DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 76.8 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 272 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2233 - - 3034 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1291 - - 2006 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 3140 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 822 - - 1083 - - - - - 747 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 310 - - 384 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 170 - - - - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -11 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 25 - - -1153 - - - - - -3911 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2313 - - 4293 - - - - - 4035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 219 - - -6226 - - - - - -9555 ODpotential blCL - - - 2119 - - 9366 - - - - - 9678 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 75 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 76.8 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 58.4 - - - - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 75.2 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 57.5 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 272 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2233 - - 3034 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99351 27 112 25 113 26 113 99351 91860 21 123 20 112 22 118 91860 86078 18 119 18 111 16 106 86078 81292 17 132 17 122 14 108 81292 77172 23 131 15 136 12 106 77172 73530 16 117 15 146 9 107 73530 70225 13 110 12 146 5 118 70225 67180 3 252 10 162 4 177 67180 64357 8 230 9 208 8 199 64357 61628 8 213 14 227 11 225 61628 58780 12 237 19 235 17 221 58780 55818 18 236 22 224 20 225 55818 52990 19 228 23 219 19 233 52990 50448 19 231 24 227 20 239 50448 48167 18 237 24 228 25 236 48167 46098 19 248 23 231 29 238 46098 44211 20 256 23 238 33 241 44211 42486 18 261 22 245 32 253 42486 40897 14 261 20 259 37 260 40897 39420 8 261 17 274 39 261 39420 38039 4 289 15 286 40 259 38039 36706 5 311 13 289 39 254 36706 35347 6 317 12 281 37 254 35347 33929 5 311 12 274 37 253 33929 32455 3 289 12 269 35 252 32455 30909 3 222 11 259 32 250 30909 29278 6 210 13 243 28 242 29278 27565 10 223 15 229 26 234 27565 25770 12 234 15 219 25 230 25770 23893 13 235 16 222 25 225 23893 21932 12 226 16 223 24 221 21932 19882 12 221 15 220 22 219 19882 17737 14 220 17 219 19 215 17737 15545 18 215 19 217 17 207 15545 13428 19 207 19 206 16 193 13428 11505 18 206 19 199 17 182 11505 9801 15 204 19 194 17 177 9801 8290 14 198 17 193 14 178 8290 6950 14 192 15 196 9 183 6950 5763 16 188 14 206 4 191 5763 4714 17 187 11 217 4 224 4714 3792 12 186 8*205 7 217 3792 2979 7*182 7*196 10 204 2979 2254 5*171 6 181 12 200 2254 1614 5 166 6 169 14 196 1614 1080 5 163 6 161 15 188 1080 671 4 160 6 156 14 180 671 390 4 158 6 153 13 170 390 220 4 156 6 152 10*163 220 123 4 157 5 151 6*158 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography