DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Animas_CO 8800ft pt30207@37.366,-108.034,9098ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -1.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.6 - - 43.5 - - 36.0 - - 36.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 98 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 - - 9345 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 - - 9362 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1163 - - 1702 - - 649 - - 628 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 144 - - 167 - - 0 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 140 - - 050 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 7 - - -8 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6182 - - -4577 - - -2878 - - -6501 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15545 - - 13940 - - 12241 - - 15864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11955 - - -9796 - - -9778 - - -14542 ODpotential blCL - - - 21317 - - 19158 - - 19140 - - 23904 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 55 - - 84 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.6 - - 43.5 - - 36.0 - - 36.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.2 - - 15.8 - - 15.9 - - 1.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 41.9 - - 39.4 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.3 - - 15.0 - - 15.1 - - 0.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 98 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 - - 562 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96170 38 291 35 339 19 021 27 036 96170 89299 22 017 28 027 26 043 29 030 89299 83892 27 044 22 041 32 054 41 049 83892 79383 20 042 18 033 33 044 44 056 79383 75486 18 049 18 038 28 029 35 047 75486 72037 19 031 13 048 22 040 25 043 72037 68897 14 018 17 032 20 032 15 031 68897 65990 16 001 15 002 17 024 13 020 65990 63288 17 349 16 347 19 358 20 358 63288 60677 22 341 21 350 19 339 29 345 60677 57960 19 343 17 339 15 325 23 321 57960 55142 20 335 17 331 17 330 17 325 55142 52445 22 323 19 324 19 319 17 323 52445 49999 24 314 22 322 20 311 17 310 49999 47796 21 300 22 312 22 310 17 310 47796 45783 18 288 20 288 22 298 19 301 45783 43927 20 283 19 286 18 289 16 286 43927 42211 24 280 26 283 24 282 22 281 42211 40627 26 281 31 274 28 272 25 269 40627 39169 33 288 34 275 31 271 28 269 39169 37828 37 288 33 277 37 273 32 271 37828 36566 36 290 33 280 42 274 34 275 36566 35314 32 294 32 279 39 278 39 277 35314 34041 29 292 31 280 35 272 42 278 34041 32752 27 288 29 283 33 269 34 281 32752 31442 27 286 27 287 27 276 27 279 31442 30105 26 285 24 292 23 284 21 279 30105 28746 24 282 23 294 19 292 16 291 28746 27367 24 282 22 291 17 301 14 296 27367 25973 22 285 22 291 16 307 11 299 25973 24569 17 281 19 293 17 310 10 315 24569 23154 12 261 14 280 16 314 10 328 23154 21721 10 247 12 255 11 303 8 328 21721 20296 9 250 12 243 9 268 6 288 20296 18943 9 256 11 247 11 254 9 263 18943 17717 10 257 10 260 10 261 10 258 17717 16620 10 259 10 271 9 277 9 261 16620 15626 10 262 9 278 8 291 8 269 15626 14719 10 265 9 281 8 298 7 280 14719 13887 10 268 7 281 7 300 7 289 13887 13125 9 271 6 280 5 298 6 293 13125 12429 7 272 4 276 3 294 5 293 12429 11794 4 267 2 267 0 247 4 286 11794 11207 1 240 1 226 1 138 1 269 11207 10672 2 115 0 182 2 136 1 162 10672 10215 3 101 1 143 1 101 3 104 10215 9856 3 100 2 142 1 056 4 090 9856 9605 3 102 2 139 1 063 4 068 9605 9451 3*104 2*140 1*063 4*067 9451 9362 3*104 2*140 1*050 4*040 9362 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography