DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 66.0 - - 69.8 - - 68.4 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 111 - - 463 - - 499 - - 138 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 565 - - 9757 - - 12132 - - 12220 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 14201 - - 16203 - - 15345 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7250 - - 16442 - - 18817 - - 18905 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 681 - - 1966 - - 2225 - - 2377 - - 327 Hgt.Variab. W* 170 - - 705 - - 778 - - 510 - - 8 W* B/S 5 - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 14 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 102 - - 200 - - 217 - - 222 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 15 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 5 - - 7 - - -16 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7942 - - -1047 - - -68 - - -1743 - - -10047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15193 - - 17490 - - 18886 - - 20649 - - 16847 sfcLCL ODpotential -12623 - - -3671 - - -2406 - - -4591 - - -14382 ODpotential blCL 19873 - - 20113 - - 21223 - - 23496 - - 21181 blCL maxRH 59 - - 68 - - 49 - - 47 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 66.0 - - 69.8 - - 68.4 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.1 - - 12.2 - - 9.4 - - -0.0 - - 5.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 63.4 - - 67.0 - - 67.5 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.9 - - 11.5 - - 8.5 - - -1.0 - - 5.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 111 - - 463 - - 499 - - 138 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 565 - - 9757 - - 12132 - - 12220 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97564 10 083 4 193 1 329 3 291 6 297 97564 90185 1 099 2 220 7 009 9 065 5 068 90185 84536 13 067 3 272 4 278 14 356 14 081 84536 79843 9 068 5 210 7 161 11 291 8 357 79843 75786 3 276 6 122 8 157 4 190 9 272 75786 72193 4 079 8 275 8 274 6 043 2 039 72193 68944 3 012 10 235 18 240 11 290 15 331 68944 65971 10 255 10 247 19 234 24 251 18 275 65971 63228 17 267 15 280 9 256 16 266 18 265 63228 60553 32 272 25 284 20 279 23 279 25 262 60553 57744 45 265 38 271 32 264 33 259 30 255 57744 54822 50 264 44 265 41 266 36 264 33 260 54822 52023 53 265 50 267 51 265 43 269 38 264 52023 49499 55 266 59 262 61 262 52 264 46 266 49499 47242 56 264 63 257 64 258 58 260 53 263 47242 45202 56 263 61 256 61 258 58 257 54 260 45202 43345 56 267 60 258 61 259 56 256 52 258 43345 41648 57 270 61 259 64 258 58 257 50 258 41648 40089 58 270 58 259 64 253 61 254 50 256 40089 38647 55 268 56 259 61 249 62 249 52 251 38647 37307 50 265 54 258 58 249 61 246 51 246 37307 36035 45 264 53 257 56 249 55 246 47 244 36035 34767 41 264 52 256 54 250 50 247 42 243 34767 33478 40 259 49 254 49 249 45 248 37 240 33478 32169 41 258 45 251 43 247 42 248 35 239 32169 30831 40 254 42 248 40 245 38 246 33 236 30831 29453 32 241 38 248 38 245 35 245 31 232 29453 28036 28 240 32 245 35 242 33 245 31 231 28036 26586 27 246 29 242 31 236 32 244 32 232 26586 25105 25 244 26 241 27 233 29 241 31 232 25105 23597 22 238 24 238 24 235 27 235 30 226 23597 22056 20 241 22 230 23 231 26 225 29 215 22056 20478 21 246 18 224 22 225 25*216 31 207 20478 18888 24 241 18 234 18*218 21*215 32 202 18888 17364 27 232 22*231 15*211 18 219 31 202 17364 15975 25 229 19*222 14 211 18 221 24 207 15975 14730 19 230 15 213 14 212 18 222 16 219 14730 13608 9 231 11 205 14 212 18 223 14 232 13608 12590 4 245 9 194 14 215 17 224 14 240 12590 11664 4 233 7 186 14 217 17 224 16 247 11664 10824 4 203 7 184 14 219 17 225 17 255 10824 10065 4 184 7 184 14 220 17 225 18 263 10065 9378 4 169 7 184 14 221 16 225 20 269 9378 8748 6 147 7 185 14 223 16 225 21 274 8748 8178 7 130 7 185 14 224 16 225 22 277 8178 7694 8 117 6 187 14 224 15 225 21 277 7694 7316 8*105 6 187 14 225 15 225 19 277 7316 7053 7*102 6 188 13 225 14 225 15 276 7053 6892 6 102 6 189 13 225 14 225 11*273 6892 6799 6 102 5 189 12 225 12 224 6*271 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography