DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 52.9 - - 56.1 - - 55.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 29 - - 193 - - 295 - - 169 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 534 - - 1458 - - 1941 - - 1634 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1175 - - 1661 - - 1248 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 1077 - - 2001 - - 2485 - - 2178 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 946 - - 801 - - 480 - - 680 - - 1860 Hgt.Variab. W* 103 - - 268 - - 339 - - 267 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 263 - - 264 - - 262 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 7 - - 488 - - 216 - - -11 - - -489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1070 - - 1513 - - 2269 - - 2189 - - 1049 sfcLCL ODpotential -7936 - - 267 - - -41 - - -6476 - - -832 ODpotential blCL 9013 - - 1734 - - 2526 - - 8654 - - 1392 blCL maxRH 94 - - 99 - - 95 - - 92 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 52.9 - - 56.1 - - 55.2 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.4 - - 48.2 - - 48.1 - - 47.6 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 51.6 - - 54.3 - - 54.1 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.1 - - 47.6 - - 47.3 - - 46.9 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 29 - - 193 - - 295 - - 169 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 534 - - 1458 - - 1941 - - 1634 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 77 - - 95 - - 78 - - 66 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97520 2 140 4 129 10 138 5 173 0 291 97520 90147 4 172 0 242 4 097 6 102 8 076 90147 84505 5 110 8 204 6 245 6 322 9 067 84505 79809 2 354 4 166 8 186 5 271 4 271 79809 75757 7 287 7 253 8 252 4 282 4 273 75757 72169 8 317 9 271 12 282 10 261 5 287 72169 68917 20 284 13 274 9 282 12 253 10 283 68917 65916 25 277 21 266 15 260 13 253 14 260 65916 63110 23 281 23 265 23 258 19 259 15 256 63110 60367 25 276 27 265 30 260 28 267 23 264 60367 57500 29 265 30 259 35 257 35 261 31 259 57500 54536 35 264 31 258 35 258 36 261 35 262 54536 51719 41 267 34 264 36 260 38 268 40 267 51719 49195 45 267 37 265 39 263 43 267 42 267 49195 46944 44 265 39 264 41 263 44 265 42 267 46944 44912 42 268 37 267 40 266 42 268 40 268 44912 43059 43 271 36 275 40 271 43 273 43 273 43059 41359 40 269 42 279 44 275 47 275 46 278 41359 39794 38 273 47 278 46 275 48 275 50 282 39794 38345 38 280 49 278 46 276 48 274 52 285 38345 36997 38 286 52 278 47 275 47 275 52 286 36997 35701 39 289 52 278 46 274 46 276 47 288 35701 34387 38 288 49 279 45 273 42 274 44 290 34387 33018 35 285 45 280 44 274 39 275 44 290 33018 31597 34 284 41 279 41 274 39 274 41 289 31597 30109 34 284 41 280 38 276 38 274 38 287 30109 28542 34 283 40 279 37 279 38 275 37 284 28542 26896 33 283 38 277 37 279 37 275 36 283 26896 25168 33 283 36 275 35 275 34 275 34 281 25168 23359 32 285 35 275 34 272 31 274 31 279 23359 21473 28 280 31 272 33 272 31 277 28 279 21473 19504 29 275 28 271 29 272 29 281 25 285 19504 17447 28 273 27 273 28 273 27 286 21 293 17447 15345 23 276 24 276 24 276 21 287 17 291 15345 13316 20 277 20 280 19 277 15 289 13 289 13316 11470 19 277 17 283 17 278 13 289 11 286 11470 9829 18 276 15 282 16 280 12 293 11 292 9829 8374 17 274 13 285 12 288 13 304 11 308 8374 7083 15 278 11 296 10 296 14 311 11 323 7083 5940 15 292 12 304 11 301 15 313 12 323 5940 4931 15 301 13 304 12 300 14 311 11 318 4931 4044 14 303 14 299 12 297 12 315 10 317 4044 3266 12 300 13 291 12 286 11 309 9 317 3266 2575 10 294 13*276 13*270 12*280 11 300 2575 1969 10 278 13*267 14*265 14*266 13 280 1969 1466 12*263 12 263 14 264 15 262 14 270 1466 1079 12*255 12 262 14 264 15 261 14 265 1079 814 10 251 11 260 13 264 14 260 12 261 814 652 8 250 10 260 12 263 13 260 10 258 652 560 6 249 8 260 10 263 10 259 6*256 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography