DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.5 - - 98.1 - - 99.2 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 178 - - 9 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 747 - - 2050 - - 1988 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1115 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 854 - - 2158 - - 2096 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 724 - - 7158 - - 8459 - - 69 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 290 - - 112 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 345 - - 308 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -8 - - -14 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10809 - - -11399 - - -11801 - - -9705 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11664 - - 13558 - - 13897 - - 9828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17461 - - -16137 - - -16447 - - -17263 ODpotential blCL - - - 18315 - - 18295 - - 18543 - - 17386 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 39 - - 27 - - 15 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.5 - - 98.1 - - 99.2 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 38.6 - - 38.2 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.6 - - 96.7 - - 99.1 - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 37.9 - - 37.6 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 178 - - 9 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 747 - - 2050 - - 1988 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97849 5 286 14 246 13 288 10 348 97849 90565 5 062 8 216 6 304 2 094 90565 84964 4 130 2 079 4 150 3 097 84964 80323 7 088 5 063 9 114 5 097 80323 76331 10 069 7 048 10 087 11 095 76331 72809 9 110 7 046 7 061 12 072 72809 69629 10 101 5 124 8 043 8 055 69629 66717 8 078 6 167 3 328 6 033 66717 64014 6 033 4 174 6 274 5 338 64014 61392 10 260 5 255 14 278 11 286 61392 58662 12 260 14 266 19 276 22 280 58662 55839 23 276 23 265 27 274 29 272 55839 53159 43 284 38 276 41 281 41 287 53159 50754 52 283 51 280 56 282 57 286 50754 48594 59 284 59 285 62 284 61 287 48594 46618 63 285 63 287 64 285 64 289 46618 44790 65 284 65 285 67 285 66 289 44790 43086 66 285 66 284 67 287 65 288 43086 41489 65 288 63 286 66 288 63 289 41489 39986 62 289 59 287 62 287 60 289 39986 38568 59 290 55 287 57 285 57 287 38568 37198 56 292 53 288 55 285 57 285 37198 35804 54 292 52 289 53 287 56 284 35804 34356 53 289 51 288 53 289 53 285 34356 32854 50 289 49 289 52 291 49 289 32854 31284 45 293 45 291 48 295 45 294 31284 29633 39 290 39 290 40 294 39 296 29633 27899 32 285 36 291 35 294 34 295 27899 26079 24 286 30 291 32 297 28 296 26079 24177 16 283 21 289 23 296 22 299 24177 22194 10 284 13 277 16 288 16 292 22194 20125 6 272 7 270 10 276 11 281 20125 17966 3 238 3 268 4 264 7 272 17966 15763 5 175 2 159 4 166 5 196 15763 13641 5 147 4 167 7 166 12 170 13641 11712 2 164 4 170 6 181 19 163 11712 9996 5 194 3 231 5 220 20 166 9996 8468 2 204 1 286 5 267 9 157 8468 7110 2 298 2 303 5 286 4 031 7110 5903 4 325 4 299 5 289 3 340 5903 4832 5 344 7 301 5 289 4 298 4832 3889 4 344 8 306 5 290 7 286 3889 3056 6 342 8 309 5 292 9 282 3056 2312 10 355 5*332 4*295 11 280 2312 1654 13 003 5*342 2*301 12 278 1654 1106 12*360 4 345 1 310 11 272 1106 686 8*355 4 347 1 308 11 263 686 397 7 355 4 346 1 311 10 251 397 223 7 355 4 347 1 313 9 248 223 123 6 356 3 348 1 319 7*246 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography