DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.7 - - 44.6 - - 50.8 - - 49.5 - - 41.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 52 - - 100 - - 8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 312 - - 882 - - 575 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 415 - - 987 - - 679 - - 120 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 800 - - 661 - - 333 - - 577 - - 364 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 102 - - 180 - - 68 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 107 - - 125 - - 166 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -51 - - -44 - - -320 - - -116 - - -223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 171 - - 459 - - 1307 - - 795 - - 343 sfcLCL ODpotential 0 - - 118 - - -10904 - - -10485 - - -13586 ODpotential blCL 120 - - 297 - - 11891 - - 11164 - - 13706 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.7 - - 44.6 - - 50.8 - - 49.5 - - 41.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.6 - - 43.4 - - 45.8 - - 46.7 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.6 - - 44.1 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.6 - - 43.2 - - 45.4 - - 46.5 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 52 - - 100 - - 8 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 312 - - 882 - - 575 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 77 - - 98 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96595 39 102 28 101 21 090 27 080 21 112 96595 89450 26 094 21 091 16 077 18 058 23 085 89450 83904 21 075 20 070 14 064 8 065 21 043 83904 79315 14 075 15 076 20 038 14 068 17 043 79315 75380 14 081 12 077 18 021 17 039 14 045 75380 71903 14 051 11 094 12 012 16 009 13 359 71903 68748 16 007 10 036 8 355 19 007 14 346 68748 65854 12 335 17 351 18 345 22 336 17 335 65854 63188 12 359 18 306 16 332 21 334 26 337 63188 60616 11 347 22 347 25 338 27 324 33 319 60616 57928 19 340 31 341 29 329 34 316 41 309 57928 55131 23 347 29 329 35 320 38 313 46 307 55131 52455 26 344 31 322 41 318 43 314 47 308 52455 50033 33 337 39 326 42 326 46 321 43 317 50033 47845 41 338 47 329 45 330 55 326 49 325 47845 45846 45 340 50 331 48 329 59 326 57 326 45846 44008 44 340 52 332 53 328 62 330 63 326 44008 42317 44 351 54 336 59 333 68 336 67 329 42317 40757 57 359 57 344 69 342 70 337 69 329 40757 39303 74 356 70 346 73 348 64 335 62 325 39303 37932 85 355 81 352 78 356 59 340 55 326 37932 36597 90 357 95 359 79 356 60 346 54 328 36597 35230 91 000 98 359 76 355 60 349 58 333 35230 33806 91 003 88 355 79 353 64 349 66 335 33806 32327 90 003 83 354 78 348 71 346 72 335 32327 30779 85 000 80 352 74 348 72 344 72 335 30779 29148 82 360 80 350 72 350 68 344 67 333 29148 27431 80 001 76 350 69 347 63 344 61 331 27431 25625 76 000 68 349 63 343 58 340 57 326 25625 23732 72 359 62 347 55 345 56 331 56 325 23732 21754 66 356 56 343 47 347 50 329 55 327 21754 19693 58 352 47 343 44 343 43 332 50 330 19693 17549 52 353 39 349 42 341 40 335 44 333 17549 15361 47 000 34 352 38 341 41 338 40 333 15361 13250 39 003 31 352 30 343 39 341 34 331 13250 11330 32 359 28 353 26 344 32 342 29 331 11330 9627 26 359 23 353 22 349 26 345 24 334 9627 8119 20 003 17 348 17 353 22 352 20 337 8119 6782 16 006 12 345 14 349 19 357 18 341 6782 5599 10 009 9 347 11 343 16 003 16 346 5599 4556 8 019 8 359 10 344 15 006 13 352 4556 3645 8 017 10 008 10 355 15 009 9 358 3645 2847 10 013 14 013 12 003 14 010 8 351 2847 2141 11 008 15 011 12 002 10 358 6 304 2141 1525 9 355 9 001 6 353 4 320 5 235 1525 1018 3 348 4 354 2*124 4*188 8 177 1018 633 3 156 2*105 4*126 5*169 12 162 633 370 4 155 2*108 4 125 5 166 12 156 370 211 4 154 2 106 4 125 5 165 9 150 211 120 3*153 2 107 4 124 4 163 4*140 120 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography