DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 74.3 - - 77.7 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 209 - - 131 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 3641 - - 6703 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2864 - - 4899 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1223 - - 4236 - - 7298 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 985 - - 2253 - - 1316 - - 6047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 381 - - 402 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 158 - - 108 - - 138 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2223 - - -1671 - - -733 - - -4560 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3447 - - 5907 - - 8032 - - 5135 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6752 - - -4773 - - -4585 - - -7689 ODpotential blCL - - - 7975 - - 9009 - - 11883 - - 8264 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 70 - - 61 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 74.3 - - 77.7 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 50.6 - - 44.5 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 73.1 - - 76.9 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 49.2 - - 43.2 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 76 - - 209 - - 131 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 3641 - - 6703 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97631 13 142 9 234 13 221 7 260 97631 90192 12 112 8 171 4 228 1 228 90192 84502 11 086 10 130 4 199 1 312 84502 79810 7 076 6 128 3 225 0 327 79810 75768 0 036 3 042 4 047 3 294 75768 72187 2 127 7 267 5 286 6 295 72187 68928 8 344 3 268 7 239 10 278 68928 65918 11 320 7 297 4 240 9 264 65918 63129 17 292 18 289 16 293 20 290 63129 60433 21 282 26 268 26 278 29 272 60433 57612 26 283 22 258 23 265 28 288 57612 54682 29 274 31 284 40 285 40 282 54682 51902 31 272 49 274 54 278 47 276 51902 49423 44 276 55 266 55 274 46 275 49423 47215 45 267 52 260 53 267 42 272 47215 45217 35 255 42 253 47 255 39 268 45217 43391 26 260 34 266 38 254 39 269 43391 41720 42 288 44 280 37 264 44 269 41720 40195 64 284 67 273 44 272 52 265 40195 38786 68 280 75 268 53 271 57 256 38786 37455 64 277 70 267 55 270 56 246 37455 36158 53 271 65 269 50 269 56 243 36158 34829 46 266 46 272 45 259 54 248 34829 33443 41 272 35 270 40 250 45 259 33443 32005 38 262 32 249 41 250 38 262 32005 30501 42 255 40 238 42 254 37 257 30501 28917 43 252 43 233 38 260 35 259 28917 27251 35 250 35 237 36 267 32 265 27251 25501 19 259 24 226 29 261 35 268 25501 23670 19 265 14 225 22 281 27 287 23670 21762 13 266 13 244 19 284 18 281 21762 19771 14 280 11 257 12 273 16 269 19771 17697 14 255 10 264 9 260 12 283 17697 15586 6 201 10 257 10 272 10 280 15586 13548 4 079 9 235 5 282 3 285 13548 11689 6 088 7 165 4 168 4 037 11689 10037 11 114 13 144 8 156 6 013 10037 8570 15 121 15 142 9*161 5 319 8570 7267 14 124 13 142 9*140 6 221 7267 6113 8 120 9 138 9 138 9 180 6113 5091 2 131 7*121 9 138 10 168 5091 4189 2 228 7*107 9 137 11 166 4189 3392 3 210 7 107 9 137 11 164 3392 2678 4 192 8 107 8 137 11 162 2678 2047 6 181 7 107 8 137 11 160 2047 1521 6*171 7 108 7 138 11 158 1521 1117 6*160 7 108 7 137 11 157 1117 839 5 158 7 109 7 137 10 155 839 671 5 157 6 110 7 137 8*153 671 574 4 156 6 110 6 137 5*151 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography