DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 95.4 - - - - - 83.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 186 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 772 - - 1953 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1068 - - - - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 878 - - 2061 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 671 - - 1590 - - - - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 290 - - - - - 2 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 64 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 1 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 040 - - - - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10614 - - -11669 - - - - - -10946 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11493 - - 13730 - - - - - 11069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17920 - - -16940 - - - - - -18664 ODpotential blCL - - - 18798 - - 19001 - - - - - 18787 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 57 - - - - - 13 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 95.4 - - - - - 83.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 35.5 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.0 - - 94.0 - - - - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 34.8 - - - - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 186 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 772 - - 1953 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97882 9 294 12 294 19 270 97882 90656 3 040 5 027 7 317 90656 85064 11 066 10 036 10 037 85064 80414 13 060 10 051 13 042 80414 76423 12 038 14 057 10 050 76423 72907 9 022 11 050 10 067 72907 69721 4 026 7 359 11 058 69721 66786 5 074 4 277 10 017 66786 64064 5 063 3 204 7 301 64064 61432 4 327 6 258 6 296 61432 58684 7 268 9 240 12 271 58684 55832 16 267 16 251 19 236 55832 53111 23 250 24 238 23 225 53111 50653 25 262 30 251 27 222 50653 48450 43 255 41 247 31 232 48450 46458 46 247 46 244 44 239 46458 44632 49 246 48 247 49 238 44632 42937 51 248 46 247 51 238 42937 41352 47 252 43 250 48 238 41352 39863 40 255 40 253 42 239 39863 38457 33 254 33 253 37 237 38457 37096 27 257 29 248 33 234 37096 35711 25 256 25 245 31 231 35711 34273 25 251 22 239 30 228 34273 32781 20 259 19 242 28 227 32781 31220 13 254 12 229 29 227 31220 29577 13 231 14 223 30 230 29577 27856 17 218 19 230 28 230 27856 26053 19 217 20 220 22 228 26053 24165 16 223 18 229 16 218 24165 22193 10 205 12 223 13 201 22193 20132 11 193 10 209 14 187 20132 17976 12 185 10 194 15 181 17976 15775 10 176 11 185 15 172 15775 13651 9 172 13 183 15 175 13651 11718 9 176 11 192 12 177 11718 10000 9 197 8 214 5 141 10000 8471 10 208 9 235 4 057 8471 7110 11 207 10 226 6 023 7110 5901 10 213 10 216 5 012 5901 4829 8 217 9 222 3 003 4829 3884 5 212 6 233 2 340 3884 3050 2 103 2 231 2 312 3050 2305 5 028 1*051 1 274 2305 1648 9 011 1*038 2 277 1648 1102 9*007 1 037 3 289 1102 684 6*004 1 040 3 295 684 396 5 006 1 046 3 294 396 222 5 007 1 037 4 289 222 123 4 008 1 044 4*284 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography