DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 91.1 - - 94.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 250 - - 68 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1017 - - 1884 - - 1842 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1133 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1124 - - 1991 - - 1950 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 426 - - 2006 - - 5709 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 318 - - 211 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 149 - - 158 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -9 - - 13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4807 - - -7872 - - -8462 - - -8190 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5931 - - 9864 - - 10413 - - 8314 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11670 - - -13026 - - -13081 - - -14727 ODpotential blCL - - - 12794 - - 15017 - - 15031 - - 14850 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 56 - - 61 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.8 - - 91.1 - - 94.9 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 48.5 - - 49.7 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.6 - - 89.4 - - 94.4 - - 87.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 47.5 - - 48.6 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 250 - - 68 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1017 - - 1884 - - 1842 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99260 22 105 18 104 17 104 23 101 99260 91819 20 112 16 122 13 105 19 095 91819 86061 17 110 18 104 17 127 12 090 86061 81286 12 100 12 099 15 104 8 116 81286 77174 14 106 9 105 11 080 12 107 77174 73531 10 094 8 108 7 106 7 097 73531 70225 16 114 6 115 3 111 5 079 70225 67187 7 063 11 113 5 134 2 214 67187 64382 8 169 6 180 1 119 3 167 64382 61667 3 173 11 144 8 154 10 150 61667 58832 18 226 12 232 16 247 9 268 58832 55896 25 207 28 226 29 230 27 250 55896 53103 25 222 31 225 34 227 34 241 53103 50608 36 236 38 239 43 243 42 248 50608 48393 46 238 43 243 50 246 49 248 48393 46389 51 240 47 245 51 247 49 248 46389 44549 52 240 48 242 53 245 50 247 44549 42847 52 238 50 240 53 242 52 245 42847 41264 52 237 53 239 53 238 53 240 41264 39790 51 235 54 238 56 235 54 234 39790 38410 50 235 55 236 55 236 54 234 38410 37072 50 234 53 236 54 237 53 233 37072 35700 49 233 50 235 52 238 53 235 35700 34268 48 232 48 233 48 239 50 236 34268 32781 48 231 48 231 44 236 46 235 32781 31222 47 231 48 230 45 232 45 232 31222 29581 44 232 46 229 45 232 45 231 29581 27860 42 235 44 229 43 232 42 231 27860 26053 37 232 41 229 40 233 39 230 26053 24160 34 225 38 229 37 234 35 228 24160 22181 34 226 36 228 35 233 33 228 22181 20110 31 227 33 229 33 232 30 231 20110 17946 29 222 29 223 29 228 27 229 17946 15739 29 220 30 219 30 221 29 221 15739 13613 30 221 30 219 32 219 32 219 13613 11678 28 221 29 220 30 219 31 215 11678 9958 25 214 25 217 26 217 27 209 9958 8429 22 201 23 209 22 214 23 201 8429 7071 20 200 22 208 17 218 19 200 7071 5866 17 206 19 217 15 221 14 205 5866 4801 14 214 16 227 14 220 9 211 4801 3863 12 221 14 228 13 214 8 225 3863 3036 8 227 11 220 12 205 9 237 3036 2297 4 239 8*198 11*191 11 244 2297 1644 1*229 7*163 10*171 12 243 1644 1100 1*137 7 151 9 158 13 240 1100 683 1 109 7 146 9 154 13 233 683 396 2 104 7 142 9 152 11 220 396 222 2 099 7 140 8 151 8 205 222 123 2 098 6 139 7 150 5*198 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography