DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Williams 107ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 86.1 - - 87.2 - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 124 - - 29 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1770 - - 4200 - - 2617 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 724 - - 2584 - - 107 - - 107 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1877 - - 4307 - - 2724 - - 123 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2697 - - 4184 - - 5181 - - 2562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 350 - - 206 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 15 - - 18 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 010 - - 013 - - 055 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -14 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5469 - - -5341 - - -7732 - - -6175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7346 - - 9648 - - 10457 - - 6298 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8902 - - -9714 - - -10860 - - -8853 ODpotential blCL - - - 10779 - - 14021 - - 13584 - - 8976 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 82 - - 87 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.4 - - 86.1 - - 87.2 - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.7 - - 44.0 - - 41.6 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.7 - - 85.3 - - 87.1 - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 42.7 - - 40.3 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 124 - - 29 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1770 - - 4200 - - 2617 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 27 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99040 25 112 28 106 28 116 24 092 99040 91561 21 099 29 092 29 105 27 108 91561 85827 23 098 22 091 26 087 28 102 85827 81077 28 101 19 123 16 083 24 087 81077 76976 23 098 17 114 13 107 18 084 76976 73339 12 112 13 083 12 104 13 090 73339 70034 11 128 6 099 9 079 9 109 70034 66983 8 125 5 106 5 084 6 096 66983 64146 6 127 6 052 6 107 4 101 64146 61399 5 099 2 062 3 072 2 055 61399 58532 3 025 3 250 7 320 4 343 58532 55554 10 328 7 303 9 293 11 307 55554 52716 17 315 14 305 15 312 16 318 52716 50168 23 313 16 312 22 320 22 322 50168 47887 25 314 17 327 21 314 21 322 47887 45815 25 315 20 336 13 318 13 318 45815 43930 24 315 27 351 23 004 30 009 43930 42215 23 322 30 340 32 354 37 358 42215 40636 21 332 29 345 35 356 40 006 40636 39170 21 352 35 015 38 010 47 016 39170 37801 20 011 41 025 48 022 45 028 37801 36476 28 056 44 031 53 025 49 018 36476 35121 59 058 47 030 51 025 52 012 35121 33707 67 055 48 029 48 024 51 013 33707 32238 64 059 44 026 46 022 50 017 32238 30697 59 059 36 029 46 020 50 021 30697 29071 55 056 41 029 46 018 47 024 29071 27363 52 050 42 034 42 019 43 020 27363 25571 52 044 41 033 41 022 42 017 25571 23696 51 046 44 030 42 025 40 017 23696 21742 47 052 49 022 44 026 35 014 21742 19705 37 056 43 018 40 024 32 017 19705 17582 27 055 31 025 31 023 31 024 17582 15428 17 058 26 030 19 025 22 031 15428 13361 12 063 18 034 15 038 12 048 13361 11478 11 058 11 035 8 026 8 023 11478 9802 11 052 7 033 9 360 15 000 9802 8308 12 045 4 044 11 348 14 347 8308 6977 13 041 4 052 11 345 11 336 6977 5793 12 042 5 037 10 348 8 321 5793 4743 12 043 5*023 8 354 7 314 4743 3818 11 032 5*017 6 005 6 308 3818 3001 12 014 5 014 4*016 5 305 3001 2270 14*009 4 014 3*040 3 301 2270 1626 13*009 4 013 2 051 2 272 1626 1089 12 010 4 011 2 059 2 214 1089 677 12 010 4 011 2 063 3 189 677 393 11 011 3 011 2 067 4 183 393 221 10 011 3 009 2 065 4 180 221 123 8 010 3 009 1 068 3*176 123 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography