DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/24 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 91.3 - - - - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 250 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1192 - - 2170 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 559 - - 1341 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1298 - - 2277 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 848 - - 2106 - - - - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 334 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 150 - - - - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6650 - - -7430 - - - - - -9009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7948 - - 9707 - - - - - 9132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12694 - - -11631 - - - - - -15292 ODpotential blCL - - - 13992 - - 13908 - - - - - 15415 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 79 - - - - - 18 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 150 - - - - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 91.3 - - - - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 49.4 - - - - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 89.7 - - - - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 48.4 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 250 - - - - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1192 - - 2170 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 15 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99305 24 115 24 127 12 093 99305 91862 14 102 24 096 16 098 91862 86109 13 091 18 092 17 099 86109 81312 14 123 12 099 15 101 81312 77165 16 124 9 124 12 095 77165 73500 13 120 9 130 11 093 73500 70183 9 117 9 144 7 103 70183 67142 8 124 8 157 4 163 67142 64341 6 141 11 170 13 169 64341 61638 11 175 13 199 9 161 61638 58806 14 189 17 197 15 215 58806 55859 19 211 21 217 25 232 55859 53057 26 221 29 221 32 235 53057 50556 31 233 34 223 34 241 50556 48329 34 237 34 235 45 243 48329 46322 36 238 41 243 52 244 46322 44492 40 240 47 245 54 244 44492 42803 40 244 46 248 54 245 42803 41230 41 247 45 253 55 247 41230 39755 41 246 46 256 57 249 39755 38361 35 236 45 257 58 251 38361 37008 28 231 40 256 53 251 37008 35632 26 235 35 247 46 251 35632 34205 27 235 31 238 42 248 34205 32724 31 233 30 236 36 242 32724 31172 32 232 30 239 31 240 31172 29535 31 234 31 237 29 239 29535 27813 30 232 31 236 29 239 27813 26006 30 226 30 236 27 238 26006 24117 30 219 30 229 25 230 24117 22145 30 218 30 219 25 223 22145 20086 29 218 28 218 26 220 20086 17935 30 214 27 214 25 215 17935 15737 28 210 26 211 24 209 15737 13615 25 207 25 207 23 202 13615 11681 24 205 23 208 21 200 11681 9957 23 205 22 209 18 201 9957 8424 22 207 20 210 16 204 8424 7063 21 207 19 211 15 205 7063 5857 19 207 18 215 13 206 5857 4792 17 211 15 218 10 207 4792 3854 14 218 14 214 9 212 3854 3028 9 220 12 202 9 223 3028 2290 5 212 11*184 11 236 2290 1638 3*181 11*161 14 240 1638 1096 4*155 11 152 16 235 1096 680 4 148 11 148 15 228 680 395 4 142 10 146 13 214 395 222 4 140 10 145 10 199 222 123 3 139 9 144 6*191 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography