DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 75.3 - - 78.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 325 - - 134 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1758 - - 5391 - - 4594 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 736 - - 3868 - - 2799 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1864 - - 5496 - - 4701 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2588 - - 1801 - - 3509 - - 735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 488 - - 347 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 30 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 201 - - 155 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -23 - - -16 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -29 - - -468 - - -2456 - - -4638 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1893 - - 5964 - - 7157 - - 4761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -131 - - -2773 - - -4593 - - -6592 ODpotential blCL - - - 1995 - - 8269 - - 9294 - - 6714 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 70 - - 69 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 75.3 - - 78.0 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.9 - - 49.5 - - 46.9 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 73.3 - - 76.9 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 48.8 - - 46.3 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 325 - - 134 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1758 - - 5391 - - 4594 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98974 8 151 1 216 5 134 7 117 98974 91556 10 108 7 126 5 118 7 088 91556 85822 14 104 9 116 8 110 6 077 85822 81067 14 098 10 128 11 101 9 110 81067 76965 14 090 14 120 11 106 10 113 76965 73329 8 085 10 114 9 111 10 103 73329 70027 10 140 9 123 5 120 6 094 70027 66976 9 147 8 136 6 166 8 161 66976 64136 9 206 6 219 8 214 11 191 64136 61382 14 189 17 211 14 244 12 233 61382 58523 11 239 19 210 21 235 21 239 58523 55574 21 262 20 248 23 236 26 247 55574 52766 32 250 33 255 32 250 34 248 52766 50233 36 246 37 251 39 251 39 247 50233 47958 38 256 37 254 43 252 45 251 47958 45901 47 263 44 255 48 256 52 255 45901 44025 54 259 53 252 58 257 59 255 44025 42294 60 256 60 251 65 255 67 253 42294 40684 67 255 64 251 71 252 73 249 40684 39179 73 254 69 251 76 250 77 248 39179 37768 76 253 74 251 78 249 79 248 37768 36408 77 254 77 250 78 248 79 249 36408 35030 78 256 77 251 75 248 76 248 35030 33603 78 255 75 254 71 253 72 249 33603 32123 75 253 74 254 72 256 70 253 32123 30573 70 251 73 251 73 255 69 254 30573 28941 68 254 72 252 71 254 68 253 28941 27227 66 254 70 255 69 254 66 252 27227 25429 64 257 68 255 67 254 64 252 25429 23548 61 254 64 251 65 254 61 253 23548 21589 61 251 62 253 59 258 49 260 21589 19552 54 259 50 261 41 263 35 264 19552 17433 37 260 33 259 28 266 27 262 17433 15274 30 255 26 262 22 259 21 257 15274 13197 25 261 22 268 18 259 16 253 13197 11313 18 269 15 271 12 259 12 237 11313 9641 12 268 8 246 8 243 10 214 9641 8160 9 258 9 240 11 248 5 227 8160 6849 8 256 10 251 11 246 6 254 6849 5687 6 253 8*248 10*241 7 226 5687 4657 4 254 7*242 7*226 9 212 4657 3749 2 275 5 227 5 198 11 204 3749 2947 1 005 3 212 5 157 11 197 2947 2230 2*030 3 181 5 140 12 187 2230 1597 2*045 3 166 5 133 12 175 1597 1069 2 060 3 157 6 129 12 165 1069 665 2 071 3 151 6 128 13 157 665 387 2 079 3 147 6 127 12 152 387 219 2 078 3 146 6 125 9 149 219 122 2 081 2 147 5 126 6*148 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography