DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Williams 104ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 54.4 - - 56.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 46 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 124 - - 574 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 104 - - 105 - - 105 - - 104 Hcrit BL Top - - - 228 - - 679 - - 121 - - 121 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 257 - - 486 - - 997 - - 127 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 129 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 002 - - 193 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1101 - - -1905 - - -1647 - - -1250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1329 - - 2585 - - 1768 - - 1371 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13823 - - -12207 - - -11217 - - -12992 ODpotential blCL - - - 14051 - - 12886 - - 11338 - - 13113 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 68 - - 70 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.2 - - 54.4 - - 56.2 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 44.0 - - 49.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 53.8 - - 56.9 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 42.8 - - 48.0 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 46 - - 3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 124 - - 574 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96325 40 069 43 080 40 058 38 074 96325 89443 51 078 48 086 37 067 37 074 89443 84036 46 079 42 090 38 075 37 080 84036 79490 30 077 32 098 25 076 28 083 79490 75537 22 085 21 074 21 068 26 081 75537 72034 21 080 18 069 21 047 24 052 72034 68871 17 066 17 067 20 045 16 044 68871 65969 12 061 13 020 16 019 15 017 65969 63277 15 050 13 017 13 026 7 353 63277 60663 19 004 15 002 20 012 15 026 60663 57940 20 332 25 350 26 004 23 011 57940 55127 33 353 37 352 39 355 34 000 55127 52451 39 344 40 343 43 341 44 351 52451 50042 42 353 37 352 39 348 43 347 50042 47874 48 358 47 005 44 357 40 359 47874 45888 54 356 56 000 48 360 47 010 45888 44052 53 355 57 356 53 359 55 006 44052 42341 54 358 56 355 52 356 56 002 42341 40737 57 000 55 359 50 357 52 001 40737 39235 55 001 56 003 50 002 48 006 39235 37831 47 006 49 006 52 010 47 017 37831 36491 39 011 36 013 49 015 47 032 36491 35140 31 022 30 013 34 017 39 038 35140 33738 28 035 25 023 26 026 28 037 33738 32287 25 054 20 033 19 040 18 047 32287 30765 19 062 17 054 15 055 17 062 30765 29155 12 065 13 060 15 041 18 066 29155 27456 11 090 10 067 13 035 14 075 27456 25667 11 085 11 095 10 077 11 101 25667 23793 11 073 12 089 12 089 10 109 23793 21838 9 069 14 069 13 073 11 096 21838 19796 10 076 14 067 13 071 12 097 19796 17658 13 088 16 087 15 083 14 107 17658 15468 16 087 18 094 16 089 15 106 15468 13352 16 083 16 097 15 091 13 103 13352 11424 13 074 12 093 13 094 12 097 11424 9711 13 061 10 080 12 094 11 094 9711 8192 12 060 10 078 12 100 10 104 8192 6848 12 076 11 084 14 112 10 117 6848 5661 10 082 11 092 14 110 7 113 5661 4616 9 068 10 086 11 092 5 075 4616 3701 10 052 10 069 12 063 10 049 3701 2898 13 037 12 046 16 029 16 025 2898 2186 15 024 13 026 19 015 22 017 2186 1561 15 024 13 006 17 008 22 013 1561 1043 10 014 10*355 9 359 11 015 1043 648 7 342 5*357 2 330 2 354 648 377 3*346 5 002 1 289 2 219 377 214 2*349 4 004 1 230 2*190 214 121 2 360 4 005 1*193 1*166 121 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography