DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.8 - - 58.7 - - 55.3 - - 56.4 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -39 - - -1 - - 22 - - -21 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 120 - - 1041 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 225 - - 1146 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2059 - - 3147 - - 2024 - - 5905 - - 1228 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 41 - - 135 - - 17 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 19 - - 15 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 184 - - 248 - - 215 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -16 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -509 - - -649 - - -690 - - -1309 - - -984 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 631 - - 875 - - 1836 - - 1431 - - 1105 sfcLCL ODpotential -1714 - - -1314 - - -2600 - - -2268 - - -3171 ODpotential blCL 1836 - - 1539 - - 3746 - - 2390 - - 3292 blCL maxRH 94 - - 96 - - 100 - - 68 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 240 - - 10 - - 330 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 56.8 - - 58.7 - - 55.3 - - 56.4 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.1 - - 54.9 - - 47.4 - - 50.3 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 58.9 - - 55.1 - - 57.7 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 54.3 - - 46.1 - - 49.1 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -39 - - -1 - - 22 - - -21 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 120 - - 1041 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 78 - - 86 - - 100 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96273 36 292 29 302 24 297 35 279 36 298 96273 89168 23 306 19 307 17 299 22 286 23 299 89168 83684 19 304 12 296 12 306 16 317 14 317 83684 79113 16 295 17 272 14 281 13 327 14 309 79113 75169 21 284 15 283 18 300 10 352 10 335 75169 71675 17 276 15 290 26 279 17 291 19 314 71675 68505 9 296 13 261 16 249 17 299 19 304 68505 65585 19 300 2 272 19 286 20 305 9 323 65585 62850 34 285 29 287 31 278 31 281 24 305 62850 60189 31 278 29 270 25 302 37 282 31 309 60189 57413 31 284 28 295 31 306 35 291 41 311 57413 54517 43 279 46 288 50 282 37 301 48 303 54517 51738 60 276 51 272 49 280 52 303 50 307 51738 49226 61 273 41 268 49 292 65 305 61 309 49226 46974 60 274 44 288 60 297 75 303 70 307 46974 44931 61 276 53 291 70 294 77 299 75 304 44931 43057 65 280 57 286 74 288 75 295 76 301 43057 41319 71 278 63 282 73 285 73 295 73 302 41319 39695 68 273 68 280 71 285 74 299 72 310 39695 38174 56 269 70 280 72 285 82 302 90 320 38174 36748 58 278 73 279 73 283 93 302 120 320 36748 35377 79 285 78 276 74 282 97 298 138 312 35377 33988 100 282 82 272 73 281 90 290 142 304 33988 32551 98 275 80 269 72 281 85 287 124 303 32551 31066 80 266 66 264 71 280 83 290 107 305 31066 29521 74 262 48 246 68 278 85 295 105 307 29521 27904 75 263 49 223 61 272 86 298 112 310 27904 26213 70 257 55 219 51 256 82 298 117 311 26213 24446 66 247 57 222 50 237 67 294 112 310 24446 22609 63 240 60 226 57 230 44 277 92 309 22609 20713 62 231 61 227 65 227 42 259 60 299 20713 18755 62 224 59 227 69 226 42 257 45 281 18755 16722 61 221 52 229 58 227 33 265 43 281 16722 14657 58 216 48 231 44 223 26 265 32 286 14657 12681 54 216 46 224 38 221 31 249 16 279 12681 10887 49 216 45 212 37 221 34 239 16 280 10887 9289 45 212 44 206 35 217 31 249 20 285 9289 7869 46 206 46 208 31 221 35 265 22 293 7869 6605 48 202 50 209 28 232 34 274 23 303 6605 5483 46 201 51 210 25 251 31 276 24 307 5483 4490 42 198 50 210 25 270 30 274 26 307 4490 3614 40 196 48 210 26 277 28 272 27 303 3614 2842 38 194 46 208 25 274 26 269 27 299 2842 2151 37 191 42 204 24 269 24 265 25 295 2151 1541 35 186 37 198 22*261 21 259 23 289 1541 1033 33 181 33 192 19*253 18 251 20 277 1033 643 30 178 30 189 16 249 15 241 17 266 643 376 24 175 26*186 14 246 12 228 13 249 376 214 21*174 23*185 13 245 9*221 10 238 214 121 14*173 17 184 10 243 7*215 6*227 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography