DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.7 - - 82.2 - - 93.1 - - 95.3 - - 86.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 123 - - 110 - - -16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 630 - - 1086 - - 267 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 108 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top 123 - - 736 - - 1194 - - 375 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 261 - - 314 - - 620 - - 1371 - - 142 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 179 - - 214 - - 73 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 18 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 122 - - 133 - - 136 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1836 - - -4450 - - -5974 - - -7071 - - -4738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1959 - - 5186 - - 7169 - - 7446 - - 4862 sfcLCL ODpotential -13138 - - -12289 - - -11565 - - -12001 - - -11565 ODpotential blCL 13261 - - 13025 - - 12759 - - 12376 - - 11689 blCL maxRH 69 - - 49 - - 39 - - 30 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 660 - - 610 CAPE Temp@2m 66.7 - - 82.2 - - 93.1 - - 95.3 - - 86.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.6 - - 60.3 - - 62.4 - - 63.4 - - 65.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.6 - - 81.3 - - 92.2 - - 96.0 - - 90.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.2 - - 59.3 - - 61.0 - - 62.1 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 123 - - 110 - - -16 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 630 - - 1086 - - 267 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99417 28 100 30 108 29 112 22 117 18 097 99417 91918 26 105 24 113 22 105 28 119 18 110 91918 86109 31 102 23 118 23 111 20 099 24 100 86109 81274 24 089 21 102 19 116 20 101 23 080 81274 77125 18 093 19 098 19 109 17 088 14 086 77125 73478 21 083 13 117 12 083 15 071 15 099 73478 70177 7 106 10 093 10 108 10 066 11 066 70177 67161 6 118 5 088 6 089 9 101 4 049 67161 64373 7 040 6 091 3 060 7 065 6 093 64373 61669 6 359 4 073 1 356 3 001 5 030 61669 58869 7 312 3 358 4 308 5 316 5 339 58869 55998 11 270 7 284 8 284 8 282 6 289 55998 53284 15 262 11 265 14 257 16 264 11 281 53284 50853 19 262 16 265 18 260 20 249 18 265 50853 48677 25 262 24 255 25 262 24 251 22 254 48677 46703 30 254 30 249 31 252 28 253 24 254 46703 44892 30 250 30 248 33 246 30 250 29 252 44892 43214 28 251 28 250 33 244 33 246 33 244 43214 41644 25 256 25 256 31 247 33 243 36 241 41644 40164 24 262 22 264 26 250 31 243 34 240 40164 38762 22 268 20 264 22 252 27 243 29 240 38762 37400 20 272 17 262 20 255 24 242 26 236 37400 36007 19 271 15 261 17 254 22 243 23 234 36007 34556 18 270 15 259 16 248 21 239 21 233 34556 33053 19 270 16 258 16 246 18 231 19 237 33053 31482 20 267 18 259 17 252 17 236 18 238 31482 29824 19 269 16 260 16 257 16 247 17 236 29824 28081 17 271 13 257 15 252 17 251 14 236 28081 26253 16 270 12 257 14 250 17 254 13 247 26253 24344 16 273 12 262 13 253 16 256 13 255 24344 22355 16 272 13 262 13 252 16 254 17 254 22355 20282 16 258 16 258 15 252 16 250 18 253 20282 18120 20 237 19 249 18 252 15 253 17 251 18120 15913 21 233 21 246 20 251 16 257 16 247 15913 13779 18 241 20 249 21 250 18 258 15 248 13779 11831 17 256 18 258 19 253 17 256 13 247 11831 10095 16 271 15 270 15 259 14 255 11 245 10095 8550 12 283 10 273 11 261 11 259 9 244 8550 7176 7 297 7 260 9 254 14 266 6 248 7176 5957 3 291 5 236 9 251 15 262 6 256 5957 4878 2 151 5 239 10 257 14 254 7 255 4878 3927 3 062 4 251 9 256 12 238 8 255 3927 3086 7 030 1 301 7 246 11 214 9 252 3086 2334 8 028 2 066 4 209 11 185 10 245 2334 1670 4 042 1 119 4*161 12 159 11 232 1670 1117 4 007 1*194 5*138 12 146 12 214 1117 692 1 034 2*134 5 134 11 139 13 193 692 401 3 157 2 123 5 132 10*138 12 174 401 224 3*151 2 117 5 130 9*136 9 163 224 124 2*137 2 115 4 129 7 136 4*157 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography