DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 1.0 - - 5.5 - - 0.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 81 - - 19 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 521 - - 509 - - 12 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1066 - - 1066 - - 1066 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1591 - - 1579 - - 1082 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 200 - - 311 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 141 - - 87 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 277 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -795 - - -751 - - -862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2386 - - 2330 - - 1944 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -19602 - - -19177 - - -21239 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 21193 - - 20756 - - 22321 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 79 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 1.0 - - 5.5 - - 0.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -4.9 - - -0.1 - - -3.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 1.0 - - 5.7 - - 2.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -5.8 - - -0.6 - - -1.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 81 - - 19 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 521 - - 509 - - 12 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 12 - - 17 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94681 70 281 50 295 55 315 94681 87964 58 294 52 299 49 311 87964 82757 45 301 53 307 58 320 82757 78390 42 307 50 311 61 324 78390 74583 41 306 53 312 60 326 74583 71176 39 305 48 310 60 324 71176 68058 40 308 45 314 55 318 68058 65156 42 310 51 316 48 322 65156 62427 43 311 50 316 52 328 62427 59758 48 312 51 320 59 327 59758 56957 50 316 60 319 62 322 56957 54045 53 321 65 316 63 320 54045 51268 62 319 62 319 66 325 51268 48771 67 315 67 330 71 322 48771 46531 69 320 76 333 66 322 46531 44484 76 327 79 329 69 329 44484 42601 82 326 81 327 82 320 42601 40880 82 325 81 325 83 312 40880 39302 82 328 86 324 82 314 39302 37841 85 333 94 321 86 318 37841 36486 95 333 99 322 89 318 36486 35196 105 332 103 328 89 318 35196 33894 108 333 108 331 90 317 33894 32542 108 335 111 332 89 318 32542 31137 109 336 110 333 87 320 31137 29663 109 337 107 332 83 320 29663 28106 109 337 100 333 79 320 28106 26467 106 338 95 334 76 315 26467 24747 101 339 92 337 74 312 24747 22949 99 338 88 338 73 311 22949 21076 100 338 84 334 68 314 21076 19128 89 339 81 334 55 318 19128 17099 73 343 72 338 49 320 17099 15038 57 339 58 338 44 321 15038 13067 44 331 47 335 39 317 13067 11286 36 333 39 329 35 315 11286 9713 32 339 32 325 29 315 9713 8330 28 343 25 322 21 317 8330 7114 25 346 20 320 16 308 7114 6045 22 347 16 322 14 296 6045 5106 16 355 11 320 11 287 5106 4284 14 001 7 326 7 268 4284 3564 16 339 9 330 6 251 3564 2924 16 325 11 313 8 261 2924 2363 18 322 14 302 13 264 2363 1901 19*313 14*294 18 261 1901 1550 15*303 11*280 18 255 1550 1310 13 301 10 277 15 252 1310 1165 12 300 9 276 13 251 1165 1082 9 299 7 275 6*250 1082 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography