DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.8 - - 60.4 - - 70.7 - - 70.0 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 58 - - 125 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 445 - - 1543 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 528 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 550 - - 1649 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 99 - - 646 - - 1064 - - 2159 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 121 - - 234 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 309 - - 333 - - 327 - - 137 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -977 - - -3909 - - -4970 - - -6656 - - -3330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1098 - - 4459 - - 6619 - - 6778 - - 3452 sfcLCL ODpotential -15031 - - -14555 - - -12877 - - -14308 - - -12577 ODpotential blCL 15152 - - 15105 - - 14526 - - 14430 - - 12699 blCL maxRH 66 - - 51 - - 42 - - 34 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.8 - - 60.4 - - 70.7 - - 70.0 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 41.9 - - 42.6 - - 41.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 60.0 - - 69.8 - - 71.3 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 41.2 - - 42.1 - - 40.6 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 58 - - 125 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 445 - - 1543 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96303 43 292 42 276 48 286 49 284 52 291 96303 89295 29 295 23 279 27 286 28 280 34 290 89295 83865 28 287 17 297 11 277 15 273 27 279 83865 79327 28 283 23 300 15 296 10 292 18 272 79327 75395 28 285 27 294 26 291 19 297 12 312 75395 71881 26 293 23 286 34 273 33 285 28 313 71881 68675 27 290 20 281 37 266 37 274 36 287 68675 65732 28 272 21 273 36 254 36 266 37 274 65732 63013 33 271 28 275 33 264 36 264 38 265 63013 60385 44 272 38 274 37 268 35 264 35 261 60385 57646 49 263 42 265 39 270 37 269 33 263 57646 54804 46 254 44 264 43 266 44 269 36 267 54804 52098 42 260 46 266 42 257 48 260 43 266 52098 49673 48 260 44 270 40 265 45 258 43 264 49673 47509 47 268 50 278 50 273 50 268 49 261 47509 45559 56 276 54 274 56 272 57 269 53 257 45559 43790 63 272 54 269 54 269 58 269 56 261 43790 42168 59 265 51 269 51 268 54 267 58 261 42168 40655 56 270 50 273 50 268 51 262 56 257 40655 39225 58 274 50 274 50 267 50 258 54 253 39225 37869 59 276 51 273 49 266 50 256 53 253 37869 36549 60 275 50 273 48 264 49 254 51 252 36549 35198 58 271 50 270 45 260 49 254 52 250 35198 33787 55 268 52 266 44 260 48 254 52 248 33787 32318 51 267 51 264 46 260 48 255 52 250 32318 30780 50 269 50 264 50 260 48 255 52 252 30780 29160 49 271 49 265 50 261 49 255 53 252 29160 27455 45 270 49 264 49 261 49 255 51 252 27455 25662 42 266 47 262 48 260 47 257 49 254 25662 23783 41 262 46 260 46 260 45 258 44 254 23783 21821 41 260 45 260 43 260 41 257 41 252 21821 19770 40 262 41 260 40 259 39 256 39 251 19770 17626 37 261 37 258 38 258 36 257 37 254 17626 15435 34 257 34 258 33 260 31 260 32 258 15435 13325 30 252 30 259 28 261 27 261 26 259 13325 11409 25 247 26 259 24 261 23 259 22 256 11409 9711 21 250 21 258 19 257 18 256 18 252 9711 8207 17 259 17 258 14 249 14 247 14 238 8207 6874 14 269 11 260 10 239 10 236 12 221 6874 5693 10 274 5 264 7 230 8 234 9 220 5693 4652 5 281 0 246 5 212 6 243 6 253 4652 3738 1 309 2 101 3 205 6 265 8 281 3738 2933 1 081 3 103 2 241 7 281 7 280 2933 2215 1 052 3 072 3*313 5 293 4 268 2215 1584 7 359 5 019 3*326 2 316 2 225 1584 1059 10 005 6 001 3 327 1 354 2 157 1059 659 10 012 6*343 3 326 1 056 3 157 659 383 10 347 5*333 3 328 1 114 4 177 383 216 6 318 4 334 2 326 1 124 3*199 216 122 4*309 4 333 2 327 1*137 2*210 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography