DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 95.9 - - 97.9 - - 88.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 150 - - 15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 843 - - 1571 - - 1105 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 759 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 950 - - 1679 - - 1213 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 904 - - 1401 - - 1563 - - 226 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 262 - - 137 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 156 - - 146 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -11 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6799 - - -8741 - - -9381 - - -6377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7749 - - 10421 - - 10594 - - 6502 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16113 - - -16835 - - -16257 - - -13091 ODpotential blCL - - - 17063 - - 18514 - - 17470 - - 13215 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 22 - - 20 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 95.9 - - 97.9 - - 88.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 51.1 - - 52.3 - - 61.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.1 - - 94.8 - - 98.4 - - 92.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 49.9 - - 51.0 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 150 - - 15 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 843 - - 1571 - - 1105 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99538 41 103 32 112 32 092 35 089 99538 92047 35 108 30 095 33 099 34 101 92047 86275 29 114 27 101 30 099 32 101 86275 81480 29 109 25 112 25 107 26 092 81480 77348 23 104 23 114 21 105 21 092 77348 73697 21 116 19 115 16 109 17 098 73697 70390 19 116 15 112 14 108 15 087 70390 67358 12 096 14 124 10 117 13 069 67358 64573 6 150 7 134 9 120 7 112 64573 61900 6 146 11 194 4 210 4 283 61900 59134 8 234 14 203 12 230 13 255 59134 56300 18 243 18 236 19 254 20 255 56300 53623 19 259 20 240 27 252 26 254 53623 51223 32 272 33 270 32 262 30 258 51223 49071 39 260 44 267 38 269 35 265 49071 47110 42 250 46 259 41 262 39 260 47110 45298 45 248 46 258 42 259 39 260 45298 43607 46 250 45 264 41 255 38 254 43607 42019 46 258 43 265 39 255 36 247 42019 40517 45 266 42 260 38 248 35 246 40517 39091 39 257 42 252 38 245 37 249 39091 37706 37 249 40 244 36 244 40 251 37706 36292 36 243 35 240 34 242 37 251 36292 34819 35 242 30 246 31 245 34 252 34819 33290 30 253 27 246 28 245 32 250 33290 31690 28 243 26 239 26 245 28 250 31690 30007 27 235 24 233 24 245 23 250 30007 28244 27 233 24 225 23 236 21 246 28244 26398 26 238 26 231 24 231 21 237 26398 24466 23 234 24 234 23 237 21 237 24466 22454 21 226 21 234 20 245 20 248 22454 20356 22 224 22 228 20 247 19 251 20356 18167 21 227 20 234 18 247 15 249 18167 15936 20 231 19 245 14 250 14 242 15936 13788 17 241 15 250 12 247 13 241 13788 11834 14 249 11 245 9 249 10 242 11834 10096 11 253 9 243 6 258 6 242 10096 8550 8 257 8 253 7 276 1 294 8550 7177 6 267 8 274 12 270 3 332 7177 5957 5 268 9 285 14 265 3 314 5957 4876 4 253 10 285 12 259 4 297 4876 3924 2 261 9 280 10 246 5 279 3924 3083 4 350 6 269 8 221 6 263 3083 2330 9 002 3*228 7 183 7 240 2330 1667 10 002 3*173 9*158 8 212 1667 1114 6*355 3 156 9*148 10 187 1114 691 3*350 3 152 9 146 11 167 691 400 2 353 3 151 9 145 10 153 400 224 2 354 3 149 8 144 7 143 224 124 2 352 3 149 7 144 3*135 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography