DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 60.5 - - 71.3 - - 71.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 74 - - 124 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 342 - - 1113 - - 148 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 447 - - 1219 - - 254 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 143 - - 474 - - 1605 - - 2522 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 120 - - 209 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 27 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 320 - - 355 - - 027 - - 123 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -4 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -831 - - -3419 - - -4883 - - -5807 - - -3650 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 952 - - 3866 - - 6102 - - 6062 - - 3772 sfcLCL ODpotential -11711 - - -10630 - - -9302 - - -9635 - - -9799 ODpotential blCL 11832 - - 11077 - - 10521 - - 9889 - - 9921 blCL maxRH 71 - - 61 - - 61 - - 57 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 60.5 - - 71.3 - - 71.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.6 - - 44.6 - - 45.3 - - 45.8 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 60.0 - - 70.4 - - 72.1 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 44.1 - - 44.9 - - 45.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 74 - - 124 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 342 - - 1113 - - 148 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96463 48 279 48 291 43 295 38 297 45 290 96463 89425 29 291 30 289 28 292 25 296 31 305 89425 83966 17 295 19 274 27 279 24 297 24 304 83966 79420 13 295 12 294 21 278 21 290 25 306 79420 75476 20 304 13 301 15 298 16 295 25 299 75476 71971 25 285 23 285 23 293 15 298 23 283 71971 68792 22 280 19 280 19 290 12 306 15 289 68792 65865 26 287 21 292 26 296 25 304 21 323 65865 63147 33 287 27 283 29 291 31 295 26 308 63147 60510 31 277 24 286 26 292 31 289 31 296 60510 57755 30 282 29 287 29 289 33 291 36 297 57755 54901 39 278 34 282 35 289 35 294 38 298 54901 52185 42 274 39 275 37 288 36 297 36 296 52185 49735 46 271 42 275 40 289 40 296 37 311 49735 47527 52 261 46 274 44 286 43 295 47 307 47527 45520 54 253 49 267 47 276 45 290 50 298 45520 43682 61 249 53 256 50 264 45 279 48 293 43682 41987 71 245 64 244 57 256 49 267 45 287 41987 40416 74 241 76 235 68 245 57 258 47 273 40416 38954 70 239 76 235 78 241 61 252 49 259 38954 37585 65 238 74 239 82 238 66 246 51 257 37585 36265 64 237 72 242 80 237 70 240 50 255 36265 34919 63 238 72 241 78 239 71 238 48 254 34919 33518 63 237 70 238 76 240 70 240 46 257 33518 32065 62 236 69 238 75 241 70 242 42 263 32065 30543 60 237 68 238 73 241 68 242 38 270 30543 28941 58 239 66 240 71 240 65 242 34 276 28941 27256 56 243 64 241 67 239 64 242 32 284 27256 25486 55 245 59 238 64 238 62 244 32 292 25486 23631 52 241 56 235 61 238 59 249 31 294 23631 21694 49 237 54 238 56 243 55 255 31 289 21694 19668 46 237 49 243 50 248 51 259 31 283 19668 17550 41 242 44 245 46 249 44 262 27 291 17550 15387 36 247 39 246 41 252 36 264 23 302 15387 13299 31 247 33 247 35 255 29 268 20 302 13299 11398 27 246 29 249 30 256 23 275 17 299 11398 9710 23 247 25 250 24 255 17 280 15 296 9710 8212 19 246 20 249 17 255 13 284 13 298 8212 6883 15 247 14 246 13 262 11 290 11 305 6883 5705 10 259 11 253 10 278 10 300 10 314 5705 4665 6 266 8 263 10 292 10 302 9 319 4665 3750 4 268 6 270 10 299 10 297 8 318 3750 2944 2 271 6 281 9 300 8 294 8 314 2944 2225 1 326 6 295 7 301 6 293 7 310 2225 1591 2 012 5 306 4*313 2 296 5 303 1591 1064 3 004 4 317 2*353 0 091 4 301 1064 661 5 003 4*338 2 029 1 116 3 299 661 385 6 003 3*349 1 039 1*120 3 293 385 217 3 341 3 357 1 039 1*125 3*287 217 122 1*320 3 358 1 041 1 122 3*283 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography