DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 86.0 - - 87.5 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 183 - - 38 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 885 - - 2490 - - 2554 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 1455 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 991 - - 2597 - - 2661 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 559 - - 1416 - - 1862 - - 474 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 316 - - 197 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 011 - - 002 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7472 - - -7616 - - -7749 - - -6432 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8463 - - 10213 - - 10410 - - 6555 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17121 - - -15570 - - -15184 - - -15287 ODpotential blCL - - - 18112 - - 18167 - - 17845 - - 15410 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 25 - - 23 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 86.0 - - 87.5 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 42.0 - - 42.5 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.0 - - 84.6 - - 87.0 - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 41.1 - - 41.7 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 183 - - 38 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 885 - - 2490 - - 2554 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96660 17 241 7 247 12 207 16 257 96660 89502 17 177 6 226 5 141 8 226 89502 83967 15 140 9 145 5 240 12 097 83967 79412 15 133 14 101 5 143 10 101 79412 75512 18 102 13 123 12 103 5 128 75512 72057 20 067 11 133 11 092 9 108 72057 68919 13 063 5 096 9 043 13 053 68919 66042 13 066 4 059 7 356 12 024 66042 63394 21 037 14 022 9 353 11 029 63394 60842 22 023 20 016 13 003 15 011 60842 58186 21 001 18 009 19 354 21 351 58186 55419 21 338 15 340 20 340 20 326 55419 52751 23 345 16 338 19 340 22 296 52751 50344 31 002 23 339 20 336 17 287 50344 48196 27 001 24 325 22 325 18 317 48196 46255 18 319 21 302 26 302 27 311 46255 44479 26 321 23 301 28 286 30 295 44479 42831 25 325 23 308 29 286 33 292 42831 41286 28 346 29 317 26 291 30 286 41286 39830 33 355 32 324 23 296 28 283 39830 38449 30 341 29 324 25 294 30 284 38449 37105 31 323 29 311 27 293 33 287 37105 35731 25 320 28 307 30 290 35 288 35731 34298 24 312 26 308 31 290 38 287 34298 32807 29 307 25 305 31 290 37 292 32807 31244 30 310 26 303 30 292 35 299 31244 29595 31 317 29 307 28 298 31 302 29595 27862 31 322 30 311 28 307 28 306 27862 26042 33 319 32 313 29 316 28 311 26042 24135 34 316 34 314 32 320 29 312 24135 22145 37 318 36 316 36 320 31 309 22145 20065 41 325 36 319 38 319 34 307 20065 17889 32 329 26 319 34 318 32 309 17889 15668 19 328 12 307 22 315 23 318 15668 13533 12 328 9 293 12 295 13 324 13533 11598 9 320 8 304 8 310 9 324 11598 9882 8 325 7 319 7 344 8 349 9882 8360 6 341 5 341 8 007 8 009 8360 7009 5 006 5 005 7 027 7 023 7009 5811 4 039 6 027 7 040 6 015 5811 4752 6 064 8 036 8 042 6 357 4752 3820 8 056 10 026 8 026 7 346 3820 3000 10 039 10*012 7*009 8 351 3000 2269 12 019 10*010 7*006 8 350 2269 1624 20 002 10 010 6 003 6 350 1624 1087 20*359 10 011 6 001 5 353 1087 675 16*355 9 011 6 000 4 348 675 392 15 355 8 011 5 359 3 325 392 221 13 355 8 012 5 359 3 289 221 123 11 355 7 012 5 358 3*284 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography