DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 81.7 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 184 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2302 - - 3144 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1299 - - 1972 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2408 - - 3250 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1144 - - 3048 - - - - - 4404 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 353 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 28 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 009 - - - - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -20 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4944 - - -5687 - - - - - -5410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7353 - - 8937 - - - - - 5533 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12088 - - -11746 - - - - - -9548 ODpotential blCL - - - 14496 - - 14996 - - - - - 9671 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 61 - - - - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 81.7 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 42.8 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 80.3 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 41.6 - - - - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 184 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2302 - - 3144 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98707 14 113 10 104 14 100 98707 91213 14 108 9 103 8 108 91213 85456 17 121 9 102 8 099 85456 80674 13 113 7 127 12 090 80674 76540 10 130 9 143 6 092 76540 72896 5 128 9 142 7 102 72896 69612 3 202 6 234 3 024 69612 66601 5 182 7 175 4 324 66601 63818 12 253 12 263 6 296 63818 61114 17 243 20 251 13 275 61114 58282 17 256 20 255 26 266 58282 55335 33 271 32 267 35 264 55335 52514 47 270 46 270 37 265 52514 49973 54 268 54 266 43 272 49973 47702 60 268 56 263 48 270 47702 45645 66 268 56 265 49 270 45645 43764 71 269 63 269 50 267 43764 42033 75 269 70 269 46 268 42033 40426 76 269 76 265 43 274 40426 38928 75 267 80 261 44 277 38928 37526 73 266 79 257 45 277 37526 36179 72 264 77 256 41 277 36179 34815 70 262 76 256 36 281 34815 33402 68 261 73 255 32 288 33402 31941 65 260 69 256 29 293 31941 30417 63 260 63 256 29 293 30417 28815 58 258 58 256 29 291 28815 27133 53 262 53 257 31 284 27133 25371 49 266 48 259 33 277 25371 23527 46 262 42 264 31 276 23527 21604 46 261 37 265 26 282 21604 19597 41 263 33 264 22 294 19597 17500 35 269 29 267 20 298 17500 15356 29 276 24 276 18 300 15356 13284 24 281 19 286 18 304 13284 11394 19 283 16 288 17 310 11394 9715 14 284 11 287 13 314 9715 8226 9 290 7 284 8 309 8226 6907 6 304 6 287 4 248 6907 5736 6 321 7 291 4 179 5736 4697 8 337 6 294 5 165 4697 3782 11 351 5*303 4 171 3782 2973 12*002 3*325 3 204 2973 2250 11*003 2 359 4 257 2250 1612 9 003 2 017 9 271 1612 1080 9 002 2 020 11 266 1080 671 8 001 2 024 11 261 671 391 8 001 2 025 10 253 391 220 7 360 2 025 8*245 220 123 6 359 2 022 5*234 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography