DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.3 - - 75.0 - - 76.8 - - 71.6 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 74 - - 87 - - 131 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1184 - - 2805 - - 2300 - - 1005 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1902 - - 1774 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1844 - - 3465 - - 2960 - - 1665 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 658 - - 2001 - - 1661 - - 2429 - - 1946 Hgt.Variab. W* 190 - - 271 - - 287 - - 87 - - 19 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 19 - - 17 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 143 - - 166 - - 173 - - 148 - - 105 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -3 - - 6 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 503 - - 1261 - - 278 - - 576 - - -118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1341 - - 2204 - - 2682 - - 1090 - - 860 sfcLCL ODpotential 200 - - 567 - - -1655 - - 47 - - -957 ODpotential blCL 1644 - - 2898 - - 4615 - - 1618 - - 1699 blCL maxRH 99 - - 101 - - 86 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 2150 - - 2050 - - 2040 - - 1910 - - 1340 CAPE Temp@2m 72.3 - - 75.0 - - 76.8 - - 71.6 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.5 - - 67.6 - - 67.3 - - 68.9 - - 67.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.8 - - 74.4 - - 76.0 - - 71.7 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.9 - - 66.6 - - 66.2 - - 68.5 - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 74 - - 87 - - 131 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1184 - - 2805 - - 2300 - - 1005 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 102 - - 44 - - 100 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97593 13 170 21 228 23 266 12 286 4 227 97593 90146 5 192 9 193 7 213 5 250 2 306 90146 84439 9 088 7 112 8 138 2 114 6 047 84439 79753 14 085 6 066 8 092 5 118 5 082 79753 75744 11 075 8 145 8 111 2 290 10 064 75744 72195 12 056 4 104 12 139 1 195 3 175 72195 68984 5 037 2 279 5 279 4 302 5 144 68984 66039 17 301 3 243 4 232 9 236 6 151 66039 63308 23 287 19 302 11 289 18 295 15 306 63308 60680 32 266 34 265 32 256 28 265 26 268 60680 57956 36 267 27 260 29 257 26 274 28 261 57956 55126 45 271 39 283 46 281 43 277 40 275 55126 52423 53 276 55 278 58 279 52 279 50 279 52423 49982 62 278 61 276 65 279 59 281 59 280 49982 47788 68 279 66 277 71 279 65 280 67 281 47788 45801 73 282 72 277 73 279 68 278 74 279 45801 43988 77 286 73 278 73 281 66 280 75 278 43988 42319 80 288 72 279 74 282 67 282 75 279 42319 40769 77 286 72 277 75 282 73 281 76 279 40769 39313 69 281 69 273 74 280 76 280 77 279 39313 37936 62 279 66 270 72 279 75 279 77 278 37936 36600 57 282 61 270 68 277 71 280 72 278 36600 35241 52 282 55 272 59 277 63 281 63 280 35241 33830 48 271 54 276 51 278 54 281 54 281 33830 32372 46 259 54 276 47 276 45 279 46 279 32372 30852 41 251 53 275 44 274 40 277 44 275 30852 29254 40 242 50 278 42 276 40 277 43 276 29254 27575 35 241 44 278 39 280 37 281 39 280 27575 25812 30 243 40 277 35 283 32 286 33 285 25812 23968 26 255 32 279 32 283 28 282 27 282 23968 22047 19 270 26 264 25 285 25 283 23 280 22047 20048 23 294 19 287 20 273 18 282 16 274 20048 17968 21 309 20 293 21 280 16 287 15 278 17968 15842 15 315 20 304 20 288 16 293 18 298 15842 13791 15 326 14 323 10 293 15 290 20 304 13791 11927 14 335 12 341 3 344 8 301 15 303 11927 10270 5 190 6 262 2 053 7 311 13 302 10270 8797 18 166 9 204 2 135 5 267 10 284 8797 7484 21 153 14 169 6 145 6 203 7 275 7484 6316 23 148 18 165 10 140 10 177 8 250 6316 5280 23 151 20 167 15 153 11 173 10 202 5280 4369 23 160 21 168 19 163 14 168 14 156 4369 3567 21 169 21*169 20*168 15 163 19 141 3567 2850 17 169 21*168 19*171 16 159 23 133 2850 2218 16*156 20 166 18 173 15 156 26 125 2218 1690 15*145 19 166 18 173 14*153 25 115 1690 1286 14 143 19 165 18 173 13*150 22 110 1286 1008 14 143 18 165 17 174 12 149 18 107 1008 839 13 142 16 164 15 174 11 147 16 106 839 742 11 141 14 164 13 174 9 146 11*105 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography