DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Williams 105ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.6 - - 60.4 - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 60.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 108 - - 179 - - 10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 638 - - 1850 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 105 - - 105 - - 965 - - 106 - - 105 Hcrit BL Top 121 - - 743 - - 1955 - - 1100 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 579 - - 1810 - - 2207 - - 218 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 167 - - 279 - - 90 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 13 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 331 - - 181 - - 153 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -8 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -800 - - -3003 - - -3317 - - -4118 - - -2422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 921 - - 3747 - - 5273 - - 5218 - - 2544 sfcLCL ODpotential -13137 - - -11698 - - -8056 - - -8067 - - -7370 ODpotential blCL 13258 - - 12441 - - 10011 - - 9167 - - 7492 blCL maxRH 69 - - 66 - - 53 - - 49 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.6 - - 60.4 - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 60.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.4 - - 44.8 - - 47.6 - - 48.4 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 59.6 - - 68.9 - - 70.4 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.9 - - 44.2 - - 47.2 - - 48.1 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 108 - - 179 - - 10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 638 - - 1850 - - 993 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97304 11 242 3 224 9 299 3 312 14 265 97304 90044 13 079 5 133 3 320 3 316 5 359 90044 84438 14 069 5 175 7 157 6 265 10 011 84438 79807 7 030 3 244 5 090 2 208 6 355 79807 75842 5 341 3 193 7 320 4 351 5 035 75842 72331 10 280 3 194 11 261 8 284 7 334 72331 69127 7 252 4 242 10 232 13 248 13 294 69127 66167 8 262 5 273 5 222 14 230 14 256 66167 63409 13 256 12 265 7 272 11 228 13 242 63409 60719 11 251 14 243 13 256 13 253 14 251 60719 57893 13 296 12 237 14 236 17 247 19 249 57893 54953 20 278 12 259 16 243 16 243 18 249 54953 52143 22 247 16 255 19 247 17 250 19 263 52143 49612 22 244 20 245 21 241 22 249 25 259 49612 47345 22 252 23 241 25 236 27 246 27 262 47345 45302 21 259 25 239 27 244 26 258 24 270 45302 43445 23 263 26 244 30 258 30 275 24 286 43445 41747 26 259 27 249 35 262 37 279 38 292 41747 40187 28 262 29 255 35 261 40 273 40 283 40187 38738 30 263 32 259 35 261 37 267 36 285 38738 37374 30 266 38 257 38 261 36 273 36 294 37374 36055 31 268 41 258 43 259 38 280 39 300 36055 34709 35 270 42 258 45 254 39 279 41 288 34709 33311 35 276 39 257 44 252 35 268 45 275 33311 31866 34 278 37 256 42 255 39 259 50 262 31866 30355 32 265 35 257 40 260 44 255 49 262 30355 28761 31 261 36 256 39 259 43 258 48 263 28761 27084 29 267 34 256 40 251 41 257 48 264 27084 25323 28 270 31 259 37 251 42 251 48 266 25323 23478 26 266 28 261 33 255 40 250 48 266 23478 21554 24 262 27 261 30 253 38 251 44 262 21554 19544 23 266 27 262 30 253 37 249 41 255 19544 17439 21 273 26 266 28 255 36 253 38 259 17439 15281 19 272 23 268 24 258 31 260 34 263 15281 13196 16 262 18 267 18 259 24 263 27 261 13196 11301 15 265 13 267 13 248 17 258 20 250 11301 9622 11 282 8 262 11 235 13 251 16 235 9622 8137 5 276 5 219 10 230 10 243 14 223 8137 6822 5 208 6 202 9 231 7 241 14 213 6822 5658 6 193 6 196 9 227 7 251 13 211 5658 4629 7 187 7 185 9 221 10 249 12 214 4629 3723 7 187 9 177 8 218 10 238 12 222 3723 2925 7 193 8 169 8 213 9 223 13 224 2925 2212 6 201 7 162 6*204 8 197 15 222 2212 1583 4 203 4 159 4*191 9*170 16 217 1583 1060 1 155 1*351 4 180 9*156 15 209 1060 658 2 016 3*330 4 179 9 153 14 202 658 383 3 351 3 331 4 178 8 153 12 199 383 217 3 348 2 332 3 177 8 152 7*201 217 122 2*355 2 331 3 177 6 152 5*201 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography