DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 85.5 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 255 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 979 - - 2191 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 366 - - 1352 - - - - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1085 - - 2297 - - - - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 412 - - 1227 - - - - - 403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 334 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 169 - - - - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3537 - - -5960 - - - - - -5342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4622 - - 8258 - - - - - 5465 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9619 - - -9432 - - - - - -11305 ODpotential blCL - - - 10704 - - 11729 - - - - - 11428 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 76 - - - - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 60 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.0 - - 85.5 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.4 - - 49.8 - - - - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 83.7 - - - - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 49.4 - - - - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 255 - - - - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 979 - - 2191 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98339 11 354 6 060 12 288 98339 91031 8 013 7 029 9 360 91031 85388 6 023 6 014 12 027 85388 80703 10 051 8 029 12 036 80703 76651 7 086 6 026 12 039 76651 73059 8 131 3 326 10 045 73059 69804 7 123 2 248 4 040 69804 66800 2 104 4 229 2 348 66800 64002 3 216 10 239 9 296 64002 61292 5 246 11 235 17 268 61292 58471 11 264 13 243 18 260 58471 55543 16 255 18 249 17 266 55543 52748 19 253 19 254 18 274 52748 50236 17 252 18 263 23 277 50236 47988 10 263 16 274 24 276 47988 45947 10 294 12 297 22 278 45947 44073 9 312 13 331 20 284 44073 42342 10 357 15 336 18 298 42342 40735 15 358 15 357 14 326 40735 39239 12 018 15 010 19 333 39239 37837 19 036 21 022 21 343 37837 36484 22 031 26 016 28 359 36484 35114 24 022 29 012 35 002 35114 33696 27 018 31 010 39 001 33696 32227 30 022 35 015 38 004 32227 30691 31 031 31 029 34 010 30691 29078 21 044 18 043 24 011 29078 27387 9 058 9 030 19 014 27387 25614 8 119 4 029 17 023 25614 23763 9 122 4 112 16 028 23763 21834 10 106 9 115 12 013 21834 19821 11 110 11 109 6 006 19821 17716 11 109 12 116 4 087 17716 15559 7 143 10 113 9 122 15559 13473 10 142 8 109 6 111 13473 11566 13 111 9 107 6 068 11566 9863 9 142 4 110 9 060 9863 8347 8 163 4 222 11 051 8347 6999 2 107 6 330 14 031 6999 5803 6 001 9 342 13 014 5803 4745 5 343 10 330 8 344 4745 3815 6 357 7 318 5 292 3815 2995 5 004 4*286 6 280 2995 2263 4 007 4*197 10 277 2263 1617 1*014 4 175 13 262 1617 1081 2*165 4 166 13 238 1081 670 2 156 4 161 13 201 670 390 2 152 4 157 13 174 390 220 2 146 4 157 11*164 220 123 2 147 4 157 8*158 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography