DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 91.1 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 114 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1080 - - 1786 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 374 - - 828 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1187 - - 1893 - - - - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 471 - - 1470 - - - - - 349 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 259 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 148 - - - - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -9 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3149 - - -5373 - - - - - -4463 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4336 - - 7267 - - - - - 4587 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9004 - - -9885 - - - - - -9432 ODpotential blCL - - - 10191 - - 11778 - - - - - 9556 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 55 - - - - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 380 - - - - - 1310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 91.1 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.3 - - 59.9 - - - - - 65.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.7 - - 90.2 - - - - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 58.5 - - - - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 154 - - 114 - - - - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1080 - - 1786 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98906 25 107 27 100 27 093 98906 91392 21 108 20 103 19 090 91392 85655 26 113 11 099 19 092 85655 80920 20 111 8 115 26 087 80920 76839 20 117 8 101 21 080 76839 73238 20 096 10 091 15 083 73238 69990 14 082 13 095 14 070 69990 67009 10 086 13 089 11 067 67009 64253 11 068 9 083 10 073 64253 61588 6 059 7 062 13 062 61588 58804 5 082 6 073 11 020 58804 55914 4 330 3 354 9 338 55914 53150 9 313 9 322 11 307 53150 50652 16 305 16 310 13 311 50652 48407 21 294 21 302 16 307 48407 46368 24 285 23 295 17 305 46368 44508 23 282 23 293 18 304 44508 42804 22 286 22 292 15 305 42804 41231 20 290 18 301 13 307 41231 39762 19 296 18 310 12 310 39762 38380 17 303 19 309 10 322 38380 37042 17 311 19 305 8 003 37042 35679 17 316 17 307 11 043 35679 34259 16 323 15 312 15 056 34259 32785 13 328 14 316 16 064 32785 31239 11 336 12 318 16 066 31239 29607 9 000 10 333 16 065 29607 27887 9 018 9 355 14 067 27887 26081 9 041 6 019 12 073 26081 24190 12 066 6 084 11 064 24190 22217 10 055 9 084 8 062 22217 20155 7 091 11 070 7 059 20155 17997 12 094 10 104 7 091 17997 15795 8 065 11 124 17 136 15795 13674 6 147 13 152 20 145 13674 11742 14 140 12 133 14 140 11742 10019 13 129 8 116 11 105 10019 8486 11 122 5 125 9 079 8486 7122 6 103 2 151 9 034 7122 5911 2 043 1 281 9 021 5911 4838 2 033 4 271 5 343 4838 3893 2 028 6 268 5 269 3893 3060 5 010 4 270 7 253 3060 2313 8 008 2*212 10 252 2313 1655 6*359 3*162 12 249 1655 1107 2*344 4 150 14 239 1107 687 2 348 4 146 13 226 687 399 2 351 4 142 11 210 399 224 1 354 4 142 8*192 224 124 1 357 4 141 5*180 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography