DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 50.7 - - 55.7 - - 54.6 - - 49.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 157 - - 310 - - 204 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 315 - - 1122 - - 1858 - - 1574 - - 537 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 965 - - 1784 - - 1448 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 1027 - - 1834 - - 2570 - - 2286 - - 1249 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1140 - - 767 - - 494 - - 533 - - 1151 Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 229 - - 340 - - 280 - - 105 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 246 - - 257 - - 260 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 250 - - 527 - - 167 - - 74 - - 278 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 777 - - 1307 - - 2404 - - 2212 - - 971 sfcLCL ODpotential 143 - - 580 - - -5890 - - -6110 - - 148 ODpotential blCL 884 - - 1254 - - 8460 - - 8396 - - 1101 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 50.7 - - 55.7 - - 54.6 - - 49.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.6 - - 47.5 - - 47.6 - - 47.5 - - 47.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 49.8 - - 54.1 - - 53.4 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.4 - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 46.8 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 157 - - 310 - - 204 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 315 - - 1122 - - 1858 - - 1574 - - 537 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 100 - - 88 - - 69 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97536 3 074 3 113 7 122 7 181 1 173 97536 90162 8 216 2 177 4 199 6 067 5 110 90162 84512 5 115 8 229 5 238 7 307 13 072 84512 79809 6 058 7 195 7 195 6 217 2 002 79809 75746 8 288 5 277 5 244 4 255 2 309 75746 72148 7 286 10 260 12 253 11 246 10 272 72148 68893 16 281 16 267 13 265 13 244 13 266 68893 65888 24 275 22 270 19 266 18 257 16 253 65888 63074 26 271 26 266 26 263 24 264 20 251 63074 60328 23 267 27 260 31 262 28 272 25 268 60328 57458 25 266 28 258 34 259 34 266 32 264 57458 54489 33 266 29 260 36 255 35 261 34 259 54489 51667 37 268 31 267 33 257 35 264 35 263 51667 49137 39 266 34 268 34 266 38 267 37 266 49137 46879 36 264 36 267 37 267 40 268 38 269 46879 44840 38 269 37 269 38 266 39 270 39 271 44840 42983 41 270 36 274 37 268 40 271 41 275 42983 41283 43 270 40 280 39 272 42 274 43 277 41283 39719 43 273 46 279 42 273 44 274 45 281 39719 38277 44 279 50 278 44 276 41 272 47 285 38277 36936 44 283 55 279 46 277 37 274 44 283 36936 35648 44 286 56 278 47 277 35 275 40 282 35648 34336 44 286 53 281 46 277 35 274 39 282 34336 32970 41 283 50 282 43 278 35 275 40 284 32970 31553 40 281 47 282 42 277 37 275 37 286 31553 30070 38 280 45 281 40 278 37 275 36 286 30070 28510 38 280 42 281 39 281 36 277 35 284 28510 26871 37 280 40 279 36 281 34 279 34 282 26871 25153 38 278 38 277 34 279 31 281 32 281 25153 23358 36 277 36 278 32 279 29 284 28 281 23358 21488 32 278 32 277 29 280 27 285 25 285 21488 19536 29 276 29 273 25 281 25 288 22 291 19536 17499 28 275 26 275 22 283 22 291 18 294 17499 15418 25 281 22 280 19 288 18 295 15 296 15418 13409 21 280 19 283 16 290 15 296 13 297 13409 11578 18 277 16 284 15 289 13 297 10 299 11578 9951 17 277 14 286 14 291 12 302 9 306 9951 8508 16 282 13 294 13 294 12 309 8 325 8508 7227 16 289 12 302 11 295 12 313 8 332 7227 6092 16 294 12 304 11 295 12 310 8 329 6092 5087 17 291 13 300 11 290 12 302 8 321 5087 4203 18 286 14 290 13 277 12 292 8 311 4203 3425 18 285 14 275 16 263 13 278 10 291 3425 2735 19 280 16 258 16*257 14*265 14 269 2735 2131 18 267 16*250 16*256 14*260 15 261 2131 1629 17 252 16*248 16 256 14 260 15*260 1629 1245 16*248 15 246 16 257 14 260 14*259 1245 981 14*246 14 246 15 257 14 259 12 258 981 820 12 246 12 245 13 257 12 259 11 258 820 728 9 244 9 245 11 256 10 258 8 258 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography