DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.3 - - 87.1 - - 79.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 182 - - 48 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2933 - - 3280 - - 2975 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1803 - - 2065 - - 1046 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3040 - - 3387 - - 3083 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 720 - - 1064 - - 1499 - - 1968 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 356 - - 240 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 196 - - 212 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -848 - - -2223 - - -3154 - - -4029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3888 - - 5610 - - 6237 - - 4154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6567 - - -9358 - - -10585 - - -11131 ODpotential blCL - - - 9607 - - 12745 - - 13668 - - 11255 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 58 - - 50 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.3 - - 87.1 - - 79.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.5 - - 61.2 - - 60.3 - - 62.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 84.1 - - 86.7 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 59.8 - - 59.0 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 182 - - 48 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2933 - - 3280 - - 2975 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99483 33 108 31 102 35 114 34 108 99483 91936 27 120 24 112 27 099 32 101 91936 86136 26 114 25 123 20 096 30 102 86136 81356 32 106 23 111 20 109 23 111 81356 77233 28 099 27 111 21 114 23 114 77233 73581 17 103 24 110 22 112 19 106 73581 70285 16 106 21 119 20 126 17 110 70285 67271 14 124 18 109 18 133 14 116 67271 64491 17 138 16 138 15 130 11 125 64491 61815 12 169 16 174 15 162 14 154 61815 59033 12 175 22 185 19 187 16 180 59033 56146 16 208 27 202 18 203 12 213 56146 53400 25 205 32 195 28 210 24 205 53400 50948 25 215 32 205 33 220 28 226 50948 48757 36 216 40 213 42 226 35 225 48757 46754 41 208 46 213 48 219 41 237 46754 44907 44 209 50 210 49 219 55 237 44907 43200 50 211 51 211 55 222 56 228 43200 41613 53 211 52 216 56 221 51 225 41613 40124 52 212 52 216 54 222 50 226 40124 38719 50 211 50 214 52 228 51 232 38719 37357 46 209 47 217 52 233 52 238 37357 35968 41 209 48 224 52 234 53 238 35968 34521 37 215 49 228 54 235 54 238 34521 33018 37 222 44 228 54 237 49 238 33018 31442 36 223 39 225 49 235 44 232 31442 29778 38 221 36 224 46 227 42 228 29778 28025 39 223 38 225 43 226 41 226 28025 26185 37 224 38 234 39 223 40 224 26185 24261 35 217 30 233 31 226 34 222 24261 22252 36 213 36 214 26 214 31 217 22252 20155 31 211 35 216 32 219 32 223 20155 17970 28 206 27 207 28 219 25 223 17970 15743 27 200 28 197 24 205 21 210 15743 13595 27 194 28 196 24 206 22 210 13595 11643 27 192 26 200 21 205 18 209 11643 9916 26 191 23 203 18 202 17 197 9916 8388 25 183 18 201 15 200 17 191 8388 7033 24 175 16 198 14 200 16 191 7033 5832 23 178 17 198 13 206 14 201 5832 4771 21 187 16 203 11 213 10 202 4771 3838 17*200 14*204 11*221 7 206 3838 3015 13*201 13*202 11*218 8 235 3015 2281 13 197 13 200 11 215 11 251 2281 1633 12 192 13 197 12 213 14 249 1633 1093 12 188 13 195 11 210 14 243 1093 679 12 186 12 193 11 209 14 234 679 395 11 183 12 191 11 207 11 220 395 222 10 183 11 190 10 206 9*206 222 124 9 181 9 189 8 205 6*196 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography