DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 76.2 - - - - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 329 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3416 - - 4831 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2279 - - 3442 - - - - - 105 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3522 - - 4937 - - - - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2332 - - 2188 - - - - - 2515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 395 - - 474 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 189 - - - - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6436 - - -5244 - - - - - -5836 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9959 - - 10182 - - - - - 5959 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11159 - - -10093 - - - - - -10601 ODpotential blCL - - - 14681 - - 15030 - - - - - 10723 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 85 - - - - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 76.2 - - - - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.3 - - 31.5 - - - - - 40.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 74.2 - - - - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 31.4 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 329 - - - - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3416 - - 4831 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 40 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97091 52 280 55 285 47 286 97091 89771 39 276 45 273 41 291 89771 84145 27 281 29 275 30 282 84145 79484 22 279 21 278 23 278 79484 75476 22 276 18 272 14 279 75476 71938 17 274 19 259 11 287 71938 68738 11 281 15 250 12 259 68738 65787 10 280 12 245 9 246 65787 63034 13 266 15 242 19 247 63034 60363 20 254 21 251 19 240 60363 57563 27 254 32 260 27 255 57563 54641 38 255 45 243 38 245 54641 51847 45 241 49 239 40 242 51847 49324 40 241 45 242 41 245 49324 47056 39 247 45 248 45 244 47056 45002 41 251 48 247 46 237 45002 43143 48 251 44 241 46 236 43143 41453 51 245 43 240 52 246 41453 39912 44 237 51 239 64 248 39912 38486 38 227 50 228 63 246 38486 37144 35 226 46 222 65 245 37144 35837 33 230 44 226 63 242 35837 34502 35 234 43 229 61 242 34502 33108 35 235 43 231 57 242 33108 31659 35 236 42 235 51 236 31659 30140 37 231 40 236 48 224 30140 28540 38 224 39 232 51 216 28540 26858 38 221 42 227 53 215 26858 25093 38 220 42 224 51 217 25093 23248 37 220 40 221 47 215 23248 21327 34 214 41 219 46 209 21327 19326 31 205 40 217 45 203 19326 17241 34 197 39 209 43 200 17241 15118 35 197 39 203 41 202 15118 13071 31 200 35 200 38 205 13071 11207 28 199 31 194 35 201 11207 9551 30 194 29 188 37 194 9551 8082 32 189 30 185 38 186 8082 6777 29 185 30 183 32 178 6777 5619 25 186 25*183 25 173 5619 4594 21 187 19*185 21 178 4594 3695 17*190 16 188 22 190 3695 2903 14*194 15 188 18 202 2903 2196 12 196 15 189 13 217 2196 1574 11 194 15 189 12 230 1574 1055 11 192 15 190 12 236 1055 657 10 191 14 190 12 237 657 383 9 190 13 190 11 235 383 217 9 189 13 190 8*230 217 122 8 188 11 190 5*225 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography