DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.2 - - - - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 50 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2290 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 105 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 122 - - 2396 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2810 - - 2026 - - - - - 2138 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 210 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 14 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 167 - - - - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1642 - - 150 - - - - - -1866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1764 - - 2246 - - - - - 1988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2862 - - -784 - - - - - -4306 ODpotential blCL - - - 2984 - - 3180 - - - - - 4428 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 100 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 200 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.2 - - - - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 52.7 - - - - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 61.9 - - - - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 51.6 - - - - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 50 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2290 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 100 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96482 37 293 32 275 37 304 96482 89292 23 283 31 286 27 306 89292 83799 14 271 32 301 23 312 83799 79243 15 299 26 301 24 304 79243 75306 21 290 26 282 22 296 75306 71805 20 295 25 277 19 303 71805 68605 23 293 25 278 29 299 68605 65640 26 286 31 271 39 288 65640 62881 27 284 34 268 40 278 62881 60196 34 284 37 273 37 270 60196 57367 42 278 41 274 34 269 57367 54406 43 275 41 270 39 281 54406 51569 43 276 41 269 45 282 51569 49021 47 277 47 270 51 280 49021 46749 54 276 53 269 52 275 46749 44694 60 273 59 270 48 272 44694 42811 65 269 63 269 46 278 42811 41076 70 265 65 266 50 283 41076 39477 73 261 65 265 55 282 39477 37997 75 257 65 262 54 278 37997 36614 80 256 66 259 51 275 36614 35282 85 253 64 256 44 273 35282 33931 81 250 59 252 38 279 33931 32534 70 244 55 248 35 286 32534 31095 60 231 50 246 30 288 31095 29603 59 216 47 244 24 295 29603 28043 64 217 43 242 20 298 28043 26412 65 225 36 242 17 292 26412 24703 61 237 31 246 16 287 24703 22914 49 256 33 251 18 281 22914 21043 37 280 35 257 19 277 21043 19083 22 274 35 265 21 276 19083 17029 19 256 30 268 21 279 17029 14932 21 242 27 262 18 266 14932 12914 22 242 30 259 18 240 12914 11081 20 261 30 262 14 251 11081 9452 15 269 25 262 11 240 9452 8003 13 238 22 248 9 241 8003 6714 16 218 23 230 11 249 6714 5569 17 202 24 215 14 253 5569 4557 17 191 21 211 19 250 4557 3665 16 188 18 203 25 244 3665 2879 15 191 16*191 29 241 2879 2178 14 196 15*174 30 242 2178 1560 14 197 15 168 26 245 1560 1046 14 192 14 166 20 246 1046 651 13 187 14 164 15 243 651 380 11 183 13 163 10 234 380 215 10*179 12 162 6*218 215 122 7*176 10 161 3*149 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography