DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 57.2 - - 63.1 - - 58.7 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 307 - - 452 - - 268 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1284 - - 2372 - - 1326 - - 279 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2989 - - 3882 - - 2979 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3605 - - 4694 - - 3648 - - 2600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 444 - - 632 - - 1404 - - 657 - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 304 - - 422 - - 292 - - 39 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 277 - - 287 - - 296 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - -9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2737 - - -2931 - - -3519 - - -2814 - - -743 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5074 - - 6536 - - 8213 - - 6462 - - 3343 sfcLCL ODpotential -10206 - - -8759 - - -8377 - - -7452 - - -7186 ODpotential blCL 12543 - - 12364 - - 13071 - - 11100 - - 9786 blCL maxRH 51 - - 56 - - 63 - - 65 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 57.2 - - 63.1 - - 58.7 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 36.8 - - 35.2 - - 38.5 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 55.5 - - 60.5 - - 56.9 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.1 - - 35.7 - - 34.2 - - 38.0 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 307 - - 452 - - 268 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1284 - - 2372 - - 1326 - - 279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97511 3 150 4 142 11 137 3 181 1 293 97511 90140 5 143 2 118 4 076 5 099 8 074 90140 84502 5 123 7 223 5 248 6 336 10 062 84502 79811 1 044 4 116 8 195 5 271 5 280 79811 75764 5 297 7 250 6 260 3 287 3 236 75764 72179 9 313 11 278 12 281 11 264 3 313 72179 68922 12 299 6 291 7 277 12 260 10 281 68922 65923 23 281 16 274 11 269 13 261 15 271 65923 63125 27 278 25 265 23 261 17 256 15 261 63125 60389 27 272 27 264 29 258 24 266 19 263 60389 57525 30 265 29 260 33 257 33 262 28 260 57525 54560 32 262 30 258 34 257 37 262 34 262 54560 51741 37 265 34 265 37 260 40 266 40 266 51741 49216 43 266 40 265 41 262 44 268 44 267 49216 46964 46 266 42 264 44 263 46 265 46 266 46964 44934 46 266 40 265 43 265 44 266 43 267 44934 43086 46 272 40 270 43 270 44 272 44 274 43086 41389 47 273 42 276 45 276 50 273 47 278 41389 39826 42 274 45 278 48 276 52 273 51 281 39826 38379 37 279 47 279 49 277 52 273 53 283 38379 37031 36 285 50 281 50 275 53 274 53 284 37031 35742 35 288 50 282 47 273 53 274 50 285 35742 34442 33 286 47 283 46 273 50 274 46 287 34442 33100 30 286 42 283 45 275 45 272 43 288 33100 31715 29 287 39 281 43 276 42 273 41 288 31715 30275 29 287 38 281 40 276 42 274 39 285 30275 28767 28 285 37 282 37 278 43 274 39 280 28767 27192 27 285 36 280 36 277 40 274 38 280 27192 25547 27 286 34 279 36 275 37 274 35 283 25547 23834 26 289 32 277 34 272 34 272 31 278 23834 22059 25 283 29 272 30 269 31 274 29 276 22059 20215 28 273 28 266 27 266 28 277 26 281 20215 18297 29 272 29 264 25 268 26 279 23 288 18297 16342 24 275 28 266 24 272 23 280 20 289 16342 14458 20 274 25 270 22 274 20 278 17 287 14458 12742 19 273 20 274 18 276 17 280 14 288 12742 11214 18 274 17 275 16 279 15 284 12 287 11214 9856 18 275 14 278 14 278 13 287 11 289 9856 8645 17 276 12 282 11 276 10 287 9 290 8645 7566 15 277 10 286 8 270 9 282 7 286 7566 6607 12 279 9 291 7 266 9 278 6 283 6607 5758 10 285 9 295 8 272 10 281 7 286 5758 5006 9 290 10 291 9*278 11 285 8 292 5006 4330 10 293 12 283 9*282 12 291 9 301 4330 3731 11 289 12*279 10 286 13*295 13 309 3731 3232 13 285 12*277 11 288 13*296 16 311 3232 2850 14 284 12 277 11 289 13 296 16*310 2850 2588 13 283 11 277 10 289 13 297 13*309 2588 2429 10 279 10 277 10 290 12 296 12 309 2429 2337 4*265 8 277 9 289 10 296 7 308 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography