DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.0 - - 54.4 - - 61.0 - - 58.8 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 269 - - 454 - - 254 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 600 - - 1461 - - 1095 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4416 - - 4019 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 4137 - - 4998 - - 4632 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1419 - - 579 - - 778 - - 795 - - 1491 Hgt.Variab. W* 41 - - 225 - - 360 - - 270 - - 18 W* B/S 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 205 - - 224 - - 217 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 26 - - 34 - - 37 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -559 - - 679 - - -129 - - 60 - - -439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3181 - - 3458 - - 5127 - - 4572 - - 3062 sfcLCL ODpotential -7061 - - -4631 - - -4303 - - -4482 - - -6912 ODpotential blCL 9683 - - 8768 - - 9301 - - 9114 - - 9535 blCL maxRH 87 - - 97 - - 83 - - 87 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.0 - - 54.4 - - 61.0 - - 58.8 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 48.2 - - 47.4 - - 47.7 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 53.4 - - 59.2 - - 57.9 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 47.7 - - 46.7 - - 47.3 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 269 - - 454 - - 254 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 600 - - 1461 - - 1095 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 86 - - 31 - - 50 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97503 5 270 3 190 5 139 6 210 5 303 97503 90115 5 087 7 161 3 158 7 040 8 064 90115 84480 5 126 3 150 3 176 4 002 11 052 84480 79795 9 134 4 139 5 152 3 276 6 344 79795 75753 3 032 2 257 2 228 2 357 5 242 75753 72181 8 307 13 296 10 303 5 310 4 319 72181 68951 10 292 9 289 9 267 8 253 8 277 68951 65982 15 293 13 272 14 252 12 272 9 283 65982 63206 23 278 19 266 20 250 21 265 17 274 63206 60499 26 262 22 265 22 250 24 253 26 258 60499 57678 32 265 30 266 30 263 33 264 31 269 57678 54752 42 263 38 259 40 257 44 263 41 269 54752 51956 44 258 41 255 45 260 51 257 48 258 51956 49441 46 260 41 262 52 261 49 259 49 260 49441 47194 50 263 50 267 48 262 53 267 53 265 47194 45168 56 266 54 266 50 268 59 268 58 265 45168 43329 58 263 53 263 55 270 61 265 59 265 43329 41651 52 260 50 264 55 275 56 270 58 270 41651 40105 50 262 47 268 55 280 60 279 63 275 40105 38667 49 263 45 272 53 279 68 282 71 278 38667 37321 45 263 40 278 47 278 72 282 76 279 37321 36026 42 262 36 284 42 281 67 282 77 279 36026 34716 41 261 33 286 41 286 57 283 71 278 34716 33364 39 260 31 287 40 290 53 286 67 279 33364 31971 36 261 29 289 39 291 50 288 62 280 31971 30523 32 263 29 288 37 291 48 286 59 280 30523 29010 28 265 28 280 34 292 45 282 54 281 29010 27433 24 268 28 269 32 295 40 283 46 283 27433 25789 23 268 28 263 30 297 36 283 40 282 25789 24078 23 261 26 262 26 296 35 286 36 278 24078 22303 22 253 23 258 23 288 31 283 33 274 22303 20461 22 252 23 257 20 277 25 279 29 274 20461 18549 23 260 23 264 19 269 20 280 23 277 18549 16605 21 267 21 274 19 270 18 282 20 279 16605 14728 16 274 17 279 16 274 17 284 17 283 14728 13016 11 283 13 282 13 279 16 282 16 284 13016 11492 9 294 10 284 11 286 15 284 16 283 11492 10135 11 306 11 292 11 294 15 288 16 284 10135 8926 14 310 13 295 12 298 14 294 16 288 8926 7847 14 311 14 296 13 300 13 297 15 296 7847 6886 13 312 14 299 11 300 11 295 15 303 6886 6037 12 315 12 302 7 296 8 291 12 305 6037 5285 11 317 8 304 5*270 4*271 9 302 5285 4611 9 318 4*297 4*236 4*233 5 291 4611 4016 5 316 2*223 5 227 6 217 3 258 4016 3519 2 291 4 203 6 222 7 216 2 198 3519 3137 1 253 5 203 7 222 8 216 4 193 3137 2874 1 219 6 204 7 220 8 216 4 195 2874 2713 1*212 6 204 7 220 8 215 3*197 2713 2622 1*213 5 206 7 220 7 216 3*198 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography