DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Williams 108ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.3 - - 99.8 - - 101.5 - - 89.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 126 - - 28 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1153 - - 2398 - - 2135 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 107 - - 1275 - - 108 - - 108 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1260 - - 2506 - - 2243 - - 124 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1279 - - 3067 - - 3584 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 288 - - 186 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 40 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 356 - - 149 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -9 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9596 - - -10489 - - -11125 - - -7152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10857 - - 12996 - - 13368 - - 7276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18374 - - -17725 - - -18006 - - -14674 ODpotential blCL - - - 19634 - - 20231 - - 20249 - - 14798 blCL maxRH - - - 18 - - 22 - - 20 - - 20 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.3 - - 99.8 - - 101.5 - - 89.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 43.3 - - 43.2 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.8 - - 98.8 - - 101.5 - - 93.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 42.0 - - 42.0 - - 57.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 126 - - 28 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1153 - - 2398 - - 2135 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99490 31 116 30 093 37 105 32 100 99490 91959 40 097 33 117 33 107 28 097 91959 86172 32 103 32 109 26 098 29 098 86172 81372 27 110 25 102 23 099 27 100 81372 77237 23 105 20 111 19 087 19 093 77237 73593 15 100 16 119 13 078 15 078 73593 70305 13 107 14 112 8 112 14 071 70305 67283 12 087 12 098 10 090 15 081 67283 64485 4 101 11 102 6 094 11 071 64485 61794 7 129 2 106 5 079 9 079 61794 59018 5 092 5 197 4 259 2 299 59018 56174 11 302 9 255 9 275 6 268 56174 53484 23 285 17 279 14 283 11 295 53484 51067 29 276 24 282 23 276 20 296 51067 48896 34 271 30 281 31 275 31 279 48896 46925 36 272 37 278 37 279 35 277 46925 45110 39 275 39 275 44 280 40 282 45110 43418 40 277 40 276 46 276 44 281 43418 41828 41 276 41 278 46 277 44 274 41828 40326 41 273 41 275 43 280 43 273 40326 38902 38 274 38 273 39 273 43 276 38902 37520 35 278 34 275 37 268 38 277 37520 36119 32 277 29 275 31 271 33 272 36119 34663 30 275 27 275 27 279 28 274 34663 33151 28 274 27 273 26 283 25 277 33151 31567 28 280 28 271 26 282 25 278 31567 29897 28 288 27 277 27 280 26 278 29897 28146 29 290 27 287 26 283 26 276 28146 26311 28 288 26 293 25 290 23 280 26311 24391 25 290 24 297 22 294 20 287 24391 22389 20 292 21 297 18 297 18 288 22389 20298 17 288 17 292 15 295 14 288 20298 18117 16 289 15 291 14 290 13 289 18117 15890 15 287 13 291 11 293 11 291 15890 13741 11 287 8 285 5 295 5 272 13741 11789 5 292 4 262 2 304 3 106 11789 10057 1 000 1 157 2 317 6 051 10057 8521 1 043 2 008 3 338 9 011 8521 7154 3 126 3 006 5 339 9 353 7154 5939 4 101 2 017 5 340 6 347 5939 4861 8 059 1 015 4 334 4 325 4861 3911 10 044 1 345 3 321 3 274 3911 3073 9 022 2*343 2 301 4 232 3073 2325 13 004 2*345 1*204 5 207 2325 1664 14*002 2 349 2*159 6 185 1664 1112 12*001 1 356 3 151 7 168 1112 691 10 001 1 006 3 148 9 158 691 400 9 002 1 020 3 146 9 155 400 225 8 003 1 023 3 145 7 155 225 124 7 003 1 030 3 147 4*156 124 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography