DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 89.5 - - 90.7 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 301 - - 133 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2299 - - 5454 - - 7087 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1380 - - 3897 - - 4675 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2405 - - 5561 - - 7194 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1426 - - 2262 - - 2010 - - 7311 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 324 - - 482 - - 405 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 17 - - 26 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 320 - - 246 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7937 - - -7369 - - -5684 - - -8391 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10343 - - 12930 - - 12878 - - 8515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14960 - - -13320 - - -10605 - - -13540 ODpotential blCL - - - 17365 - - 18881 - - 17799 - - 13663 blCL maxRH - - - 23 - - 42 - - 51 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 89.5 - - 90.7 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 32.8 - - 34.2 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 87.6 - - 89.6 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.6 - - 31.6 - - 33.2 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 301 - - 133 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2299 - - 5454 - - 7087 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98184 4 141 3 174 3 210 7 338 98184 90693 5 158 1 311 2 089 1 195 90693 84947 6 136 6 224 3 350 2 083 84947 80212 6 102 6 198 4 328 6 038 80212 76149 4 059 5 163 5 323 9 018 76149 72569 5 003 2 115 5 338 8 004 72569 69333 6 306 2 303 5 313 8 325 69333 66351 13 264 9 311 8 299 8 293 66351 63571 11 273 16 284 15 286 12 292 63571 60873 11 264 18 265 21 273 18 285 60873 58065 11 262 18 260 22 261 23 275 58065 55175 12 285 18 253 24 260 29 269 55175 52443 20 288 22 270 28 261 32 259 52443 49990 22 275 31 270 32 269 30 263 49990 47783 22 281 30 276 38 281 39 276 47783 45781 28 283 33 276 42 278 42 269 45781 43955 27 280 34 270 41 274 41 273 43955 42283 27 292 32 284 39 279 44 285 42283 40744 27 295 34 296 39 288 46 293 40744 39307 25 299 34 296 40 295 46 297 39307 37947 25 299 35 295 38 299 46 296 37947 36623 25 293 38 300 40 300 46 293 36623 35270 29 287 39 302 42 298 46 292 35270 33858 32 287 39 302 42 295 46 291 33858 32390 34 286 38 302 42 294 47 292 32390 30851 34 285 36 301 41 294 46 294 30851 29228 30 288 34 300 39 296 45 291 29228 27520 28 291 34 300 38 296 44 286 27520 25724 29 298 34 301 38 296 43 288 25724 23844 28 303 33 303 38 296 40 293 23844 21883 24 299 31 303 35 294 35 292 21883 19839 23 290 27 302 31 291 30 287 19839 17708 23 298 22 296 27 290 27 285 17708 15528 20 307 21 294 23 291 25 288 15528 13424 16 301 17 294 20 297 22 296 13424 11511 13 295 14 290 16 306 18 308 11511 9815 10 304 12 300 11 312 12 329 9815 8313 7 321 9 306 7*296 7 352 8313 6981 6 348 7 306 5*270 4 012 6981 5797 6 004 7*309 5 266 2 058 5797 4747 7 002 7*312 4 261 2 117 4747 3821 10 355 6 314 3 250 2 122 3821 3004 12*348 6 318 2 233 2 132 3004 2273 12*346 5 321 2 219 1 219 2273 1628 12 347 5 324 2 198 3 260 1628 1090 11 347 4 328 2 187 4 260 1090 677 11 348 4 329 2 177 5 252 677 394 10 349 4 327 2 172 5 240 394 221 9 349 3 329 2 171 4 222 221 123 8 348 3 329 2 168 3*202 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography