DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 66.2 - - 73.4 - - 76.0 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 245 - - 305 - - 103 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2390 - - 4140 - - 3455 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 1475 - - 2872 - - 1796 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 122 - - 2496 - - 4246 - - 3561 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 714 - - 1418 - - 1209 - - 1869 - - 2989 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 337 - - 437 - - 289 - - 4 W* B/S 4 - - 26 - - 90 - - 60 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 186 - - 131 - - 003 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -2 - - -6 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -233 - - -661 - - -675 - - -2582 - - -4375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 355 - - 3157 - - 4921 - - 6143 - - 4497 sfcLCL ODpotential -6098 - - -2539 - - -2174 - - -4540 - - -8070 ODpotential blCL 6220 - - 5035 - - 6420 - - 8101 - - 8192 blCL maxRH 96 - - 86 - - 80 - - 59 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 66.2 - - 73.4 - - 76.0 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.6 - - 52.9 - - 52.3 - - 49.7 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 64.7 - - 71.6 - - 75.2 - - 72.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.6 - - 52.6 - - 51.9 - - 49.2 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 245 - - 305 - - 103 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2390 - - 4140 - - 3455 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 46 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99051 17 145 14 108 13 124 7 078 17 070 99051 91640 17 132 9 138 10 122 10 118 6 086 91640 85921 12 116 14 127 8 135 7 129 8 089 85921 81160 6 110 2 144 13 123 8 134 6 093 81160 77055 3 122 11 180 0 291 12 098 9 132 77055 73420 4 212 11 172 6 208 3 321 8 084 73420 70117 5 220 8 180 8 189 7 244 2 337 70117 67084 7 237 7 204 12 201 8 212 8 223 67084 64279 9 248 9 212 14 202 9 222 10 210 64279 61557 18 242 11 224 15 219 15 233 9 244 61557 58716 22 230 17 229 18 239 15 248 15 276 58716 55776 20 240 16 228 22 231 22 254 22 260 55776 52972 18 270 17 278 16 254 17 264 19 273 52972 50449 27 276 28 278 24 282 31 292 29 297 50449 48202 30 265 28 269 39 291 39 289 43 307 48202 46180 27 265 33 272 47 284 46 291 47 300 46180 44327 29 279 38 274 46 282 50 290 46 296 44327 42603 36 282 41 283 46 285 52 289 46 295 42603 40985 43 285 49 286 52 288 55 292 48 295 40985 39457 56 286 55 284 59 288 59 294 49 297 39457 38011 67 282 62 283 64 285 62 292 52 299 38011 36609 74 280 67 278 67 279 65 289 57 296 36609 35177 80 278 70 275 69 273 65 284 56 293 35177 33686 85 277 74 272 70 268 68 277 60 285 33686 32149 88 276 78 268 71 265 70 269 63 277 32149 30561 89 275 80 265 73 262 73 261 59 270 30561 28907 84 275 80 264 75 260 75 257 48 270 28907 27184 69 278 73 264 73 259 70 259 46 269 27184 25392 50 279 56 265 65 259 53 265 37 269 25392 23532 33 276 35 264 50 261 37 265 23 269 23532 21600 27 284 26 264 30 268 28 261 18 297 21600 19584 23 287 20 275 22 277 24 265 20 310 19584 17477 19 287 16 277 18 281 16 275 19 300 17477 15327 16 291 12 290 11 276 11 303 10 296 15327 13253 13 302 8 296 6 274 6 310 5 336 13253 11365 10 303 8 277 6 279 6 323 11 014 11365 9688 8 285 8 276 6 311 10 346 14 013 9688 8200 7 279 7 287 7 335 14 352 14 003 8200 6878 6 262 5 302 8 341 14 355 12 000 6878 5704 5 228 4 286 8 338 11 353 9 355 5704 4666 5 226 4 243 2*318 6 339 8 342 4666 3752 6 224 6 214 0*269 2*330 6 321 3752 2948 5 207 5*200 0 156 1*334 3 299 2948 2231 4 171 3*193 1 132 1 349 1 254 2231 1597 2 126 3 186 1 131 1 358 1 138 1597 1070 1 305 2 184 1 127 1 021 2 132 1070 665 1 275 2 182 1 128 1 035 3 131 665 387 1 307 2 183 1 126 1 040 3 133 387 219 1*332 2 182 2 124 1 046 3 134 219 122 1*352 1 186 1 121 1 040 3*135 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography