DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.3 - - 84.4 - - 95.4 - - 97.5 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 136 - - 190 - - 12 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 748 - - 2121 - - 1646 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 107 - - 1194 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 854 - - 2228 - - 1754 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 64 - - 718 - - 2432 - - 5337 - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 189 - - 300 - - 114 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 33 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 328 - - 350 - - 322 - - 196 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -8 - - -6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6143 - - -9582 - - -10535 - - -11851 - - -9619 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6265 - - 10437 - - 12764 - - 13605 - - 9742 sfcLCL ODpotential -18362 - - -17300 - - -16035 - - -17147 - - -17818 ODpotential blCL 18484 - - 18154 - - 18263 - - 18901 - - 17941 blCL maxRH 26 - - 34 - - 28 - - 21 - - 17 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.3 - - 84.4 - - 95.4 - - 97.5 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 39.8 - - 39.9 - - 38.0 - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.7 - - 83.3 - - 93.9 - - 97.2 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 39.4 - - 39.3 - - 37.4 - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 136 - - 190 - - 12 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 748 - - 2121 - - 1646 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97873 7 154 11 010 1 124 6 046 15 061 97873 90618 8 066 5 003 4 044 11 080 18 073 90618 84989 6 048 6 077 5 050 13 063 15 077 84989 80311 14 074 13 111 1 135 12 031 14 033 80311 76312 16 039 16 089 13 081 6 066 9 029 76312 72804 12 028 13 054 15 055 15 061 15 060 72804 69640 10 022 9 081 13 079 10 042 13 045 69640 66736 8 047 5 100 6 058 8 022 10 037 66736 64038 8 349 3 082 2 043 8 342 7 008 64038 61419 11 308 4 325 3 344 10 312 11 327 61419 58694 16 326 12 308 14 297 18 308 20 324 58694 55886 30 294 27 304 26 300 27 311 24 320 55886 53215 40 289 41 299 40 303 37 314 31 321 53215 50806 49 292 53 296 52 300 48 311 39 315 50806 48633 54 289 59 293 58 297 55 308 45 314 48633 46643 59 289 63 291 64 297 60 303 48 311 46643 44801 63 290 64 290 66 295 63 301 51 308 44801 43088 65 291 64 292 64 294 65 300 56 306 43088 41486 67 291 63 293 60 294 64 297 60 302 41486 39979 68 291 64 292 59 294 62 297 59 302 39979 38557 67 292 64 291 61 293 61 297 58 302 38557 37182 64 293 61 289 60 290 60 295 57 300 37182 35787 57 294 56 286 56 286 58 292 55 295 35787 34339 52 291 53 281 55 283 56 289 54 291 34339 32840 51 287 50 281 53 282 53 289 52 289 32840 31272 47 285 46 282 47 283 47 290 46 290 31272 29621 40 287 38 285 38 288 38 292 38 289 29621 27888 31 297 28 287 28 291 28 294 30 287 27888 26071 23 302 20 283 22 289 21 293 23 286 26071 24170 19 294 15 283 17 285 17 292 17 287 24170 22188 14 288 12 285 11 281 10 293 10 273 22188 20122 7 293 8 283 8 278 7 292 4 254 20122 17962 1 288 5 250 6 259 6 283 1 170 17962 15755 1 149 5 236 5 230 4 238 6 153 15755 13632 8 208 8 228 5 207 7 175 11 171 13632 11704 16 190 11 207 8 200 8 169 17 170 11704 9987 13 175 13 186 10 200 7 166 16 166 9987 8458 11 170 13 184 12 197 6 190 11 159 8458 7096 10 175 12 200 12 203 7 219 8 161 7096 5887 11 206 13 224 12 221 9 246 6 182 5887 4817 9 223 11 243 11 251 10 253 4 224 4817 3876 5 243 6 258 10 269 10 253 4 275 3876 3046 3 285 1 353 6 281 9 251 5 279 3046 2303 5 341 5 007 3*308 6*247 8 275 2303 1648 9 354 8 359 2*320 2*223 9 269 1648 1101 9 352 8*352 2 321 1 201 10 264 1101 683 9 358 7*349 2 323 1 186 9 257 683 396 10 354 6 350 1 327 1 179 8 248 396 222 7*332 5 350 1 326 1 176 7 243 222 123 5*328 5 350 1 323 1 167 5*237 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography