DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.7 - - 62.3 - - 66.7 - - 66.0 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 10 - - 67 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 593 - - 1939 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 106 - - 106 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 698 - - 2045 - - 122 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 542 - - 1470 - - 1778 - - 4550 - - 2514 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 81 - - 218 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 69 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 149 - - 221 - - 117 - - 110 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -128 - - -245 - - 401 - - -915 - - -244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 249 - - 943 - - 1644 - - 1037 - - 366 sfcLCL ODpotential -3564 - - -1708 - - -63 - - -1247 - - -1228 ODpotential blCL 3685 - - 2406 - - 2108 - - 1369 - - 1350 blCL maxRH 94 - - 89 - - 94 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 60 - - 190 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 55.7 - - 62.3 - - 66.7 - - 66.0 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.1 - - 58.6 - - 60.0 - - 61.8 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 62.4 - - 66.2 - - 66.3 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 58.0 - - 58.7 - - 61.1 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 10 - - 67 - - 5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 593 - - 1939 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 57 - - 76 - - 75 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96611 16 079 18 110 7 149 15 083 7 070 96611 89485 11 081 11 111 8 106 10 079 10 081 89485 83938 5 062 10 066 5 108 9 049 12 047 83938 79319 4 090 9 037 5 070 6 033 16 002 79319 75359 13 344 7 351 12 345 10 317 16 344 75359 71866 4 353 4 021 10 334 9 287 7 325 71866 68700 14 328 19 306 15 312 23 313 17 326 68700 65780 29 295 29 301 27 292 32 296 24 325 65780 63078 31 294 31 304 32 302 32 290 36 296 63078 60482 29 287 39 298 44 304 44 300 39 299 60482 57758 32 279 52 287 57 289 56 295 59 302 57758 54926 47 279 58 278 58 281 61 286 64 281 54926 52217 59 273 57 274 62 279 67 276 59 278 52217 49758 67 282 74 280 72 277 72 275 71 284 49758 47557 90 276 89 276 84 274 85 274 86 278 47557 45580 96 265 90 270 90 269 97 271 97 275 45580 43784 88 265 89 267 94 265 102 269 101 268 43784 42128 85 272 92 266 91 265 96 268 99 269 42128 40588 91 278 93 272 92 264 93 270 103 273 40588 39143 100 278 98 276 91 267 97 272 106 275 39143 37776 101 276 101 277 94 274 100 273 100 275 37776 36446 104 275 100 275 97 275 100 273 91 275 36446 35087 106 275 100 272 96 274 96 271 88 273 35087 33669 105 275 99 270 91 275 96 271 88 271 33669 32192 99 275 94 269 87 273 90 273 89 273 32192 30640 91 274 94 270 88 267 83 271 87 276 30640 29000 89 272 91 273 87 263 83 269 80 277 29000 27277 82 273 82 274 73 266 78 265 76 273 27277 25475 75 270 76 270 68 273 64 266 68 263 25475 23597 70 269 72 270 65 274 56 279 52 265 23597 21644 66 270 67 267 61 277 56 282 50 283 21644 19610 62 271 57 265 55 280 52 278 51 287 19610 17481 51 274 43 269 45 274 47 282 46 292 17481 15307 47 276 34 269 38 268 40 288 28 292 15307 13212 44 276 35 271 33 267 31 278 23 281 13212 11311 32 272 33 274 28 273 27 279 23 279 11311 9625 26 263 25 270 23 271 19 277 20 277 9625 8132 24 262 19 263 19 264 16 266 17 272 8132 6808 20 264 15 258 15 260 15 262 13 269 6808 5638 15 267 12 260 12 264 10 256 9 273 5638 4608 9 275 8 257 8 265 7 244 7 289 4608 3705 7 285 6 253 7 263 6 239 4 296 3705 2910 6 291 6 260 6 260 4 201 0 030 2910 2201 7 284 7 270 4*253 5 153 3 134 2201 1576 7 260 8 268 1*211 6 132 4 135 1576 1056 8 219 7*258 0 141 7 124 5 123 1056 657 10 186 4*234 1 103 7 118 4 112 657 383 9 167 3 220 1 092 7 114 4 093 383 217 7 158 2 212 1 090 6 112 4 071 217 122 4*149 2 207 1 081 5*110 3*057 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography