DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 94.1 - - 95.8 - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 85 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1092 - - 1715 - - 1077 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 648 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1199 - - 1822 - - 1185 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 808 - - 2270 - - 4855 - - 1643 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 240 - - 122 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 21 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 040 - - 126 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -10 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6165 - - -7512 - - -8575 - - -5040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7364 - - 9335 - - 9760 - - 5164 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12436 - - -13646 - - -13120 - - -8740 ODpotential blCL - - - 13635 - - 15468 - - 14305 - - 8864 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 25 - - 28 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 150 - - 1880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.5 - - 94.1 - - 95.8 - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 53.7 - - 53.6 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.8 - - 93.3 - - 96.2 - - 92.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 52.4 - - 52.3 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 85 - - 0 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1092 - - 1715 - - 1077 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98733 27 117 23 102 28 100 23 107 98733 91272 22 094 21 094 25 085 28 109 91272 85531 18 098 17 098 19 084 28 088 85531 80777 19 096 19 098 12 113 20 072 80777 76696 18 100 12 102 14 086 17 078 76696 73097 17 094 7 101 14 077 16 072 73097 69847 16 102 8 126 10 074 14 067 69847 66865 14 077 9 123 4 126 7 043 66865 64107 5 066 6 076 6 113 3 043 64107 61444 4 022 1 192 4 052 3 068 61444 58671 7 332 1 082 2 311 1 008 58671 55795 12 315 6 316 10 291 9 303 55795 53054 19 308 14 303 16 295 17 299 53054 50584 28 300 23 299 25 298 24 297 50584 48367 31 293 29 298 31 299 30 299 48367 46354 32 287 33 299 35 302 33 299 46354 44510 30 285 35 299 37 306 32 300 44510 42814 29 290 36 302 38 306 32 302 42814 41244 30 294 37 305 40 309 33 304 41244 39774 31 297 39 309 42 311 34 307 39774 38386 32 300 41 311 44 312 35 309 38386 37038 32 303 42 311 44 312 34 310 37038 35660 32 302 39 311 43 312 32 309 35660 34226 31 299 32 311 41 313 31 311 34226 32737 29 294 28 311 34 311 31 314 32737 31179 27 291 27 311 29 312 31 313 31179 29543 25 292 25 314 25 316 28 313 29543 27829 25 298 21 316 22 319 22 315 27829 26030 24 304 18 316 19 321 18 320 26030 24147 21 314 17 313 16 324 15 326 24147 22182 20 321 16 317 14 329 13 330 22182 20130 22 325 15 324 11 330 11 333 20130 17982 23 322 14 327 8 344 9 337 17982 15787 22 317 12 331 7 015 6 011 15787 13665 19 318 8 345 9 032 10 037 13665 11730 14 325 7 347 10 018 13 034 11730 10011 10 326 7 331 12 004 19 014 10011 8484 9 319 9 321 13 341 19 004 8484 7125 8 317 13 307 11 300 13 005 7125 5917 7 328 14 303 10 290 8 346 5917 4845 7 350 12 306 8 283 5 312 4845 3900 9 003 8 320 5 283 4 284 3900 3066 11 007 6 348 2 300 4 255 3066 2320 12 006 4*017 1 052 5 232 2320 1661 11*006 3*032 3*105 5 212 1661 1111 7*004 2 041 3*122 6 197 1111 690 5 008 2 042 3 126 6 188 690 401 5 007 2 044 3 129 6 179 401 224 4 009 2 048 3 128 5 168 224 124 4 009 1 045 2 130 4*158 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography