DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Waynesboro_VA 1437ft pt32142@38.180,-78.911,1424ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: Shenandoah Valley Soaring www.svsoar.org RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 73.8 - - 75.1 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 347 - - 153 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2757 - - 5185 - - 5465 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3083 - - 5082 - - 4879 - - 1277 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4194 - - 6622 - - 6902 - - 1294 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1241 - - 1614 - - 2111 - - 4303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 498 - - 388 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 049 - - 072 - - 101 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5016 - - -4547 - - -4525 - - -6738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9211 - - 11170 - - 11428 - - 8032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10560 - - -8792 - - -8366 - - -10086 ODpotential blCL - - - 14754 - - 15414 - - 15268 - - 11380 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 60 - - 87 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 73.8 - - 75.1 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.4 - - 29.1 - - 29.4 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 71.7 - - 74.1 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 27.9 - - 28.2 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 238 - - 347 - - 153 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2757 - - 5185 - - 5465 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97666 5 128 9 199 12 217 15 250 97666 90283 14 143 8 172 8 208 3 134 90283 84592 12 134 8 172 3 257 6 054 84592 79853 6 091 8 145 3 249 8 019 79853 75768 5 078 10 129 11 193 8 296 75768 72154 4 314 3 118 5 209 9 255 72154 68871 9 282 5 297 8 279 5 275 68871 65847 17 272 13 274 18 286 11 296 65847 63054 15 222 21 263 22 267 20 286 63054 60370 14 268 25 240 24 248 24 267 60370 57575 28 272 23 265 21 263 25 275 57575 54669 27 263 36 280 28 274 28 265 54669 51900 31 265 42 270 38 272 30 273 51900 49422 43 262 42 257 43 263 35 278 49422 47214 50 252 40 249 41 257 39 272 47214 45219 48 244 40 252 40 257 49 278 45219 43413 37 233 40 260 42 251 56 268 43413 41777 29 228 38 265 39 252 45 266 41777 40272 31 253 34 265 37 263 43 293 40272 38865 44 255 33 263 34 269 38 285 38865 37533 44 245 32 260 31 254 32 272 37533 36240 41 242 31 257 30 257 40 275 36240 34919 40 241 31 253 29 249 45 269 34919 33543 37 241 29 249 33 245 42 255 33543 32115 33 239 27 246 34 253 37 252 32115 30621 29 239 28 251 33 253 37 257 30621 29050 26 247 31 254 33 261 34 262 29050 27404 26 268 34 253 30 270 29 274 27404 25683 25 267 30 249 28 275 29 283 25683 23888 23 254 23 239 28 271 24 286 23888 22021 16 244 20 237 25 264 13 279 22021 20075 14 252 13 241 19 256 11 278 20075 18042 10 264 7 258 11 242 10 237 18042 15970 3 290 3 261 6 223 9 222 15970 13979 4 276 2 249 3 216 4 216 13979 12174 3 266 1 245 1 351 2 049 12174 10571 2 012 1 076 3 025 6 037 10571 9143 7 017 2 059 4 040 8 026 9143 7870 8 010 3 043 4*069 5 013 7870 6739 6 356 5*056 5*089 3 000 6739 5737 6 013 5*060 5 094 1 034 5737 4851 8*046 5 065 6 098 3 127 4851 4069 8*052 6 070 6 101 7 129 4069 3368 9 052 6 073 7 103 9 127 3368 2747 8 050 6 075 7 104 11 126 2747 2228 8 048 6 078 7 105 12 124 2228 1830 7 046 6 079 7 106 12 123 1830 1555 7 043 6 079 7 106 11 122 1555 1389 6 042 6 080 7 106 8*121 1389 1293 6 040 5 080 5 107 5*121 1293 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography