DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.6 - - 55.9 - - 61.8 - - - - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -49 - - -5 - - 9 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 672 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 122 - - 778 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 227 - - 823 - - 1016 - - - - - 509 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 23 - - 104 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 10 - - 17 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 353 - - 007 - - - - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -951 - - -1959 - - -1479 - - - - - -886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1072 - - 2081 - - 2257 - - - - - 1008 sfcLCL ODpotential -7550 - - -6611 - - -5452 - - - - - -5936 ODpotential blCL 7671 - - 6733 - - 6230 - - - - - 6058 blCL maxRH 68 - - 66 - - 66 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.6 - - 55.9 - - 61.8 - - - - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 47.4 - - 52.5 - - - - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.9 - - 56.2 - - 61.8 - - - - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 46.2 - - 51.2 - - - - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -49 - - -5 - - 9 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 672 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96536 15 089 21 093 13 096 8 103 96536 89502 26 090 19 109 14 092 19 101 89502 83996 22 100 19 097 18 118 10 098 83996 79399 19 128 14 092 19 122 10 078 79399 75440 17 121 11 120 7 121 10 100 75440 71939 13 100 16 127 6 146 6 140 71939 68746 5 102 13 133 7 173 6 118 68746 65790 6 167 5 116 6 170 4 136 65790 63043 9 119 5 172 3 203 6 234 63043 60367 5 093 10 111 2 218 6 167 60367 57582 3 281 9 050 3 021 4 055 57582 54718 8 125 5 072 7 017 10 038 54718 51997 20 082 12 070 9 015 22 028 51997 49552 23 066 16 044 13 033 24 014 49552 47350 29 071 25 051 26 057 21 019 47350 45344 43 065 38 057 35 055 21 052 45344 43528 54 055 45 056 44 048 42 037 43528 41886 61 052 52 050 53 039 59 042 41886 40366 68 050 62 049 62 042 66 044 40366 38931 75 044 79 051 73 048 68 040 38931 37569 88 039 98 047 78 048 66 045 37569 36245 100 040 105 044 84 045 62 047 36245 34897 106 041 102 045 92 044 57 049 34897 33495 106 044 96 046 92 046 57 048 33495 32037 104 046 94 048 86 047 58 040 32037 30505 98 049 94 052 81 049 60 033 30505 28886 89 055 91 056 80 054 59 034 28886 27181 83 058 83 053 78 059 53 042 27181 25391 60 056 77 046 73 052 50 041 25391 23516 33 032 73 051 73 044 52 034 23516 21556 30 014 61 051 67 046 53 036 21556 19505 31 026 50 037 56 047 51 045 19505 17364 33 038 46 035 50 042 47 053 17364 15190 31 053 42 047 40 053 37 063 15190 13114 34 071 34 053 29 057 22 090 13114 11239 36 071 25 060 23 049 17 101 11239 9573 30 072 22 066 17 060 13 084 9573 8096 25 075 17 070 15 085 12 057 8096 6786 25 077 19 106 15 101 11 048 6786 5625 27 077 26 108 16 104 11 060 5625 4599 29 077 28 104 16 089 12 058 4599 3696 30 076 23 093 16 069 12 047 3696 2900 29 072 18 070 17 045 14 042 2900 2190 26 065 18 032 21 017 19 031 2190 1566 21 044 22 013 23 010 23 018 1566 1047 27 012 23 003 23*008 21 009 1047 651 28 357 21 358 20*008 11 359 651 380 19 346 15 354 18 007 5 343 380 215 15*341 13*353 16 007 3*309 215 122 8*335 10*353 12 007 3*278 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography