DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 80.0 - - 84.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 279 - - 74 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 1886 - - 1719 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 551 - - 1157 - - 107 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1230 - - 1992 - - 1825 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 482 - - 764 - - 1201 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 326 - - 205 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 35 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 176 - - 150 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2047 - - -4505 - - -6138 - - -4743 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3278 - - 6498 - - 7964 - - 4866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9136 - - -9016 - - -10099 - - -11508 ODpotential blCL - - - 10366 - - 11008 - - 11924 - - 11631 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 58 - - 47 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.5 - - 80.0 - - 84.1 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 52.2 - - 49.9 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 78.2 - - 83.5 - - 74.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 51.9 - - 49.5 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 279 - - 74 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1124 - - 1886 - - 1719 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98268 14 312 8 264 14 252 15 260 98268 90895 5 322 5 289 6 294 7 282 90895 85240 5 057 9 338 8 052 3 077 85240 80569 11 081 2 018 12 016 17 046 80569 76534 9 065 7 095 5 010 14 038 76534 72956 9 072 8 050 9 079 5 110 72956 69703 2 045 3 106 3 011 4 110 69703 66696 10 219 10 243 9 276 5 295 66696 63898 9 218 12 224 11 252 9 252 63898 61169 15 229 19 241 19 261 17 283 61169 58324 16 233 23 239 25 260 25 263 58324 55379 17 256 21 242 25 252 22 256 55379 52567 22 267 22 264 28 265 30 266 52567 50048 29 266 29 266 33 260 33 263 50048 47812 28 264 29 258 29 252 30 263 47812 45806 20 275 18 273 24 274 28 271 45806 43984 24 301 24 292 29 292 33 283 43984 42324 33 302 29 297 31 303 42 322 42324 40800 29 312 30 311 45 323 48 322 40800 39370 32 330 46 326 46 320 39 311 39370 38014 48 332 52 323 53 341 31 333 38014 36694 54 329 46 326 56 344 36 341 36694 35345 51 333 50 339 45 339 36 339 35345 33935 50 336 50 340 39 323 34 335 33935 32464 50 334 46 337 41 320 32 322 32464 30918 48 331 48 333 43 324 38 320 30918 29285 42 330 49 331 45 323 46 325 29285 27568 40 330 41 329 41 319 47 327 27568 25769 35 331 34 324 38 314 41 326 25769 23886 28 333 27 318 36 314 37 322 23886 21920 22 331 22 313 27 309 33 317 21920 19868 15 322 17 310 24 303 25 304 19868 17727 12 314 14 294 18 300 21 290 17727 15544 9 293 11 281 14 295 15 285 15544 13442 10 273 11 259 10 286 10 273 13442 11531 10 265 12 250 8 257 7 258 11531 9831 7 261 11 247 8 238 7 245 9831 8321 5 262 7 239 6 234 5 225 8321 6979 3 249 6 226 5 259 2 193 6979 5786 1 224 5 233 8 280 2 352 5786 4731 1 207 4 256 10 272 6 299 4731 3803 0 066 4 274 9 253 8 275 3803 2985 1 302 4 272 8 227 8 251 2985 2255 3 347 3*234 7*183 8 214 2255 1612 2*009 2*198 8*155 11 176 1612 1078 2*041 2 183 9 151 14 159 1078 670 2 046 2 169 8 150 15 153 670 389 2 051 2 164 8 149 13 150 389 219 2 054 2 160 8 148 8*147 219 123 2 054 1 162 7 149 4*142 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography