DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 74.6 - - 76.6 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 238 - - 17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2086 - - 3226 - - 1746 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1122 - - 2078 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2192 - - 3332 - - 1852 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1339 - - 1545 - - 2284 - - 118 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 369 - - 129 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 358 - - 339 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8319 - - -9450 - - -11923 - - -11171 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10512 - - 12783 - - 13776 - - 11294 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18991 - - -19258 - - -21610 - - -23527 ODpotential blCL - - - 21183 - - 22590 - - 23462 - - 23649 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 53 - - 44 - - 11 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 74.6 - - 76.6 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.7 - - 18.9 - - 16.6 - - 15.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 73.1 - - 76.4 - - 69.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 18.1 - - 15.7 - - 15.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 238 - - 17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2086 - - 3226 - - 1746 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97430 13 333 9 329 11 326 15 348 97430 90237 4 332 8 317 13 008 9 027 90237 84657 2 303 10 308 11 336 8 021 84657 80022 4 325 6 324 4 324 5 305 80022 76038 2 025 7 270 10 297 5 329 76038 72519 4 325 7 251 9 263 7 308 72519 69331 9 284 6 282 5 265 6 296 69331 66396 10 264 7 272 7 272 9 278 66396 63678 7 290 5 295 9 282 12 286 63678 61052 8 321 13 300 13 292 11 301 61052 58304 12 309 14 307 13 313 12 310 58304 55441 19 318 17 325 24 336 21 330 55441 52709 24 330 31 330 36 330 30 337 52709 50253 34 333 39 332 40 337 42 345 50253 48053 43 337 43 342 49 345 51 347 48053 46052 49 342 52 346 61 349 58 347 46052 44210 56 343 63 342 67 348 67 344 44210 42503 62 343 68 342 73 349 73 342 42503 40918 70 348 72 347 77 346 75 342 40918 39435 76 349 77 350 79 345 75 344 39435 38043 76 349 78 351 83 346 76 345 38043 36703 76 351 76 351 85 347 78 345 36703 35342 80 354 72 352 79 349 76 345 35342 33923 85 355 71 356 71 352 69 347 33923 32448 85 355 73 359 68 354 61 347 32448 30900 79 355 74 358 68 354 56 347 30900 29264 73 354 69 357 68 356 53 349 29264 27542 68 355 60 358 61 359 49 351 27542 25732 61 358 54 000 57 359 48 351 25732 23835 53 002 50 003 50 360 48 354 23835 21854 50 005 45 007 45 002 44 000 21854 19787 50 008 41 009 41 007 38 007 19787 17629 47 013 39 014 36 011 32 007 17629 15428 43 016 35 020 30 016 27 008 15428 13309 37 020 29 026 26 019 24 015 13309 11390 26 027 20 033 21 019 21 020 11390 9695 20 043 13 030 15 019 16 027 9695 8198 18 058 12 038 13 024 12 030 8198 6873 17 064 13 060 11 031 9 042 6873 5698 15 065 14 071 10 038 7 050 5698 4658 15 067 13 066 9 029 7 036 4658 3744 15 063 11*041 9 013 8 014 3744 2938 14*047 11*010 11 348 10 356 2938 2221 14*016 11 359 11*341 13 355 2221 1589 14 006 11 357 11*339 14 357 1589 1063 14 005 11 355 11 338 12 356 1063 661 14 005 11 355 10 339 11 352 661 384 13 005 11 354 10 338 9 342 384 217 12 005 10 354 9 338 6*319 217 122 11 004 9 353 8 338 5*311 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography