DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/23 Williams 106ft pt35866@39.135,-122.099 SPONSORED BY: Milt Hare RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.1 - - 62.2 - - 71.8 - - 75.4 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 58 - - 337 - - 383 - - 164 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 546 - - 2219 - - 3757 - - 3950 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 104 - - 1458 - - 2666 - - 2454 - - 106 Hcrit BL Top 651 - - 2325 - - 3863 - - 4056 - - 122 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 677 - - 661 - - 1469 - - 3649 - - 2943 Hgt.Variab. W* 128 - - 367 - - 458 - - 354 - - 11 W* B/S 23 - - 22 - - 103 - - 23 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 063 - - 160 - - 163 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 1 - - -5 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1428 - - -2045 - - -3142 - - -4944 - - -4071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2079 - - 4370 - - 7006 - - 9000 - - 4193 sfcLCL ODpotential -8315 - - -6534 - - -6438 - - -7546 - - -6600 ODpotential blCL 8966 - - 8859 - - 10301 - - 11602 - - 6722 blCL maxRH 79 - - 68 - - 47 - - 56 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.1 - - 62.2 - - 71.8 - - 75.4 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 43.5 - - 41.3 - - 36.1 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 60.2 - - 69.5 - - 74.2 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 43.0 - - 40.3 - - 35.1 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 58 - - 337 - - 383 - - 164 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 546 - - 2219 - - 3757 - - 3950 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97547 5 093 4 082 6 139 3 160 5 175 97547 90176 7 217 0 208 2 180 3 150 0 062 90176 84529 7 122 7 203 12 260 10 321 13 089 84529 79819 2 092 7 244 8 175 11 248 5 000 79819 75736 10 348 14 270 9 257 11 245 8 308 75736 72120 14 286 16 259 17 268 14 254 15 260 72120 68855 14 273 9 250 10 278 12 248 16 253 68855 65844 23 273 19 271 16 266 18 260 18 248 65844 63030 28 267 28 269 26 266 23 274 17 268 63030 60278 25 261 29 262 31 263 28 273 23 270 60278 57394 23 261 26 259 31 256 31 266 29 260 57394 54412 27 269 26 264 29 255 31 265 30 259 54412 51579 32 267 29 267 30 260 32 267 32 264 51579 49043 31 263 30 266 32 260 34 266 34 267 49043 46784 28 267 29 267 33 264 34 268 33 268 46784 44746 31 277 31 272 34 264 36 269 33 269 44746 42887 37 281 34 276 33 267 36 271 34 271 42887 41182 44 280 37 280 34 275 37 272 35 274 41182 39616 48 278 43 280 37 282 37 272 38 279 39616 38172 48 275 49 281 42 286 36 276 41 281 38172 36828 47 277 52 280 47 284 38 280 42 282 36828 35537 48 279 51 279 48 282 41 279 43 282 35537 34223 49 279 50 279 47 282 41 276 42 283 34223 32854 48 280 49 281 47 284 40 277 40 287 32854 31429 49 282 47 283 45 285 39 281 39 289 31429 29935 49 280 47 282 43 287 36 282 35 284 29935 28362 47 277 48 281 45 288 34 284 31 283 28362 26710 46 278 44 284 42 289 33 290 28 287 26710 24977 42 282 34 289 32 289 28 290 24 291 24977 23166 36 284 29 294 26 294 23 291 20 296 23166 21276 31 282 27 294 24 298 21 297 18 298 21276 19300 28 277 25 288 23 297 20 303 17 305 19300 17230 26 276 23 283 21 295 19 309 14 314 17230 15113 24 278 20 279 16 299 14 318 9 311 15113 13071 20 280 16 279 12 306 9 338 2 293 13071 11215 15 281 13 285 8 312 9 356 4 069 11215 9566 10 285 8 296 6 324 14 347 11 040 9566 8100 7 296 2 291 6 308 16 334 14 023 8100 6797 6 295 1 241 7 302 13 311 11 003 6797 5641 6 294 2 300 6 314 10 308 7 328 5641 4617 5 309 3 337 2*308 4*282 4 264 4617 3715 7 344 4 005 0*258 2*203 6 222 3715 2920 9 000 3*032 1 191 2 178 9 217 2920 2209 12 004 3*052 1 158 3 163 11 212 2209 1582 12 358 3 061 1 153 3 157 14 205 1582 1060 5*347 3 063 1 151 3 154 16 197 1060 660 1*002 3 068 1 150 3 151 16 188 660 384 1 043 3 071 1 146 3 150 15 179 384 218 1 046 3 069 1 147 3 149 12 172 218 122 1 049 3 070 1 147 3 148 9*168 122 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography