DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 89.2 - - 92.5 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 175 - - 15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 752 - - 1602 - - 1112 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 826 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 859 - - 1709 - - 1220 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 540 - - 1579 - - 2287 - - 134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 202 - - 273 - - 133 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 14 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 155 - - 158 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -8 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4458 - - -6025 - - -8105 - - -5521 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5317 - - 7734 - - 9325 - - 5645 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11703 - - -12000 - - -13662 - - -12480 ODpotential blCL - - - 12562 - - 13709 - - 14882 - - 12603 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 44 - - 27 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 89.2 - - 92.5 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 56.0 - - 52.4 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 88.0 - - 92.8 - - 85.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 54.9 - - 51.3 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 175 - - 15 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 752 - - 1602 - - 1112 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99371 24 106 24 103 29 110 21 104 99371 91841 25 108 24 105 24 104 21 099 91841 86062 19 101 21 096 22 095 23 104 86062 81275 19 098 13 107 14 092 20 085 81275 77135 18 099 10 110 11 088 14 071 77135 73487 21 094 13 122 9 076 16 067 73487 70210 15 078 14 115 8 091 16 063 70210 67205 10 077 10 104 7 079 14 077 67205 64427 7 076 9 116 8 145 8 145 64427 61750 4 122 8 115 7 152 6 141 61750 58961 12 210 7 221 9 200 8 209 58961 56076 18 213 22 227 20 237 16 228 56076 53321 20 231 31 230 26 231 23 223 53321 50836 31 240 38 238 37 237 34 235 50836 48616 48 243 45 237 48 236 47 239 48616 46620 60 239 53 231 58 236 61 235 46620 44810 67 240 58 232 64 237 63 235 44810 43141 71 243 63 236 67 239 65 237 43141 41579 75 241 65 238 67 241 68 239 41579 40108 74 241 63 239 64 242 66 239 40108 38713 70 240 60 238 60 239 63 239 38713 37355 68 240 56 238 58 236 58 238 37355 35966 65 240 53 240 54 235 53 237 35966 34518 60 240 51 240 49 237 48 235 34518 33014 55 239 48 239 47 238 45 238 33014 31437 51 235 46 240 46 239 43 240 31437 29776 48 227 42 240 44 239 39 239 29776 28031 45 229 40 236 41 236 36 238 28031 26202 42 243 39 237 39 234 35 237 26202 24290 32 254 35 240 33 239 34 229 24290 22295 24 236 33 234 30 241 32 225 22295 20213 27 237 34 229 30 234 29 229 20213 18039 22 237 30 238 29 238 27 235 18039 15819 15 227 21 225 21 231 19 233 15819 13679 13 217 15 223 11 223 12 218 13679 11733 12 213 10 208 7 215 9 182 11733 10003 6 234 7 208 4 249 4 137 10003 8469 2 324 3 240 5 334 9 045 8469 7107 1 036 2 290 7 344 10 022 7107 5897 2 183 4 292 7 339 6 355 5897 4825 1 231 5 282 6 325 4 307 4825 3882 3 353 4 273 5 295 6 259 3882 3050 6 008 1 254 4 240 9 238 3050 2306 8 014 1*172 7 200 11 227 2306 1649 7 011 3*164 8*177 12 216 1649 1102 2*015 3 158 8*163 12 199 1102 684 1*083 4 153 8 158 12 178 684 396 1 094 4 150 8 156 11 160 396 222 1 095 4 148 7 154 9 148 222 123 1 097 3 148 6 153 5*143 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography