DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 58.3 - - 65.6 - - 66.7 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 136 - - 214 - - 24 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1176 - - 2907 - - 3037 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 1799 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 1281 - - 3013 - - 3143 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 266 - - 879 - - 2294 - - 3222 - - 236 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 219 - - 344 - - 171 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 17 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 014 - - 009 - - 013 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -5 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -304 - - -2057 - - -1787 - - -2515 - - -2027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 425 - - 3338 - - 4800 - - 5659 - - 2149 sfcLCL ODpotential -11061 - - -8097 - - -3531 - - -4721 - - -5225 ODpotential blCL 11182 - - 9378 - - 6544 - - 7864 - - 5347 blCL maxRH 85 - - 83 - - 77 - - 63 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 58.3 - - 65.6 - - 66.7 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 44.3 - - 45.1 - - 42.4 - - 46.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.0 - - 57.3 - - 64.2 - - 66.5 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 43.9 - - 44.8 - - 42.2 - - 46.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 136 - - 214 - - 24 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1176 - - 2907 - - 3037 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 30 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97050 12 268 23 278 22 290 17 281 23 282 97050 89795 9 311 10 255 18 289 15 289 19 283 89795 84220 9 326 3 052 14 279 10 286 16 289 84220 79594 12 290 10 343 10 267 11 287 15 288 79594 75594 11 255 7 276 6 287 14 240 12 276 75594 72034 14 299 9 273 8 320 13 232 14 277 72034 68792 19 286 14 276 11 276 8 279 14 275 68792 65815 14 271 13 263 15 264 16 291 10 250 65815 63039 17 282 15 264 18 274 23 270 8 261 63039 60321 26 274 20 272 23 271 29 281 17 283 60321 57487 27 280 24 281 27 260 30 286 22 292 57487 54562 32 292 27 284 29 268 31 280 26 293 54562 51778 37 291 31 285 30 272 35 277 32 278 51778 49284 41 287 36 286 32 278 37 285 32 280 49284 47065 44 286 43 284 40 286 46 289 36 291 47065 45072 44 286 51 284 52 285 55 286 44 286 45072 43268 45 288 58 286 62 281 63 283 51 283 43268 41618 53 288 64 290 69 278 69 280 59 281 41618 40091 56 292 71 288 71 279 71 281 64 279 40091 38662 62 297 74 283 73 282 76 283 65 278 38662 37312 59 293 72 278 76 283 79 285 63 279 37312 36001 58 288 70 279 78 283 81 289 63 282 36001 34659 56 285 70 283 78 284 82 292 64 288 34659 33259 56 282 69 285 77 286 83 293 66 294 33259 31804 57 279 66 286 74 286 74 292 65 293 31804 30279 57 277 62 285 70 284 70 289 61 290 30279 28671 57 276 58 282 66 281 67 284 56 289 28671 26985 56 276 55 279 64 279 62 282 48 291 26985 25218 56 278 54 278 64 279 58 284 39 296 25218 23370 55 281 55 277 63 278 54 290 34 302 23370 21440 53 283 56 277 59 277 49 297 33 306 21440 19422 50 282 54 278 55 280 44 304 30 306 19422 17309 45 284 49 280 50 286 41 308 27 305 17309 15146 38 287 41 280 47 288 38 304 26 307 15146 13060 32 287 35 278 42 287 36 299 26 313 13060 11168 27 288 29 281 35 289 29 300 23 320 11168 9498 19 288 22 284 25 288 18 302 15 322 9498 8025 13 281 14 281 14 286 8 294 7 312 8025 6726 7 269 9 275 9 291 6 306 5 343 6726 5579 2 194 6 275 8 292 8 328 9 016 5579 4564 3 105 3 300 5 301 8 341 13 023 4564 3671 4 049 2 006 4*345 7*359 13 027 3671 2885 5 047 4 005 4*002 7*007 8 025 2885 2182 5 033 7 004 4 007 7 011 4 021 2182 1563 5 010 8*006 4 008 6 013 2 016 1563 1047 5 354 6*010 4 011 6 015 1 332 1047 651 4 351 6 014 3 013 6 015 2 241 651 380 3 350 5 015 3 014 5 016 4 239 380 215 2 345 5 016 3 012 5 016 5*245 215 122 1*026 5 017 3 012 5 015 5*243 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography