DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 77.9 - - 82.4 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 365 - - 178 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2830 - - 3322 - - 3100 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1814 - - 2314 - - 1870 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2936 - - 3428 - - 3207 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 809 - - 789 - - 1889 - - 3023 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 362 - - 432 - - 334 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 57 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 259 - - 193 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -341 - - -1912 - - -2988 - - -4099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3277 - - 5340 - - 6195 - - 4223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6326 - - -5897 - - -6054 - - -8765 ODpotential blCL - - - 9262 - - 9325 - - 9261 - - 8888 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 68 - - 62 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 77.9 - - 82.4 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 55.1 - - 55.7 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.0 - - 75.7 - - 80.9 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 54.4 - - 55.2 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 365 - - 178 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2830 - - 3322 - - 3100 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98019 17 248 22 264 20 281 18 269 98019 90506 16 263 20 264 20 259 18 289 90506 84744 12 266 18 258 16 260 15 291 84744 79987 9 255 14 251 13 284 14 290 79987 75908 8 287 10 252 15 291 13 308 75908 72322 10 309 7 299 12 291 12 321 72322 69077 10 300 14 310 14 309 15 328 69077 66088 10 293 18 300 18 311 17 319 66088 63317 13 306 20 301 17 315 17 323 63317 60636 18 310 21 303 20 318 21 330 60636 57839 17 326 14 311 23 312 23 325 57839 54941 17 346 12 356 15 306 22 317 54941 52191 18 351 19 354 14 341 16 318 52191 49742 16 342 19 337 21 344 15 335 49742 47573 18 002 15 343 18 333 18 323 47573 45629 22 004 17 356 15 330 20 316 45629 43860 24 017 22 355 20 337 24 326 43860 42227 29 023 22 357 25 336 29 327 42227 40700 32 022 23 360 25 335 31 325 40700 39263 33 023 25 360 24 339 31 327 39263 37900 33 024 25 001 25 343 29 332 37900 36575 30 023 24 005 23 346 26 335 36575 35222 28 020 23 009 20 353 22 337 35222 33812 28 019 22 008 20 002 19 343 33812 32346 26 018 22 011 22 008 18 351 32346 30809 24 015 22 016 21 013 18 003 30809 29189 20 011 21 018 19 021 17 012 29189 27485 16 006 17 012 17 023 17 013 27485 25698 14 015 14 001 15 014 15 008 25698 23829 16 030 13 009 13 014 12 008 23829 21881 16 046 10 024 12 022 8 028 21881 19846 17 059 9 057 9 040 6 049 19846 17715 18 066 12 079 9 071 5 102 17715 15534 16 071 12 085 8 090 6 142 15534 13428 9 057 8 079 5 086 3 165 13428 11512 9 005 7 038 5 042 1 024 11512 9810 7 005 8 021 6 031 3 010 9810 8299 5 026 6 022 5 029 5 354 8299 6956 4 042 5 027 4 348 7 350 6956 5765 5 056 4 031 8 319 11 347 5765 4714 5 048 4 341 10 296 8 321 4714 3792 4*027 3*309 7*275 5 294 3792 2978 3*009 2*300 5*265 3 248 2978 2252 3 008 2 283 3 214 4 182 2252 1612 3 006 1 267 3 190 7 160 1612 1079 3 008 1 244 4 175 9 152 1079 671 3 009 2 225 4 166 10 147 671 390 2 011 2 222 4 164 10 142 390 220 2 011 2 219 4 161 9*138 220 123 2 010 2 217 4 161 6*136 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography