DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 67.3 - - 74.5 - - 75.9 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 254 - - 341 - - 159 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 3159 - - 6246 - - 6945 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 2065 - - 4569 - - 4673 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 229 - - 3264 - - 6352 - - 7051 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 476 - - 2127 - - 3426 - - 3055 - - 7303 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 378 - - 523 - - 422 - - 3 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 31 - - 39 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 355 - - 354 - - 308 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2084 - - -1671 - - -1051 - - -1317 - - -6830 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2313 - - 4935 - - 7403 - - 8368 - - 6952 sfcLCL ODpotential -5753 - - -3523 - - -1774 - - -2846 - - -9423 ODpotential blCL 5982 - - 6787 - - 8126 - - 9897 - - 9545 blCL maxRH 69 - - 69 - - 64 - - 56 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 67.3 - - 74.5 - - 75.9 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.6 - - 46.3 - - 42.4 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.8 - - 65.7 - - 72.4 - - 74.7 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.2 - - 45.3 - - 41.4 - - 38.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 254 - - 341 - - 159 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 3159 - - 6246 - - 6945 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97585 21 295 21 291 25 291 23 302 26 309 97585 90252 20 297 22 297 20 298 21 289 24 304 90252 84613 17 295 18 281 18 288 21 288 24 303 84613 79932 18 292 14 280 17 270 19 286 18 293 79932 75901 19 275 17 275 19 260 19 288 15 267 75901 72320 19 265 20 259 22 258 20 283 13 261 72320 69048 18 261 20 252 19 260 16 262 13 271 69048 66027 20 268 19 250 19 256 14 252 17 271 66027 63225 21 264 20 260 19 264 15 264 16 266 63225 60506 19 261 22 258 21 276 18 276 16 275 60506 57668 19 252 20 253 22 270 21 276 18 276 57668 54728 16 265 16 265 20 258 22 275 19 281 54728 51930 20 276 16 283 14 268 17 281 16 297 51930 49424 17 278 17 295 17 301 20 301 23 314 49424 47193 16 291 17 283 19 285 21 298 21 309 47193 45183 14 310 13 304 15 316 19 328 22 340 45183 43356 21 328 21 342 24 335 23 347 28 360 43356 41685 22 328 29 339 24 350 28 005 33 358 41685 40136 21 333 25 337 30 011 39 014 33 012 40136 38680 21 345 21 007 46 020 46 020 41 015 38680 37306 23 006 37 031 52 020 52 022 50 009 37306 35982 27 024 57 033 55 024 55 018 57 008 35982 34637 33 034 67 032 60 025 53 012 61 012 34637 33237 41 040 69 033 61 025 51 009 59 019 33237 31783 56 041 69 033 58 026 49 011 47 017 31783 30260 70 042 66 033 54 024 45 011 39 004 30260 28655 65 043 59 032 50 023 43 010 38 002 28655 26966 51 041 50 028 46 020 41 011 37 004 26966 25191 42 037 43 028 45 015 39 011 34 003 25191 23331 33 040 32 032 39 017 39 012 32 359 23331 21392 22 046 24 029 25 011 39 018 30 358 21392 19375 12 054 16 017 19 007 32 018 28 002 19375 17281 8 037 11 002 18 011 21 000 22 013 17281 15149 8 018 9 020 12 025 14 009 17 016 15149 13099 5 018 8 056 6 067 7 059 11 028 13099 11239 4 357 6 060 8 103 7 104 13 081 11239 9585 1 005 2 142 6 118 6 102 12 111 9585 8117 5 154 5 151 4 101 2*045 7 130 8117 6812 8 130 4 099 3*040 2*344 4 352 6812 5655 8 083 5 060 4*007 2 334 6 348 5655 4632 10 053 8 030 4 003 2 325 5 343 4632 3728 7 036 9*004 4 359 2 311 5 344 3728 2931 6 009 9*358 3 355 2 302 4 343 2931 2219 9 006 8 356 3 351 2 292 4 343 2219 1589 10 010 8 355 3 346 2 285 3 341 1589 1065 7 007 7 355 3 341 2 279 2 340 1065 662 7 342 7 354 2 338 2 274 2 341 662 386 7*334 6 353 2 336 2 271 2 342 386 218 4*318 6 353 2 337 2 269 1 339 218 122 3 316 5 353 2 336 2 271 1*333 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography