DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 94.0 - - 95.4 - - 87.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 91 - - 3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1108 - - 1761 - - 1211 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 712 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1215 - - 1868 - - 1319 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 769 - - 1777 - - 2735 - - 460 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 209 - - 245 - - 131 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 37 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 040 - - 140 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5815 - - -6761 - - -7852 - - -4789 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7031 - - 8630 - - 9172 - - 4913 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11105 - - -11502 - - -11437 - - -8510 ODpotential blCL - - - 12320 - - 13370 - - 12756 - - 8634 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 30 - - 30 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 210 - - 250 - - 1780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.8 - - 94.0 - - 95.4 - - 87.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 56.8 - - 55.8 - - 66.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 93.3 - - 95.8 - - 91.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 55.4 - - 54.5 - - 65.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 91 - - 3 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1108 - - 1761 - - 1211 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98787 24 108 29 112 25 111 20 102 98787 91287 19 101 25 094 26 107 22 105 91287 85555 21 114 15 087 19 091 24 095 85555 80823 16 115 10 105 20 072 24 089 80823 76756 15 113 12 110 15 053 22 080 76756 73163 18 109 13 108 12 082 18 063 73163 69909 14 102 9 086 14 094 12 075 69909 66920 14 100 7 097 11 088 14 075 66920 64159 13 089 9 105 6 099 12 048 64159 61500 9 086 7 100 5 140 7 048 61500 58725 6 068 4 100 3 142 3 042 58725 55836 6 355 3 262 6 258 8 306 55836 53084 12 318 8 290 12 258 15 281 53084 50605 18 301 15 295 15 268 16 270 50605 48371 24 292 21 290 18 285 16 285 48371 46338 25 288 23 287 23 292 22 289 46338 44479 25 286 25 286 26 291 25 293 44479 42771 25 291 24 288 25 296 25 299 42771 41192 27 300 24 298 23 304 23 301 41192 39717 29 303 24 305 23 308 22 304 39717 38329 29 301 26 307 23 313 22 308 38329 36984 28 301 27 306 25 314 23 310 36984 35614 27 302 27 304 26 312 25 310 35614 34187 29 301 27 302 27 309 25 310 34187 32704 32 298 26 301 26 308 24 313 32704 31149 35 294 27 297 24 311 22 315 31149 29508 35 292 25 296 23 314 20 315 29508 27783 29 293 18 297 17 314 15 323 27783 25981 21 289 13 305 11 322 12 324 25981 24101 15 291 11 313 9 339 8 344 24101 22140 9 297 8 312 9 348 7 008 22140 20091 5 311 4 303 6 345 5 002 20091 17949 6 003 4 033 2 013 3 302 17949 15758 10 025 9 044 5 068 3 214 15758 13640 11 031 10 032 8 042 7 076 13640 11713 11 038 9 029 8 019 15 035 11713 10003 8 048 7 033 8 353 16 024 10003 8479 8 056 6 031 10 334 14 022 8479 7121 8 047 7 018 10 331 10 023 7121 5913 9 039 7 011 9 333 6 023 5913 4843 10 035 8 012 8 338 2 000 4843 3899 10 032 8 011 6 347 2 259 3899 3065 11 019 7 007 4 001 5 244 3065 2319 13 009 5*007 1 044 7 241 2319 1661 11*006 3*010 2*130 8 235 1661 1112 5*003 1 041 4*140 8 223 1112 690 3 006 1 057 4 139 8 209 690 400 3 009 1 070 4 140 8 194 400 224 3 010 1 075 3 140 6 179 224 124 2 009 1 071 3 142 4*170 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography