DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.8 - - 82.8 - - 88.1 - - 86.1 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 433 - - 483 - - 160 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 384 - - 7981 - - 9775 - - 8945 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 8072 - - 9588 - - 8212 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2484 - - 10081 - - 11875 - - 11045 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 835 - - 1340 - - 1602 - - 1910 - - 3003 Hgt.Variab. W* 124 - - 618 - - 686 - - 461 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 13 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 202 - - 225 - - 240 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 12 - - 7 - - -8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -11102 - - -6643 - - -6776 - - -7774 - - -12589 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13587 - - 16725 - - 18652 - - 18820 - - 14734 sfcLCL ODpotential -18627 - - -11294 - - -10163 - - -10964 - - -17522 ODpotential blCL 21111 - - 21375 - - 22038 - - 22009 - - 19666 blCL maxRH 20 - - 23 - - 23 - - 29 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.8 - - 82.8 - - 88.1 - - 86.1 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.9 - - 15.5 - - 11.3 - - 8.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.1 - - 80.1 - - 85.2 - - 84.8 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.8 - - 15.4 - - 11.3 - - 8.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 433 - - 483 - - 160 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 384 - - 7981 - - 9775 - - 8945 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97536 9 270 3 230 9 247 9 296 8 331 97536 90138 9 130 7 270 6 000 6 048 7 063 90138 84492 13 097 8 124 4 011 9 073 10 059 84492 79806 16 064 12 090 7 129 3 122 7 078 79806 75761 10 015 4 096 12 128 4 074 8 073 75761 72185 6 325 7 009 5 135 2 041 6 009 72185 68972 3 295 11 309 4 311 6 295 9 321 68972 66041 13 277 15 257 12 262 10 256 7 264 66041 63310 17 292 16 256 18 263 21 273 14 261 63310 60650 32 282 23 266 23 249 29 253 28 258 60650 57880 43 263 33 265 32 255 37 255 38 255 57880 55001 53 253 49 263 47 259 44 262 45 257 55001 52246 59 257 61 260 59 263 60 266 59 262 52246 49770 67 256 71 256 74 260 75 260 68 263 49770 47550 67 255 74 254 78 257 75 259 71 263 47550 45538 70 260 73 256 76 256 71 261 73 265 45538 43700 76 262 74 257 77 259 74 266 79 266 43700 42012 80 261 79 256 81 257 80 267 83 266 42012 40449 80 261 80 256 82 256 82 265 84 265 40449 38990 76 262 75 255 77 256 81 264 83 266 38990 37620 72 261 67 252 72 255 76 264 80 266 37620 36300 67 260 64 250 67 251 71 262 75 266 36300 34963 63 260 61 249 62 249 67 259 69 269 34963 33580 57 260 58 249 60 249 63 257 64 270 33580 32156 52 257 56 249 59 248 59 259 59 269 32156 30679 50 256 54 250 57 248 57 258 53 269 30679 29133 48 254 50 250 53 249 52 256 49 270 29133 27519 45 252 43 250 46 248 45 256 45 271 27519 25837 43 252 40 250 39 245 36 254 40 270 25837 24097 42 254 38 252 34 248 31 248 31 268 24097 22303 34 255 32 250 30 249 27 246 25 257 22303 20440 27 251 28 245 28 243 25 243 24 250 20440 18497 27 246 28 243 28 242 23 248 21 255 18497 16511 27 238 28 243 26 245 19 253 18 262 16511 14592 26 229 27 238 23 237 16 242 13 261 14592 12843 24 224 24 224 17*214 14 213 11 232 12843 11286 20 214 21*206 15*213 13*219 12 211 11286 9899 15 201 14*197 14 214 13*222 11 191 9899 8660 13 187 13 197 14 216 13 226 9 194 8660 7554 12 173 12 199 13 221 15 237 9 212 7554 6568 11 168 10 201 13 226 15 240 11 229 6568 5695 10 172 9 203 13 230 16 243 14 242 5695 4920 9 181 8 205 13 233 16 245 17 248 4920 4222 8 192 7 208 13 235 16 247 20 252 4222 3602 8 202 6 211 13 238 16 248 22 254 3602 3084 8 204 6 213 13 239 16 248 23 256 3084 2683 6*196 5 215 13 240 16 249 22 258 2683 2408 3*171 5 216 12 241 16 249 18 258 2408 2240 3 167 5 215 12 241 15 249 14 258 2240 2144 3 166 4 216 11 241 13 250 8*257 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography