DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 86.6 - - 89.4 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 155 - - 7 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 1699 - - 1130 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 439 - - 859 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1230 - - 1806 - - 1237 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 592 - - 997 - - 1419 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 271 - - 128 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 45 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 132 - - 145 - - 135 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2998 - - -4754 - - -5465 - - -3672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4228 - - 6561 - - 6703 - - 3795 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11635 - - -11580 - - -11216 - - -10888 ODpotential blCL - - - 12865 - - 13386 - - 12453 - - 11011 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 58 - - 36 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 230 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.3 - - 86.6 - - 89.4 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 58.6 - - 60.7 - - 63.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 85.5 - - 89.5 - - 82.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 57.2 - - 59.4 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 168 - - 155 - - 7 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 1699 - - 1130 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99393 27 120 26 105 20 102 23 088 99393 91928 23 113 22 095 23 109 18 103 91928 86149 23 099 21 102 19 107 17 094 86149 81335 21 096 18 098 17 099 16 085 81335 77201 23 092 13 109 13 075 16 092 77201 73551 12 078 14 092 11 089 12 090 73551 70244 11 090 12 120 9 058 9 078 70244 67210 5 076 7 106 4 063 5 044 67210 64411 3 217 1 010 6 088 4 069 64411 61708 5 183 6 269 4 013 8 035 61708 58901 6 162 9 200 8 258 7 295 58901 56008 6 214 12 217 12 239 10 252 56008 53260 15 235 20 226 18 237 15 247 53260 50793 19 233 25 221 23 231 19 236 50793 48582 22 233 26 225 25 220 23 226 48582 46571 24 226 28 225 26 220 28 223 46571 44723 25 223 28 225 30 223 32 222 44723 43008 29 224 32 223 34 223 32 222 43008 41407 34 223 35 222 35 224 29 228 41407 39910 40 221 37 220 34 224 27 234 39910 38505 41 219 38 219 34 223 29 240 38505 37149 37 218 35 221 32 225 31 240 37149 35769 32 221 30 224 29 230 32 239 35769 34331 28 228 27 224 27 232 29 237 34331 32839 27 231 25 226 26 233 26 239 32839 31276 27 229 24 231 25 234 24 241 31276 29629 24 226 21 237 21 236 21 245 29629 27900 22 224 18 243 14 240 14 237 27900 26088 20 227 17 242 11 241 9 238 26088 24195 18 226 19 238 14 246 9 243 24195 22224 12 216 15 228 15 232 14 239 22224 20164 14 228 15 231 15 235 13 233 20164 18007 18 231 17 230 16 232 14 232 18007 15800 20 235 19 230 19 226 17 229 15800 13668 22 236 21 229 22 225 20 231 13668 11725 23 235 20 227 20 227 20 229 11725 9995 20 234 17 229 15 229 16 225 9995 8459 14 228 13 232 10 234 9 217 8459 7096 11 216 10 233 7 252 2 157 7096 5885 11 204 9 235 7 271 3 058 5885 4814 12 199 9 244 8 256 1 336 4814 3870 11 201 9 249 10 232 3 235 3870 3039 9 206 8 238 10 212 6 209 3039 2297 6 213 6*211 10 186 10 206 2297 1644 2*216 5*163 11*153 12 205 1644 1099 1*164 5 147 12*139 14 198 1099 681 1 138 5 142 12 136 15 184 681 395 1 120 5 138 11 134 13 167 395 222 1 112 5 137 10 133 10 157 222 123 1 111 5 135 8 132 5*148 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography