DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 95.5 - - 97.5 - - 87.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 165 - - 27 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 986 - - 1689 - - 1231 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 874 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1093 - - 1796 - - 1339 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 373 - - 1303 - - 2726 - - 234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 275 - - 156 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 77 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 155 - - 146 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4999 - - -7009 - - -7705 - - -5993 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6093 - - 8805 - - 9044 - - 6117 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14072 - - -14141 - - -13876 - - -13284 ODpotential blCL - - - 15165 - - 15937 - - 15215 - - 13408 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 30 - - 25 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 95.5 - - 97.5 - - 87.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.9 - - 57.5 - - 58.5 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 94.4 - - 97.8 - - 91.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 56.4 - - 57.4 - - 60.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 160 - - 165 - - 27 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 986 - - 1689 - - 1231 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99425 30 095 39 106 28 113 35 104 99425 91941 36 114 29 110 28 114 24 096 91941 86181 35 109 26 109 28 105 25 092 86181 81405 25 100 24 109 24 095 25 108 81405 77276 21 105 21 100 20 092 27 101 77276 73627 18 101 16 118 15 091 22 074 73627 70335 15 101 16 124 12 113 12 074 70335 67309 13 092 15 104 13 087 8 115 67309 64508 8 079 13 093 14 085 12 108 64508 61810 10 112 7 095 9 086 14 083 61810 59028 6 103 6 147 4 170 6 036 59028 56174 2 259 5 206 7 216 4 290 56174 53475 7 275 8 250 11 237 11 247 53475 51062 16 279 11 286 13 273 12 262 51062 48892 23 278 18 275 18 270 16 247 48892 46907 27 264 24 267 24 266 18 253 46907 45070 29 261 28 262 29 257 21 255 45070 43356 31 259 29 256 29 256 25 251 43356 41750 35 259 30 254 33 253 33 251 41750 40243 37 256 31 250 35 250 38 248 40243 38820 37 253 29 250 34 246 39 247 38820 37444 35 251 26 251 30 242 36 244 37444 36046 31 253 23 252 26 239 33 238 36046 34599 25 255 16 248 22 232 27 235 34599 33104 16 242 13 229 19 225 23 233 33104 31537 12 255 12 234 16 231 22 240 31537 29884 13 261 12 247 14 226 20 253 29884 28142 12 259 12 244 14 230 18 254 28142 26311 11 253 12 225 15 230 17 246 26311 24396 11 240 14 220 16 231 16 248 24396 22398 12 245 15 218 13 235 14 256 22398 20310 11 258 13 231 10 244 11 263 20310 18130 8 268 10 243 9 248 9 261 18130 15905 7 255 10 257 10 258 10 260 15905 13759 7 265 9 271 9 273 10 273 13759 11805 4 271 3 265 3 281 6 270 11805 10068 2 217 1 022 2 039 4 153 10068 8527 5 184 0 322 4 018 4 090 8527 7159 4 165 2 182 4 001 6 052 7159 5942 3 135 3 194 3 326 4 033 5942 4863 4 137 5 194 4 261 1 335 4863 3913 4 130 6 196 7 229 5 227 3913 3075 3 121 7 207 8 207 7 220 3075 2325 2 070 6*203 9 195 9 231 2325 1663 3*357 5*180 10*165 13 239 1663 1112 1*342 4 156 10*150 15 234 1112 690 1 067 4 148 10 146 14 222 690 400 1 087 4 146 10 145 11 202 400 224 1 090 4 143 9 144 8 184 224 124 1 086 4 143 8 143 5*175 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography