DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.9 - - 61.0 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 52 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 2652 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 105 - - 785 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 834 - - 2757 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1751 - - 1390 - - 3538 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 139 - - 232 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 355 - - 339 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -218 - - 480 - - -1812 - - -408 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1052 - - 2277 - - 1934 - - 530 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1294 - - -1403 - - -3182 - - -3410 ODpotential blCL - - - 2128 - - 4160 - - 3304 - - 3532 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 83 - - 71 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 270 - - 380 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 60.9 - - 61.0 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 51.5 - - 53.2 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 60.3 - - 61.6 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 50.2 - - 51.9 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 52 - - -8 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 2652 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 34 - - 0 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96579 29 074 30 076 35 100 27 090 96579 89534 32 086 24 085 27 088 31 083 89534 84056 25 078 19 091 20 087 26 082 84056 79461 19 084 18 097 15 095 16 089 79461 75466 15 086 13 090 12 100 14 108 75466 71914 11 073 10 082 9 128 8 078 71914 68703 6 037 2 048 5 159 5 011 68703 65748 2 356 4 273 6 226 4 308 65748 62992 7 269 7 286 7 278 4 324 62992 60309 9 234 6 249 9 281 6 291 60309 57493 4 279 10 299 7 266 10 288 57493 54558 8 319 13 294 16 299 15 296 54558 51755 11 332 13 304 16 290 19 325 51755 49239 10 333 9 334 18 326 25 332 49239 46985 14 346 20 353 21 331 26 339 46985 44932 18 003 23 350 18 346 25 333 44932 43046 22 006 23 002 24 345 31 339 43046 41308 26 020 30 001 27 339 35 343 41308 39705 35 022 31 003 30 339 36 351 39705 38222 37 024 34 015 30 352 43 355 38222 36843 46 024 43 017 35 004 47 355 36843 35525 57 022 51 009 39 011 50 351 35525 34197 65 025 52 012 47 009 38 359 34197 32824 70 027 53 023 42 017 33 007 32824 31401 72 029 54 030 42 024 32 015 31401 29906 72 032 54 034 46 020 34 012 29906 28327 67 036 55 033 45 022 36 011 28327 26664 61 036 55 034 44 026 37 017 26664 24915 56 038 51 030 44 022 38 019 24915 23086 44 038 48 030 43 021 39 015 23086 21178 26 040 41 036 37 028 37 021 21178 19190 18 043 29 040 31 034 30 023 19190 17119 17 043 17 043 25 035 23 026 17119 15007 13 052 13 049 19 032 18 027 15007 12971 9 053 10 059 14 032 17 032 12971 11122 8 079 8 066 11 046 16 039 11122 9480 9 104 5 084 11 054 13 049 9480 8023 10 116 5 105 9 045 9 060 8023 6729 9 114 5 111 7 028 8 055 6729 5580 7 102 4 102 7 015 9 041 5580 4564 5 090 4 058 8 008 10 030 4564 3670 4 058 7 022 9 006 11 016 3670 2882 6 039 10*003 11 359 14 008 2882 2180 11 015 10*357 11 351 15 004 2180 1561 15 004 10 355 10 346 15 357 1561 1046 14*357 10 354 10 342 13 351 1046 651 11*351 10 354 9 342 12 346 651 380 11 350 9 353 9 340 10 337 380 215 10 350 9 353 8*339 8*322 215 122 8 350 8 352 6*339 5*314 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography