DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 98.3 - - 98.8 - - 88.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 144 - - 8 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1197 - - 1798 - - 1105 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 904 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1304 - - 1906 - - 1213 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 896 - - 2768 - - 3121 - - 191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 214 - - 271 - - 129 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 19 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 156 - - 143 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -12 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8326 - - -9096 - - -9146 - - -6236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9631 - - 11003 - - 10360 - - 6360 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16691 - - -16071 - - -15593 - - -12948 ODpotential blCL - - - 17995 - - 17977 - - 16806 - - 13072 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 20 - - 23 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.4 - - 98.3 - - 98.8 - - 88.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 50.6 - - 54.0 - - 61.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.7 - - 97.3 - - 99.3 - - 92.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 49.4 - - 52.8 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 144 - - 8 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1197 - - 1798 - - 1105 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99475 43 105 33 118 29 113 31 100 99475 91949 31 101 33 104 33 111 29 105 91949 86165 25 095 29 108 31 093 28 102 86165 81375 23 105 29 106 20 106 27 080 81375 77241 21 106 20 092 20 115 18 075 77241 73595 17 108 15 095 16 095 14 087 73595 70302 18 105 14 103 14 089 13 084 70302 67282 14 087 13 113 12 083 14 089 67282 64489 7 111 6 129 7 037 9 064 64489 61804 2 120 4 174 5 358 5 012 61804 59030 3 234 7 204 8 253 7 284 59030 56189 11 258 13 248 16 258 16 270 56189 53509 22 280 22 273 24 270 23 276 53509 51100 34 275 32 274 34 269 31 274 51100 48937 41 270 39 269 41 266 39 272 48937 46966 42 266 40 266 43 263 45 270 46966 45147 43 262 42 264 43 263 49 267 45147 43455 44 261 43 265 41 267 48 266 43455 41867 44 264 43 266 40 270 46 267 41867 40368 44 266 42 267 41 270 46 268 40368 38948 41 265 41 268 41 269 46 268 38948 37569 41 267 40 266 41 268 44 267 37569 36161 43 267 40 266 41 269 42 267 36161 34696 44 265 43 267 43 269 41 270 34696 33176 42 268 44 268 44 269 43 272 33176 31584 36 272 38 271 40 272 42 271 31584 29909 28 271 30 274 32 273 37 273 29909 28153 22 272 25 274 25 272 30 270 28153 26312 22 272 23 273 22 276 25 273 26312 24389 22 269 23 272 22 277 24 277 24389 22386 21 268 23 275 22 277 23 279 22386 20296 18 271 20 278 20 279 21 279 20296 18116 15 274 17 277 18 279 19 279 18116 15892 13 274 14 275 14 275 15 280 15892 13749 10 275 11 276 10 281 11 281 13749 11800 7 285 8 280 6 294 6 278 11800 10067 5 296 5 274 4 301 1 263 10067 8527 4 278 4 263 10 277 3 052 8527 7158 6 242 6 266 14 267 2 335 7158 5943 7 218 9 267 13 259 3 271 5943 4867 5 230 9 260 11 245 5 257 4867 3918 3 270 8 256 9 221 6 243 3918 3079 7 345 6 252 8 192 7 227 3079 2329 11 357 2*216 10 167 8 210 2329 1667 10*357 2*170 12*150 9 191 1667 1115 6*359 3 157 12*145 11 174 1115 692 6 002 3 153 12 143 12 158 692 401 5 003 3 151 11 143 11 146 401 225 5 004 3 149 10 142 9 139 225 124 4 005 3 150 8 142 4*131 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography