DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 91.5 - - 93.6 - - 83.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 229 - - 71 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1015 - - 1794 - - 1190 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 406 - - 1043 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1121 - - 1901 - - 1297 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 525 - - 1869 - - 2864 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 305 - - 185 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 20 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 112 - - 128 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -10 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6291 - - -9074 - - -9861 - - -7323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7412 - - 10975 - - 11158 - - 7447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13657 - - -15157 - - -14811 - - -13246 ODpotential blCL - - - 14778 - - 17058 - - 16108 - - 13369 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 50 - - 35 - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.4 - - 91.5 - - 93.6 - - 83.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.0 - - 44.1 - - 45.4 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 90.0 - - 93.0 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 42.9 - - 44.3 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 229 - - 71 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1015 - - 1794 - - 1190 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99210 18 119 19 092 20 109 22 089 99210 91748 18 115 16 113 15 097 21 099 91748 85978 15 098 20 115 12 106 14 082 85978 81196 16 103 16 110 12 105 12 082 81196 77096 14 086 14 101 12 094 11 084 77096 73473 10 092 13 090 11 092 8 079 73473 70184 6 117 7 115 7 078 7 074 70184 67160 5 083 5 141 4 037 5 045 67160 64373 5 127 7 161 6 191 2 152 64373 61677 8 199 4 250 4 158 4 130 61677 58859 19 190 21 214 18 239 12 259 58859 55946 22 220 26 220 32 236 25 249 55946 53180 28 236 33 226 41 232 38 244 53180 50700 40 241 42 236 45 233 47 241 50700 48476 47 244 48 242 48 241 48 244 48476 46456 54 247 58 245 59 245 59 248 46456 44605 59 244 62 243 64 242 68 246 44605 42897 60 241 60 242 61 241 69 245 42897 41311 60 242 60 243 60 244 65 243 41311 39834 60 243 62 245 63 245 63 238 39834 38447 60 243 64 245 62 240 61 234 38447 37103 60 243 63 244 61 237 59 237 37103 35730 57 242 61 240 58 237 57 236 35730 34298 54 238 58 235 57 236 56 235 34298 32809 52 235 56 234 55 236 54 235 32809 31247 49 234 51 234 52 236 51 235 31247 29602 44 233 45 233 48 233 48 233 29602 27871 40 231 42 230 45 230 45 232 27871 26055 37 231 40 228 40 230 40 234 26055 24155 34 231 34 229 33 225 36 231 24155 22175 31 232 27 223 30 217 35 226 22175 20111 26 233 23 215 28 216 33 223 20111 17960 21 234 21 214 23 212 30 223 17960 15762 22 229 21 220 21 213 28 223 15762 13641 26 226 25 224 22 221 27 224 13641 11707 29 225 28 223 27 226 27 225 11707 9982 28 228 29 223 29 228 27 225 9982 8447 23 231 25 227 26 230 26 227 8447 7081 17 225 20 230 18 234 21 228 7081 5872 13 212 15 235 15 239 12 219 5872 4806 11 211 14 244 14 238 9 227 4806 3867 9 222 13 247 11 228 9 229 3867 3038 6 234 10 246 9 208 9 217 3038 2298 3 265 4*236 8 177 9 199 2298 1644 4*336 2*137 9*145 10 180 1644 1100 4*348 3 113 10*131 10 165 1100 682 4 356 3 110 10 128 10 155 682 396 4 001 3 106 9 127 8 150 396 223 4 003 3 104 9 126 5 147 223 123 3 005 3 104 8 126 2*152 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography