DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 90.8 - - 93.5 - - 84.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 130 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 704 - - 1102 - - 697 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 106 - - 107 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 810 - - 1210 - - 805 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 426 - - 497 - - 821 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 225 - - 101 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 140 - - 143 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3924 - - -5592 - - -6376 - - -3585 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4734 - - 6802 - - 7182 - - 3709 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12821 - - -11921 - - -12357 - - -11208 ODpotential blCL - - - 13631 - - 13131 - - 13162 - - 11332 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 41 - - 32 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 310 - - 850 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 90.8 - - 93.5 - - 84.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.5 - - 61.9 - - 62.9 - - 68.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 89.8 - - 93.7 - - 87.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 60.5 - - 61.6 - - 67.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 130 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 704 - - 1102 - - 697 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99497 30 113 32 103 25 118 20 096 99497 91986 23 106 26 094 26 108 20 091 91986 86205 23 116 19 100 28 096 24 101 86205 81413 26 117 19 103 24 091 26 098 81413 77265 26 113 18 107 19 092 22 078 77265 73604 21 104 17 103 18 100 15 075 73604 70307 15 091 18 123 9 076 12 072 70307 67278 8 077 10 115 4 075 5 077 67278 64475 1 066 7 097 4 053 6 076 64475 61773 1 129 4 351 6 020 5 044 61773 58981 5 299 5 272 7 336 7 018 58981 56116 11 274 6 265 8 288 8 324 56116 53408 16 247 15 262 18 262 15 284 53408 50987 21 242 22 244 29 248 28 269 50987 48820 26 239 28 242 33 243 31 255 48820 46849 30 246 31 244 32 246 29 255 46849 45037 34 242 32 241 33 250 29 261 45037 43355 34 237 31 241 34 252 31 260 43355 41779 29 237 27 244 33 250 32 256 41779 40294 27 239 22 252 30 249 30 250 40294 38889 25 239 22 254 29 250 29 248 38889 37526 24 238 22 252 28 254 29 251 37526 36134 24 241 22 251 27 257 30 253 36134 34682 24 247 21 252 27 258 29 254 34682 33172 22 253 19 255 24 258 27 254 33172 31592 20 257 19 258 20 254 25 259 31592 29928 21 263 20 260 19 256 21 255 29928 28185 19 264 19 259 19 261 19 252 28185 26357 18 260 16 263 17 259 20 255 26357 24443 16 260 13 268 16 260 18 257 24443 22450 17 245 15 271 15 271 15 258 22450 20375 22 225 20 257 16 268 12 259 20375 18211 22 211 21 242 19 257 15 251 18211 15994 19 221 19 238 18 253 16 248 15994 13846 14 247 15 258 14 265 14 262 13846 11884 14 267 15 277 12 281 13 279 11884 10135 14 280 14 284 10 292 9 294 10135 8578 12 287 11 291 8 296 5 312 8578 7194 10 291 7 294 10 293 5 329 7194 5966 6 285 5 292 12 291 8 324 5966 4880 3 225 6 288 11 281 10 304 4880 3923 4 157 7 282 9 262 11 284 3923 3078 4 128 6 268 9 234 11 263 3078 2324 2 110 3 250 8 201 10 228 2324 1660 4 009 4*169 10 169 11 191 1660 1108 2*034 6*143 10*152 13 168 1108 687 2*065 6 139 9*145 12 152 687 399 3 068 6 139 9 143 8 134 399 224 2 070 6 137 8 142 5 118 224 124 2 071 5 137 6 142 2*095 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography