DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Bend_OR 3403ft pt44003@44.099,-121.036,3455ft SPONSORED BY: Wade Carman BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.2 - - 48.4 - - 56.7 - - 58.8 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 403 - - 493 - - 259 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3366 - - 5292 - - 6250 - - 154 BL Depth Hcrit 3540 - - 5697 - - 7281 - - 7763 - - 3541 Hcrit BL Top 3556 - - 6769 - - 8695 - - 9653 - - 3557 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1299 - - 925 - - 1345 - - 1666 - - 5325 Hgt.Variab. W* 79 - - 458 - - 570 - - 487 - - 13 W* B/S 4 - - 22 - - 26 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 307 - - 015 - - 010 - - 006 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 2 - - -4 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3584 - - -2796 - - -3472 - - -2336 - - -6337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7140 - - 9565 - - 12168 - - 11989 - - 9895 sfcLCL ODpotential -9324 - - -7458 - - -6818 - - -5252 - - -10337 ODpotential blCL 12880 - - 14227 - - 15513 - - 14905 - - 13894 blCL maxRH 49 - - 48 - - 39 - - 46 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.2 - - 48.4 - - 56.7 - - 58.8 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 18.8 - - 15.3 - - 18.2 - - 20.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.6 - - 46.0 - - 53.9 - - 56.8 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.7 - - 18.7 - - 14.9 - - 17.9 - - 20.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 403 - - 493 - - 259 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 153 - - 3366 - - 5292 - - 6250 - - 154 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97566 8 095 7 129 2 164 3 357 8 063 97566 90186 11 089 6 151 4 160 3 315 6 065 90186 84501 6 088 4 188 3 276 1 086 0 071 84501 79775 1 245 7 236 6 265 3 304 1 207 79775 75690 4 243 4 244 6 217 12 261 3 244 75690 72063 8 278 7 275 6 252 16 244 7 242 72063 68762 13 271 11 269 11 268 15 256 9 260 68762 65711 14 253 13 273 11 279 14 256 12 267 65711 62872 14 266 15 261 14 282 14 262 15 268 62872 60113 14 271 16 256 19 269 17 271 16 267 60113 57230 15 275 18 259 20 267 18 280 16 267 57230 54242 17 276 17 256 22 274 21 276 17 263 54242 51395 20 283 15 259 21 262 23 272 18 265 51395 48844 22 279 17 275 19 255 24 270 19 272 48844 46572 22 278 21 280 21 270 24 270 21 276 46572 44524 23 280 21 276 25 274 26 275 20 275 44524 42656 22 283 19 281 23 274 25 274 21 285 42656 40941 22 285 20 290 20 279 22 279 23 290 40941 39360 22 283 22 301 16 289 16 287 22 291 39360 37896 22 290 22 310 14 310 14 313 17 310 37896 36540 21 301 21 316 16 326 16 320 19 326 36540 35263 16 308 19 323 14 353 10 342 12 341 35263 33991 14 347 18 358 19 029 16 040 16 034 33991 32689 18 009 24 023 30 034 25 040 21 033 32689 31354 22 024 26 030 33 033 28 028 21 024 31354 29971 25 031 26 033 34 034 27 028 19 023 29971 28527 26 033 26 034 34 035 24 027 17 027 28527 27024 25 033 25 033 34 036 21 024 16 027 27024 25463 23 032 23 033 31 041 18 023 14 020 25463 23846 21 032 21 035 24 039 17 022 14 010 23846 22173 18 029 18 038 20 035 15 022 14 009 22173 20441 16 023 15 042 16 037 13 024 11 006 20441 18643 13 021 14 046 12 041 11 026 8 004 18643 16819 10 024 13 045 10 051 8 025 7 006 16819 15064 10 029 11 041 9 063 6 023 6 010 15064 13467 8 029 9 041 8 067 3 014 4 358 13467 12044 6 028 7 055 6 077 1 001 2 288 12044 10773 5 038 7 071 5 104 4*052 5 161 10773 9637 6 057 8 071 3*081 6*034 5 127 9637 8620 8 061 9 065 3*044 6 028 5 071 8620 7710 8 057 6 062 3 033 6 017 8 041 7710 6899 8 057 4*035 4 020 7 007 12 033 6899 6177 8 060 4*027 4 011 8 002 14 030 6177 5523 6 058 4 020 4 004 8 358 16 027 5523 4940 4 035 4 016 4 359 9 356 17 023 4940 4450 6 350 4 011 5 355 9 353 17 020 4450 4071 8 331 4 009 5 353 9 351 17 016 4071 3808 7 318 4 009 5 351 9 351 14 011 3808 3649 4*308 4 007 5 351 9 351 12*007 3649 3557 4*307 3 007 5 351 8 350 7*003 3557 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography