DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 58.4 - - 64.8 - - 62.8 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 366 - - 466 - - 249 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1455 - - 3645 - - 2455 - - 109 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3895 - - 5618 - - 4518 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4516 - - 6706 - - 5516 - - 3169 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 404 - - 952 - - 1518 - - 2317 - - 643 Hgt.Variab. W* 28 - - 337 - - 495 - - 353 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 306 - - 275 - - 284 - - 295 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 6 - - 6 - - -9 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4408 - - -3376 - - -4317 - - -4291 - - -3914 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7485 - - 7892 - - 11024 - - 9808 - - 7083 sfcLCL ODpotential -11564 - - -9672 - - -9629 - - -8781 - - -10361 ODpotential blCL 14641 - - 14188 - - 16335 - - 14297 - - 13530 blCL maxRH 40 - - 49 - - 65 - - 69 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 58.4 - - 64.8 - - 62.8 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 34.5 - - 26.9 - - 30.5 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 56.3 - - 62.1 - - 61.3 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.7 - - 33.6 - - 25.7 - - 29.6 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 366 - - 466 - - 249 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1455 - - 3645 - - 2455 - - 109 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97501 2 156 4 148 11 140 3 222 2 300 97501 90136 4 128 3 126 5 071 4 107 8 077 90136 84499 7 137 6 229 7 247 6 326 9 057 84499 79813 2 348 5 121 7 189 5 259 6 278 79813 75771 4 302 6 270 5 278 4 291 4 257 75771 72185 14 297 12 284 15 279 11 279 6 286 72185 68931 21 288 13 280 11 277 13 273 12 282 68931 65935 22 281 20 273 14 273 16 254 16 273 65935 63137 24 280 26 268 22 260 19 248 16 266 63137 60405 27 271 28 265 28 259 25 265 21 266 60405 57546 31 263 29 261 34 259 34 261 28 260 57546 54584 35 264 29 256 36 254 36 263 34 260 54584 51764 38 265 33 262 38 260 40 265 39 266 51764 49238 42 264 41 263 44 262 44 268 45 268 49238 46987 46 265 44 264 45 262 48 265 49 266 46987 44959 45 267 43 266 45 265 46 265 46 265 44959 43114 44 269 43 269 45 271 46 271 46 273 43114 41420 46 273 45 274 47 276 53 274 49 277 41420 39860 45 275 46 277 50 278 57 273 54 281 39860 38415 39 278 46 280 52 278 58 273 57 282 38415 37069 36 284 48 283 50 276 58 273 57 283 37069 35782 35 287 48 285 47 275 58 274 54 283 35782 34486 32 288 45 286 46 273 55 274 50 283 34486 33152 30 291 40 284 46 275 48 274 46 285 33152 31780 29 292 37 281 44 276 48 273 43 286 31780 30357 27 290 36 282 42 276 47 271 40 283 30357 28873 25 290 35 284 38 277 45 273 36 277 28873 27326 23 290 34 283 36 277 41 275 34 279 27326 25715 21 292 32 282 36 275 37 275 33 281 25715 24041 20 291 29 281 34 273 35 271 32 279 24041 22309 20 283 26 273 31 269 34 272 31 276 22309 20514 23 277 26 265 29 265 30 276 28 280 20514 18651 25 276 29 262 29 264 26 277 23 286 18651 16758 22 278 28 265 28 266 23 278 20 288 16758 14934 18 280 24 270 25 271 21 279 19 287 14934 13272 17 279 20 274 21 275 18 281 18 286 13272 11792 17 277 17 275 16 278 14 284 15 286 11792 10472 17 278 16 275 13 279 11 290 13 286 10472 9294 15 281 14 277 10 282 7 294 11 284 9294 8242 13 283 12 282 5 290 2 291 8 265 8242 7305 11 286 10 286 4*293 1 269 5 224 7305 6473 9 289 8 290 5*292 2 283 5 219 6473 5732 8 293 8 288 6 288 5*288 7 245 5732 5065 7 299 8*283 7 286 7*295 9 265 5065 4471 8 302 8*279 8 284 9 296 11 283 4471 3974 10 303 9 276 9 282 10 296 12 300 3974 3592 11 300 9 275 9 281 10 295 12 312 3592 3329 10 299 9 274 9 279 10 294 11*315 3329 3169 8*299 8 273 9 280 10 293 9*315 3169 3077 4*306 7 272 8 278 8 293 5 315 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography