DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 87.2 - - 88.1 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 356 - - 162 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3593 - - 8256 - - 7629 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2428 - - 6195 - - 5220 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3699 - - 8363 - - 7736 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4366 - - 2081 - - 2747 - - 6977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 407 - - 583 - - 440 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 014 - - 019 - - 001 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -4 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9216 - - -6029 - - -6991 - - -11737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12916 - - 14393 - - 14728 - - 11861 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15071 - - -11243 - - -12389 - - -17547 ODpotential blCL - - - 18770 - - 19606 - - 20125 - - 17670 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 40 - - 40 - - 12 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.9 - - 87.2 - - 88.1 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.1 - - 23.3 - - 22.7 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 85.1 - - 86.9 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 22.3 - - 21.6 - - 27.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 356 - - 162 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3593 - - 8256 - - 7629 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98152 4 180 9 277 3 321 4 053 98152 90697 3 124 8 147 8 251 4 006 90697 84964 1 021 8 103 7 195 4 278 84964 80231 2 173 2 061 3 160 1 192 80231 76156 3 126 4 236 3 005 4 089 76156 72539 3 114 6 195 2 294 3 077 72539 69251 3 099 3 167 3 307 6 014 69251 66224 3 301 4 211 5 265 4 312 66224 63414 2 331 6 311 5 327 5 339 63414 60692 8 347 8 316 14 323 15 341 60692 57865 14 328 5 315 11 320 15 328 57865 54938 23 331 15 342 13 336 12 333 54938 52145 25 317 21 329 21 338 19 347 52145 49643 22 318 25 322 29 330 30 342 49643 47414 21 322 25 329 28 332 32 336 47414 45409 33 349 27 342 26 344 31 341 45409 43593 39 348 32 352 29 353 31 348 43593 41934 41 356 35 351 33 359 33 012 41934 40400 49 357 38 350 37 009 46 016 40400 38971 50 353 41 351 42 011 52 015 38971 37624 49 356 43 354 43 007 50 013 37624 36315 47 359 41 358 40 006 44 013 36315 34976 45 359 40 359 37 009 38 014 34976 33579 42 357 40 360 36 012 36 014 33579 32124 41 359 40 001 34 012 34 016 32124 30598 41 005 41 003 33 008 30 013 30598 28988 39 009 42 005 34 008 29 004 28988 27295 38 004 43 006 36 006 29 001 27295 25521 40 004 43 008 35 004 29 003 25521 23666 41 010 41 009 33 006 28 002 23666 21730 41 015 39 009 31 011 25 002 21730 19705 37 018 35 010 29 013 23 007 19705 17584 31 017 28 010 25 013 21 007 17584 15417 24 014 22 010 21 014 19 009 15417 13329 20 016 18 012 20 018 17 027 13329 11436 17 025 14 014 17 014 14 037 11436 9758 15 030 9*020 14 000 13 026 9758 8267 13 033 8*021 12*356 15 006 8267 6941 13 049 8 022 11*359 15 359 6941 5761 14 060 9 022 10 000 13 001 5761 4716 11 059 9 021 10 001 12 004 4716 3796 9*040 9 019 10 002 10 005 3796 2984 10*023 9 018 9 001 9 005 2984 2259 11 015 9 017 9 000 9 005 2259 1617 11 013 8 017 9 001 9 006 1617 1083 11 012 8 016 9 360 9 005 1083 673 11 011 8 016 8 360 8 005 673 392 11 011 8 016 8 360 8 003 392 221 10 011 7 015 8 359 6 358 221 123 9 010 7 015 7 359 4*351 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography