DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.2 - - 70.6 - - 74.9 - - 74.2 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 37 - - 435 - - 507 - - 176 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 919 - - 6806 - - 8890 - - 8625 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 9884 - - 11646 - - 10817 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 5747 - - 11634 - - 13718 - - 13453 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3542 - - 1601 - - 1589 - - 1869 - - 8424 Hgt.Variab. W* 139 - - 600 - - 690 - - 481 - - 4 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 15 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 110 - - 195 - - 203 - - 224 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 11 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 21 - - 38 - - 37 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7307 - - -3606 - - -3583 - - -4649 - - -10978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13055 - - 15241 - - 17302 - - 18103 - - 15353 sfcLCL ODpotential -13353 - - -7754 - - -7412 - - -8044 - - -15505 ODpotential blCL 19100 - - 19388 - - 21130 - - 21497 - - 19880 blCL maxRH 29 - - 34 - - 44 - - 44 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.2 - - 70.6 - - 74.9 - - 74.2 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 18.3 - - 12.9 - - 8.7 - - 11.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 69.0 - - 73.2 - - 74.0 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.3 - - 17.7 - - 12.2 - - 8.2 - - 11.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 37 - - 435 - - 507 - - 176 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 919 - - 6806 - - 8890 - - 8625 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97533 5 323 4 170 4 201 6 278 6 346 97533 90133 8 118 7 243 10 344 8 054 2 157 90133 84488 13 108 9 189 9 318 9 017 9 052 84488 79803 5 065 7 090 11 164 6 273 8 020 79803 75760 7 081 7 339 5 161 4 240 4 320 75760 72183 6 335 6 356 2 279 7 313 3 279 72183 68956 13 320 10 283 8 274 11 289 9 273 68956 65999 19 300 16 283 14 253 18 269 13 275 65999 63242 30 272 23 285 19 255 22 257 22 259 63242 60562 35 260 28 279 24 260 21 255 26 253 60562 57759 37 259 35 265 32 262 29 261 32 259 57759 54840 43 262 45 260 44 262 43 262 43 264 54840 52055 53 264 54 257 58 261 57 262 54 264 52055 49551 60 259 59 252 63 258 60 260 60 263 49551 47309 62 257 60 252 63 256 59 260 59 260 47309 45280 65 259 61 257 61 257 59 260 56 263 45280 43433 68 260 65 258 59 258 59 261 60 267 43433 41738 69 260 68 256 59 257 56 262 64 267 41738 40172 70 260 66 253 59 255 53 261 62 266 40172 38714 70 260 62 251 57 251 50 259 55 266 38714 37356 68 258 58 249 56 246 47 259 50 266 37356 36061 66 257 56 248 53 243 47 258 48 267 36061 34763 62 255 54 247 50 243 44 257 45 269 34763 33428 57 252 54 246 47 244 41 254 41 269 33428 32061 51 250 52 246 45 245 39 254 37 272 32061 30649 44 246 47 246 43 245 37 254 35 273 30649 29185 40 244 41 246 41 242 35 253 33 272 29185 27673 38 245 38 248 37 241 34 250 29 275 27673 26116 34 245 34 249 33 244 32 248 26 285 26116 24510 27 245 30 243 29 242 30 246 25 290 24510 22858 23 244 25 238 28 236 31 246 24 283 22858 21154 22 242 22 239 26 238 30 246 24 270 21154 19392 19 236 20 241 23 243 27 248 24 260 19392 17600 15 231 17 231 20 239 23 251 24 257 17600 15872 15 222 14 218 17 228 18 248 19 255 15872 14299 16 222 14 221 14*214 14*240 13 242 14299 12898 19 224 17*224 14*206 13*238 9 233 12898 11644 19 219 18*212 14 205 13 235 9 239 11644 10518 15 206 16 200 15 203 13 234 11 243 10518 9503 12 188 15 196 15 202 14 229 13 246 9503 8591 10 173 13 193 15 202 14 224 14 247 8591 7776 8 159 13 191 16 201 15 220 16 247 7776 7045 7 152 12 189 16 202 15 218 16 246 7045 6382 6 158 11 189 16 202 15 215 17 244 6382 5789 6*160 11 187 16 201 15 213 17 243 5789 5288 5*143 10 187 16 202 15 212 15 239 5288 4900 5 110 10 187 16 202 15 211 13 234 4900 4632 4 093 9 187 16 202 14 210 10 226 4632 4468 3 091 9 187 15 202 14 210 8*217 4468 4374 3 093 8 188 13 202 12 209 4*213 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography