DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 58.8 - - 69.7 - - 72.4 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 53 - - 84 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 370 - - 1021 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 475 - - 1127 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 500 - - 722 - - 2233 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 112 - - 180 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 339 - - 347 - - 345 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4706 - - -5756 - - -8299 - - -10135 - - -6734 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4828 - - 6231 - - 9426 - - 10257 - - 6856 sfcLCL ODpotential -18882 - - -17565 - - -17750 - - -18481 - - -17582 ODpotential blCL 19003 - - 18040 - - 18877 - - 18603 - - 17704 blCL maxRH 29 - - 36 - - 47 - - 17 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 58.8 - - 69.7 - - 72.4 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.5 - - 32.9 - - 29.6 - - 28.6 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 58.4 - - 69.0 - - 73.9 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 31.9 - - 28.7 - - 27.5 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 53 - - 84 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 370 - - 1021 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96158 41 299 34 288 38 291 36 290 47 284 96158 89220 20 304 22 294 23 288 25 293 25 293 89220 83829 7 307 11 301 14 277 15 295 12 290 83829 79326 6 291 3 314 13 272 7 320 7 274 79326 75428 7 296 4 291 14 262 8 298 11 288 75428 71973 8 306 6 274 13 261 11 280 13 297 71973 68837 11 310 11 301 12 281 10 291 11 293 68837 65946 11 312 9 312 11 307 14 295 14 307 65946 63268 14 328 10 328 8 294 16 289 23 297 63268 60681 13 319 8 314 5 326 17 262 16 287 60681 57985 21 346 17 329 14 330 17 288 20 290 57985 55182 32 340 21 323 22 318 19 297 21 289 55182 52505 37 343 29 330 24 336 31 312 29 300 52505 50100 38 343 36 337 32 336 31 310 30 294 50100 47941 37 350 32 345 32 337 31 316 30 301 47941 45976 41 354 40 350 41 332 41 319 38 307 45976 44171 44 355 46 343 45 327 49 320 43 313 44171 42500 50 356 45 339 43 325 51 321 49 321 42500 40944 54 358 42 341 38 328 47 319 49 325 40944 39483 52 358 41 343 36 333 40 318 43 324 39483 38102 47 357 37 340 35 335 38 322 41 324 38102 36761 42 355 36 339 33 333 39 325 41 322 36761 35391 40 349 35 340 33 332 39 325 40 320 35391 33962 39 343 33 337 28 335 37 325 36 321 33962 32479 38 341 30 334 25 337 33 326 31 326 32479 30928 32 338 27 328 26 328 24 326 27 330 30928 29292 27 337 27 318 25 316 19 327 22 322 29292 27570 24 332 28 311 27 298 21 319 20 320 27570 25761 21 328 24 313 24 295 23 308 21 330 25761 23873 18 338 18 315 22 308 22 308 21 337 23873 21910 17 348 17 315 22 314 21 314 20 336 21910 19864 20 351 19 320 21 318 21 322 17 331 19864 17721 25 352 21 329 20 324 20 329 16 332 17721 15527 27 354 21 338 18 332 18 335 14 339 15527 13409 25 357 17 345 15 339 14 350 11 343 13409 11482 20 000 12 356 11 353 11 008 7 003 11482 9770 15 006 10 355 9 005 8 025 5 021 9770 8251 11 003 10 353 9 010 8 040 5 031 8251 6904 9 356 9 357 10 015 9 043 8 050 6904 5713 9 004 7 004 9 017 9 041 8 058 5713 4663 9 016 7 009 8 013 9 030 8 045 4663 3742 8 027 7 007 8 006 9 009 11 012 3742 2933 8 029 8 009 9 001 12 353 15 004 2933 2214 9 017 9 007 10 357 12 347 13 000 2214 1582 12 007 11 001 9*351 9 346 9 354 1582 1058 15 009 10 359 7*348 6 348 3 347 1058 657 13 005 8*352 5 346 5 348 2 197 657 383 7 346 4*339 5 347 4 346 4 192 383 216 4 321 3 339 4 348 3 346 3*209 216 122 2*320 3 341 4 349 2*345 3*213 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography