DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.4 - - 56.3 - - 58.7 - - 58.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - -26 - - -14 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 122 - - 122 - - 122 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 802 - - 831 - - 2228 - - 1984 - - 1517 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 165 - - 166 - - 174 - - 155 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -347 - - -640 - - -465 - - -321 - - -380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 468 - - 762 - - 587 - - 443 - - 501 sfcLCL ODpotential -2522 - - -3942 - - -1217 - - -1069 - - -2285 ODpotential blCL 2643 - - 4064 - - 1339 - - 1191 - - 2406 blCL maxRH 91 - - 82 - - 94 - - 94 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 54.4 - - 56.3 - - 58.7 - - 58.3 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 53.5 - - 56.5 - - 56.7 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.5 - - 57.5 - - 59.4 - - 58.9 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.7 - - 53.1 - - 56.2 - - 56.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - -26 - - -14 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 28 - - 76 - - 75 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96502 28 097 14 090 19 075 24 074 23 109 96502 89385 21 087 15 101 7 094 15 058 15 074 89385 83894 13 066 13 097 4 075 8 343 13 028 83894 79317 10 041 11 074 7 081 5 032 6 011 79317 75345 11 000 8 012 9 317 10 325 13 327 75345 71836 9 345 6 343 6 355 3 043 7 351 71836 68637 18 299 18 297 15 320 19 307 17 345 68637 65694 15 292 21 270 29 277 26 285 31 283 65694 63010 21 318 16 280 17 259 15 277 24 269 63010 60420 35 292 17 287 10 300 13 310 23 286 60420 57687 43 267 31 266 33 292 39 297 29 280 57687 54810 40 267 51 255 56 270 55 275 38 280 54810 52055 55 282 61 273 67 267 68 275 68 283 52055 49600 74 272 75 276 78 270 84 275 89 278 49600 47420 79 265 83 266 87 265 89 268 94 271 47420 45452 80 257 85 259 85 261 89 263 95 263 45452 43666 77 262 78 263 86 264 91 262 97 260 43666 42025 83 275 80 278 88 266 96 262 97 258 42025 40496 101 281 83 280 88 264 98 260 98 259 40496 39052 102 279 86 277 86 261 98 259 99 260 39052 37682 95 275 85 274 82 258 95 259 98 264 37682 36349 93 272 83 272 79 256 91 262 99 273 36349 34989 92 272 86 271 77 256 88 266 97 274 34989 33568 85 272 86 266 77 256 90 269 93 271 33568 32090 78 267 78 260 76 259 92 270 92 269 32090 30540 75 261 75 259 75 266 94 269 91 268 30540 28908 69 256 73 261 78 270 93 268 87 267 28908 27192 61 253 70 262 84 270 87 267 84 263 27192 25388 63 256 69 262 84 270 77 268 87 262 25388 23498 66 261 70 260 78 269 72 268 89 265 23498 21536 64 260 67 257 69 268 68 263 77 270 21536 19507 60 255 65 256 64 263 64 260 61 271 19507 17399 56 251 67 259 62 257 56 260 55 266 17399 15246 53 251 66 260 55 255 48 267 51 267 15246 13165 48 253 61 258 48 259 45 268 46 275 13165 11274 44 253 58 253 47 263 42 260 33 275 11274 9596 44 254 55 245 42 257 39 249 33 264 9596 8106 45 252 51 236 37 251 39 244 35 255 8106 6783 43 248 45 231 35 248 40 247 34 246 6783 5613 39 240 38 223 35 243 38 251 30 244 5613 4581 37 229 35 217 35 235 32 249 27 246 4581 3678 35 219 34 215 35 228 28 243 24 245 3678 2884 33 211 33 214 33 223 25 235 23 239 2884 2179 31 204 31 212 29 217 22 226 24 233 2179 1559 29 195 27 207 24 208 19 213 22 226 1559 1044 26 185 23 197 21 198 17 198 19 214 1044 650 23 180 20 189 18 190 15 180 16 200 650 379 17 171 15 176 14 181 14 167 14 183 379 215 14 168 13*171 12*177 12*160 12 178 215 121 9*165 8*166 9*174 9*155 8*175 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography