DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 57.8 - - 61.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 101 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 727 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 394 - - 832 - - 228 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 207 - - 506 - - 1599 - - 178 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 172 - - 43 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 010 - - 349 - - 006 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -430 - - -1649 - - -2898 - - -1119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 824 - - 2481 - - 3126 - - 1240 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8903 - - -6854 - - -7096 - - -8123 ODpotential blCL - - - 9297 - - 7686 - - 7324 - - 8244 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 73 - - 58 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 57.8 - - 61.7 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 47.7 - - 48.8 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 57.0 - - 62.1 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 46.8 - - 47.9 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 101 - - 8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 290 - - 727 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95496 48 287 53 294 43 297 52 289 95496 88629 26 291 36 287 32 312 36 300 88629 83294 16 303 24 275 28 312 26 304 83294 78851 14 306 14 284 23 307 21 305 78851 74992 14 298 13 284 18 298 17 303 74992 71536 11 289 8 289 19 279 14 308 71536 68378 16 265 15 301 19 280 18 300 68378 65470 22 259 18 283 20 275 20 292 65470 62768 23 249 23 275 22 271 20 273 62768 60124 24 255 28 275 31 276 26 290 60124 57350 39 261 45 269 43 269 40 271 57350 54476 54 256 51 261 50 269 43 274 54476 51742 57 250 56 257 59 268 52 273 51742 49292 50 247 60 254 61 265 53 267 49292 47082 49 249 58 253 56 263 49 263 47082 45057 53 253 55 252 54 264 50 269 45057 43195 61 253 54 255 56 262 58 272 43195 41487 62 248 55 256 55 258 59 261 41487 39918 64 247 58 257 45 254 51 252 39918 38466 70 248 67 249 39 261 39 255 38466 37106 79 245 75 241 44 265 33 265 37106 35792 76 236 77 240 54 256 36 292 35792 34458 75 228 75 236 65 241 38 268 34458 33078 76 224 72 229 67 239 48 268 33078 31650 77 223 71 226 68 239 49 265 31650 30155 75 228 70 228 60 238 44 255 30155 28578 69 232 62 235 56 244 39 259 28578 26919 57 233 53 249 50 248 35 266 26919 25176 45 248 49 250 47 246 32 266 25176 23349 47 255 46 252 44 251 32 263 23349 21440 47 253 44 259 40 260 32 265 21440 19441 39 251 41 261 34 264 33 264 19441 17349 35 254 34 257 32 266 30 268 17349 15209 31 254 31 254 30 270 27 277 15209 13141 29 264 27 265 26 278 24 285 13141 11257 23 266 20 276 18 285 18 285 11257 9583 19 256 13 269 10 276 9 267 9583 8098 16 266 12 265 9 263 8 262 8098 6783 11 271 10 271 9 274 6 283 6783 5619 8 265 7 273 6 285 5 320 5619 4590 7 293 5 293 6 306 7 348 4590 3687 7 319 6 334 7 327 10 356 3687 2892 6 330 6 004 6 344 12 354 2892 2184 4 332 6 006 7 353 13 353 2184 1561 2 326 6 355 7 355 14 356 1561 1045 2 336 5*346 7 360 14 360 1045 650 4*002 5*348 6 004 13 001 650 379 4*006 4 349 5*006 10 355 379 215 4 011 4 349 5*006 6 342 215 121 3 013 4 350 4 006 3*326 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography