DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 71.5 - - 81.2 - - 84.4 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 170 - - 233 - - 60 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1085 - - 2850 - - 3145 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 384 - - 1811 - - 1136 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 1191 - - 2957 - - 3252 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 761 - - 2202 - - 3597 - - 321 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 232 - - 357 - - 242 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 24 - - 21 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 197 - - 004 - - 179 - - 182 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -14 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2986 - - -4599 - - -6592 - - -6741 - - -6475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3108 - - 5791 - - 9549 - - 9993 - - 6598 sfcLCL ODpotential -15227 - - -12299 - - -14315 - - -12830 - - -13784 ODpotential blCL 15349 - - 13490 - - 17272 - - 16082 - - 13906 blCL maxRH 43 - - 77 - - 83 - - 87 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 71.5 - - 81.2 - - 84.4 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 47.0 - - 39.9 - - 41.1 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 70.3 - - 79.5 - - 83.8 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 46.3 - - 38.9 - - 40.2 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 170 - - 233 - - 60 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1085 - - 2850 - - 3145 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 8 - - 32 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96520 23 291 23 295 38 281 31 300 27 291 96520 89420 14 331 9 290 29 270 25 297 19 314 89420 83956 17 306 7 297 17 276 19 292 16 316 83956 79412 10 288 8 278 14 286 18 290 16 310 79412 75491 10 311 10 285 15 276 16 284 13 309 75491 72022 21 290 14 299 11 286 14 296 10 317 72022 68894 16 282 15 292 14 291 13 288 13 292 68894 66032 17 296 15 290 15 276 16 272 18 273 66032 63380 34 303 22 297 20 281 24 273 24 286 63380 60816 47 299 28 298 27 282 26 276 26 289 60816 58141 51 290 36 302 33 288 29 285 30 287 58141 55355 52 287 48 301 41 299 35 291 35 281 55355 52681 53 294 57 302 48 300 44 295 38 290 52681 50258 60 304 61 301 50 297 49 294 44 293 50258 48072 65 298 65 296 56 300 51 299 45 291 48072 46084 63 286 62 289 59 295 59 300 48 294 46084 44274 43 280 55 284 54 288 59 292 55 290 44274 42612 45 323 48 302 47 292 45 285 49 280 42612 41067 63 333 56 319 43 301 34 288 36 273 41067 39618 70 325 59 317 46 297 35 288 34 274 39618 38247 68 314 57 308 50 294 41 286 36 278 38247 36912 58 302 54 303 54 294 49 285 37 281 36912 35543 57 295 56 295 56 291 53 286 40 279 35543 34113 58 295 57 293 56 290 54 287 49 284 34113 32624 55 295 54 291 54 288 52 285 56 283 32624 31061 50 293 53 288 52 284 51 283 61 281 31061 29408 47 289 52 287 53 283 52 281 60 283 29408 27668 47 289 52 286 55 281 51 283 55 285 27668 25841 49 290 51 282 49 275 50 286 50 281 25841 23934 47 286 48 280 45 275 47 284 46 279 23934 21950 43 286 46 281 46 279 44 280 44 280 21950 19881 41 287 46 281 46 283 41 281 43 278 19881 17723 38 283 44 283 39 283 40 280 43 273 17723 15525 42 284 41 284 34 280 39 278 42 271 15525 13406 41 289 40 284 35 283 37 278 39 274 13406 11481 35 292 40 287 36 289 34 285 33 281 11481 9774 28 293 38 291 35 295 31 296 28 290 9774 8264 22 295 33 294 33 298 27 302 21 300 8264 6929 18 304 26 298 28 300 20 296 12 311 6929 5747 15 317 17 302 19 298 14 280 6 318 5747 4703 13 325 11 305 10 279 11 258 3 290 4703 3783 12 327 6 304 7*251 9*244 2 272 3783 2972 11 325 4 300 5*230 7*220 4 299 2972 2247 10 321 4 310 4 203 7 192 9 300 2247 1608 10 315 4*309 3 168 7 177 14 291 1608 1076 10 306 2*333 3 161 7 172 18 281 1076 668 10 293 2 002 3 154 7 169 19 273 668 388 8 277 2 018 3 152 6 168 15 262 388 219 4*251 2 023 3 149 6 166 11 251 219 122 1*197 2 028 3 149 5 166 6*240 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography