DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.9 - - 77.2 - - 88.3 - - 90.8 - - 81.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 158 - - 138 - - -12 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 1084 - - 1402 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 374 - - 602 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 244 - - 1190 - - 1509 - - 124 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 358 - - 426 - - 813 - - 1878 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 231 - - 247 - - 29 - - 13 W* B/S 4 - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 162 - - 140 - - 132 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1585 - - -3403 - - -5247 - - -6979 - - -4182 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1829 - - 4593 - - 6756 - - 7103 - - 4307 sfcLCL ODpotential -13754 - - -12318 - - -11736 - - -12364 - - -11814 ODpotential blCL 13998 - - 13508 - - 13245 - - 12488 - - 11938 blCL maxRH 77 - - 57 - - 40 - - 31 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m 62.9 - - 77.2 - - 88.3 - - 90.8 - - 81.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.3 - - 57.8 - - 59.5 - - 60.5 - - 62.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.6 - - 76.1 - - 87.2 - - 91.4 - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.0 - - 56.7 - - 58.1 - - 59.1 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 158 - - 138 - - -12 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 138 - - 1084 - - 1402 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99359 30 105 23 103 30 102 15 119 26 087 99359 91880 20 114 23 100 23 099 24 112 18 111 91880 86116 21 108 19 100 23 101 20 106 18 099 86116 81323 19 105 19 112 16 105 20 102 15 103 81323 77187 16 100 15 122 12 119 16 086 16 095 77187 73534 13 070 13 132 8 134 11 089 14 079 73534 70224 7 057 11 100 9 131 6 087 10 098 70224 67185 3 066 7 093 9 129 4 140 4 079 67185 64382 7 104 5 118 5 150 6 120 0 032 64382 61683 7 052 8 135 8 204 4 279 2 328 61683 58892 4 294 4 172 8 198 9 275 3 271 58892 56014 8 260 7 239 10 222 10 251 7 246 56014 53282 13 244 10 250 13 241 14 235 13 232 53282 50836 15 234 15 249 17 244 17 240 19 243 50836 48648 20 234 20 238 21 243 24 234 25 238 48648 46659 25 238 24 234 25 239 26 228 30 235 46659 44832 30 236 29 234 30 237 31 232 36 235 44832 43136 33 228 36 229 38 232 37 233 39 230 43136 41549 35 225 37 225 41 229 40 230 40 225 41549 40058 34 225 35 223 40 227 40 227 41 224 40058 38649 32 225 31 221 37 228 40 224 41 223 38649 37284 30 225 27 219 33 225 37 222 39 221 37284 35894 28 226 25 219 29 220 35 222 34 220 35894 34448 25 229 23 218 26 217 30 220 29 222 34448 32947 22 235 20 217 23 212 26 217 26 224 32947 31376 23 234 18 216 19 199 23 213 23 223 31376 29726 19 234 15 210 16 198 22 207 15 223 29726 27997 17 252 12 226 12 216 19 212 14 227 27997 26183 16 265 13 252 11 236 12 225 16 215 26183 24286 12 252 13 242 15 232 15 234 15 201 24286 22304 11 245 16 240 17 238 18 241 15 218 22304 20232 12 238 19 240 20 241 20 246 16 232 20232 18067 15 234 20 238 20 240 21 242 17 236 18067 15854 17 234 20 237 21 240 21 235 19 232 15854 13718 20 236 21 237 23 239 22 231 20 230 13718 11770 21 235 22 238 22 238 20 229 20 227 11770 10035 18 234 20 237 18 236 15 226 17 221 10035 8494 13 231 16 233 14 231 11 223 12 216 8494 7125 9 223 13 224 13 226 8 234 6 205 7125 5910 7 214 10 213 12 230 8 249 3 145 5910 4835 4 211 8 203 11 236 9 245 2 143 4835 3887 1 134 7 197 10 236 10 224 3 209 3887 3052 2 128 6 210 10 230 12 210 6 210 3052 2307 1 291 2 249 8 213 12 192 8 205 2307 1650 7 355 3*227 7*166 13 168 11 207 1650 1103 9 010 3*177 7*145 14 146 14 203 1103 684 3 020 3 164 7 141 13 139 15 191 684 397 3*112 3 157 7 138 12 136 14 173 397 222 3*110 3 151 7 137 11*134 11*160 222 124 2 106 3 151 6 137 9*132 6*152 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography