpotential blCL - - - 14203 - - 15341 - - 15329 - - 12965 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 28 - - 24 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 91.4 - - 93.2 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 53.9 - - 54.5 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 90.4 - - 93.5 - - 88.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 52.5 - - 53.2 - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 183 - - 151 - - 1 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1072 - - 1444 - - 1051 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99452 36 117 30 105 35 103 34 091 99452 91953 32 106 30 102 32 108 27 091 91953 86191 28 103 29 107 26 108 27 105 86191 81401 24 122 23 107 21 094 26 104 81401 77271 24 110 18 115 18 087 22 096 77271 73623 18 099 17 114 19 104 17 109 73623 70325 14 117 15 125 13 103 14 105 70325 67302 13 123 10 137 7 111 11 108 67302 64522 7 140 9 138 13 134 10 129 64522 61841 12 172 13 178 6 157 11 119 61841 59048 17 191 20 182 16 199 11 200 59048 56169 22 200 25 200 23 206 23 213 56169 53442 24 210 33 210 30 217 30 223 53442 50999 37 233 42 223 40 225 37 228 50999 48809 53 232 51 229 50 225 47 226 48809 46815 61 226 58 225 58 220 58 222 46815 44980 66 225 63 223 63 220 62 220 44980 43276 71 220 69 223 67 222 64 222 43276 41681 74 217 74 220 72 221 69 223 41681 40180 73 218 74 218 75 220 72 222 40180 38763 73 219 73 218 74 219 73 220 38763 37388 73 219 70 220 71 219 72 220 37388 35986 70 220 67 219 66 221 69 222 35986 34526 65 226 62 222 61 222 63 222 34526 33014 61 230 57 223 57 223 58 223 33014 31432 57 228 55 222 54 221 55 224 31432 29767 55 225 53 223 49 223 51 224 29767 28021 49 228 49 226 45 224 45 224 28021 26191 44 232 45 229 41 223 42 224 26191 24278 39 226 41 225 38 221 40 223 24278 22285 38 217 38 222 36 221 37 223 22285 20208 38 214 38 219 36 219 36 220 20208 18037 36 214 38 216 35 218 33 217 18037 15820 35 214 35 215 32 215 29 216 15820 13682 33 216 32 216 30 214 27 215 13682 11734 28 217 28 214 27 214 25 213 11734 10001 24 215 24 212 23 211 22 210 10001 8461 19 216 19 213 18 211 18 211 8461 7095 14 219 15 222 14 225 14 217 7095 5884 9 223 12 239 14 241 9 221 5884 4815 7 224 12 245 15 240 7 217 4815 3874 5 228 12 241 13 229 6 228 3874 3044 3 231 10 228 12 212 8 246 3044 2303 2 236 8 200 12 186 10 254 2303 1648 0*299 8*156 14*162 12 253 1648 1103 1*107 9*145 14*149 12 244 1103 685 1 102 8 143 14 146 10 229 685 397 1 102 8 142 13 144 8 206 397 223 1 098 8 142 12 143 6*191 223 124 1 102 7 141 9 142 4*181 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography