DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 89.5 - - 90.7 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 124 - - 35 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1843 - - 3551 - - 2119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 808 - - 2118 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1950 - - 3659 - - 2227 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1576 - - 2508 - - 4282 - - 5274 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 332 - - 200 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 000 - - 344 - - 005 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -13 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4840 - - -5014 - - -6953 - - -6665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6790 - - 8673 - - 9181 - - 6789 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13162 - - -12467 - - -14211 - - -12503 ODpotential blCL - - - 15112 - - 16126 - - 16438 - - 12627 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 33 - - 26 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 89.5 - - 90.7 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 51.9 - - 50.9 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 88.6 - - 90.5 - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 50.7 - - 49.7 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 124 - - 35 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1843 - - 3551 - - 2119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98592 16 158 5 079 21 096 16 132 98592 91126 19 134 13 121 13 119 12 095 91126 85391 20 111 16 135 12 134 15 087 85391 80631 15 098 18 120 13 117 17 095 80631 76559 13 112 13 112 14 114 14 108 76559 72976 18 122 12 138 10 102 13 106 72976 69737 15 108 10 111 10 109 9 100 69737 66773 6 066 9 094 8 118 3 113 66773 64025 4 134 3 002 3 331 6 025 64025 61355 4 174 6 237 14 266 10 338 61355 58571 8 275 12 271 15 264 13 298 58571 55691 13 294 15 273 17 270 20 272 55691 52954 24 298 22 277 25 279 27 280 52954 50497 33 285 30 282 33 285 32 286 50497 48301 39 285 35 285 35 287 32 283 48301 46315 43 300 40 299 38 297 35 292 46315 44502 57 307 53 310 48 305 44 302 44502 42832 67 305 65 308 58 304 54 305 42832 41278 72 301 71 304 64 304 60 305 41278 39817 72 304 70 305 67 304 63 306 39817 38432 70 307 65 310 66 306 63 309 38432 37085 65 310 62 312 59 310 59 310 37085 35708 62 312 57 312 52 314 49 312 35708 34274 55 314 48 314 47 314 42 314 34274 32784 46 316 39 316 40 312 38 312 32784 31222 41 315 35 314 35 309 36 310 31222 29577 39 314 34 311 32 308 34 309 29577 27847 38 313 32 312 31 307 32 309 27847 26030 37 311 31 313 29 307 30 308 26030 24128 34 310 28 311 25 310 27 304 24128 22144 31 307 27 309 23 315 23 299 22144 20071 27 303 27 306 23 320 18 307 20071 17903 24 301 24 304 20 322 15 322 17903 15689 19 301 19 304 15 318 11 326 15689 13559 14 302 13 308 11 314 9 318 13559 11625 10 306 9 312 7 321 6 319 11625 9909 7 314 6 319 5 335 4 356 9909 8389 5 323 5 325 6 349 7 020 8389 7041 6 315 6 329 8 344 10 010 7041 5845 5 319 7 330 8 338 10 001 5845 4786 6 014 7 337 8 336 10 357 4786 3853 10 008 7*340 7 339 9 359 3853 3028 14 000 7*342 6 348 8 003 3028 2291 17*360 7 343 5*357 7 011 2291 1641 16*000 7 345 4*007 5 019 1641 1098 15 000 6 346 3 007 4 027 1098 682 14 000 6 345 3 005 3 031 682 397 13 001 6 346 3 003 2 022 397 223 12 000 6 345 3 003 1*005 223 124 10 360 5 344 3 002 1*350 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography