DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 86.1 - - 88.7 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 196 - - 37 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 760 - - 2210 - - 2287 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1281 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 866 - - 2317 - - 2394 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 622 - - 1530 - - 1966 - - 169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 310 - - 190 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 357 - - 359 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5797 - - -6384 - - -7448 - - -5504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6664 - - 8702 - - 9842 - - 5628 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13827 - - -11972 - - -12881 - - -12910 ODpotential blCL - - - 14693 - - 14289 - - 15275 - - 13033 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 33 - - 25 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 86.1 - - 88.7 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 48.9 - - 46.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 84.7 - - 88.4 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 47.9 - - 45.5 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 114 - - 196 - - 37 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 760 - - 2210 - - 2287 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96666 2 327 22 285 24 303 8 002 96666 89530 6 326 8 273 10 308 9 028 89530 84058 2 242 8 274 1 308 3 329 84058 79537 7 261 11 298 2 359 2 017 79537 75635 1 012 3 265 3 220 4 259 75635 72181 3 305 4 270 5 284 3 302 72181 69046 6 229 10 249 15 262 13 298 69046 66171 7 307 7 280 11 258 15 289 66171 63513 15 297 12 300 11 273 14 266 63513 60939 22 285 23 290 20 293 14 282 60939 58257 22 271 27 271 26 281 21 283 58257 55473 21 269 28 263 30 264 28 272 55473 52806 27 270 29 267 34 265 32 266 52806 50393 33 272 33 266 38 267 40 266 50393 48210 35 262 34 265 38 263 39 255 48210 46214 35 254 38 254 39 253 38 246 46214 44382 38 257 38 249 38 256 37 249 44382 42694 44 260 39 254 49 251 46 249 42694 41133 51 256 46 255 58 245 56 247 41133 39677 61 253 50 253 62 242 61 242 39677 38305 70 251 55 254 61 242 58 243 38305 36976 71 250 63 253 60 244 56 244 36976 35620 71 248 62 251 60 247 56 244 35620 34204 66 248 55 250 57 245 55 246 34204 32728 54 253 48 254 48 245 52 246 32728 31177 50 254 48 255 40 246 49 244 31177 29541 47 253 45 250 39 246 46 242 29541 27822 45 247 44 245 42 243 44 242 27822 26018 41 245 41 245 42 243 41 244 26018 24127 36 247 37 250 37 247 37 246 24127 22149 33 251 32 255 30 253 33 246 22149 20080 29 258 24 263 24 255 28 244 20080 17919 26 260 21 259 21 250 24 242 17919 15714 24 261 21 256 21 250 22 243 15714 13585 20 266 19 257 20 256 19 253 13585 11646 13 266 15 256 16 263 14 269 11646 9921 7 250 10 250 11 268 7 283 9921 8390 4 269 6 258 7 283 4 325 8390 7032 2 292 2 291 6 330 8 011 7032 5828 2 286 1 001 9 352 11 021 5828 4765 1 291 2 011 10 357 11 020 4765 3831 2 073 3 015 11 357 11 013 3831 3008 4 057 4*011 10*000 11 004 3008 2274 5 025 5*000 9*001 11 001 2274 1627 9 359 5 359 9 001 10 357 1627 1089 10*355 5 357 8 360 9 357 1089 677 8*354 5 355 8 358 9 355 677 393 7 355 4 354 7 357 8 349 393 221 7 355 4 354 7 357 6 332 221 123 6 356 4 352 6 356 5*327 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography