DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 48.8 - - 58.1 - - 60.6 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 36 - - -13 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1539 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 121 - - 1644 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 260 - - 927 - - 1615 - - 4682 - - 713 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 168 - - 20 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 151 - - 157 - - 168 - - 174 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -488 - - -1261 - - -283 - - -1466 - - -553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 609 - - 1382 - - 1927 - - 1588 - - 675 sfcLCL ODpotential -6852 - - -5011 - - -2542 - - -1927 - - -2118 ODpotential blCL 6973 - - 5132 - - 4186 - - 2049 - - 2240 blCL maxRH 82 - - 76 - - 88 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 90 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 48.8 - - 58.1 - - 60.6 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 43.6 - - 50.4 - - 54.3 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 49.3 - - 57.9 - - 61.3 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.6 - - 42.7 - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 1 - - 36 - - -13 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1539 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 3 - - 53 - - 26 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96843 24 105 24 112 15 100 17 077 17 120 96843 89699 20 092 25 107 15 117 15 106 12 094 89699 84154 16 091 16 114 11 117 11 124 8 078 84154 79518 9 093 12 142 8 124 9 116 8 072 79518 75498 6 157 9 165 6 215 5 306 6 023 75498 71939 2 051 4 236 6 226 2 290 5 301 71939 68721 19 234 20 244 16 288 11 302 6 270 68721 65744 14 226 20 238 22 246 22 275 14 265 65744 62990 10 289 12 239 18 242 25 274 24 277 62990 60339 32 263 18 279 23 252 29 275 29 272 60339 57563 44 246 35 262 33 259 34 266 31 265 57563 54670 43 245 43 261 44 262 45 264 38 264 54670 51902 45 240 55 255 57 252 52 263 45 267 51902 49413 49 249 62 254 65 255 67 269 65 270 49413 47204 62 258 69 256 73 257 80 264 81 266 47204 45226 77 261 75 256 75 256 80 259 80 262 45226 43437 90 256 85 254 73 259 77 262 72 268 43437 41802 91 253 90 249 72 261 81 273 88 289 41802 40292 93 257 87 251 72 261 88 279 117 294 40292 38870 94 256 82 254 73 258 89 280 113 294 38870 37517 94 256 81 256 74 256 85 278 97 290 37517 36199 95 257 83 256 75 255 77 274 81 281 36199 34848 93 257 83 257 76 256 71 265 72 272 34848 33435 88 257 82 256 77 257 72 259 71 268 33435 31960 83 260 78 254 78 257 75 255 73 266 31960 30411 81 261 73 252 77 255 76 254 72 262 30411 28779 78 261 70 251 73 252 74 256 70 259 28779 27068 76 259 69 251 68 250 71 255 68 257 27068 25277 73 255 68 251 66 251 67 253 65 258 25277 23405 67 250 65 252 64 251 64 252 62 258 23405 21454 61 247 61 250 60 249 60 251 60 254 21454 19419 56 247 56 246 55 246 53 248 57 252 19419 17299 53 243 51 242 49 243 46 242 52 251 17299 15137 52 236 46 239 44 241 41 237 47 248 15137 13055 50 232 44 240 39 240 39 237 42 243 13055 11170 42 229 39 237 34 236 35 232 37 235 11170 9505 31 223 31 232 29 227 29 223 31 219 9505 8034 26 219 23 215 27 221 27 222 26 199 8034 6729 25 215 25 196 28 211 26 218 23 202 6729 5576 25 210 27 192 29 203 26 217 21 221 5576 4558 23 200 27 193 29 202 26 220 20 236 4558 3666 22 190 28 199 26 203 24 217 18 232 3666 2879 23 187 28 201 22 201 21 211 17 223 2879 2177 24 184 25 199 16*190 17 202 16 210 2177 1559 24 177 22 195 13*175 15 192 15 195 1559 1044 23 173 17 190 12 171 13 186 14 186 1044 650 17 178 13 179 11 166 12 181 14 178 650 379 10 178 9 166 9 164 11 178 12 171 379 215 5*171 8*160 8 162 10*176 9*168 215 122 2*151 6*157 7 161 7*174 5*165 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography