DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.6 - - 44.5 - - 52.4 - - 54.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 41 - - 153 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 267 - - 1032 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 120 - - 371 - - 1136 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 927 - - 648 - - 2948 - - 573 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 91 - - 219 - - 14 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 120 - - 211 - - 144 - - 152 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -791 - - -1021 - - -814 - - -1666 - - -354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 911 - - 1392 - - 1950 - - 1787 - - 475 sfcLCL ODpotential -12489 - - -9980 - - -4471 - - -2680 - - -2211 ODpotential blCL 12609 - - 10351 - - 5607 - - 2801 - - 2332 blCL maxRH 74 - - 99 - - 87 - - 80 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 35.6 - - 44.5 - - 52.4 - - 54.9 - - 50.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 39.3 - - 44.7 - - 47.8 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.0 - - 44.1 - - 51.4 - - 55.5 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 39.0 - - 44.0 - - 47.3 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 41 - - 153 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 267 - - 1032 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 95 - - 47 - - 21 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95932 62 337 52 333 58 324 56 325 53 306 95932 88962 54 342 43 346 45 324 48 334 44 327 88962 83480 49 339 39 346 37 326 47 331 44 338 83480 78870 45 333 33 337 36 322 47 326 46 339 78870 74889 42 330 28 334 30 318 42 324 42 326 74889 71394 39 331 25 327 28 323 37 323 35 319 71394 68260 37 320 28 321 30 316 34 322 30 321 68260 65388 34 315 31 311 33 314 31 320 31 312 65388 62720 33 312 33 303 36 308 33 307 29 294 62720 60126 35 309 36 300 36 302 29 291 31 281 60126 57403 39 302 40 296 37 296 32 281 33 274 57403 54570 41 294 43 287 43 279 40 270 36 270 54570 51847 41 280 41 279 41 271 45 261 40 257 51847 49358 34 275 43 282 45 267 44 261 36 252 49358 47099 36 280 54 277 54 266 46 260 45 258 47099 45046 52 282 55 272 55 261 53 250 54 254 45046 43173 55 276 46 264 53 255 58 249 55 252 43173 41453 39 258 41 246 60 245 67 247 61 251 41453 39871 24 253 44 245 63 233 72 237 71 241 39871 38420 35 258 45 243 61 224 77 223 85 234 38420 37075 30 261 41 233 61 221 76 217 95 226 37075 35770 21 258 40 224 66 219 80 218 89 222 35770 34431 22 244 39 217 69 221 81 219 91 225 34431 33028 34 236 40 209 73 225 80 224 91 227 33028 31566 49 243 47 218 73 228 78 228 90 229 31566 30033 56 251 60 233 71 230 79 231 86 227 30033 28419 53 254 59 235 68 229 76 228 83 226 28419 26726 44 247 56 230 66 221 70 227 79 228 26726 24958 43 237 55 225 67 222 64 228 67 230 24958 23119 44 231 52 222 62 226 60 231 58 233 23119 21208 43 226 50 220 54 228 55 237 56 234 21208 19217 42 225 48 222 49 227 51 238 50 229 19217 17144 40 227 42 226 42 222 48 236 44 221 17144 15025 34 229 34 223 38 224 48 233 39 218 15025 12972 31 222 30 217 36 222 46 228 33 220 12972 11100 29 213 29 206 35 219 38 223 30 236 11100 9441 31 205 30 195 36 212 30 220 31 246 9441 7973 34 199 33 190 38 201 24 223 30 234 7973 6674 33 191 33 185 37 195 24 215 29 221 6674 5527 29 183 29 182 33 191 28 206 30 218 5527 4517 27 178 26 183 28 197 29 204 30 224 4517 3631 25 176 23 187 24 208 25 204 30 231 3631 2851 21 174 20 191 19 216 22 200 30 234 2851 2156 16 168 15 197 14 214 20 192 27 232 2156 1542 10 162 10 203 9*196 17 178 23 229 1542 1032 4 131 5 199 7*149 16 165 17 220 1032 642 2 069 2*208 7 144 14 158 13 202 642 375 2 076 2*213 7 142 13 154 11 179 375 213 2 107 1 210 7 141 11 153 9 168 213 121 1*120 1 211 6 140 8*152 5*156 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography