DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/29 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.0 - - 83.2 - - 92.7 - - 94.7 - - 84.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 147 - - 120 - - -12 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 284 - - 1030 - - 1555 - - 1258 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 106 - - 107 - - 672 - - 108 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top 390 - - 1136 - - 1663 - - 1366 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 283 - - 426 - - 2279 - - 3771 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* 92 - - 224 - - 249 - - 130 - - 21 W* B/S 7 - - 19 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 127 - - 150 - - 164 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -10 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1966 - - -4183 - - -5702 - - -6617 - - -5963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2356 - - 5319 - - 7366 - - 7984 - - 6087 sfcLCL ODpotential -11306 - - -10422 - - -11091 - - -11301 - - -12373 ODpotential blCL 11696 - - 11558 - - 12754 - - 12667 - - 12497 blCL maxRH 70 - - 49 - - 35 - - 30 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 560 - - 790 - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m 70.0 - - 83.2 - - 92.7 - - 94.7 - - 84.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.1 - - 60.5 - - 61.0 - - 60.2 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.7 - - 82.1 - - 91.8 - - 95.3 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.6 - - 59.3 - - 59.6 - - 58.9 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 147 - - 120 - - -12 - - -69 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 284 - - 1030 - - 1555 - - 1258 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99008 31 103 34 101 37 115 25 113 34 089 99008 91528 28 097 25 107 24 117 30 111 24 101 91528 85791 22 091 18 106 21 104 26 109 25 092 85791 81040 17 086 16 109 20 099 23 108 24 093 81040 76947 17 091 18 111 17 101 20 107 22 090 76947 73333 19 098 15 103 17 109 14 100 17 088 73333 70063 12 098 11 097 17 100 16 097 15 093 70063 67068 12 099 11 101 13 087 15 084 13 101 67068 64309 11 090 8 122 4 092 10 066 9 101 64309 61645 6 053 10 109 6 164 2 023 6 070 61645 58872 6 326 3 090 5 195 6 240 4 267 58872 56007 11 298 3 291 6 232 10 251 11 255 56007 53288 18 286 13 273 11 263 15 265 18 253 53288 50845 24 285 18 276 17 266 20 267 18 265 50845 48643 27 285 26 279 23 269 24 269 23 271 48643 46633 31 283 32 282 27 273 27 266 29 268 46633 44777 31 277 36 275 31 275 30 270 31 264 44777 43045 25 270 32 272 30 272 32 271 31 263 43045 41419 18 254 22 264 22 262 29 264 31 263 41419 39890 11 201 12 243 14 233 22 241 29 255 39890 38456 13 167 10 204 12 208 20 207 25 235 38456 37083 17 153 10 185 13 187 18 189 23 204 37083 35697 19 144 13 164 13 174 19 174 20 186 35697 34262 21 137 15 151 13 167 19 162 20 178 34262 32776 21 140 14 170 14 168 18 162 20 173 32776 31225 18 146 16 182 17 178 19 167 19 170 31225 29594 13 140 16 181 19 181 18 165 18 170 29594 27882 5 162 14 182 16 178 18 159 17 169 27882 26083 8 227 11 188 13 175 17 155 17 157 26083 24199 12 239 9 203 10 184 15 158 18 152 24199 22232 12 247 9 215 9 204 14 160 18 148 22232 20175 12 247 6 222 8 170 15 147 17 141 20175 18025 11 234 3 202 11 164 17 146 19 145 18025 15827 17 207 8 184 16 185 17 154 22 149 15827 13700 20 183 16 170 14 174 14 147 19 140 13700 11757 11 171 17 154 14 157 15 144 15 134 11757 10026 9 142 14 153 14 148 13 143 12 128 10026 8487 7 127 9 163 8 145 6 142 8 118 8487 7120 4 107 7 153 4 184 3 347 9 030 7120 5906 5 078 4 105 4 233 8 322 8 011 5906 4832 7 061 4 044 5 260 6 265 4 301 4832 3887 5 052 3 026 4 264 9 228 7 270 3887 3054 3 050 2 349 4 242 10 209 12 270 3054 2309 3 031 4 002 4*209 11 194 15 266 2309 1652 8 010 2*010 5*170 11*175 19 259 1652 1105 10 006 1*127 6 151 11*168 20 251 1105 685 7*001 2 128 6 147 11 164 19 241 685 397 3*012 2 127 6 145 10 162 16 228 397 223 2 022 2 125 5 142 9 161 13*218 223 124 2 025 2 125 5 142 8 161 7*207 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography